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Zbrojovka Brno v Artis Brno — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CZE-First League · 2627

CZE-First League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Zbrojovka Brno win
59.5%
model 62.1%
Draw
23.1%
model 22.8%
Artis Brno win
17.5%
model 15.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,309 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 11.3%
  2. 1-1 10.9%
  3. 1-0 10.6%
  4. 2-1 9.9%
  5. 3-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.554.2% Under 2.545.8%
BTTS yes51.1% BTTS no48.9%
Zbrojovka Brno 1+86.1% Zbrojovka Brno 2+58.6%
Artis Brno 1+58.4% Artis Brno 2+21.9%

Expected goals 1.97 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
20/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Zbrojovka Brno & over 1.5
1X2 & Over/Under · usually 34%
51.9% fair odds 1.93
strong signal · 3009 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Artis Brno (0:3)
Handicap 0:3 · usually 90%
84.4% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 2685 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • At home Zbrojovka Brno average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Zbrojovka Brno have only 1 matches on record.
  • Artis Brno have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Zbrojovka Brno have an estimated 59.5% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 17.5% for Artis Brno. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.97 for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.88 for Artis Brno.

Why Zbrojovka Brno

At home Zbrojovka Brno average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%.

Why Artis Brno can win

Away from home Artis Brno average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Zbrojovka Brno, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Artis Brno, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Zbrojovka Brno: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Artis Brno: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Zbrojovka Brno are the model's most likely outcome at 59.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.3%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTSOutcome
ai-blend 1.97–0.88 0% 0% 0% Home ✓
ai-blend-oos 1.95–0.92 0% 0% 0% Home ✓
dc-xg 2.03–0.81 2-0 12% 54% 49% Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to win 65.1% 65.8% 44.4% 1.48× 1.52
Draw 21.8% 24.6% 25.0% 0.98× 4.07
Artis Brno to win 13.1% 13.6% 30.6% 0.44× 7.35
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno & not both score 37.9% 32.9% 24.4% 1.35× 3.04
Zbrojovka Brno & both teams score 27.2% 25.5% 20.1% 1.27× 3.93
Draw & both teams score 15.1% 18.0% 17.7% 1.02× 5.55
Draw & not both score 6.7% 8.4% 7.3% 1.14× 11.97
Artis Brno & both teams score 6.7% 8.4% 14.6% 0.57× 11.97
Artis Brno & not both score 6.5% 8.4% 16.0% 0.52× 11.97
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno & over 1.5 54.0% 48.9% 34.1% 1.44× 2.04
Zbrojovka Brno & over 2.5 41.9% 40.0% 26.9% 1.49× 2.50
Zbrojovka Brno & under 3.5 41.0% 40.0% 30.3% 1.32× 2.50
Zbrojovka Brno & over 3.5 24.0% 21.6% 14.2% 1.53× 4.63
Zbrojovka Brno & under 2.5 23.1% 21.6% 17.5% 1.23× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 17.1% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.57
Draw & under 3.5 17.1% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.57
Draw & over 1.5 15.1% 18.0% 17.7% 1.02× 5.57
Zbrojovka Brno & under 1.5 11.1% 12.9% 10.4% 1.24× 7.78
Artis Brno & under 3.5 10.2% 12.9% 21.6% 0.60× 7.78
Artis Brno & over 1.5 9.2% 8.0% 23.1% 0.34× 12.57
Artis Brno & over 2.5 7.3% 8.0% 18.4% 0.43× 12.57
