Zaqatala v Baku Sportinq — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · AZE-First Division · 2627

AZE-First Division results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Zaqatala

12:30 UTC

Baku Sportinq

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 25h before kick-off

Zaqatala win

23.9%

model 23.3%

Draw

27.5%

model 29.0%

Baku Sportinq win

48.6%

model 47.7%

242749

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
0-1 12.0%
0-0 10.3%
0-2 9.6%
1-2 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.0%	Under 2.5	57.0%
BTTS yes	48.1%	BTTS no	51.9%
Zaqatala 1+	61.1%	Zaqatala 2+	24.4%
Baku Sportinq 1+	76.6%	Baku Sportinq 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 0.95 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Baku Sportinq (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

67.2% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 3254 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Baku Sportinq or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP · usually 64%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 599 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Baku Sportinq have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zaqatala have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Baku Sportinq average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Zaqatala have only 0 matches on record.
Baku Sportinq have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Baku Sportinq have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 27.5% for the draw and 23.9% for Zaqatala. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.94 for Zaqatala and 1.45 for Baku Sportinq.

Why Zaqatala

Zaqatala have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Baku Sportinq have allowed 1.35. At home Zaqatala average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. A combined 2.40 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Baku Sportinq can win

Baku Sportinq have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zaqatala have allowed 1.35. Away from home Baku Sportinq average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Zaqatala, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Baku Sportinq, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Zaqatala: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Baku Sportinq: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Baku Sportinq are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

No channel's listings name this match. That is the guide being silent rather than the match being off — most listings say "Live: Premier League" or the name of a studio show, not who is playing. Open the 333 sports channels →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	232948	0.95–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	192952	0.81–1.48	0-1 14%	40%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq to win	47.7%	48.0%	30.6%	1.57×	2.08
Draw	29.0%	27.1%	25.0%	1.09×	3.69
Zaqatala to win	23.3%	23.6%	44.4%	0.53×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq & not both score	28.5%	26.5%	16.0%	1.66×	3.78
Baku Sportinq & both teams score	19.1%	18.1%	14.6%	1.24×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Zaqatala & not both score	13.1%	12.7%	24.4%	0.52×	7.88
Draw & not both score	10.3%	12.7%	7.3%	1.74×	7.88
Zaqatala & both teams score	10.2%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.88

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq & over 1.5	35.7%	36.6%	23.1%	1.58×	2.74
Baku Sportinq & under 3.5	35.3%	36.5%	21.6%	1.69×	2.74
Baku Sportinq & over 2.5	26.1%	26.4%	18.4%	1.44×	3.79
Draw & under 2.5	24.0%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	24.0%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Baku Sportinq & under 2.5	21.6%	21.8%	12.2%	1.78×	4.58
Zaqatala & under 3.5	18.6%	17.7%	30.3%	0.59×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Zaqatala & over 1.5	15.9%	17.7%	34.1%	0.52×	5.64
Zaqatala & over 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	26.9%	0.46×	8.06
Zaqatala & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	17.5%	0.71×	8.06
Baku Sportinq & under 1.5	12.0%	12.4%	7.5%	1.65×	8.06
Baku Sportinq & over 3.5	12.4%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.06
Draw & under 1.5	10.3%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Zaqatala & under 1.5	7.4%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.21
Zaqatala & over 3.5	4.7%	4.4%	14.2%	0.31×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (1UP)	61.4%	65.1%	50.4%	1.29×	1.54
Zaqatala (1UP)	39.7%	38.6%	59.8%	0.64×	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (2UP)	47.7%	51.9%	34.2%	1.52×	1.93
Zaqatala (2UP)	23.3%	22.9%	45.2%	0.51×	4.37

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq to win 2nd half	40.9%	41.3%	29.7%	1.39×	2.42
2nd half drawn	38.1%	36.5%	32.7%	1.12×	2.74
Zaqatala to win 2nd half	21.0%	23.5%	37.7%	0.62×	4.25

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	78.1%	82.3%	0.95×	1.28
Baku Sportinq over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.2%	54.9%	53.4%	1.03×	1.82
Baku Sportinq under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.8%	45.1%	46.6%	0.97×	2.22
Baku Sportinq over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	21.9%	17.7%	1.24×	4.56

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	86.6%	77.4%	1.12×	1.16
Zaqatala under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.3%	58.5%	41.4%	1.41×	1.71
Zaqatala over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.7%	41.5%	58.7%	0.71×	2.41
Zaqatala over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	13.4%	22.6%	0.59×	7.44

