Yokohama F. Marinos v V-Varen Nagasaki — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Yokohama F. Marinos

04:00 UTC

V-Varen Nagasaki

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,193h before kick-off

Yokohama F. Marinos win

53.6%

model 54.8%

Draw

23.2%

model 22.6%

V-Varen Nagasaki win

23.2%

model 22.6%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
1-0 10.4%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.2%
0-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.9%	Under 2.5	45.1%
BTTS yes	54.7%	BTTS no	45.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos 1+	83.6%	Yokohama F. Marinos 2+	53.9%
V-Varen Nagasaki 1+	65.7%	V-Varen Nagasaki 2+	29.0%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 39%

52.7% fair odds 1.90

strong signal · 884 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Yokohama F. Marinos not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Yokohama F. Marinos carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1462.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Yokohama F. Marinos have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for V-Varen Nagasaki and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.07 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Why Yokohama F. Marinos

Yokohama F. Marinos carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1462.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why V-Varen Nagasaki can win

Nothing in the data singles out V-Varen Nagasaki.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Yokohama F. Marinos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for V-Varen Nagasaki, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Yokohama F. Marinos: 53% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. V-Varen Nagasaki: 43% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552323	1.81–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	562222	1.92–1.11	1-1 10%	58%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to win	56.5%	54.0%	43.0%	1.26×	1.85
V-Varen Nagasaki to win	21.9%	24.4%	31.1%	0.79×	4.09
Draw	21.7%	24.4%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos & not both score	28.4%	25.2%	25.0%	1.01×	3.97
Yokohama F. Marinos & both teams score	28.0%	25.2%	18.1%	1.39×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
V-Varen Nagasaki & both teams score	11.8%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
V-Varen Nagasaki & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	17.8%	0.74×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	7.0%	0.69×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos & over 1.5	46.9%	45.1%	30.3%	1.49×	2.22
Yokohama F. Marinos & over 2.5	38.0%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
Yokohama F. Marinos & under 3.5	34.1%	30.8%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
Yokohama F. Marinos & over 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	10.0%	2.16×	4.63
Yokohama F. Marinos & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	21.3%	0.85×	5.56
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
Yokohama F. Marinos & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (1UP)	70.4%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
V-Varen Nagasaki (1UP)	40.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (2UP)	56.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
V-Varen Nagasaki (2UP)	21.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to win 2nd half	45.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	32.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
V-Varen Nagasaki to win 2nd half	22.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	13.1%	—	—	7.64

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.5%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Yokohama F. Marinos under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (+2.5)	84.3%	82.5%	93.8%	0.88×	1.21
Yokohama F. Marinos (+0.5)	78.1%	78.5%	68.9%	1.14×	1.27
V-Varen Nagasaki (+1.5)	67.2%	68.7%	81.9%	0.84×	1.46
Yokohama F. Marinos (-0.5)	56.5%	57.0%	43.0%	1.33×	1.75
V-Varen Nagasaki (+0.5)	43.5%	43.0%	57.0%	0.75×	2.33
Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.5)	32.8%	31.3%	18.1%	1.73×	3.19
V-Varen Nagasaki (-0.5)	21.9%	21.5%	31.1%	0.69×	4.65
Yokohama F. Marinos (-2.5)	15.7%	17.5%	6.3%	2.79×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede	85.3%	86.2%	75.3%	1.15×	1.16
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet	14.7%	13.8%	24.7%	0.56×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 1st half	56.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 1st half	43.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 2nd half	66.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 2nd half	33.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 6.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
V-Varen Nagasaki under 5.5 corners	76.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
V-Varen Nagasaki under 4.5 corners	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 corners	54.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
V-Varen Nagasaki over 4.5 corners	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
V-Varen Nagasaki over 5.5 corners	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
V-Varen Nagasaki over 6.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 goals	97.4%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 goals	89.9%	87.8%	87.8%	1.00×	1.14
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	68.3%	1.00×	1.47
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 goals	66.9%	68.0%	68.1%	1.00×	1.47
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 goals	33.1%	32.0%	31.9%	1.00×	3.12
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	31.7%	1.01×	3.13
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 goals	10.1%	12.2%	12.2%	1.00×	8.22
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 goals	2.6%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 1st half	92.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 1st half	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.72