Draw & under 1.5 6.7% 8.0% 7.3% 1.09× 12.57
Artis Brno & under 2.5 5.8% 8.0% 12.2% 0.65× 12.57
Draw & over 2.5 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 0.78× 20.57
Draw & over 3.5 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 0.78× 20.57
Artis Brno & under 1.5 3.9% 4.9% 7.5% 0.65× 20.58
Artis Brno & over 3.5 2.9% 4.9% 9.0% 0.54× 20.58
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (1UP) 75.8% 78.6% 59.8% 1.31× 1.27
Artis Brno (1UP) 29.9% 27.4% 50.4% 0.54× 3.66
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (2UP) 65.1% 68.3% 45.2% 1.51× 1.46
Artis Brno (2UP) 13.1% 13.4% 34.2% 0.39× 7.44
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to win 2nd half 52.4% 52.3% 37.7% 1.39× 1.91
2nd half drawn 32.4% 34.5% 32.7% 1.05× 2.90
Artis Brno to win 2nd half 15.2% 18.8% 29.7% 0.63× 5.31
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno under 1.5 in 2nd half 91.4% 92.0% 82.3% 1.12× 1.09
Artis Brno under 0.5 in 2nd half 61.6% 59.0% 46.6% 1.27× 1.70
Artis Brno over 0.5 in 2nd half 38.4% 41.0% 53.4% 0.77× 2.44
Artis Brno over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.6% 8.0% 17.7% 0.45× 12.47
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno over 0.5 in 2nd half 68.6% 71.2% 58.7% 1.21× 1.41
Zbrojovka Brno under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.8% 71.1% 77.4% 0.92× 1.41
Zbrojovka Brno over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.2% 28.9% 22.6% 1.28× 3.46
Zbrojovka Brno under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.4% 28.8% 41.4% 0.70× 3.47
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (+0.5) 86.9% 88.3% 69.4% 1.27× 1.13
Artis Brno (+2.5) 79.0% 78.4% 90.1% 0.87× 1.28
Zbrojovka Brno (-0.5) 65.1% 68.7% 44.4% 1.55× 1.46
Artis Brno (+1.5) 58.8% 57.0% 77.7% 0.73× 1.76
Zbrojovka Brno (-1.5) 41.2% 43.0% 22.3% 1.93× 2.32
Artis Brno (+0.5) 34.9% 31.3% 55.6% 0.56× 3.19
Zbrojovka Brno (-2.5) 21.0% 21.6% 9.9% 2.18× 4.62
Artis Brno (-0.5) 13.1% 11.7% 30.6% 0.38× 8.58
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno to concede 86.9% 86.2% 76.7% 1.12× 1.16
Artis Brno clean sheet 13.1% 13.8% 23.3% 0.59× 7.27
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno to concede in 1st half 58.3% 58.5% 48.2% 1.21× 1.71
Artis Brno clean sheet in 1st half 41.7% 41.5% 51.8% 0.80× 2.41
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno to concede in 2nd half 68.6% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
Artis Brno clean sheet in 2nd half 31.4% 33.3% 41.4% 0.81× 3.00
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno under 3.5 goals 99.1% 97.4% 95.7% 1.02× 1.03
Artis Brno under 2.5 goals 95.1% 97.4% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
Artis Brno under 1.5 goals 80.6% 81.2% 66.3% 1.23× 1.23
Artis Brno over 0.5 goals 55.4% 58.9% 68.3% 0.86× 1.70
Artis Brno under 0.5 goals 44.6% 41.1% 31.7% 1.30× 2.43
Artis Brno over 1.5 goals 19.4% 18.8% 33.7% 0.56× 5.33
Artis Brno over 2.5 goals 4.9% 2.6% 13.0% 0.20× 38.76
Artis Brno over 3.5 goals 0.9% 2.6% 4.3% 0.59× 38.94
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno under 1.5 in 1st half 95.8% 95.7% 89.4% 1.07× 1.05
Artis Brno under 0.5 in 1st half 72.4% 68.5% 59.0% 1.16× 1.46
Artis Brno over 0.5 in 1st half 27.6% 31.5% 41.0% 0.77× 3.18
Artis Brno over 1.5 in 1st half 4.2% 4.3% 10.6% 0.41× 23.10
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno scores equally in both 51.8% 50.1% 40.6% 1.24× 2.00
Artis Brno scores more in 2nd half 29.9% 26.2% 36.5% 0.72× 3.81
Artis Brno scores more in 1st half 18.3% 18.0% 22.9% 0.78× 5.57
