Wrexham v Middlesbrough — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Wrexham

19:45 UTC

Middlesbrough

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 249h before kick-off

Wrexham win

31.2%

model 33.0%

Draw

28.9%

model 28.2%

Middlesbrough win

39.9%

model 38.8%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.4%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 7.9%
0-0 7.6%
0-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.7%	Under 2.5	47.3%
BTTS yes	57.8%	BTTS no	42.2%
Wrexham 1+	73.5%	Wrexham 2+	38.3%
Middlesbrough 1+	76.7%	Middlesbrough 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

49/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Middlesbrough (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Middlesbrough (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 81%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Middlesbrough carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1483.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Middlesbrough have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Wrexham and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Wrexham and 1.46 for Middlesbrough.

Why Wrexham

Nothing in the data singles out Wrexham.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.33 to 1.46. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Middlesbrough can win

Middlesbrough carry the stronger rating, 1516 Elo against 1483.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Wrexham, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Middlesbrough, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wrexham: 56% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Middlesbrough: 64% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Middlesbrough are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332839	1.33–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342839	1.39–1.51	1-1 13%	55%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to win	39.0%	36.4%	29.1%	1.25×	2.75
Wrexham to win	33.5%	30.4%	43.4%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough & both teams score	20.9%	21.8%	13.9%	1.57×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.6%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.59
Wrexham & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Middlesbrough & not both score	18.1%	18.0%	15.2%	1.18×	5.56
Wrexham & not both score	15.2%	18.0%	23.3%	0.77×	5.57
Draw & not both score	6.9%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough & over 1.5	32.0%	30.7%	21.4%	1.44×	3.25
Wrexham & over 1.5	27.2%	26.1%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Middlesbrough & over 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	16.2%	1.61×	3.84
Middlesbrough & under 3.5	25.1%	26.1%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Wrexham & under 3.5	22.1%	21.6%	32.4%	0.67×	4.63
Wrexham & over 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.6%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Middlesbrough & over 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	6.8%	1.89×	7.79
Middlesbrough & under 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Wrexham & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	17.1%	0.75×	7.79
Wrexham & over 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	11.1%	1.15×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Wrexham & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Middlesbrough & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (1UP)	56.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Wrexham (1UP)	52.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2UP)	39.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Wrexham (2UP)	33.5%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to win 2nd half	35.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	35.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Wrexham to win 2nd half	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Middlesbrough over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Middlesbrough under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Middlesbrough over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Wrexham over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Wrexham under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Wrexham over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (+2.5)	94.3%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Middlesbrough (+1.5)	84.1%	82.6%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Middlesbrough (+0.5)	66.5%	68.7%	56.6%	1.21×	1.46
Wrexham (+0.5)	61.0%	62.9%	70.9%	0.89×	1.59
Middlesbrough (-0.5)	39.0%	37.1%	29.1%	1.28×	2.70
Wrexham (-0.5)	33.5%	31.3%	43.4%	0.72×	3.19
Wrexham (-1.5)	15.9%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Wrexham (-2.5)	5.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to concede	75.0%	76.7%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Middlesbrough clean sheet	25.0%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough clean sheet in 1st half	55.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Middlesbrough to concede in 1st half	44.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to concede in 2nd half	54.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Middlesbrough clean sheet in 2nd half	45.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough over 2.5 corners	88.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Middlesbrough over 3.5 corners	79.5%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Middlesbrough over 4.5 corners	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Middlesbrough over 5.5 corners	58.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Middlesbrough under 6.5 corners	52.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Middlesbrough over 6.5 corners	47.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Middlesbrough under 5.5 corners	42.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Middlesbrough under 4.5 corners	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Middlesbrough under 3.5 corners	20.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Middlesbrough under 2.5 corners	11.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Middlesbrough under 2.5 goals	80.7%	81.5%	90.6%	0.90×	1.23
Middlesbrough over 0.5 goals	77.9%	76.3%	69.5%	1.10×	1.31
Middlesbrough under 1.5 goals	55.5%	59.4%	70.0%	0.85×	1.68
Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals	44.5%	40.6%	30.0%	1.35×	2.46
Middlesbrough under 0.5 goals	22.1%	23.7%	30.5%	0.78×	4.21
Middlesbrough over 2.5 goals	19.3%	18.5%	9.4%	1.97×	5.40
Middlesbrough over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	2.2%	3.46×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Middlesbrough under 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Middlesbrough over 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Middlesbrough over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.45

