Wolverhampton Wanderers v Southampton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Wolverhampton Wanderers

15:00 UTC

Southampton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,060h before kick-off

Wolverhampton Wanderers win

38.4%

model 38.8%

Draw

23.1%

model 22.7%

Southampton win

38.4%

model 38.6%

382338

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 8.4%
2-1 7.4%
1-2 7.4%
2-2 7.3%
3-1 4.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	75.4%	Under 2.5	24.6%
BTTS yes	75.0%	BTTS no	25.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1+	86.1%	Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+	58.7%
Southampton 1+	86.1%	Southampton 2+	58.6%

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

49/100

Data quality

80/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Over 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 24%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Southampton were missing 0.67 expected goal involvements a match against 0.36.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Wolverhampton Wanderers have an estimated 38.4% win probability, against 38.4% for Southampton and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.98 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.97 for Southampton.

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers

Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Southampton were missing 0.67 expected goal involvements a match against 0.36.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.98 to 1.97. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Southampton can win

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Wolverhampton Wanderers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Adam Armstrong (0.34), Tolu Arokodare (0.24), Mateus Mané (0.19). Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

1 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's top three contributors did not start their last match. 2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 50% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.54 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton: 57% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Wolverhampton Wanderers are the model's most likely outcome at 38.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 8.4%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 80/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Wolverhampton Wanderers are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWDLLLDLDD last 10 scored 9 from 12.7 xG conceded 17 from 19.3 xG

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392339	1.98–1.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422138	2.34–2.22	2-2 7%	83%	81%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win	41.9%	42.9%	43.4%	0.99×	2.33
Southampton to win	37.5%	36.4%	29.1%	1.25×	2.75
Draw	20.6%	24.4%	27.6%	0.88×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & both teams score	32.7%	29.6%	20.2%	1.46×	3.38
Southampton & both teams score	29.6%	25.2%	13.9%	1.81×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers & not both score	9.1%	8.3%	23.3%	0.36×	12.00
Southampton & not both score	7.9%	8.3%	15.2%	0.55×	12.01
Draw & not both score	1.7%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 1.5	40.1%	40.2%	32.5%	1.24×	2.49
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 2.5	37.2%	34.9%	26.4%	1.32×	2.87
Southampton & over 1.5	35.9%	34.9%	21.4%	1.63×	2.87
Southampton & over 2.5	33.3%	30.8%	16.2%	1.90×	3.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 3.5	28.6%	26.1%	11.1%	2.34×	3.84
Southampton & over 3.5	25.4%	26.1%	6.8%	3.83×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	5.9%	2.16×	7.79
Draw & over 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	5.9%	2.16×	7.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 3.5	13.2%	12.8%	32.4%	0.40×	7.79
Southampton & under 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	22.3%	0.57×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	21.8%	0.36×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	21.8%	0.36×	12.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	17.1%	0.28×	20.81
Southampton & under 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	12.9%	0.37×	20.81
Southampton & under 1.5	1.7%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.83
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	11.0%	0.43×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	1.7%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1UP)	65.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Southampton (1UP)	61.7%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2UP)	41.9%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Southampton (2UP)	37.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Southampton to win 2nd half	36.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	26.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Southampton under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Southampton over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
Southampton under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+2.5)	87.4%	88.5%	91.9%	0.96×	1.13
Southampton (+1.5)	74.9%	73.7%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+0.5)	62.5%	62.9%	70.9%	0.89×	1.59
Southampton (+0.5)	58.1%	57.0%	56.6%	1.01×	1.75
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-0.5)	41.9%	43.0%	43.4%	0.99×	2.33
Southampton (-0.5)	37.5%	37.1%	29.1%	1.28×	2.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-1.5)	25.1%	26.3%	19.3%	1.37×	3.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-2.5)	12.6%	11.5%	8.1%	1.43×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	90.4%	91.8%	77.6%	1.18×	1.09
Southampton clean sheet	9.6%	8.2%	22.4%	0.37×	12.14

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede in 1st half	63.5%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	36.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede in 2nd half	73.7%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Southampton clean sheet in 2nd half	26.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 6.5 corners	84.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Southampton under 5.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Southampton over 2.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Southampton under 4.5 corners	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Southampton under 3.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Southampton over 3.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Southampton over 4.5 corners	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Southampton under 2.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Southampton over 5.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Southampton over 6.5 corners	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.8%	69.5%	1.26×	1.14
Southampton under 3.5 goals	81.5%	81.5%	97.8%	0.83×	1.23
Southampton over 1.5 goals	65.1%	68.0%	30.0%	2.27×	1.47
Southampton under 2.5 goals	61.7%	63.2%	90.6%	0.70×	1.58
Southampton over 2.5 goals	38.3%	36.8%	9.4%	3.91×	2.72
Southampton under 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.0%	70.0%	0.46×	3.12
Southampton over 3.5 goals	18.5%	18.5%	2.2%	8.40×	5.39
Southampton under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.2%	30.5%	0.40×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	77.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	22.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton scores more in 2nd half	47.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Southampton scores equally in both	28.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Southampton scores more in 1st half	25.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (away no bet)	67.1%	66.4%	61.1%	1.09×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.9%	33.6%	38.9%	0.86×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	50.6%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Southampton odd goals	49.4%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	57.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Both halves over 1.5 goals	42.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	89.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Both halves under 1.5 goals	10.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2+ in a row	52.8%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	49.3%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ in a row	22.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.13