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (away no bet) 74.9% 68.5% 64.0% 1.07× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 25.1% 31.5% 36.0% 0.87× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno even goals 59.9% 56.9% 55.7% 1.02× 1.76
Artis Brno odd goals 40.1% 43.1% 44.3% 0.97× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.6% 83.0% 82.7% 1.00× 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.4% 17.0% 17.3% 0.98× 5.89
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.5% 68.4% 66.2% 1.03× 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.5% 31.6% 33.8% 0.93× 3.17
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.6% 59.9% 58.6% 1.02× 1.67
Zbrojovka Brno to score 2+ in a row 53.7% 51.4% 36.9% 1.39× 1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row 27.7% 25.1% 22.9% 1.09× 3.99
Zbrojovka Brno to score 3+ in a row 25.7% 25.0% 14.2% 1.76× 4.00
Artis Brno to score 2+ in a row 12.6% 12.2% 28.6% 0.42× 8.23
Artis Brno to score 3+ in a row 2.2% 2.5% 9.1% 0.28× 39.27
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-0 12.1% 11.4% 7.2% 1.59× 8.80
1-0 11.1% 11.4% 10.4% 1.10× 8.80
1-1 10.4% 11.4% 11.5% 0.99× 8.80
2-1 9.7% 7.4% 8.8% 0.84× 13.52
0-0 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.53
3-0 8.2% 7.4% 3.9% 1.89× 13.53
3-1 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.77× 13.53
Any other score 5.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.81× 13.53
0-1 3.9% 1.7% 7.5% 0.23× 57.66
0-2 1.9% 1.7% 4.7% 0.37× 57.67
0-3 0.5% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 57.68
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.95× 57.68
1-2 3.9% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.66
1-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.8% 0.63× 57.67
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.71× 57.68
2-2 3.9% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 57.66
2-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 57.67
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 2.92× 57.68
3-2 2.7% 1.7% 2.6% 0.67× 57.67
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.0% 1.74× 57.68
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.70× 57.68
4-0 4.2% 1.7% 1.8% 0.99× 57.66
4-1 3.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.04× 57.66
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.90× 57.67
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.4% 4.68× 57.68
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 16.37× 57.68
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (2nd half DNB) 77.5% 79.3% 55.9% 1.42× 1.26
Artis Brno (2nd half DNB) 22.5% 20.7% 44.1% 0.47× 4.83
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno leading at HT (DNB) 78.5% 78.0% 56.7% 1.38× 1.28
Artis Brno leading at HT (DNB) 21.5% 22.0% 43.3% 0.51× 4.54
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X) 86.9% 86.4% 69.4% 1.24× 1.16
Zbrojovka Brno or Artis Brno (12) 78.2% 75.4% 75.0% 1.01× 1.33
Artis Brno or draw (X2) 34.9% 34.2% 55.6% 0.61× 2.93
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno or draw at HT 87.0% 88.1% 74.1% 1.19× 1.14
Zbrojovka Brno or Artis Brno at HT 60.4% 62.0% 59.7% 1.04× 1.61
Artis Brno or draw at HT 52.6% 47.7% 66.2% 0.72× 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1UP) 86.9% 91.7% 74.2% 1.24× 1.09
Artis Brno or draw (1UP) 34.9% 39.3% 63.9% 0.61× 2.55
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno or draw in 2nd half 84.8% 81.2% 70.3% 1.15× 1.23
Zbrojovka Brno or Artis Brno in 2nd half 67.6% 65.5% 67.3% 0.97× 1.53
Artis Brno or draw in 2nd half 47.6% 47.7% 62.3% 0.76× 2.10
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.3% 58.0% 58.9% 0.99× 1.72
