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Yokohama F. Marinos v Kawasaki Frontale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Yokohama F. Marinos win
48.2%
model 46.5%
Draw
22.6%
model 23.3%
Kawasaki Frontale win
29.2%
model 30.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.7%
  2. 2-1 9.3%
  3. 1-0 8.5%
  4. 1-2 7.2%
  5. 2-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.558.2% Under 2.541.8%
BTTS yes59.7% BTTS no40.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos 1+81.7% Yokohama F. Marinos 2+50.6%
Kawasaki Frontale 1+73.4% Kawasaki Frontale 2+38.2%

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
85/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 39%
52.5% fair odds 1.90
strong signal · 884 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 75%
82.6% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Yokohama F. Marinos.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Yokohama F. Marinos have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for Kawasaki Frontale and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.32 for Kawasaki Frontale.

Why Yokohama F. Marinos

Nothing in the data singles out Yokohama F. Marinos.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kawasaki Frontale can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kawasaki Frontale.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Yokohama F. Marinos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kawasaki Frontale, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Yokohama F. Marinos: 53% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kawasaki Frontale: 48% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.70–1.32 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.82–1.37 1-1 10% 62% 62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to win 48.4% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
Kawasaki Frontale to win 29.2% 27.9% 31.1% 0.90× 3.58
Draw 22.4% 24.5% 26.1% 0.94× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos & both teams score 26.8% 25.2% 18.1% 1.39× 3.97
Yokohama F. Marinos & not both score 21.6% 21.8% 25.0% 0.87× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 18.5% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.56
Kawasaki Frontale & both teams score 16.9% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.57
Kawasaki Frontale & not both score 12.3% 13.3% 17.8% 0.74× 7.54
Draw & not both score 3.9% 4.9% 7.0% 0.69× 20.50
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos & over 1.5 40.6% 40.2% 30.3% 1.33× 2.49
Yokohama F. Marinos & over 2.5 33.8% 30.8% 23.1% 1.33× 3.25
Yokohama F. Marinos & under 3.5 28.1% 26.1% 33.1% 0.79× 3.84
Kawasaki Frontale & over 1.5 23.3% 21.6% 21.3% 1.02× 4.63
Yokohama F. Marinos & over 3.5 20.3% 21.6% 10.0% 2.16× 4.63
Kawasaki Frontale & over 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.55
Kawasaki Frontale & under 3.5 18.5% 18.0% 23.4% 0.77× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 18.5% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.55
Yokohama F. Marinos & under 2.5 14.6% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 14.0% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 14.0% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Kawasaki Frontale & over 3.5 10.6% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.79
Kawasaki Frontale & under 2.5 9.8% 7.9% 13.4% 0.59× 12.62
Yokohama F. Marinos & under 1.5 7.8% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 8.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Kawasaki Frontale & under 1.5 5.9% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 3.9% 4.8% 7.0% 0.68× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (1UP) 65.2% 70.1% — — 1.43
Kawasaki Frontale (1UP) 49.0% 43.9% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (2UP) 48.4% 50.2% — — 1.99
Kawasaki Frontale (2UP) 29.2% 25.3% — — 3.95
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to win 2nd half 39.9% 36.5% — — 2.74
2nd half drawn 31.9% 34.0% — — 2.94
Kawasaki Frontale to win 2nd half 28.2% 26.1% — — 3.83
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.2% 84.0% — — 1.19
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.9% 54.3% — — 1.84
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.1% 45.7% — — 2.19
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.8% 16.0% — — 6.24
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 1.5 in 2nd half 72.3% 74.4% — — 1.35
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 in 2nd half 64.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Yokohama F. Marinos under 0.5 in 2nd half 35.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 in 2nd half 27.8% 25.6% — — 3.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (+2.5) 88.1% 88.5% 93.8% 0.94× 1.13
