Wrexham v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Wrexham

14:45

Burnley

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 35h before kick-off

Wrexham win

40.6%

model 39.9%

Draw

29.3%

model 27.9%

Burnley win

30.1%

model 32.2%

412930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
2-1 8.8%
1-2 7.8%
1-0 7.5%
0-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.5%	Under 2.5	46.5%
BTTS yes	58.3%	BTTS no	41.7%
Wrexham 1+	77.6%	Wrexham 2+	44.0%
Burnley 1+	73.4%	Burnley 2+	38.2%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 73%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2095 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Wrexham carry the stronger rating, 1510 Elo against 1381.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Wrexham have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.1% for Burnley and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for Wrexham and 1.32 for Burnley.

Why Wrexham

Wrexham carry the stronger rating, 1510 Elo against 1381.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.50 to 1.32. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Burnley can win

Nothing in the data singles out Burnley.

Key players

Burnley's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Zian Flemming (0.35), Jaidon Anthony (0.25), Marcus Edwards (0.16).

Availability

No lineup on record for Wrexham, so availability is unknown. 1 of Burnley's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wrexham: 53% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Burnley: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Wrexham are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Burnley are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDLLLLLDLD last 10 scored 6 from 10.4 xG conceded 19 from 20.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402832	1.50–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	392733	1.52–1.38	1-1 13%	55%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to win	39.4%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.74
Burnley to win	33.1%	30.4%	29.0%	1.05×	3.29
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham & both teams score	21.0%	21.9%	20.2%	1.08×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.6%	21.9%	20.4%	1.07×	4.57
Wrexham & not both score	18.4%	17.9%	23.4%	0.77×	5.58
Burnley & both teams score	18.1%	17.9%	13.8%	1.30×	5.58
Burnley & not both score	15.0%	17.9%	15.3%	1.17×	5.58
Draw & not both score	6.9%	8.4%	7.3%	1.15×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham & over 1.5	32.4%	30.9%	32.5%	0.95×	3.24
Burnley & over 1.5	26.8%	26.0%	21.4%	1.22×	3.84
Wrexham & over 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Wrexham & under 3.5	25.4%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Burnley & over 2.5	21.6%	21.7%	16.2%	1.34×	4.62
Burnley & under 3.5	21.9%	21.7%	22.3%	0.97×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.6%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
Wrexham & under 2.5	13.4%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.77
Wrexham & over 3.5	14.0%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Burnley & under 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.77
Burnley & over 3.5	11.2%	12.9%	6.8%	1.90×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Wrexham & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.70
Burnley & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (1UP)	57.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Burnley (1UP)	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (2UP)	39.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Burnley (2UP)	33.1%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Wrexham to win 2nd half	33.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Burnley to win 2nd half	31.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Burnley (+1.5)	80.1%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Wrexham (+0.5)	66.9%	68.7%	71.0%	0.97×	1.46
Burnley (+0.5)	60.6%	62.9%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
Wrexham (-0.5)	39.4%	37.1%	43.5%	0.85×	2.70
Burnley (-0.5)	33.1%	31.3%	29.0%	1.08×	3.20
Wrexham (-1.5)	19.9%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.68
Wrexham (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to concede	78.0%	79.0%	77.5%	1.02×	1.27
Burnley clean sheet	22.0%	21.0%	22.5%	0.93×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to concede in 1st half	47.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Burnley clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 6.5 corners	90.6%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Burnley under 5.5 corners	84.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Burnley under 4.5 corners	74.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Burnley under 3.5 corners	60.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Burnley over 2.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Burnley under 2.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Burnley over 3.5 corners	39.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Burnley over 4.5 corners	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Burnley over 5.5 corners	15.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Burnley over 6.5 corners	9.4%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Burnley under 2.5 goals	84.0%	81.4%	90.6%	0.90×	1.23
Burnley over 0.5 goals	74.7%	72.0%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Burnley under 1.5 goals	60.1%	62.9%	69.9%	0.90×	1.59
Burnley over 1.5 goals	39.9%	37.1%	30.1%	1.23×	2.70
Burnley under 0.5 goals	25.3%	28.0%	30.6%	0.92×	3.57
Burnley over 2.5 goals	16.0%	18.6%	9.5%	1.97×	5.38
Burnley over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	2.2%	3.43×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Burnley under 0.5 in 1st half	57.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Burnley over 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Burnley over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (away no bet)	58.9%	57.5%	61.2%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.1%	42.5%	38.8%	1.09×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley even goals	53.2%	52.8%	52.6%	1.00×	1.89
Burnley odd goals	46.8%	47.2%	47.4%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Wrexham to score 2+ in a row	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Burnley to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Wrexham to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Burnley to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.53