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (+2.5)	97.7%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Baku Sportinq (+1.5)	91.5%	92.3%	77.7%	1.19×	1.08
Baku Sportinq (+0.5)	76.7%	78.0%	55.6%	1.40×	1.28
Zaqatala (+0.5)	52.3%	51.8%	69.4%	0.75×	1.93
Baku Sportinq (-0.5)	47.7%	48.2%	30.6%	1.58×	2.07
Zaqatala (-0.5)	23.3%	22.0%	44.4%	0.49×	4.55
Zaqatala (-1.5)	8.5%	7.7%	22.3%	0.35×	12.97
Zaqatala (-2.5)	2.3%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq to concede	61.1%	64.9%	76.7%	0.85×	1.54
Baku Sportinq clean sheet	38.9%	35.1%	23.3%	1.51×	2.85

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq clean sheet in 1st half	66.6%	69.2%	51.8%	1.34×	1.45
Baku Sportinq to concede in 1st half	33.4%	30.8%	48.2%	0.64×	3.25

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq clean sheet in 2nd half	58.3%	58.8%	41.4%	1.42×	1.70
Baku Sportinq to concede in 2nd half	41.7%	41.2%	58.7%	0.70×	2.43

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	95.7%	0.96×	1.09
Baku Sportinq under 2.5 goals	82.0%	82.5%	87.0%	0.95×	1.21
Baku Sportinq over 0.5 goals	76.6%	76.4%	68.3%	1.12×	1.31
Baku Sportinq under 1.5 goals	57.3%	58.9%	66.3%	0.89×	1.70
Baku Sportinq over 1.5 goals	42.7%	41.1%	33.7%	1.22×	2.43
Baku Sportinq under 0.5 goals	23.4%	23.6%	31.7%	0.75×	4.23
Baku Sportinq over 2.5 goals	18.0%	17.5%	13.0%	1.35×	5.71
Baku Sportinq over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	4.3%	1.81×	12.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	87.1%	89.4%	0.97×	1.15
Baku Sportinq under 0.5 in 1st half	55.9%	54.0%	59.0%	0.92×	1.85
Baku Sportinq over 0.5 in 1st half	44.1%	46.0%	41.0%	1.12×	2.18
Baku Sportinq over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	12.9%	10.6%	1.22×	7.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	42.1%	36.5%	1.15×	2.38
Baku Sportinq scores equally in both	36.8%	38.1%	40.6%	0.94×	2.63
Baku Sportinq scores more in 1st half	23.0%	23.5%	22.9%	1.03×	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.5%	58.6%	36.0%	1.63×	1.71
Zaqatala (away no bet)	44.5%	41.4%	64.0%	0.65×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq even goals	52.7%	53.6%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
Baku Sportinq odd goals	47.3%	46.4%	44.3%	1.05×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.3%	86.9%	82.7%	1.05×	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.7%	13.1%	17.3%	0.76×	7.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.1%	59.7%	66.2%	0.90×	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.9%	40.3%	33.8%	1.19×	2.48

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.8%	49.9%	58.6%	0.85×	2.00
Baku Sportinq to score 2+ in a row	36.0%	37.0%	28.6%	1.29×	2.71
Zaqatala to score 2+ in a row	18.0%	17.0%	36.9%	0.46×	5.88
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.6%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.89
Baku Sportinq to score 3+ in a row	12.8%	12.9%	9.1%	1.41×	7.77
Zaqatala to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	3.2%	14.2%	0.22×	31.73

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.7%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-1	12.0%	11.2%	7.5%	1.49×	8.91
0-0	10.3%	11.2%	7.3%	1.54×	8.91
0-2	9.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.45
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	10.4%	0.72×	13.45
1-2	9.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
2-1	5.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.34
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.34
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.34
2-0	4.1%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.34
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.34
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.34
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.34
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.35
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (2nd half DNB)	66.1%	66.4%	44.1%	1.51×	1.51
Zaqatala (2nd half DNB)	33.9%	33.6%	55.9%	0.60×	2.98

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq leading at HT (DNB)	61.1%	62.0%	43.3%	1.43×	1.61
Zaqatala leading at HT (DNB)	38.9%	38.0%	56.7%	0.67×	2.63

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq or draw (X2)	76.7%	76.4%	55.6%	1.37×	1.31
Zaqatala or Baku Sportinq (12)	71.0%	72.9%	75.0%	0.97×	1.37
Zaqatala or draw (1X)	52.3%	52.0%	69.4%	0.75×	1.92