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough scores more in 2nd half	40.8%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Middlesbrough scores equally in both	36.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Middlesbrough scores more in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (away no bet)	54.9%	51.7%	61.1%	0.85×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.1%	48.3%	38.9%	1.24×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough even goals	52.4%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Middlesbrough odd goals	47.6%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Middlesbrough to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Wrexham to score 2+ in a row	30.9%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Middlesbrough to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Wrexham to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough corners (+3.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Middlesbrough corners (+2.5)	79.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Middlesbrough corners (+1.5)	72.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Wrexham corners (+3.5)	67.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Wrexham corners (+2.5)	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Wrexham corners (+1.5)	51.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Middlesbrough corners (-1.5)	48.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Middlesbrough corners (-2.5)	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Middlesbrough corners (-3.5)	32.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Wrexham corners (-1.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Wrexham corners (-2.5)	20.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Wrexham corners (-3.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	51.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
0-8 corners	25.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	23.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	81.9%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	75.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 10.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	56.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 11.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 11.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 12.5 corners	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 10.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	25.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	18.1%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-0	6.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.31
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (2nd half DNB)	55.0%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Wrexham (2nd half DNB)	45.0%	46.2%	—	—	2.16

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough leading at HT (DNB)	50.4%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Wrexham leading at HT (DNB)	49.6%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham or Middlesbrough (12)	72.5%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Middlesbrough or draw (X2)	66.5%	69.6%	56.6%	1.23×	1.44
Wrexham or draw (1X)	61.0%	63.6%	70.9%	0.90×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw at HT	71.5%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Wrexham or draw at HT	71.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Wrexham or Middlesbrough at HT	57.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw (1UP)	66.5%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Wrexham or draw (1UP)	61.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough or draw in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Wrexham or Middlesbrough in 2nd half	65.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Wrexham or draw in 2nd half	64.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (DNB)	53.8%	50.9%	40.1%	1.27×	1.96
Wrexham (DNB)	46.2%	49.1%	59.9%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score first	48.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Wrexham to score first	44.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.8%	55.1%	54.4%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.2%	44.9%	45.6%	0.99×	2.23

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.8%	44.4%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.8%	34.5%	37.1%	0.93×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.0%	82.6%	89.0%	0.93×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.0%	17.4%	11.0%	1.59×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.0%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	26.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	6.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.4%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.1%	30.7%	22.4%	1.37×	3.26
0-1 goals	20.2%	22.9%	25.9%	0.88×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	1.4%	1.36×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score exactly 1	33.4%	33.8%	39.6%	0.85×	2.96
Middlesbrough to score exactly 2	25.2%	27.4%	20.6%	1.33×	3.65
Middlesbrough to score exactly 0	22.1%	22.3%	30.5%	0.73×	4.49
Middlesbrough to score 3+	19.3%	19.6%	9.4%	2.08×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to score exactly 1	34.7%	32.6%	37.0%	0.88×	3.07
Wrexham to score exactly 0	25.0%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Wrexham to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Wrexham to score 3+	16.3%	18.7%	16.1%	1.16×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Middlesbrough leading at HT	29.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Wrexham leading at HT	28.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough -1: 1	61.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Middlesbrough -1: 2	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Middlesbrough -1: X	19.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (0:1)	66.5%	65.2%	56.6%	1.15×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.6%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.61
Wrexham (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (0:2)	84.1%	83.0%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.11
Wrexham (0:2)	5.7%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (0:3)	94.3%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.05
Wrexham (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.03
Wrexham (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.12