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham corners (+3.5)	91.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Wrexham corners (+2.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Wrexham corners (+1.5)	78.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Burnley corners (+3.5)	74.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Burnley corners (+2.5)	64.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Burnley corners (+1.5)	54.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Wrexham corners (-1.5)	46.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Wrexham corners (-2.5)	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Wrexham corners (-3.5)	25.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Burnley corners (-1.5)	21.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Burnley corners (-2.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Burnley corners (-3.5)	8.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	22.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
12+ corners	16.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	83.9%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	70.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	39.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	29.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 10.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	16.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	11.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
0-0	6.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.48
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.48
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.49
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.47
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.48
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.47
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.48
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.47
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.46
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.47
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham leading at HT (DNB)	55.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Burnley leading at HT (DNB)	44.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham or Burnley (12)	72.5%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Wrexham or draw (1X)	66.9%	69.6%	71.0%	0.98×	1.44
Burnley or draw (X2)	60.6%	63.6%	56.5%	1.12×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham or draw at HT	74.4%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Burnley or draw at HT	67.9%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Wrexham or Burnley at HT	57.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham or draw (1UP)	66.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Burnley or draw (1UP)	60.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham or draw in 2nd half	68.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Burnley or draw in 2nd half	66.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Wrexham or Burnley in 2nd half	64.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (DNB)	54.3%	51.0%	60.0%	0.85×	1.96
Burnley (DNB)	45.7%	49.0%	40.0%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to score first	48.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Burnley to score first	44.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	6.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.7%	54.9%	54.2%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.3%	45.1%	45.8%	0.98×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.7%	44.3%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.9%	34.3%	37.3%	0.92×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.1%	83.0%	89.0%	0.93×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.9%	17.0%	11.0%	1.54×	5.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.1%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	6.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.5%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
4-6 goals	30.0%	30.7%	22.4%	1.37×	3.26
0-1 goals	20.2%	22.8%	25.9%	0.88×	4.39
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score exactly 1	34.8%	33.8%	39.4%	0.86×	2.96
Burnley to score exactly 0	25.3%	27.4%	30.6%	0.90×	3.65
Burnley to score exactly 2	23.9%	22.4%	20.7%	1.08×	4.46
Burnley to score 3+	16.0%	19.6%	9.5%	2.07×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to score exactly 1	33.3%	32.7%	36.9%	0.88×	3.06
Wrexham to score exactly 2	25.2%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Wrexham to score exactly 0	22.0%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Wrexham to score 3+	19.5%	18.9%	16.2%	1.17×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Wrexham leading at HT	32.1%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Burnley leading at HT	25.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham -1: 2	60.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Wrexham -1: 1	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Wrexham -1: X	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:1)	60.6%	61.4%	56.5%	1.09×	1.63
Wrexham (0:1)	19.9%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.62
Draw (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	24.2%	0.73×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:2)	80.1%	82.7%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.12
Wrexham (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:3)	92.2%	92.6%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	4.8%	1.21×	17.19
Wrexham (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.47
Wrexham (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (1:0)	66.9%	69.9%	71.0%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.5%	17.0%	17.3%	0.99×	5.87
Burnley (1:0)	15.6%	17.0%	11.9%	1.44×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (2:0)	84.4%	84.6%	88.1%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.0%	6.5%	8.7%	0.75×	15.46
Burnley (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	3.3%	1.98×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to concede	74.7%	73.1%	69.4%	1.05×	1.37
Wrexham clean sheet	25.3%	26.9%	30.6%	0.88×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham clean sheet in 1st half	57.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Wrexham to concede in 1st half	42.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 6.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Wrexham over 2.5 corners	74.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Wrexham under 5.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wrexham over 3.5 corners	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Wrexham under 4.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Wrexham over 4.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Wrexham under 3.5 corners	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Wrexham over 5.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Wrexham under 2.5 corners	26.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Wrexham over 6.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Wrexham under 2.5 goals	80.5%	82.1%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Wrexham over 0.5 goals	78.0%	77.8%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Wrexham under 1.5 goals	55.3%	58.8%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