Kawasaki Frontale (+1.5) 73.5% 73.7% 81.9% 0.90× 1.36
Yokohama F. Marinos (+0.5) 70.8% 73.6% 68.9% 1.07× 1.36
Kawasaki Frontale (+0.5) 51.6% 52.4% 57.0% 0.92× 1.91
Yokohama F. Marinos (-0.5) 48.4% 47.6% 43.0% 1.11× 2.10
Kawasaki Frontale (-0.5) 29.2% 26.4% 31.1% 0.85× 3.80
Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.5) 26.5% 26.3% 18.1% 1.45× 3.80
Yokohama F. Marinos (-2.5) 11.9% 11.5% 6.3% 1.84× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede 83.8% 81.5% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet 16.2% 18.5% 24.7% 0.75× 5.40
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 1st half 54.2% 51.0% — — 1.96
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 1st half 45.8% 49.0% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 2nd half 64.5% 62.0% — — 1.61
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 2nd half 35.5% 38.0% — — 2.63
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 corners 80.0% 81.4% — — 1.23
Kawasaki Frontale under 6.5 corners 78.5% 76.0% — — 1.32
Kawasaki Frontale under 5.5 corners 66.7% 67.6% — — 1.48
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 corners 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Kawasaki Frontale under 4.5 corners 52.0% 53.1% — — 1.88
Kawasaki Frontale over 4.5 corners 48.0% 46.9% — — 2.13
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 corners 35.5% 38.3% — — 2.61
Kawasaki Frontale over 5.5 corners 33.3% 32.4% — — 3.09
Kawasaki Frontale over 6.5 corners 21.5% 24.0% — — 4.18
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 corners 20.0% 18.6% — — 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 goals 95.0% 97.5% 95.9% 1.02× 1.03
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 goals 84.2% 81.5% 87.8% 0.93× 1.23
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 goals 74.5% 71.9% 68.1% 1.05× 1.39
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 goals 60.4% 63.2% 68.3% 0.93× 1.58
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 goals 39.6% 36.8% 31.7% 1.16× 2.72
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 goals 25.5% 28.1% 31.9% 0.88× 3.55
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 goals 15.8% 18.5% 12.2% 1.52× 5.41
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 goals 5.0% 2.5% 4.1% 0.62× 39.71
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 1st half 89.5% 89.4% — — 1.12
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 1st half 57.9% 62.3% — — 1.61
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 1st half 42.1% 37.7% — — 2.65
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 1st half 10.5% 10.6% — — 9.39
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 2nd half 39.1% 37.4% — — 2.68
Kawasaki Frontale scores equally in both 38.3% 37.4% — — 2.68
Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 1st half 22.6% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (away no bet) 68.3% 66.4% 62.2% 1.07× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 31.7% 33.6% 37.8% 0.89× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale even goals 53.3% 52.6% 54.2% 0.97× 1.90
Kawasaki Frontale odd goals 46.7% 47.4% 45.8% 1.03× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 78.8% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 21.2% 18.9% — — 5.28
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 72.3% 67.7% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 27.7% 32.3% — — 3.09
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 63.9% 60.0% — — 1.67
Yokohama F. Marinos to score 2+ in a row 44.2% 38.8% — — 2.57
Kawasaki Frontale to score 2+ in a row 28.9% 25.0% — — 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 25.4% 24.9% — — 4.02
Yokohama F. Marinos to score 3+ in a row 17.6% 16.2% — — 6.19
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ in a row 8.4% 5.5% — — 18.10
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+3.5) 87.5% 84.5% — — 1.18
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (+3.5) 82.4% 79.8% — — 1.25
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+2.5) 80.4% 79.8% — — 1.25
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (+2.5) 73.9% 70.8% — — 1.41
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+1.5) 71.2% 70.7% — — 1.41
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (+1.5) 63.4% 61.9% — — 1.62
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-1.5) 36.6% 38.1% — — 2.62
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (-1.5) 28.8% 29.3% — — 3.42
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-2.5) 26.1% 29.2% — — 3.42
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (-2.5) 19.6% 20.2% — — 4.94
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-3.5) 17.6% 20.2% — — 4.95
