Zenit St Petersburg v CSKA Moscow — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627
RUS-Premier League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.52–0.69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.48–0.59 | 1-0 17% | 34% | 36% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg to win | 56.1% | 58.4% | 44.1% | 1.33× | 1.71 |
| Draw | 28.4% | 27.6% | 28.0% | 0.99× | 3.62 |
| CSKA Moscow to win | 15.5% | 19.1% | 28.2% | 0.68× | 5.25 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg & not both score | 38.1% | 37.4% | 25.5% | 1.46× | 2.68 |
| Zenit St Petersburg & both teams score | 18.0% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 0.95× | 5.63 |
| Draw & both teams score | 16.1% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 0.85× | 5.64 |
| Draw & not both score | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 1.65× | 8.23 |
| CSKA Moscow & not both score | 9.6% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 0.49× | 13.62 |
| CSKA Moscow & both teams score | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 0.54× | 13.71 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg & under 3.5 | 43.4% | 44.0% | 30.8% | 1.43× | 2.27 |
| Zenit St Petersburg & over 1.5 | 40.6% | 43.9% | 33.5% | 1.31× | 2.28 |
| Zenit St Petersburg & under 2.5 | 28.2% | 25.5% | 18.4% | 1.39× | 3.92 |
| Zenit St Petersburg & over 2.5 | 27.9% | 25.5% | 25.9% | 0.98× | 3.92 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 25.0% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 0.97× | 4.65 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 25.0% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 0.97× | 4.65 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 16.1% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 0.84× | 5.70 |
| Zenit St Petersburg & under 1.5 | 15.5% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 1.62× | 5.70 |
| CSKA Moscow & under 3.5 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 0.62× | 7.86 |
| Zenit St Petersburg & over 3.5 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 0.94× | 7.86 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.73× | 7.86 |
| CSKA Moscow & over 1.5 | 9.2% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 0.36× | 13.40 |
| CSKA Moscow & under 2.5 | 8.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 0.63× | 13.40 |
| CSKA Moscow & over 2.5 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 0.45× | 13.41 |
| CSKA Moscow & under 1.5 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 0.96× | 13.42 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 0.77× | 21.96 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 0.77× | 21.96 |
| CSKA Moscow & over 3.5 | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 0.59× | 22.02 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg (1UP) | 66.8% | 72.1% | — | — | 1.39 |
| CSKA Moscow (1UP) | 29.8% | 24.8% | — | — | 4.03 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg (2UP) | 56.1% | 61.1% | — | — | 1.64 |
| CSKA Moscow (2UP) | 15.5% | 22.7% | — | — | 4.41 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg to win 2nd half | 44.2% | 39.6% | — | — | 2.53 |
| 2nd half drawn | 39.6% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.66 |
| CSKA Moscow to win 2nd half | 16.2% | 20.0% | — | — | 4.99 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow (+2.5) | 87.5% | 89.0% | 89.6% | 0.99× | 1.12 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (+0.5) | 84.5% | 82.4% | 71.8% | 1.15× | 1.21 |
| CSKA Moscow (+1.5) | 69.7% | 69.0% | 77.3% | 0.89× | 1.45 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (-0.5) | 56.1% | 57.1% | 44.1% | 1.29× | 1.75 |
| CSKA Moscow (+0.5) | 43.9% | 42.9% | 55.9% | 0.77× | 2.33 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (-1.5) | 30.3% | 31.0% | 22.7% | 1.37× | 3.23 |
| CSKA Moscow (-0.5) | 15.5% | 17.6% | 28.2% | 0.63× | 5.67 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (-2.5) | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 1.06× | 9.08 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow to concede | 78.1% | 76.1% | 78.0% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| CSKA Moscow clean sheet | 21.9% | 23.9% | 22.0% | 1.08× | 4.18 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow clean sheet in 1st half | 52.0% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| CSKA Moscow to concede in 1st half | 48.0% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow under 3.5 goals | 99.5% | 97.4% | 96.9% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| CSKA Moscow under 2.5 goals | 96.8% | 97.3% | 88.8% | 1.10× | 1.03 |
| CSKA Moscow under 1.5 goals | 84.9% | 82.3% | 70.2% | 1.17× | 1.22 |
| CSKA Moscow under 0.5 goals | 50.4% | 51.8% | 32.7% | 1.59× | 1.93 |
| CSKA Moscow over 0.5 goals | 49.6% | 48.2% | 67.3% | 0.72× | 2.07 |
| CSKA Moscow over 1.5 goals | 15.1% | 17.7% | 29.8% | 0.59× | 5.66 |
| CSKA Moscow over 2.5 goals | 3.2% | 2.7% | 11.2% | 0.24× | 37.28 |
| CSKA Moscow over 3.5 goals | 0.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 0.86× | 37.99 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.9% | 96.2% | — | — | 1.04 |
| CSKA Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half | 76.0% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| CSKA Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half | 24.0% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.74 |
| CSKA Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.1% | 3.8% | — | — | 26.44 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg (away no bet) | 66.4% | 71.5% | 61.2% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 33.6% | 28.5% | 38.8% | 0.73× | 3.51 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow even goals | 62.7% | 64.6% | 53.3% | 1.21× | 1.55 |
| CSKA Moscow odd goals | 37.3% | 35.4% | 46.7% | 0.76× | 2.82 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 91.3% | 92.1% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 8.7% | 7.9% | — | — | 12.63 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 52.3% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 47.7% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 47.7% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to score 2+ in a row | 39.7% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 17.0% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.62 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to score 3+ in a row | 15.3% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.63 |
| CSKA Moscow to score 2+ in a row | 10.6% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.23 |
| CSKA Moscow to score 3+ in a row | 1.7% | 3.3% | — | — | 29.96 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 15.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 1.07× | 8.62 |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 0.77× | 8.63 |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 1.49× | 8.63 |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 1.58× | 8.63 |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 0.83× | 13.74 |
| 0-1 | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 0.94× | 13.75 |
| 3-0 | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.78× | 13.75 |
| 1-2 | 3.9% | 1.8% | 6.7% | 0.27× | 55.41 |
| 3-1 | 4.4% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 0.42× | 55.40 |
| 0-2 | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 0.42× | 55.44 |
| 2-2 | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 0.37× | 55.43 |
