Wuhan Three Towns v Henan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Wuhan Three Towns

1–1

11:35 UTC

Henan

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 24h before kick-off

Wuhan Three Towns win

46.1%

model 42.0%

Draw

23.3%

model 24.6%

Henan win

30.6%

model 33.3%

462331

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (568 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.8%
1-0 7.2%
2-2 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.3%	Under 2.5	40.7%
BTTS yes	61.8%	BTTS no	38.2%
Wuhan Three Towns 1+	80.6%	Wuhan Three Towns 2+	48.7%
Henan 1+	76.2%	Henan 2+	42.1%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Henan (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 54%

58.4% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 11329 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Wuhan Three Towns (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 88%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4439 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Wuhan Three Towns.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Wuhan Three Towns have an estimated 46.1% win probability, against 30.6% for Henan and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.44 for Henan.

Why Wuhan Three Towns

Nothing in the data singles out Wuhan Three Towns.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.64 to 1.44. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Henan can win

Henan carry the stronger rating, 1512 Elo against 1424.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Wuhan Three Towns, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Henan, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wuhan Three Towns: 47% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Henan: 57% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Wuhan Three Towns are the model's most likely outcome at 46.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	422533	1.64–1.44	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
ai-blend-oos	422533	1.62–1.43	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	432532	1.64–1.40	1-1 11%	58%	61%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	392536	1.40–1.34	1-1 12%	52%	55%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to win	42.9%	42.9%	46.0%	0.93×	2.33
Henan to win	32.4%	30.6%	28.0%	1.09×	3.27
Draw	24.8%	24.6%	26.2%	0.94×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns & both teams score	23.4%	21.8%	23.0%	0.95×	4.59
Wuhan Three Towns & not both score	19.5%	18.0%	23.2%	0.78×	5.55
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	22.1%	0.82×	5.55
Henan & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	18.5%	0.98×	5.55
Henan & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	9.8%	1.35×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.4%	4.3%	1.93×	11.98

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns & over 1.5	35.4%	34.7%	36.4%	0.95×	2.89
Wuhan Three Towns & over 2.5	29.0%	25.9%	29.4%	0.88×	3.85
Wuhan Three Towns & under 3.5	26.5%	25.9%	27.3%	0.95×	3.86
Henan & over 1.5	26.0%	25.9%	23.7%	1.10×	3.86
Henan & over 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	21.0%	1.03×	4.63
Henan & under 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.57
Wuhan Three Towns & over 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.57
Draw & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.57
Wuhan Three Towns & under 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	16.9%	0.76×	7.78
Henan & over 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	12.3%	1.04×	7.78
Henan & under 2.5	11.0%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.78
Wuhan Three Towns & under 1.5	7.5%	8.0%	9.8%	0.81×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	8.0%	10.0%	0.79×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	8.0%	10.0%	0.79×	12.57
Henan & under 1.5	6.3%	8.0%	4.6%	1.75×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	8.0%	4.3%	1.84×	12.57