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (-3.5) 12.5% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 48.0% 41.7% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 30.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
12+ corners 21.9% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 84.8% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 78.1% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 69.5% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 59.3% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 48.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 40.7% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 30.5% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 21.9% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 15.2% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.1% 11.5% 13.4% 0.85× 8.72
2-1 9.4% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.51
1-0 7.8% 7.4% 12.8% 0.58× 13.51
1-2 7.0% 7.4% 7.2% 1.03× 13.51
2-0 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
0-1 5.9% 7.4% 10.0% 0.74× 13.51
2-2 6.4% 7.4% 5.2% 1.44× 13.51
3-1 5.7% 7.4% 3.0% 2.49× 13.51
Any other score 5.0% 7.4% 3.3% 2.26× 13.51
0-0 3.9% 1.7% 7.0% 0.24× 58.30
0-2 3.9% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.30
0-3 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.31
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.32
1-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.3% 0.73× 58.30
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.20× 58.31
2-3 2.9% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 58.30
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 58.31
3-0 4.1% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.30
3-2 3.9% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.30
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.20× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.6% 2.74× 58.32
4-0 1.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.37× 58.31
4-1 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 58.30
4-2 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.10× 58.31
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.3% 5.49× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.49× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (2nd half DNB) 58.6% 59.5% — — 1.68
Kawasaki Frontale (2nd half DNB) 41.4% 40.5% — — 2.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos leading at HT (DNB) 61.8% 66.3% — — 1.51
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT (DNB) 38.2% 33.7% — — 2.97
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or Kawasaki Frontale (12) 77.6% 75.5% 73.9% 1.02× 1.32
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (1X) 70.8% 72.1% 68.9% 1.05× 1.39
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (X2) 51.6% 52.6% 57.0% 0.92× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw at HT 76.7% 79.6% — — 1.26
Kawasaki Frontale or draw at HT 62.3% 61.0% — — 1.64
Yokohama F. Marinos or Kawasaki Frontale at HT 61.0% 61.0% — — 1.64
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (1UP) 70.8% 79.5% — — 1.26
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1UP) 51.6% 58.6% — — 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw in 2nd half 71.8% 73.9% — — 1.35
Yokohama F. Marinos or Kawasaki Frontale in 2nd half 68.1% 66.0% — — 1.52
Kawasaki Frontale or draw in 2nd half 60.1% 63.5% — — 1.58
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.7% 58.9% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 41.3% 41.1% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (DNB) 62.4% 62.7% 58.0% 1.08× 1.60
Kawasaki Frontale (DNB) 37.6% 37.3% 42.0% 0.89× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to score first 54.9% 53.5% — — 1.87
Kawasaki Frontale to score first 41.2% 41.6% — — 2.40
No goal scored 3.9% 4.4% — — 22.82
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 62.2% 56.6% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Not both teams to score 37.8% 43.4% 49.5% 0.88× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.1% 47.2% 37.2% 1.27× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 28.3% 33.3% 40.2% 0.83× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 10.1% 12.4% 13.4% 0.92× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.6% 8.3% 9.5% 0.87× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.5% 79.8% 86.3% 0.92× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 21.5% 20.2% 13.8% 1.47× 4.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 64.0% 65.9% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.0% 34.1% — — 2.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 49.4% 53.0% — — 1.89
Both score 2nd half only 27.8% 26.9% — — 3.72
Both score 1st half only 14.6% 10.8% — — 9.27
Both score in both halves 8.2% 6.8% — — 14.69