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (1:0)	61.0%	65.2%	70.9%	0.92×	1.53
Middlesbrough (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	11.7%	1.46×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham (2:0)	80.3%	84.6%	88.3%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.0%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.73
Middlesbrough (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	3.2%	1.98×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to concede	77.9%	76.1%	69.5%	1.09×	1.32
Wrexham clean sheet	22.1%	23.9%	30.5%	0.79×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham clean sheet in 1st half	54.7%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Wrexham to concede in 1st half	45.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham to concede in 2nd half	59.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Wrexham clean sheet in 2nd half	40.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham over 2.5 corners	80.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Wrexham under 6.5 corners	68.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wrexham over 3.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wrexham under 5.5 corners	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Wrexham over 4.5 corners	54.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Wrexham under 4.5 corners	45.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Wrexham over 5.5 corners	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Wrexham under 3.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Wrexham over 6.5 corners	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Wrexham under 2.5 corners	19.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Wrexham under 2.5 goals	83.7%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Wrexham over 0.5 goals	75.0%	74.3%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Wrexham under 1.5 goals	59.7%	58.6%	59.4%	0.99×	1.71
Wrexham over 1.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	40.6%	1.02×	2.42
Wrexham under 0.5 goals	25.0%	25.7%	22.4%	1.15×	3.89
Wrexham over 2.5 goals	16.3%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.63
Wrexham over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Wrexham under 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Wrexham over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Wrexham over 1.5 in 1st half	12.1%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham scores equally in both	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Wrexham scores more in 2nd half	36.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Wrexham scores more in 1st half	25.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough (home no bet)	58.6%	56.4%	51.3%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.4%	43.6%	48.7%	0.89×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham even goals	53.1%	50.7%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Wrexham odd goals	46.9%	49.3%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 0-1	17.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	21.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Wrexham at HT / Wrexham at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Wrexham at FT	11.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Wrexham at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Middlesbrough at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Wrexham at HT / Middlesbrough at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Middlesbrough at HT / Wrexham at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to score last	48.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Wrexham to score last	44.5%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Middlesbrough to lead by 1 at any time	56.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Wrexham to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Middlesbrough to lead by 2 at any time	26.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Wrexham to lead by 2 at any time	22.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Middlesbrough to lead by 3 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Wrexham to lead by 3 at any time	7.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough most corners	57.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Wrexham most corners	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	8.2%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.0%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.3%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.2%	63.3%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.4%	53.2%	47.2%	1.13×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.9%	48.5%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.8%	39.2%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.1%	35.2%	22.4%	1.57×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.6%	30.2%	19.8%	1.53×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.9%	14.8%	8.2%	1.82×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough never behind	40.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Wrexham never behind	36.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.9%	77.3%	74.1%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.1%	66.3%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.3%	58.6%	48.4%	1.21×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.7%	41.4%	51.6%	0.80×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.9%	33.7%	23.7%	1.42×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	25.9%	0.88×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	9.4%	1.87×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	4.0%	1.93×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.9%	92.4%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.0%	81.1%	89.0%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.3%	72.4%	65.1%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.6%	55.8%	68.5%	0.81×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.4%	44.2%	31.5%	1.40×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.7%	27.6%	34.9%	0.79×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.0%	18.9%	11.0%	1.72×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.1%	7.6%	4.2%	1.80×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Middlesbrough not to score in both halves	73.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Middlesbrough to score in both halves	27.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Wrexham to score in both halves	24.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.8%	58.7%	54.4%	1.08×	1.70
Only Middlesbrough scores	18.1%	16.0%	15.2%	1.05×	6.24
Only Wrexham scores	15.2%	16.0%	23.3%	0.69×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.9%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	25.7%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.2%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.9%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.15
6 or more goals	7.4%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.4%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	18.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham not to win both halves	91.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Middlesbrough not to win both halves	89.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Middlesbrough to win both halves	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Wrexham to win both halves	8.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.98

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Middlesbrough to win either half	54.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Wrexham to win neither half	50.7%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Wrexham to win either half	49.3%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Middlesbrough to win neither half	45.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wrexham not to win to nil	84.8%	83.1%	76.7%	1.08×	1.20
Middlesbrough not to win to nil	81.9%	83.1%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
Middlesbrough to win to nil	18.1%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.91
Wrexham to win to nil	15.2%	16.9%	23.3%	0.73×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Middlesbrough by 1	19.3%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.86
Wrexham by 1	17.6%	17.0%	24.2%	0.70×	5.87
Middlesbrough by 2	12.0%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Wrexham by 2	10.1%	11.7%	11.3%	1.04×	8.51
Middlesbrough by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	3.2%	2.23×	13.90
Wrexham by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	8.1%	0.89×	13.91