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (1UP)	60.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Henan (1UP)	51.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (2UP)	42.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Henan (2UP)	32.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to win 2nd half	35.9%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2nd half drawn	33.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Henan to win 2nd half	30.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Henan over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Henan under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Henan over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Wuhan Three Towns over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Wuhan Three Towns under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan (+2.5)	90.8%	92.1%	89.3%	1.03×	1.09
Henan (+1.5)	77.8%	78.3%	74.7%	1.05×	1.28
Wuhan Three Towns (+0.5)	67.6%	68.7%	72.0%	0.95×	1.46
Henan (+0.5)	57.1%	57.0%	54.0%	1.06×	1.76
Wuhan Three Towns (-0.5)	42.9%	43.0%	46.0%	0.94×	2.32
Henan (-0.5)	32.4%	31.3%	28.0%	1.12×	3.20
Wuhan Three Towns (-1.5)	22.2%	21.7%	25.3%	0.86×	4.62
Wuhan Three Towns (-2.5)	9.2%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan to concede	80.6%	81.3%	86.1%	0.94×	1.23
Henan clean sheet	19.4%	18.7%	13.9%	1.34×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan clean sheet in 1st half	49.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Henan to concede in 1st half	50.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan to concede in 2nd half	60.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Henan clean sheet in 2nd half	39.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan over 2.5 corners	81.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Henan under 6.5 corners	75.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Henan over 3.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Henan under 5.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Henan over 4.5 corners	51.0%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Henan under 4.5 corners	49.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Henan over 5.5 corners	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Henan under 3.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Henan over 6.5 corners	24.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Henan under 2.5 corners	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.2%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Henan under 2.5 goals	83.4%	81.3%	83.1%	0.98×	1.23
Henan over 0.5 goals	75.3%	76.1%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
Henan under 1.5 goals	59.3%	58.9%	60.8%	0.97×	1.70
Henan over 1.5 goals	40.7%	41.1%	39.2%	1.05×	2.44
Henan under 0.5 goals	24.7%	23.9%	27.3%	0.87×	4.19
Henan over 2.5 goals	16.6%	18.7%	16.9%	1.11×	5.34
Henan over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.8%	7.1%	1.10×	12.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Henan under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Henan over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Henan over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Henan scores equally in both	37.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Henan scores more in 1st half	22.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (away no bet)	63.4%	62.0%	63.7%	0.97×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.6%	38.0%	36.3%	1.05×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan even goals	53.1%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.90
Henan odd goals	46.9%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.1%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Wuhan Three Towns to score 2+ in a row	38.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Henan to score 2+ in a row	30.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Wuhan Three Towns to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Henan to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.58

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan corners (+3.5)	85.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Wuhan Three Towns corners (+3.5)	82.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Henan corners (+2.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Wuhan Three Towns corners (+2.5)	74.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Henan corners (+1.5)	68.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Wuhan Three Towns corners (+1.5)	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Henan corners (-1.5)	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Wuhan Three Towns corners (-1.5)	31.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Henan corners (-2.5)	25.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Wuhan Three Towns corners (-2.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Henan corners (-3.5)	17.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Wuhan Three Towns corners (-3.5)	15.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	27.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.4%	11.4%	12.3%	0.92×	8.80
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.53
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.53
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.53
2-0	6.5%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.53
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.3%	1.71×	13.53
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.53
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	7.5%	0.98×	13.53
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.68
Any other score	4.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	57.66
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.66
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	57.67
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.52×	57.68
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.66
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.52×	57.67
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.66
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	57.67
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.66
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	57.65
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	57.66
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.85×	57.67
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	57.68
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	57.67
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	57.67
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	57.67
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	57.68

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (2nd half DNB)	53.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Henan (2nd half DNB)	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns leading at HT (DNB)	57.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Henan leading at HT (DNB)	42.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns or Henan (12)	75.2%	75.4%	73.8%	1.02×	1.33
Wuhan Three Towns or draw (1X)	67.6%	69.4%	72.0%	0.96×	1.44
Henan or draw (X2)	57.1%	57.1%	54.0%	1.06×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns or draw at HT	74.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Henan or draw at HT	65.8%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Wuhan Three Towns or Henan at HT	59.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns or draw (1UP)	67.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Henan or draw (1UP)	57.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns or draw in 2nd half	69.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Wuhan Three Towns or Henan in 2nd half	66.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Henan or draw in 2nd half	64.1%	64.1%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (DNB)	57.0%	58.3%	62.2%	0.94×	1.72
Henan (DNB)	43.0%	41.7%	37.8%	1.10×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to score first	51.2%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Henan to score first	43.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.46

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.0%	56.5%	63.1%	0.90×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.0%	43.5%	36.9%	1.18×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.6%	44.3%	51.0%	0.87×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.1%	34.3%	28.0%	1.23×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.4%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.16
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.2%	82.5%	78.4%	1.05×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.8%	17.5%	21.6%	0.81×	5.71

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	7.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.9%	41.9%	41.2%	1.02×	2.39
4-6 goals	32.5%	30.9%	36.9%	0.84×	3.24
0-1 goals	19.0%	20.2%	18.2%	1.11×	4.94
7+ goals	3.5%	1.9%	4.1%	0.45×	53.87