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq or draw at HT	79.4%	76.9%	66.2%	1.16×	1.30
Zaqatala or draw at HT	67.6%	67.2%	74.1%	0.91×	1.49
Zaqatala or Baku Sportinq at HT	53.0%	53.9%	59.7%	0.90×	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq or draw (1UP)	76.7%	82.6%	63.9%	1.29×	1.21
Zaqatala or draw (1UP)	52.3%	58.9%	74.2%	0.79×	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq or draw in 2nd half	79.0%	76.5%	62.3%	1.23×	1.31
Zaqatala or Baku Sportinq in 2nd half	61.9%	63.5%	67.3%	0.94×	1.58
Zaqatala or draw in 2nd half	59.1%	58.7%	70.3%	0.83×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.9%	65.1%	58.9%	1.11×	1.54
Neither half drawn	34.1%	34.9%	41.1%	0.85×	2.87

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (DNB)	67.2%	67.2%	40.8%	1.65×	1.49
Zaqatala (DNB)	32.8%	32.8%	59.2%	0.55×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq to score first	54.4%	52.4%	42.9%	1.22×	1.91
Zaqatala to score first	35.3%	37.4%	51.2%	0.73×	2.68
No goal scored	10.3%	6.8%	5.9%	1.16×	14.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.9%	51.6%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.1%	48.4%	52.4%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.3%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.4%	34.0%	40.9%	0.83×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.4%	10.6%	0.80×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.6%	85.7%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.4%	14.3%	14.0%	1.02×	7.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.3%	73.9%	70.2%	1.05×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.7%	26.1%	29.8%	0.88×	3.83

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.0%	60.7%	57.8%	1.05×	1.65
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	23.4%	23.8%	0.98×	4.28
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	11.9%	12.5%	0.95×	8.43
Both score in both halves	3.6%	4.9%	6.0%	0.80×	20.61

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	84.5%	81.5%	1.04×	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	15.5%	18.5%	0.84×	6.47

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.9%	52.5%	41.1%	1.28×	1.91
A goal in each half	48.1%	47.5%	58.9%	0.81×	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
0-1 goals	29.6%	27.0%	25.2%	1.07×	3.70
4-6 goals	21.0%	23.5%	27.0%	0.87×	4.26
7+ goals	1.2%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.3%	34.6%	0.93×	3.09
Baku Sportinq to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	20.8%	1.12×	4.30
Baku Sportinq to score exactly 0	23.4%	23.3%	31.7%	0.73×	4.30
Baku Sportinq to score 3+	18.0%	18.2%	13.0%	1.41×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to score exactly 0	38.9%	36.6%	23.3%	1.57×	2.73
Zaqatala to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.6%	33.1%	1.11×	2.73
Zaqatala to score exactly 2	17.4%	18.1%	24.0%	0.76×	5.51
Zaqatala to score 3+	7.1%	8.9%	19.7%	0.45×	11.27

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.0%	46.1%	40.3%	1.14×	2.17
Baku Sportinq leading at HT	32.4%	32.8%	25.9%	1.27×	3.04
Zaqatala leading at HT	20.6%	23.1%	33.8%	0.68×	4.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq -1: 1	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Baku Sportinq -1: 2	24.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Baku Sportinq -1: X	23.4%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (0:1)	76.7%	76.8%	55.6%	1.38×	1.30
Draw (0:1)	14.8%	13.1%	22.2%	0.59×	7.62
Zaqatala (0:1)	8.5%	8.6%	22.3%	0.39×	11.58

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (0:2)	91.5%	91.4%	77.7%	1.18×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	12.97
Zaqatala (0:2)	2.3%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.51

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (0:3)	97.7%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.6%	5.9%	0.43×	39.18
Zaqatala (0:3)	0.5%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (0:4)	99.5%	97.8%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Zaqatala (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala (1:0)	52.3%	52.5%	69.4%	0.76×	1.91
Baku Sportinq (1:0)	24.3%	22.1%	13.6%	1.63×	4.52
Draw (1:0)	23.4%	22.1%	17.0%	1.30×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala (2:0)	75.7%	78.2%	86.4%	0.90×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	14.8%	11.6%	8.1%	1.42×	8.64
Baku Sportinq (2:0)	9.5%	6.6%	5.4%	1.22×	15.10