Neither half drawn 41.7% 42.0% 41.1% 1.02× 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (DNB) 83.2% 80.4% 59.2% 1.36× 1.24
Artis Brno (DNB) 16.8% 19.6% 40.8% 0.48× 5.10
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to score first 66.8% 69.2% 51.2% 1.35× 1.44
Artis Brno to score first 26.6% 28.1% 42.9% 0.65× 3.56
No goal scored 6.7% 7.5% 5.9% 1.27× 13.37
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.0% 51.6% 47.6% 1.08× 1.94
Both teams to score 49.0% 48.4% 52.4% 0.92× 2.07
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 38.6% 38.6% 40.9% 0.94× 2.59
Not both score & under 2.5 35.6% 38.6% 37.1% 1.04× 2.59
Not both score & over 2.5 15.4% 21.3% 10.6% 2.02× 4.69
Both score & under 2.5 10.4% 12.3% 11.5% 1.07× 8.16
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.3% 85.5% 86.0% 0.99× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.7% 14.5% 14.0% 1.04× 6.88
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.4% 74.1% 70.2% 1.06× 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.6% 25.9% 29.8% 0.87× 3.86
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.4% 66.3% 57.8% 1.15× 1.51
Both score 2nd half only 22.4% 20.8% 23.8% 0.88× 4.80
Both score 1st half only 12.0% 10.7% 12.5% 0.86× 9.33
Both score in both halves 4.2% 5.0% 6.0% 0.83× 19.87
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.8% 82.5% 81.5% 1.01× 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 16.2% 17.5% 18.5% 0.95× 5.71
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.7% 57.3% 58.9% 0.97× 1.75
A half without a goal 43.3% 42.7% 41.1% 1.04× 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.7% 46.9% 45.4% 1.03× 2.13
4-6 goals 29.1% 27.0% 27.0% 1.00× 3.71
0-1 goals 21.6% 23.0% 25.2% 0.91× 4.34
7+ goals 2.6% 1.9% 2.4% 0.76× 53.96
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno to score exactly 0 44.6% 37.2% 31.7% 1.18× 2.69
Artis Brno to score exactly 1 36.0% 35.8% 34.6% 1.03× 2.80
Artis Brno to score exactly 2 14.6% 13.0% 20.8% 0.63× 7.69
Artis Brno to score 3+ 4.9% 4.6% 13.0% 0.36× 21.64
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to score 3+ 33.2% 32.6% 19.7% 1.66× 3.06
Zbrojovka Brno to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.2% 24.0% 1.09× 3.82
Zbrojovka Brno to score exactly 1 26.6% 26.2% 33.1% 0.79× 3.82
Zbrojovka Brno to score exactly 0 13.1% 14.3% 23.3% 0.62× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno leading at HT 47.4% 52.3% 33.8% 1.55× 1.91
Draw at HT 39.6% 38.0% 40.3% 0.94× 2.63
Artis Brno leading at HT 13.0% 11.9% 25.9% 0.46× 8.41
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno -1: 1 41.2% 42.9% — — 2.33
Zbrojovka Brno -1: 2 34.9% 29.3% — — 3.42
Zbrojovka Brno -1: X 23.9% 23.7% — — 4.23
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (0:1) 41.2% 42.5% 22.3% 1.91× 2.35
Artis Brno (0:1) 34.9% 29.4% 55.6% 0.53× 3.40
Draw (0:1) 23.9% 24.4% 22.2% 1.10× 4.10
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno (0:2) 58.8% 63.5% 77.7% 0.82× 1.58
Zbrojovka Brno (0:2) 21.0% 20.0% 9.9% 2.01× 5.00
Draw (0:2) 20.2% 20.0% 12.3% 1.62× 5.01
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno (0:3) 79.0% 80.5% 90.1% 0.89× 1.24
Draw (0:3) 12.1% 10.0% 5.9% 1.70× 9.99
Zbrojovka Brno (0:3) 8.9% 5.9% 4.1% 1.46× 16.90
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno (0:4) 91.1% 94.4% 95.9% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 5.7% 4.8% 2.5% 1.89× 20.84
Zbrojovka Brno (0:4) 3.2% 1.2% 1.5% 0.81× 81.50
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (1:0) 86.9% 86.2% 69.4% 1.24× 1.16
Draw (1:0) 9.0% 7.0% 17.0% 0.41× 14.29