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton corners (+3.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+3.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Southampton corners (+2.5)	79.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+2.5)	74.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Southampton corners (+1.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+1.5)	64.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Southampton corners (-1.5)	35.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-1.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Southampton corners (-2.5)	25.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-2.5)	20.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Southampton corners (-3.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-3.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	64.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
9-11 corners	21.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	13.5%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	86.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	80.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	64.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	35.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	19.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 11.5 corners	13.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	9.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	15.6%	13.8%	3.0%	4.65×	7.24
2-2	7.1%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
2-3	5.2%	7.4%	1.7%	4.36×	13.51
3-2	5.5%	7.4%	1.8%	4.15×	13.51
1-1	6.1%	7.4%	14.5%	0.51×	13.51
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
3-1	5.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
2-4	2.9%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.30
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-3	4.1%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.30
3-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.30
4-2	3.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.30
4-3	2.4%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.31
4-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.31
0-0	1.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.31
0-1	1.7%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.31
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.31
1-0	1.8%	1.7%	11.0%	0.16×	58.31
1-3	4.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
1-4	2.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2nd half DNB)	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Southampton (2nd half DNB)	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT (DNB)	54.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	45.4%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Southampton (12)	79.4%	75.6%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1X)	62.5%	63.6%	70.9%	0.90×	1.57
Southampton or draw (X2)	58.1%	57.1%	56.6%	1.01×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at HT	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Southampton at HT	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Southampton or draw at HT	62.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1UP)	65.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Southampton or draw (1UP)	61.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Southampton in 2nd half	73.5%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw in 2nd half	63.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.2%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	50.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (DNB)	52.7%	50.9%	59.9%	0.85×	1.96
Southampton (DNB)	47.3%	49.1%	40.1%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score first	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Southampton to score first	47.9%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	1.7%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	81.2%	67.6%	54.4%	1.24×	1.48
Not both teams to score	18.8%	32.4%	45.6%	0.71×	3.09

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	75.2%	65.5%	39.9%	1.64×	1.53
Not both score & under 2.5	10.6%	12.4%	37.1%	0.33×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.06
Both score & under 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	14.5%	0.57×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	55.9%	59.5%	89.0%	0.67×	1.68
Both teams to score 2+	44.1%	40.5%	11.0%	3.69×	2.47

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Not both to score in 2nd half	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score 2nd half only	34.2%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Neither half both score	28.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score in both halves	20.3%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	17.2%	15.0%	—	—	6.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	62.5%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Both teams to score by HT	37.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	79.4%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
A half without a goal	20.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	49.2%	47.2%	22.4%	2.11×	2.12
2-3 goals	28.0%	26.6%	50.5%	0.53×	3.76
7+ goals	17.6%	20.2%	1.4%	14.89×	4.94
0-1 goals	5.2%	7.6%	25.9%	0.29×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score 3+	38.3%	35.9%	9.4%	3.81×	2.78
Southampton to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	20.6%	1.33×	3.66
Southampton to score exactly 1	24.1%	22.3%	39.6%	0.56×	4.48
Southampton to score exactly 0	10.8%	12.9%	30.5%	0.42×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+	41.5%	35.2%	16.1%	2.18×	2.84
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 1	22.5%	23.3%	37.0%	0.63×	4.29
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 0	9.6%	10.3%	22.4%	0.46×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT	37.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Draw at HT	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Southampton leading at HT	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 2	58.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 1	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: X	16.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	58.1%	55.8%	56.6%	0.99×	1.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:1)	25.1%	27.0%	19.3%	1.40×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	16.8%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:2)	74.9%	75.7%	80.7%	0.94×	1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:2)	12.6%	11.0%	8.1%	1.36×	9.10
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:3)	87.4%	90.6%	91.9%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	4.8%	1.22×	17.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	3.4%	1.71×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:4)	94.5%	94.6%	96.6%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.72
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1:0)	62.5%	65.3%	70.9%	0.92×	1.53
Southampton (1:0)	21.6%	21.7%	11.7%	1.85×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	15.9%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2:0)	78.4%	80.5%	88.3%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	11.2%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.73
Southampton (2:0)	10.4%	10.3%	3.2%	3.18×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.1%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	19.2%	19.8%	—	—	5.06

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede	89.2%	85.7%	69.5%	1.23×	1.17
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet	10.8%	14.3%	30.5%	0.47×	6.98