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki scores equally in both	43.5%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
V-Varen Nagasaki scores more in 2nd half	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
V-Varen Nagasaki scores more in 1st half	21.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (away no bet)	72.3%	68.4%	62.2%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.7%	31.6%	37.8%	0.84×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki even goals	55.5%	56.9%	54.2%	1.05×	1.76
V-Varen Nagasaki odd goals	44.5%	43.1%	45.8%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.4%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Yokohama F. Marinos to score 2+ in a row	48.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Yokohama F. Marinos to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 2+ in a row	21.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+ in a row	5.0%	2.6%	—	—	37.75

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (+3.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (+2.5)	84.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+3.5)	78.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (+1.5)	76.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+2.5)	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+1.5)	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (-1.5)	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (-2.5)	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-1.5)	23.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Yokohama F. Marinos corners (-3.5)	21.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-2.5)	15.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-3.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	36.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.50
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.50
0-1	5.6%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
3-1	6.3%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
Any other score	5.1%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.29
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.32
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.30
4-1	3.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (2nd half DNB)	67.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
V-Varen Nagasaki (2nd half DNB)	32.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos leading at HT (DNB)	69.4%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT (DNB)	30.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or V-Varen Nagasaki (12)	78.3%	75.6%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (1X)	78.1%	75.6%	68.9%	1.10×	1.32
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (X2)	43.5%	46.0%	57.0%	0.81×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw at HT	81.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Yokohama F. Marinos or V-Varen Nagasaki at HT	60.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw at HT	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (1UP)	78.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (1UP)	43.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Yokohama F. Marinos or V-Varen Nagasaki in 2nd half	67.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw in 2nd half	54.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.1%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.9%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (DNB)	72.1%	71.5%	58.0%	1.23×	1.40
V-Varen Nagasaki (DNB)	27.9%	28.5%	42.0%	0.68×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to score first	60.5%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
V-Varen Nagasaki to score first	34.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.9%	55.0%	50.5%	1.09×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.1%	45.0%	49.5%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.8%	44.3%	37.2%	1.19×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.7%	34.5%	40.2%	0.86×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	9.5%	1.30×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.7%	82.6%	86.3%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.3%	17.4%	13.8%	1.27×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.7%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.0%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.4%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.3%	30.7%	20.9%	1.47×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.8%	20.3%	29.5%	0.69×	4.94
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	2.7%	0.70×	54.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 0	33.1%	33.8%	31.9%	1.06×	2.96
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 2	20.3%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+	10.1%	12.9%	12.2%	1.06×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to score 3+	30.1%	32.5%	14.8%	2.19×	3.07
Yokohama F. Marinos to score exactly 1	28.2%	26.5%	36.3%	0.73×	3.77
Yokohama F. Marinos to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Yokohama F. Marinos to score exactly 0	14.7%	14.3%	24.7%	0.58×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos leading at HT	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	39.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT	18.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos -1: 2	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Yokohama F. Marinos -1: 1	32.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Yokohama F. Marinos -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:1)	43.5%	42.7%	57.0%	0.75×	2.34
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:1)	32.8%	30.1%	18.1%	1.66×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:2)	67.2%	72.2%	81.9%	0.88×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.54
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:2)	15.7%	15.3%	6.3%	2.44×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:3)	84.3%	85.4%	93.8%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.5%	5.8%	4.2%	1.38×	17.18
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	2.2%	2.65×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:4)	93.8%	94.5%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.64
Yokohama F. Marinos (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (1:0)	78.1%	78.7%	68.9%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.7%	12.7%	19.4%	0.66×	7.87
V-Varen Nagasaki (1:0)	8.1%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos (2:0)	91.9%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	6.1%	1.04×	15.71
V-Varen Nagasaki (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to concede	66.9%	66.7%	68.1%	0.98×	1.50
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet	33.1%	33.3%	31.9%	1.05×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet in 1st half	64.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Yokohama F. Marinos to concede in 1st half	35.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet in 2nd half	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Yokohama F. Marinos to concede in 2nd half	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Yokohama F. Marinos under 6.5 corners	75.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Yokohama F. Marinos over 3.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Yokohama F. Marinos under 5.5 corners	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Yokohama F. Marinos over 4.5 corners	51.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Yokohama F. Marinos under 4.5 corners	48.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Yokohama F. Marinos over 5.5 corners	36.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Yokohama F. Marinos under 3.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Yokohama F. Marinos over 6.5 corners	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Yokohama F. Marinos under 2.5 corners	17.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	94.8%	0.92×	1.15
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.2%	75.3%	1.16×	1.15
Yokohama F. Marinos under 2.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	85.2%	0.80×	1.47
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 goals	57.1%	58.6%	39.2%	1.49×	1.71
Yokohama F. Marinos under 1.5 goals	42.9%	41.4%	60.8%	0.68×	2.42
Yokohama F. Marinos over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	14.8%	2.16×	3.12
Yokohama F. Marinos under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.8%	24.7%	0.52×	7.84
Yokohama F. Marinos over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	5.2%	2.47×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos under 1.5 in 1st half	80.0%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Yokohama F. Marinos over 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Yokohama F. Marinos under 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Yokohama F. Marinos over 1.5 in 1st half	20.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos scores more in 2nd half	41.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Yokohama F. Marinos scores equally in both	31.3%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Yokohama F. Marinos scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (home no bet)	50.2%	51.3%	54.4%	0.94×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.8%	48.7%	45.6%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos even goals	51.1%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Yokohama F. Marinos odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
Any other HT score	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos at HT / Yokohama F. Marinos at FT	35.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Yokohama F. Marinos at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	11.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	8.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Yokohama F. Marinos at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Yokohama F. Marinos at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Yokohama F. Marinos at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to score last	60.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
V-Varen Nagasaki to score last	34.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Yokohama F. Marinos to lead by 1 at any time	70.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 1 at any time	40.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Yokohama F. Marinos to lead by 2 at any time	40.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Yokohama F. Marinos to lead by 3 at any time	18.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 2 at any time	13.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	61.21