Artis Brno (1:0) 4.1% 3.5% 13.6% 0.26× 28.78
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno (2:0) 95.9% 96.5% 86.4% 1.12× 1.04
Draw (2:0) 3.2% 2.4% 8.1% 0.30× 41.38
Artis Brno (2:0) 0.9% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 41.50
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.1% 48.2% 48.6% 0.99× 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.3% 26.5% 26.3% 1.01× 3.77
Halves equal 25.6% 26.5% 25.2% 1.05× 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to concede 55.4% 60.6% 68.3% 0.89× 1.65
Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet 44.6% 39.4% 31.7% 1.24× 2.54
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet in 1st half 72.4% 68.0% 59.0% 1.15× 1.47
Zbrojovka Brno to concede in 1st half 27.6% 32.0% 41.0% 0.78× 3.13
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet in 2nd half 61.6% 58.8% 46.6% 1.26× 1.70
Zbrojovka Brno to concede in 2nd half 38.4% 41.2% 53.4% 0.77× 2.43
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno over 0.5 goals 86.9% 87.2% 76.7% 1.14× 1.15
Zbrojovka Brno under 3.5 goals 85.2% 87.2% 92.4% 0.94× 1.15
Zbrojovka Brno under 2.5 goals 66.8% 67.9% 80.3% 0.85× 1.47
Zbrojovka Brno over 1.5 goals 60.2% 63.3% 43.7% 1.45× 1.58
Zbrojovka Brno under 1.5 goals 39.8% 36.7% 56.3% 0.65× 2.72
Zbrojovka Brno over 2.5 goals 33.2% 32.1% 19.7% 1.63× 3.11
Zbrojovka Brno over 3.5 goals 14.8% 12.8% 7.6% 1.68× 7.81
Zbrojovka Brno under 0.5 goals 13.1% 12.8% 23.3% 0.55× 7.82
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno under 1.5 in 1st half 78.2% 77.2% 85.9% 0.90× 1.30
Zbrojovka Brno over 0.5 in 1st half 58.3% 58.2% 48.2% 1.21× 1.72
Zbrojovka Brno under 0.5 in 1st half 41.7% 41.8% 51.8% 0.81× 2.39
Zbrojovka Brno over 1.5 in 1st half 21.8% 22.8% 14.1% 1.61× 4.39
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno scores more in 2nd half 42.3% 42.4% 38.0% 1.12× 2.36
Zbrojovka Brno scores equally in both 30.1% 32.7% 37.1% 0.88× 3.05
Zbrojovka Brno scores more in 1st half 27.6% 28.0% 24.9% 1.12× 3.57
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 62.4% 59.9% 44.9% 1.33× 1.67
Artis Brno (home no bet) 37.6% 40.1% 55.1% 0.73× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno even goals 50.9% 50.4% 52.8% 0.96× 1.98
Zbrojovka Brno odd goals 49.1% 49.6% 47.2% 1.05× 2.02
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.4% 32.1% 29.3% 1.10× 3.11
HT 1-0 26.3% 28.8% 20.7% 1.39× 3.47
HT 2-0 11.5% 10.9% 7.1% 1.53× 9.16
HT 0-1 9.6% 7.1% 16.3% 0.44× 13.99
HT 1-1 8.7% 7.1% 10.2% 0.70× 14.00
Any other HT score 6.3% 7.1% 4.7% 1.51× 14.04
HT 2-1 3.7% 2.3% 3.3% 0.70× 43.43
HT 0-2 1.6% 2.3% 4.9% 0.47× 43.59
HT 1-2 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 0.83× 43.60
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.3% 0.9% 2.56× 43.66
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno at HT / Zbrojovka Brno at FT 42.0% 43.1% 25.8% 1.67× 2.32
Draw at HT / Zbrojovka Brno at FT 20.3% 21.7% 14.7% 1.48× 4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.8% 12.7% 14.1% 0.90× 7.89
Artis Brno at HT / Artis Brno at FT 6.5% 6.0% 17.4% 0.34× 16.69
Draw at HT / Artis Brno at FT 5.6% 6.0% 11.6% 0.52× 16.72
Zbrojovka Brno at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% 5.1% 0.68× 28.75
Artis Brno at HT / Draw at FT 3.8% 3.5% 5.6% 0.62× 28.77
Artis Brno at HT / Zbrojovka Brno at FT 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 1.20× 28.81
Zbrojovka Brno at HT / Artis Brno at FT 1.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.16× 28.88
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to score last 67.0% 70.1% 51.4% 1.36× 1.43
Artis Brno to score last 26.4% 26.9% 42.7% 0.63× 3.72