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 1st half	58.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 1st half	41.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 2nd half	73.6%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 2nd half	26.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 6.5 corners	87.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 5.5 corners	80.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 4.5 corners	69.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 corners	54.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 corners	45.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 4.5 corners	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 5.5 corners	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 6.5 corners	12.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	77.6%	1.19×	1.08
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 goals	79.1%	77.7%	94.8%	0.82×	1.29
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	40.6%	1.67×	1.47
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 goals	58.5%	58.6%	83.9%	0.70×	1.71
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 goals	41.5%	41.4%	16.1%	2.56×	2.42
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	59.4%	0.54×	3.12
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 goals	20.9%	22.3%	5.2%	4.29×	4.49
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	22.4%	0.35×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 1st half	73.3%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.85
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 1st half	26.7%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores more in 2nd half	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores more in 1st half	28.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores equally in both	27.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (home no bet)	64.6%	60.1%	51.3%	1.17×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.4%	39.9%	48.7%	0.82×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers even goals	50.5%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Wolverhampton Wanderers odd goals	49.5%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	15.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	15.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Any other HT score	13.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-1	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 0-1	13.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 2-0	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-2	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT	26.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	21.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT	11.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	11.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Southampton at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Southampton at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.62

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score last	50.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Southampton to score last	47.9%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	1.7%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	68.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 1 at any time	65.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	61.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 2 at any time	36.7%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	15.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton most corners	46.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Wolverhampton Wanderers most corners	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-5 goals	67.6%	68.8%	88.8%	0.78×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.7%	68.8%	47.2%	1.46×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.1%	63.3%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
3-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	44.5%	1.19×	1.88
1-4 goals	50.4%	53.2%	83.3%	0.64×	1.88
4-6 goals	49.2%	48.5%	22.4%	2.16×	2.06
2-4 goals	46.9%	48.5%	64.7%	0.75×	2.06
4-5 goals	36.1%	39.2%	19.8%	1.98×	2.55
3-4 goals	35.4%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-3 goals	31.5%	35.2%	69.1%	0.51×	2.84
5-6 goals	30.3%	35.2%	8.2%	4.32×	2.84
2-3 goals	28.0%	30.2%	50.5%	0.60×	3.31
7+ goals	17.6%	18.8%	1.4%	13.86×	5.31
1-2 goals	15.0%	14.8%	44.4%	0.33×	6.75

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers never behind	36.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Southampton never behind	33.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.3%	95.4%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	74.1%	1.25×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	48.4%	1.70×	1.22
Under 5.5 goals	69.3%	66.3%	96.0%	0.69×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	66.8%	66.3%	23.7%	2.80×	1.51
Under 4.5 goals	52.1%	52.5%	90.6%	0.58×	1.90
Over 4.5 goals	47.9%	47.5%	9.4%	5.04×	2.11
Under 3.5 goals	33.2%	33.7%	76.3%	0.44×	2.97
Over 5.5 goals	30.7%	33.7%	4.0%	8.44×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	51.6%	0.34×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	25.9%	0.30×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	1.7%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	94.2%	92.4%	65.1%	1.42×	1.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.0%	81.1%	31.5%	2.57×	1.23
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	79.7%	75.9%	98.6%	0.77×	1.32
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	62.9%	61.9%	95.8%	0.65×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	59.1%	55.8%	11.0%	5.07×	1.79
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	40.9%	44.2%	89.0%	0.50×	2.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	37.1%	38.1%	4.2%	9.02×	2.63
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	20.3%	24.1%	1.4%	17.25×	4.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	20.0%	18.9%	68.5%	0.28×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	5.8%	7.6%	34.9%	0.22×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	84.9%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	70.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Over 1.5 in 1st half	56.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 1.5 in 1st half	43.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	29.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	15.1%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	92.8%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	74.7%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	25.3%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	7.2%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton not to score in both halves	56.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to score in both halves	53.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score in both halves	46.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Southampton to score in both halves	43.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	81.2%	75.5%	54.4%	1.39×	1.33
Only Wolverhampton Wanderers scores	9.1%	7.1%	23.3%	0.31×	14.02
Only Southampton scores	7.9%	7.1%	15.2%	0.47×	14.03
Neither team scores	1.7%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.77

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	30.7%	25.4%	4.0%	6.36×	3.94
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	17.2%	17.5%	5.5%	3.16×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	16.5%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	11.5%	12.1%	25.7%	0.47×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	3.5%	4.5%	18.7%	0.24×	22.39
Exactly 0 goals	1.7%	4.5%	7.3%	0.61×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	29.5%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
1 goal in 1st half	28.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	27.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
No goals in 1st half	15.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	74.7%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
1 goal in 2nd half	18.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.07
No goals in 2nd half	7.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton not to win both halves	88.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win both halves	86.2%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win both halves	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Southampton to win both halves	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win either half	60.2%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Southampton to win either half	56.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Southampton to win neither half	43.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win neither half	39.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton not to win to nil	92.1%	92.1%	84.8%	1.09×	1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win to nil	90.9%	92.1%	76.7%	1.20×	1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win to nil	9.1%	7.9%	23.3%	0.34×	12.62
Southampton to win to nil	7.9%	7.9%	15.2%	0.52×	12.65

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	20.6%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 1	16.8%	17.0%	24.2%	0.70×	5.87
Southampton by 1	15.9%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.87
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 2	12.5%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.51
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 3+	12.6%	11.8%	8.1%	1.46×	8.51
Southampton by 2	11.2%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Southampton by 3+	10.4%	11.8%	3.2%	3.64×	8.51