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.7%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
Halves equal	28.7%	26.2%	25.2%	1.04×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to concede	76.6%	77.1%	68.3%	1.13×	1.30
Zaqatala clean sheet	23.4%	22.9%	31.7%	0.72×	4.37

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala clean sheet in 1st half	55.9%	54.0%	59.0%	0.92×	1.85
Zaqatala to concede in 1st half	44.1%	46.0%	41.0%	1.12×	2.18

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to concede in 2nd half	58.2%	54.6%	53.4%	1.02×	1.83
Zaqatala clean sheet in 2nd half	41.8%	45.4%	46.6%	0.97×	2.21

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
Zaqatala under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	80.3%	1.15×	1.08
Zaqatala under 1.5 goals	75.6%	78.2%	56.3%	1.39×	1.28
Zaqatala over 0.5 goals	61.1%	62.4%	76.7%	0.81×	1.60
Zaqatala under 0.5 goals	38.9%	37.6%	23.3%	1.62×	2.66
Zaqatala over 1.5 goals	24.4%	21.8%	43.7%	0.50×	4.58
Zaqatala over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	19.7%	0.39×	13.07
Zaqatala over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	93.4%	85.9%	1.09×	1.07
Zaqatala under 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	69.0%	51.8%	1.33×	1.45
Zaqatala over 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.0%	48.2%	0.64×	3.23
Zaqatala over 1.5 in 1st half	6.3%	6.6%	14.1%	0.47×	15.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala scores equally in both	47.8%	48.8%	37.1%	1.31×	2.05
Zaqatala scores more in 2nd half	30.6%	32.1%	38.0%	0.85×	3.11
Zaqatala scores more in 1st half	21.5%	23.2%	24.9%	0.93×	4.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq (home no bet)	62.2%	60.2%	55.1%	1.09×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.8%	39.8%	44.9%	0.88×	2.52

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala even goals	57.5%	55.6%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
Zaqatala odd goals	42.5%	44.4%	47.2%	0.94×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.4%	34.8%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
HT 0-1	21.4%	22.5%	16.3%	1.38×	4.45
HT 1-0	14.9%	11.0%	20.7%	0.53×	9.13
HT 1-1	9.0%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.53
HT 0-2	6.3%	8.0%	4.9%	1.63×	12.56
HT 2-0	3.1%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.44
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.45
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.47
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.50
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq at HT / Baku Sportinq at FT	26.6%	25.1%	17.4%	1.44×	3.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.2%	17.3%	14.1%	1.22×	5.77
Draw at HT / Baku Sportinq at FT	18.5%	17.3%	11.6%	1.50×	5.77
Zaqatala at HT / Zaqatala at FT	12.8%	12.0%	25.8%	0.47×	8.32
Draw at HT / Zaqatala at FT	9.3%	6.5%	14.7%	0.44×	15.43
Zaqatala at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.4%	5.1%	1.25×	15.51
Baku Sportinq at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.51
Zaqatala at HT / Baku Sportinq at FT	2.6%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.56
Baku Sportinq at HT / Zaqatala at FT	1.3%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.60

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq to score last	54.5%	54.9%	42.7%	1.28×	1.82
Zaqatala to score last	35.2%	38.4%	51.4%	0.75×	2.61
No goal scored	10.3%	7.0%	5.9%	1.19×	14.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.7%	92.7%	94.1%	0.99×	1.08
Baku Sportinq to lead by 1 at any time	61.4%	63.3%	50.4%	1.26×	1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.1%	41.8%	48.2%	0.87×	2.39
Zaqatala to lead by 1 at any time	39.7%	37.4%	59.8%	0.63×	2.67
Baku Sportinq to lead by 2 at any time	29.7%	25.1%	20.3%	1.23×	3.99
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.3%	11.1%	19.5%	0.57×	9.04
Zaqatala to lead by 2 at any time	12.5%	11.0%	28.2%	0.39×	9.06
Baku Sportinq to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	11.0%	7.4%	1.49×	9.08
Zaqatala to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	2.6%	12.1%	0.22×	38.14