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.2% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 22.8% 19.0% — — 5.26
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 61.9% 59.3% — — 1.69
A half without a goal 38.1% 40.7% — — 2.46
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.1% 42.2% 47.2% 0.89× 2.37
4-6 goals 35.0% 35.0% 20.9% 1.67× 2.86
0-1 goals 17.6% 20.2% 29.5% 0.69× 4.94
7+ goals 4.4% 1.8% 2.7% 0.70× 54.12
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 1 34.9% 33.8% 36.6% 0.93× 2.96
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 0 25.5% 27.4% 31.9% 0.86× 3.65
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 2 23.8% 22.3% 19.7% 1.13× 4.49
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ 15.8% 19.5% 12.2% 1.60× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to score exactly 1 29.5% 26.6% 36.3% 0.73× 3.77
Yokohama F. Marinos to score 3+ 27.4% 26.6% 14.8% 1.79× 3.77
Yokohama F. Marinos to score exactly 2 26.8% 26.6% 24.5% 1.08× 3.77
Yokohama F. Marinos to score exactly 0 16.2% 18.8% 24.7% 0.76× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 39.0% 39.0% — — 2.56
Yokohama F. Marinos leading at HT 37.7% 39.0% — — 2.57
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT 23.3% 20.4% — — 4.89
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos -1: 2 51.6% 52.1% — — 1.92
Yokohama F. Marinos -1: 1 26.5% 26.5% — — 3.77
Yokohama F. Marinos -1: X 21.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:1) 51.6% 51.3% 57.0% 0.90× 1.95
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:1) 26.5% 27.0% 18.1% 1.49× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 21.9% 24.2% 25.0% 0.97× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:2) 73.5% 75.7% 81.9% 0.92× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 14.6% 11.0% 12.0% 0.91× 9.09
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:2) 11.9% 11.0% 6.3% 1.76× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:3) 88.1% 90.6% 93.8% 0.97× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.5% 5.8% 4.2% 1.37× 17.24
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:3) 4.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.09× 41.94
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:4) 95.6% 98.1% 97.8% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 3.0% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 81.57
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:4) 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.30× 81.75
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (1:0) 70.8% 72.4% 68.9% 1.05× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 16.5% 17.1% 19.4% 0.88× 5.85
Kawasaki Frontale (1:0) 12.7% 12.7% 11.9% 1.07× 7.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (2:0) 87.3% 88.5% 88.1% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.2% 6.4% 6.1% 1.05× 15.65
Kawasaki Frontale (2:0) 4.4% 2.3% 5.9% 0.39× 43.65
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 22.3% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to concede 74.5% 73.1% 68.1% 1.07× 1.37
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet 25.5% 26.9% 31.9% 0.84× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet in 1st half 57.9% 62.3% — — 1.61
Yokohama F. Marinos to concede in 1st half 42.1% 37.7% — — 2.65
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to concede in 2nd half 55.9% 54.7% — — 1.83
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet in 2nd half 44.1% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 6.5 corners 83.0% 81.0% — — 1.24
Yokohama F. Marinos over 2.5 corners 75.9% 76.5% — — 1.31
Yokohama F. Marinos under 5.5 corners 72.4% 71.9% — — 1.39
Yokohama F. Marinos over 3.5 corners 58.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Yokohama F. Marinos under 4.5 corners 58.1% 57.5% — — 1.74
Yokohama F. Marinos over 4.5 corners 41.9% 42.5% — — 2.35
Yokohama F. Marinos under 3.5 corners 41.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Yokohama F. Marinos over 5.5 corners 27.6% 28.1% — — 3.56
Yokohama F. Marinos under 2.5 corners 24.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Yokohama F. Marinos over 6.5 corners 17.0% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 3.5 goals 88.8% 87.3% 94.8% 0.92× 1.15
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 goals 83.8% 82.2% 75.3% 1.09× 1.22
Yokohama F. Marinos under 2.5 goals 72.6% 74.2% 85.2% 0.87× 1.35
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 goals 54.2% 53.2% 39.2% 1.36× 1.88
Yokohama F. Marinos under 1.5 goals 45.8% 46.8% 60.8% 0.77× 2.14
Yokohama F. Marinos over 2.5 goals 27.4% 25.8% 14.8% 1.74× 3.88
Yokohama F. Marinos under 0.5 goals 16.2% 17.8% 24.7% 0.72× 5.62