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos most corners	54.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
V-Varen Nagasaki most corners	34.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	76.8%	78.7%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.5%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.6%	59.1%	69.7%	0.85×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.8%	53.2%	44.1%	1.21×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.6%	48.5%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.4%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	35.3%	1.11×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.2%	39.2%	46.6%	0.84×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.3%	35.2%	20.9%	1.68×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.2%	30.2%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.4%	18.8%	8.9%	2.11×	5.31
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos never behind	54.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
V-Varen Nagasaki never behind	24.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	93.0%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	88.6%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.2%	82.3%	70.5%	1.17×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.2%	61.8%	76.6%	0.81×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.2%	58.6%	46.6%	1.26×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.8%	41.4%	53.4%	0.77×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.8%	38.2%	23.4%	1.63×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.8%	17.7%	29.5%	0.60×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	11.4%	1.55×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	5.6%	1.37×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	7.0%	0.65×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.4%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.3%	75.9%	87.0%	0.87×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.6%	72.4%	61.2%	1.18×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.9%	51.9%	69.5%	0.75×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.1%	48.1%	30.5%	1.58×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.4%	27.6%	38.8%	0.71×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.7%	24.1%	13.0%	1.86×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.6%	7.6%	6.0%	1.28×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to score in both halves	82.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Yokohama F. Marinos not to score in both halves	62.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Yokohama F. Marinos to score in both halves	37.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
V-Varen Nagasaki to score in both halves	17.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.9%	58.6%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Only Yokohama F. Marinos scores	28.4%	26.0%	25.0%	1.04×	3.84
Only V-Varen Nagasaki scores	10.1%	11.0%	17.8%	0.62×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.6%	7.0%	0.66×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.2%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	5.9%	2.04×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.6%	7.6%	5.6%	1.35×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.5%	7.0%	0.64×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.5%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Yokohama F. Marinos not to win both halves	80.8%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Yokohama F. Marinos to win both halves	19.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
V-Varen Nagasaki to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos to win either half	68.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
V-Varen Nagasaki to win neither half	63.3%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
V-Varen Nagasaki to win either half	36.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Yokohama F. Marinos to win neither half	31.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win to nil	89.9%	88.1%	82.2%	1.07×	1.14
Yokohama F. Marinos not to win to nil	71.6%	75.3%	75.0%	1.00×	1.33
Yokohama F. Marinos to win to nil	28.4%	24.7%	25.0%	0.99×	4.05
V-Varen Nagasaki to win to nil	10.1%	11.9%	17.8%	0.67×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yokohama F. Marinos by 1	23.6%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Draw	21.7%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Yokohama F. Marinos by 2	17.2%	17.0%	12.0%	1.42×	5.87
Yokohama F. Marinos by 3+	15.7%	17.0%	6.3%	2.73×	5.87
V-Varen Nagasaki by 1	13.7%	11.8%	19.4%	0.61×	8.51
V-Varen Nagasaki by 2	5.7%	7.2%	6.1%	1.18×	13.92
V-Varen Nagasaki by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.83