No goal scored 6.7% 7.5% 5.9% 1.27× 13.37
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.3% 92.6% 94.1% 0.98× 1.08
Zbrojovka Brno to lead by 1 at any time 75.8% 78.0% 59.8% 1.30× 1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 54.3% 50.8% 48.2% 1.05× 1.97
Zbrojovka Brno to lead by 2 at any time 47.1% 44.0% 28.2% 1.56× 2.28
Artis Brno to lead by 1 at any time 29.9% 25.6% 50.4% 0.51× 3.91
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 25.2% 25.4% 19.5% 1.31× 3.94
Zbrojovka Brno to lead by 3 at any time 23.7% 19.6% 12.1% 1.62× 5.10
Artis Brno to lead by 2 at any time 7.4% 6.6% 20.3% 0.33× 15.10
Artis Brno to lead by 3 at any time 1.5% 1.6% 7.4% 0.22× 62.92
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.5% 87.4% 86.4% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.5% 78.5% 78.0% 1.01× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.8% 78.5% 72.4% 1.08× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.5% 72.3% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.5% 63.2% 60.1% 1.05× 1.58
1-3 goals 61.7% 63.2% 63.3% 1.00× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.4% 53.4% 49.1% 1.09× 1.87
3-5 goals 47.1% 48.5% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.7% 48.5% 45.4% 1.07× 2.06
1-2 goals 39.4% 39.3% 41.2% 0.95× 2.55
3-4 goals 38.2% 39.3% 36.8% 1.07× 2.55
4-6 goals 29.1% 30.6% 27.0% 1.14× 3.27
4-5 goals 24.8% 24.8% 23.0% 1.08× 4.03
5-6 goals 13.3% 15.0% 12.3% 1.22× 6.65
7+ goals 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 1.06× 38.96
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno never behind 63.4% 67.7% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Artis Brno never behind 17.5% 18.6% 40.2% 0.46× 5.36
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.2% 51.0% 50.2% 1.02× 1.96
Even number of goals 51.8% 49.0% 49.8% 0.98× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.8% 51.7% 53.7% 0.96× 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.2% 48.3% 46.3% 1.04× 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.4% 52.0% 51.1% 1.02× 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.6% 48.0% 48.9% 0.98× 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.3% 92.2% 92.7% 0.99× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.2% 92.2% 93.7% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.2% 82.2% 85.3% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 78.4% 77.2% 74.8% 1.03× 1.30
Under 3.5 goals 68.3% 66.0% 70.6% 0.93× 1.52
Over 2.5 goals 54.0% 53.0% 51.5% 1.03× 1.89
Under 2.5 goals 46.0% 47.0% 48.5% 0.97× 2.13
Over 3.5 goals 31.7% 34.0% 29.4% 1.16× 2.94
Under 1.5 goals 21.6% 22.8% 25.2% 0.90× 4.39
Over 4.5 goals 15.8% 17.8% 14.7% 1.21× 5.61
Over 5.5 goals 6.8% 7.8% 6.3% 1.23× 12.84
Under 0.5 goals 6.7% 7.8% 7.3% 1.07× 12.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.3% 97.2% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.5% 92.4% 93.1% 0.99× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.2% 80.5% 82.8% 0.97× 1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 71.4% 72.2% 67.1% 1.08× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.2% 55.2% 62.3% 0.89× 1.81
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.8% 44.8% 37.7% 1.19× 2.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 28.6% 27.8% 32.9% 0.84× 3.60
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.8% 19.5% 17.2% 1.13× 5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.5% 7.6% 6.9% 1.10× 13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 1.13× 35.13