Yokohama F. Marinos over 3.5 goals 11.2% 12.7% 5.2% 2.47× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 1.5 in 1st half 81.5% 84.0% — — 1.19
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 in 1st half 54.2% 50.8% — — 1.97
Yokohama F. Marinos under 0.5 in 1st half 45.8% 49.2% — — 2.03
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 in 1st half 18.5% 16.0% — — 6.26
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos scores more in 2nd half 40.7% 41.6% — — 2.40
Yokohama F. Marinos scores equally in both 32.3% 33.2% — — 3.01
Yokohama F. Marinos scores more in 1st half 26.9% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (home no bet) 56.6% 56.4% 54.4% 1.04× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 43.4% 43.6% 45.6% 0.96× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos even goals 51.3% 50.7% 52.7% 0.96× 1.97
Yokohama F. Marinos odd goals 48.7% 49.3% 47.3% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 26.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
HT 1-0 20.8% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 14.5% 11.0% — — 9.08
HT 1-1 11.3% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 2-0 8.1% 6.9% — — 14.53
Any other HT score 6.2% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 2-1 4.4% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 0-2 4.0% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 1-2 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.32
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos at HT / Yokohama F. Marinos at FT 29.7% 27.4% — — 3.64
Draw at HT / Yokohama F. Marinos at FT 15.7% 16.7% — — 5.97
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT 15.5% 16.7% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.2% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT 11.1% 12.7% — — 7.90
Yokohama F. Marinos at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% — — 16.53
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.85
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Yokohama F. Marinos at FT 3.0% 3.5% — — 28.91
Yokohama F. Marinos at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT 2.5% 3.5% — — 28.93
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to score last 54.8% 52.3% — — 1.91
Kawasaki Frontale to score last 41.2% 40.0% — — 2.50
No goal scored 3.9% 4.4% — — 22.82
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.1% 95.6% — — 1.05
Yokohama F. Marinos to lead by 1 at any time 65.2% 69.2% — — 1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.4% 50.6% — — 1.98
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 1 at any time 49.0% 44.4% — — 2.25
Yokohama F. Marinos to lead by 2 at any time 34.4% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 21.2% 19.5% — — 5.13
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 2 at any time 19.4% 14.9% — — 6.73
Yokohama F. Marinos to lead by 3 at any time 14.9% 10.7% — — 9.39
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 3 at any time 6.3% 6.6% — — 15.09
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale most corners 48.3% 47.0% — — 2.13
Yokohama F. Marinos most corners 39.8% 39.4% — — 2.54
Corners level 11.9% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.7% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 78.1% 78.7% 68.0% 1.16× 1.27
1-4 goals 74.4% 72.3% 81.7% 0.89× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.1% 72.3% 65.0% 1.11× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.8% 63.3% 59.2% 1.07× 1.58
3-6 goals 57.3% 59.1% 44.1% 1.34× 1.69
1-3 goals 56.7% 59.1% 69.7% 0.85× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.3% 53.2% 41.1% 1.29× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.1% 43.6% 47.2% 0.92× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.0% 43.6% 35.3% 1.23× 2.29
4-6 goals 35.0% 39.2% 20.9% 1.87× 2.55
1-2 goals 34.4% 35.2% 46.6% 0.76× 2.84
4-5 goals 29.0% 30.2% 18.0% 1.68× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.3% 18.8% 8.9% 2.11× 5.31
7+ goals 4.4% 2.6% 2.7% 0.96× 39.07
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos never behind 47.1% 56.7% — — 1.76
Kawasaki Frontale never behind 30.9% 36.2% — — 2.76
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.6% 50.9% 46.7% 1.09× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.4% 49.1% 53.3% 0.92× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.4% 51.7% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.6% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.1% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.9% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.1% 95.4% 93.0% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 89.7% 87.6% 94.4% 0.93× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 82.4% 82.3% 70.5% 1.17× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 78.4% 77.3% 88.6% 0.87× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 61.7% 61.7% 46.6% 1.33× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 60.6% 61.7% 76.6% 0.81× 1.62