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.7%	33.7%	1.00×	2.97
Henan to score exactly 0	24.7%	22.5%	27.3%	0.82×	4.44
Henan to score exactly 2	24.1%	22.5%	22.6%	1.00×	4.44
Henan to score 3+	16.6%	19.5%	16.9%	1.16×	5.13

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to score exactly 1	31.8%	32.6%	34.2%	0.96×	3.06
Wuhan Three Towns to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.2%	26.2%	1.00×	3.82
Wuhan Three Towns to score 3+	22.6%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.28
Wuhan Three Towns to score exactly 0	19.4%	19.2%	13.9%	1.38×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Wuhan Three Towns leading at HT	34.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Henan leading at HT	25.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns -1: 2	57.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Wuhan Three Towns -1: 1	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.23
Wuhan Three Towns -1: X	20.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan (0:1)	57.1%	55.7%	54.0%	1.03×	1.80
Wuhan Three Towns (0:1)	22.2%	24.4%	25.3%	0.97×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.4%	21.0%	1.16×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan (0:2)	77.8%	79.6%	74.7%	1.07×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.0%	10.8%	14.8%	0.73×	9.22
Wuhan Three Towns (0:2)	9.2%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan (0:3)	90.8%	92.7%	89.3%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	5.9%	5.9%	1.00×	16.94
Wuhan Three Towns (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	5.0%	0.47×	42.32

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	95.0%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	3.9%	0.32×	81.60
Wuhan Three Towns (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (1:0)	67.6%	69.5%	72.0%	0.97×	1.44
Draw (1:0)	17.6%	17.1%	16.4%	1.04×	5.86
Henan (1:0)	14.8%	12.8%	11.8%	1.08×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns (2:0)	85.2%	88.2%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.6%	7.1%	0.93×	15.24
Henan (2:0)	5.3%	6.5%	5.0%	1.31×	15.28

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to concede	75.3%	76.3%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet	24.7%	23.7%	27.3%	0.87×	4.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Wuhan Three Towns to concede in 1st half	42.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to concede in 2nd half	56.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet in 2nd half	43.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns over 2.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Wuhan Three Towns under 6.5 corners	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Wuhan Three Towns under 5.5 corners	66.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wuhan Three Towns over 3.5 corners	64.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Wuhan Three Towns under 4.5 corners	52.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Wuhan Three Towns over 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Wuhan Three Towns under 3.5 corners	35.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Wuhan Three Towns over 5.5 corners	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Wuhan Three Towns over 6.5 corners	21.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Wuhan Three Towns under 2.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns under 3.5 goals	91.6%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Wuhan Three Towns over 0.5 goals	80.6%	81.9%	86.1%	0.95×	1.22
Wuhan Three Towns under 2.5 goals	77.4%	77.4%	73.8%	1.05×	1.29
Wuhan Three Towns under 1.5 goals	51.3%	52.7%	47.8%	1.10×	1.90
Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 goals	48.7%	47.3%	52.2%	0.91×	2.12
Wuhan Three Towns over 2.5 goals	22.6%	22.6%	26.2%	0.86×	4.43
Wuhan Three Towns under 0.5 goals	19.4%	18.1%	13.9%	1.30×	5.53
Wuhan Three Towns over 3.5 goals	8.4%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.69

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns under 1.5 in 1st half	84.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Wuhan Three Towns under 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Wuhan Three Towns over 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 in 1st half	15.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns scores more in 2nd half	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Wuhan Three Towns scores equally in both	34.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Wuhan Three Towns scores more in 1st half	26.3%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan (home no bet)	56.7%	56.1%	51.7%	1.08×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	43.3%	43.9%	48.3%	0.91×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns even goals	51.9%	50.4%	48.3%	1.04×	1.98
Wuhan Three Towns odd goals	48.1%	49.6%	51.7%	0.96×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	19.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns at HT / Wuhan Three Towns at FT	25.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Henan at HT / Henan at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Wuhan Three Towns at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Henan at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Wuhan Three Towns at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Henan at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Wuhan Three Towns at HT / Henan at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Henan at HT / Wuhan Three Towns at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to score last	51.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Henan to score last	43.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.46