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.0% 89.0% 88.4% 1.01× 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.6% 69.1% 70.7% 0.98× 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.2% 69.0% 66.3% 1.04× 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.8% 31.0% 33.7% 0.92× 3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.4% 30.9% 29.3% 1.06× 3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.0% 11.0% 11.6% 0.95× 9.11
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.4% 82.7% 82.3% 1.01× 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.2% 79.7% 77.5% 1.03× 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 50.8% 53.3% 50.2% 1.06× 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.2% 46.7% 49.8% 0.94× 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.8% 20.3% 22.5% 0.90× 4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.6% 17.3% 17.7% 0.98× 5.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno not to score in both halves 89.4% 86.0% 77.6% 1.11× 1.16
Zbrojovka Brno not to score in both halves 60.0% 63.2% 70.5% 0.90× 1.58
Zbrojovka Brno to score in both halves 40.0% 36.8% 29.5% 1.25× 2.72
Artis Brno to score in both halves 10.6% 14.0% 22.4% 0.63× 7.12
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.0% 50.4% 52.4% 0.96× 1.98
Only Zbrojovka Brno scores 37.9% 39.8% 24.4% 1.63× 2.52
Neither team scores 6.7% 7.1% 7.3% 0.97× 14.06
Only Artis Brno scores 6.5% 7.1% 16.0% 0.45× 14.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.4% 22.4% 23.3% 0.96× 4.46
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.4% 22.1% 1.02× 4.46
Exactly 4 goals 15.8% 17.5% 14.7% 1.20× 5.70
Exactly 1 goals 15.0% 12.1% 17.9% 0.67× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 9.0% 7.8% 8.4% 0.93× 12.85
Exactly 0 goals 6.7% 7.8% 7.3% 1.07× 12.86
6 or more goals 6.8% 7.8% 6.3% 1.23× 12.86
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.9% 37.1% 37.0% 1.00× 2.70
No goals in 1st half 30.4% 35.8% 29.3% 1.22× 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 21.8% 21.7% 22.2% 0.98× 4.61
3+ goals in 1st half 12.0% 10.9% 11.6% 0.94× 9.19
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.2% 44.9% 49.8% 0.90× 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.2% 33.3% 32.5% 1.02× 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 19.6% 17.3% 17.7% 0.98× 5.78
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno not to win both halves 98.0% 97.3% 91.8% 1.06× 1.03
Zbrojovka Brno not to win both halves 75.0% 73.1% 86.8% 0.84× 1.37
Zbrojovka Brno to win both halves 25.0% 26.9% 13.2% 2.03× 3.72
Artis Brno to win both halves 2.0% 2.7% 8.2% 0.34× 36.41
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno to win either half 74.7% 73.1% 58.3% 1.25× 1.37
Artis Brno to win neither half 73.8% 73.0% 52.6% 1.39× 1.37
Artis Brno to win either half 26.2% 27.0% 47.4% 0.57× 3.70
Zbrojovka Brno to win neither half 25.3% 26.9% 41.7% 0.65× 3.71
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Artis Brno not to win to nil 93.5% 92.1% 84.0% 1.10× 1.09
Zbrojovka Brno not to win to nil 62.1% 66.9% 75.6% 0.88× 1.50
Zbrojovka Brno to win to nil 37.9% 33.2% 24.4% 1.36× 3.02
Artis Brno to win to nil 6.5% 7.9% 16.0% 0.49× 12.67
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zbrojovka Brno by 1 23.9% 24.2% 22.2% 1.09× 4.14
Draw 21.8% 24.2% 25.0% 0.97× 4.14
Zbrojovka Brno by 3+ 21.0% 24.2% 9.9% 2.43× 4.14
Zbrojovka Brno by 2 20.2% 24.2% 12.3% 1.96× 4.14
Artis Brno by 1 9.0% 7.3% 17.0% 0.43× 13.76
Artis Brno by 2 3.2% 2.8% 8.1% 0.35× 35.59
Artis Brno by 3+ 0.9% 2.8% 5.4% 0.52× 35.65
Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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