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.1%	82.1%	78.0%	1.05×	1.22
2-6 goals	69.2%	68.2%	72.4%	0.94×	1.47
1-3 goals	67.6%	68.2%	63.3%	1.08×	1.47
2-5 goals	66.8%	68.2%	68.5%	1.00×	1.47
2-4 goals	60.8%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
1-2 goals	46.7%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
3-6 goals	41.9%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
3-5 goals	39.4%	39.0%	45.1%	0.86×	2.56
3-4 goals	33.4%	34.7%	36.8%	0.94×	2.88
4-6 goals	21.0%	23.7%	27.0%	0.88×	4.22
4-5 goals	18.6%	18.9%	23.0%	0.82×	5.30
5-6 goals	8.4%	8.9%	12.3%	0.73×	11.21
7+ goals	1.2%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baku Sportinq never behind	50.0%	54.7%	40.2%	1.36×	1.83
Zaqatala never behind	28.3%	31.4%	49.6%	0.63×	3.18

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.9%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.1%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.4%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	42.6%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.9%	77.0%	70.6%	1.09×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	70.4%	72.4%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	57.0%	57.8%	48.5%	1.19×	1.73
Over 2.5 goals	43.0%	42.2%	51.5%	0.82×	2.37
Under 1.5 goals	29.6%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Over 3.5 goals	22.1%	23.0%	29.4%	0.78×	4.34
Under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.2%	7.3%	1.67×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.0%	6.3%	0.63×	25.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.2%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.1%	86.6%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.0%	72.1%	62.3%	1.16×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.2%	58.2%	67.1%	0.87×	1.72
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.8%	41.8%	32.9%	1.27×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.0%	27.9%	37.7%	0.74×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.9%	13.4%	17.2%	0.77×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.8%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.68
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.2%	91.9%	88.4%	1.04×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.8%	73.8%	66.3%	1.11×	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	65.1%	70.7%	0.92×	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.4%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.2%	26.2%	33.7%	0.78×	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.8%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.29

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.5%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	80.0%	82.3%	0.97×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	57.0%	50.2%	1.14×	1.75
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	43.0%	49.8%	0.86×	2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.0%	17.7%	1.13×	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.5%	22.5%	0.78×	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala not to score in both halves	86.1%	85.5%	70.5%	1.21×	1.17
Baku Sportinq not to score in both halves	74.3%	72.6%	77.6%	0.94×	1.38
Baku Sportinq to score in both halves	25.7%	27.4%	22.4%	1.22×	3.65
Zaqatala to score in both halves	13.9%	14.5%	29.5%	0.49×	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.1%	50.7%	52.4%	0.97×	1.97
Only Baku Sportinq scores	28.5%	25.4%	16.0%	1.59×	3.93
Only Zaqatala scores	13.1%	11.2%	24.4%	0.46×	8.94
Neither team scores	10.3%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.4%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	19.3%	17.6%	17.9%	0.98×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	12.5%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.14
Exactly 0 goals	10.3%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.0%	6.3%	0.64×	24.73

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.4%	36.9%	29.3%	1.26×	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	18.4%	18.8%	22.2%	0.85×	5.31
3+ goals in 1st half	7.8%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.29

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.6%	43.1%	49.8%	0.87×	2.32
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	34.3%	32.5%	1.06×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	24.8%	20.6%	17.7%	1.16×	4.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala not to win both halves	95.5%	97.3%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Baku Sportinq not to win both halves	86.5%	87.8%	91.8%	0.96×	1.14
Baku Sportinq to win both halves	13.5%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.17
Zaqatala to win both halves	4.5%	2.7%	13.2%	0.21×	36.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala to win neither half	62.8%	62.2%	41.7%	1.49×	1.61
Baku Sportinq to win either half	59.8%	58.2%	47.4%	1.23×	1.72
Baku Sportinq to win neither half	40.2%	41.8%	52.6%	0.79×	2.40
Zaqatala to win either half	37.2%	37.8%	58.3%	0.65×	2.64

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zaqatala not to win to nil	86.9%	87.9%	75.6%	1.16×	1.14
Baku Sportinq not to win to nil	71.5%	74.8%	84.0%	0.89×	1.34
Baku Sportinq to win to nil	28.5%	25.2%	16.0%	1.58×	3.97
Zaqatala to win to nil	13.1%	12.1%	24.4%	0.50×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.0%	27.3%	25.0%	1.09×	3.66
Baku Sportinq by 1	23.4%	23.4%	17.0%	1.37×	4.27
Zaqatala by 1	14.8%	11.8%	22.2%	0.53×	8.44
Baku Sportinq by 2	14.8%	11.8%	8.1%	1.46×	8.44
Baku Sportinq by 3+	9.5%	7.3%	5.4%	1.34×	13.76
Zaqatala by 2	6.3%	7.3%	12.3%	0.59×	13.77
Zaqatala by 3+	2.3%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.46