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Wuhan Three Towns to lead by 1 at any time	60.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Henan to lead by 1 at any time	51.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Wuhan Three Towns to lead by 2 at any time	29.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.91
Henan to lead by 2 at any time	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Wuhan Three Towns to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Henan to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan most corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Wuhan Three Towns most corners	42.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	84.7%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.5%	77.9%	1.01×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.7%	78.5%	74.7%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.2%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.7%	59.3%	55.1%	1.08×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.9%	53.4%	56.0%	0.95×	1.87
3-5 goals	49.7%	48.5%	49.0%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.9%	43.6%	41.2%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.3%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.3%	39.3%	36.0%	1.09×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.5%	35.3%	36.9%	0.96×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.3%	30.6%	29.8%	1.03×	3.27
5-6 goals	15.5%	18.8%	17.3%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	38.92

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns never behind	43.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Henan never behind	34.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	51.0%	46.2%	1.10×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.0%	53.8%	0.91×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	95.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.3%	92.2%	88.8%	1.04×	1.09
Over 1.5 goals	81.0%	82.2%	81.8%	1.00×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.9%	82.2%	78.8%	1.04×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.9%	62.0%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	58.5%	58.5%	59.9%	0.98×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.5%	41.5%	40.1%	1.04×	2.41
Over 3.5 goals	36.1%	38.0%	40.8%	0.93×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	19.1%	17.8%	21.2%	0.84×	5.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.0%	17.8%	18.2%	0.98×	5.61
Over 5.5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	11.2%	0.70×	12.83
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	4.3%	1.80×	12.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.3%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.3%	92.4%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.0%	75.9%	73.7%	1.03×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.5%	75.9%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.5%	52.4%	49.6%	1.06×	1.91
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.5%	47.6%	50.4%	0.94×	2.10
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.5%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.0%	24.1%	26.3%	0.92×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.7%	7.6%	12.4%	0.61×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.7%	2.8%	4.4%	0.65×	35.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan not to score in both halves	75.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Wuhan Three Towns not to score in both halves	69.3%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Wuhan Three Towns to score in both halves	30.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Henan to score in both halves	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.0%	60.3%	63.1%	0.96×	1.66
Only Wuhan Three Towns scores	19.5%	16.0%	23.2%	0.69×	6.25
Only Henan scores	14.2%	11.1%	9.8%	1.13×	9.01
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.1%	4.3%	1.64×	14.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.5%	22.4%	22.1%	1.02×	4.46
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.4%	19.4%	1.16×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.5%	19.8%	0.89×	5.70
Exactly 1 goals	13.8%	12.1%	14.1%	0.85×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	10.3%	12.0%	10.3%	1.18×	8.30
6 or more goals	8.7%	7.8%	11.2%	0.70×	12.85
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.8%	4.3%	1.80×	12.86

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	28.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	13.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan not to win both halves	92.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Wuhan Three Towns not to win both halves	87.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Wuhan Three Towns to win both halves	12.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Henan to win both halves	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wuhan Three Towns to win either half	57.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Henan to win neither half	52.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Henan to win either half	48.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.22
Wuhan Three Towns to win neither half	42.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Henan not to win to nil	85.8%	87.9%	90.2%	0.97×	1.14
Wuhan Three Towns not to win to nil	80.5%	83.1%	76.8%	1.08×	1.20
Wuhan Three Towns to win to nil	19.5%	16.9%	23.2%	0.73×	5.93
Henan to win to nil	14.2%	12.1%	9.8%	1.23×	8.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.8%	24.2%	26.2%	0.92×	4.14
Wuhan Three Towns by 1	20.7%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Henan by 1	17.6%	16.9%	16.4%	1.03×	5.92
Wuhan Three Towns by 2	13.0%	11.7%	14.8%	0.79×	8.53
Henan by 2	9.5%	7.3%	7.1%	1.03×	13.76
Wuhan Three Towns by 3+	9.2%	7.3%	10.7%	0.68×	13.76
Henan by 3+	5.3%	7.3%	5.0%	1.45×	13.77

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.