Over 3.5 goals 39.4% 38.3% 23.4% 1.63× 2.61
Under 2.5 goals 38.3% 38.3% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 21.6% 22.7% 11.4% 1.99× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 17.6% 17.7% 29.5% 0.60× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 10.3% 12.4% 5.6% 2.20× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 3.9% 4.6% 7.0% 0.65× 21.81
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.4% 97.2% 97.3% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.3% 86.7% 94.0% 0.92× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 77.8% 75.9% 61.2% 1.24× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 73.7% 72.4% 87.0% 0.83× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 50.7% 51.8% 30.5% 1.70× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.3% 48.2% 69.5% 0.69× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 26.3% 27.6% 13.0% 2.13× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 22.2% 24.1% 38.8% 0.62× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.7% 13.3% 6.0% 2.22× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.6% 2.8% 2.7% 1.03× 35.55
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.1% 88.9% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.5% 71.4% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 61.7% 63.4% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 38.3% 36.6% — — 2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half 26.5% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.9% 11.1% — — 9.04
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.4% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.6% 77.7% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 55.3% 55.1% — — 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.7% 44.9% — — 2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.4% 22.3% — — 4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.6% 17.0% — — 5.89
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale not to score in both halves 76.5% 78.4% — — 1.28
Yokohama F. Marinos not to score in both halves 65.0% 69.9% — — 1.43
Yokohama F. Marinos to score in both halves 35.0% 30.1% — — 3.32
Kawasaki Frontale to score in both halves 23.5% 21.6% — — 4.62
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 62.2% 60.3% 50.5% 1.19× 1.66
Only Yokohama F. Marinos scores 21.6% 22.2% 25.0% 0.89× 4.50
Only Kawasaki Frontale scores 12.3% 11.0% 17.8% 0.62× 9.07
Neither team scores 3.9% 4.6% 7.0% 0.66× 21.56
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 20.8% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.7% 17.5% 12.2% 1.43× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 13.7% 12.1% 22.7% 0.53× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 11.3% 12.1% 5.9% 2.04× 8.26
6 or more goals 10.3% 12.1% 5.6% 2.15× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 3.9% 4.5% 7.0% 0.64× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.3% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 26.5% 28.6% — — 3.50
2 goals in 1st half 23.3% 21.4% — — 4.67
3+ goals in 1st half 14.9% 11.0% — — 9.12
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 55.3% 53.9% — — 1.86
1 goal in 2nd half 29.2% 29.1% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 15.6% 16.7% — — 6.00
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale not to win both halves 93.4% 94.2% — — 1.06
Yokohama F. Marinos not to win both halves 85.0% 87.9% — — 1.14
Yokohama F. Marinos to win both halves 15.0% 12.1% — — 8.24
Kawasaki Frontale to win both halves 6.6% 5.8% — — 17.18
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to win either half 62.6% 65.0% — — 1.54
Kawasaki Frontale to win neither half 55.0% 59.0% — — 1.70
Kawasaki Frontale to win either half 45.0% 41.1% — — 2.44
Yokohama F. Marinos to win neither half 37.4% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale not to win to nil 87.7% 88.1% 82.2% 1.07× 1.14
Yokohama F. Marinos not to win to nil 78.4% 78.1% 75.0% 1.04× 1.28
Yokohama F. Marinos to win to nil 21.6% 21.9% 25.0% 0.87× 4.57
Kawasaki Frontale to win to nil 12.3% 11.9% 17.8% 0.67× 8.42
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 22.4% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Yokohama F. Marinos by 1 21.9% 24.1% 25.0% 0.96× 4.15
Kawasaki Frontale by 1 16.5% 17.0% 19.4% 0.88× 5.87
Yokohama F. Marinos by 2 14.6% 11.8% 12.0% 0.98× 8.50
Yokohama F. Marinos by 3+ 11.9% 11.8% 6.3% 1.88× 8.51
Kawasaki Frontale by 2 8.2% 7.2% 6.1% 1.18× 13.91
Kawasaki Frontale by 3+ 4.4% 2.7% 5.9% 0.46× 36.83
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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