Wrexham over 1.5 goals	44.7%	41.2%	40.6%	1.01×	2.43
Wrexham under 0.5 goals	22.0%	22.2%	22.5%	0.99×	4.50
Wrexham over 2.5 goals	19.5%	17.9%	16.2%	1.11×	5.59
Wrexham over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	5.2%	1.50×	12.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Wrexham over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Wrexham under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Wrexham over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.3%	—	—	9.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (home no bet)	54.6%	51.7%	51.3%	1.01×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.4%	48.3%	48.7%	0.99×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham even goals	52.4%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Wrexham odd goals	47.6%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	16.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham at HT / Wrexham at FT	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Burnley at HT / Burnley at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Wrexham at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Burnley at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Wrexham at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Burnley at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Wrexham at HT / Burnley at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Burnley at HT / Wrexham at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to score last	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Burnley to score last	44.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Wrexham to lead by 1 at any time	57.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Burnley to lead by 1 at any time	51.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Wrexham to lead by 2 at any time	26.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Burnley to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Wrexham to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Burnley to lead by 3 at any time	7.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham most corners	57.7%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Burnley most corners	31.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	76.9%	78.6%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.4%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.4%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.3%	63.4%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.4%	53.2%	47.1%	1.13×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.9%	48.7%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.9%	39.2%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.0%	35.4%	22.4%	1.58×	2.83
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	19.8%	1.52×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.8%	14.9%	8.1%	1.84×	6.72
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham never behind	41.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Burnley never behind	35.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.3%	82.4%	90.6%	0.91×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.8%	77.4%	74.1%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.2%	66.2%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.8%	48.4%	1.22×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.2%	51.6%	0.80×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	32.8%	33.8%	23.7%	1.43×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	20.2%	22.6%	25.9%	0.87×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.7%	17.6%	9.4%	1.88×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	4.0%	1.96×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.9%	92.5%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.1%	81.0%	89.1%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.2%	72.6%	65.1%	1.12×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.7%	55.4%	68.5%	0.81×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.3%	44.6%	31.5%	1.42×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.8%	27.4%	34.9%	0.79×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.9%	19.0%	10.9%	1.73×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.1%	7.5%	4.2%	1.81×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	1.4%	1.96×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley not to score in both halves	76.2%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Wrexham not to score in both halves	72.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Wrexham to score in both halves	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Burnley to score in both halves	23.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.7%	58.4%	54.2%	1.08×	1.71
Only Wrexham scores	18.4%	16.1%	23.4%	0.69×	6.22
Only Burnley scores	15.0%	16.1%	15.3%	1.05×	6.23
Neither team scores	6.9%	7.2%	7.3%	0.98×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	25.8%	0.88×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.7%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	13.3%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	5.5%	1.39×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	4.0%	1.93×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.9%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	18.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley not to win both halves	91.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Wrexham not to win both halves	89.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Wrexham to win both halves	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Burnley to win both halves	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to win either half	54.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Burnley to win neither half	51.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Burnley to win either half	48.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Wrexham to win neither half	45.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley not to win to nil	85.0%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.20
Wrexham not to win to nil	81.6%	83.0%	76.6%	1.08×	1.21
Wrexham to win to nil	18.4%	17.0%	23.4%	0.73×	5.89
Burnley to win to nil	15.0%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.90

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Wrexham by 1	19.5%	16.9%	24.2%	0.70×	5.91
Burnley by 1	17.5%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.91
Wrexham by 2	12.1%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.48
Burnley by 2	10.0%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.77
Wrexham by 3+	7.8%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.78
Burnley by 3+	5.6%	7.3%	3.3%	2.22×	13.79