| 4-0 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.74× | 55.45 |
| 4-1 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.26× | 55.47 |
| Any other score | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 0.44× | 55.46 |
| 3-2 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.80× | 55.47 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.21× | 55.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.41× | 55.51 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 8.83× | 55.51 |
| 0-3 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.74× | 55.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.41× | 55.51 |
| 1-3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.74× | 55.49 |
| 1-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.77× | 55.50 |
| 2-3 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.68× | 55.49 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.21× | 55.51 |
| 3-3 | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.47× | 55.50 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.41× | 55.51 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg leading at HT (DNB) | 74.6% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| CSKA Moscow leading at HT (DNB) | 25.4% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg or draw (1X) | 84.5% | 80.9% | 71.8% | 1.13× | 1.24 |
| Zenit St Petersburg or CSKA Moscow (12) | 71.6% | 72.4% | 72.0% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| CSKA Moscow or draw (X2) | 43.9% | 41.6% | 55.9% | 0.74× | 2.41 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg or draw at HT | 86.6% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| CSKA Moscow or draw at HT | 60.7% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Zenit St Petersburg or CSKA Moscow at HT | 52.6% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg or draw (1UP) | 84.5% | 84.0% | — | — | 1.19 |
| CSKA Moscow or draw (1UP) | 43.9% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg or draw in 2nd half | 83.8% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Zenit St Petersburg or CSKA Moscow in 2nd half | 60.4% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| CSKA Moscow or draw in 2nd half | 55.8% | 60.4% | — | — | 1.66 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 66.9% | 66.1% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Neither half drawn | 33.1% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg (DNB) | 78.4% | 78.2% | 61.0% | 1.28× | 1.28 |
| CSKA Moscow (DNB) | 21.6% | 21.8% | 39.0% | 0.56× | 4.58 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg to score first | 60.5% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| CSKA Moscow to score first | 27.3% | 24.7% | — | — | 4.05 |
| No goal scored | 12.3% | 8.8% | — | — | 11.34 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 60.0% | 56.8% | 47.3% | 1.20× | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 40.0% | 43.2% | 52.7% | 0.82× | 2.32 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 49.4% | 45.4% | 37.1% | 1.22× | 2.20 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 27.3% | 31.5% | 37.8% | 0.83× | 3.18 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 0.78× | 8.52 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 1.12× | 8.55 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 93.2% | 89.0% | 86.9% | 1.02× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 0.84× | 9.07 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 80.0% | 76.8% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 20.0% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.30 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 70.5% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 17.7% | 18.2% | — | — | 5.50 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.25 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.3% | 4.8% | — | — | 21.00 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 88.3% | 85.6% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 11.7% | 14.4% | — | — | 6.94 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 55.8% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| A goal in each half | 44.2% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.8% | 45.9% | 48.0% | 0.96× | 2.18 |
| 0-1 goals | 34.1% | 31.7% | 25.5% | 1.24× | 3.16 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.4% | 20.7% | 25.3% | 0.82× | 4.83 |
| 7+ goals | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.18× | 52.05 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow to score exactly 0 | 50.4% | 49.7% | 32.7% | 1.52× | 2.01 |
| CSKA Moscow to score exactly 1 | 34.5% | 33.3% | 37.8% | 0.88× | 3.00 |
| CSKA Moscow to score exactly 2 | 11.8% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 0.71× | 7.48 |
| CSKA Moscow to score 3+ | 3.2% | 4.1% | 11.2% | 0.36× | 24.61 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg to score exactly 1 | 33.2% | 30.6% | 35.3% | 0.87× | 3.27 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to score exactly 2 | 25.3% | 27.0% | 24.3% | 1.11× | 3.70 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to score exactly 0 | 21.9% | 22.9% | 22.0% | 1.04× | 4.36 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to score 3+ | 19.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 0.99× | 5.39 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 47.4% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Zenit St Petersburg leading at HT | 39.3% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| CSKA Moscow leading at HT | 13.4% | 11.7% | — | — | 8.54 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg -1: 2 | 43.9% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Zenit St Petersburg -1: 1 | 30.3% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| Zenit St Petersburg -1: X | 25.9% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.70 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow (0:1) | 43.9% | 41.9% | 55.9% | 0.75× | 2.38 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (0:1) | 30.3% | 34.4% | 22.7% | 1.52× | 2.91 |
| Draw (0:1) | 25.9% | 26.2% | 21.6% | 1.21× | 3.81 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow (0:2) | 69.7% | 66.3% | 77.3% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| Draw (0:2) | 17.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 1.31× | 6.12 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (0:2) | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 1.13× | 8.52 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow (0:3) | 87.5% | 88.3% | 89.6% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Draw (0:3) | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.17× | 14.40 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (0:3) | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 0.50× | 42.69 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow (0:4) | 95.8% | 98.0% | 95.3% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.0% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 0.34× | 79.81 |
| Zenit St Petersburg (0:4) | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.01× | 80.75 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg (1:0) | 84.5% | 80.8% | 71.8% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Draw (1:0) | 11.0% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 0.69× | 8.53 |
| CSKA Moscow (1:0) | 4.5% | 3.1% | 11.4% | 0.27× | 32.35 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg (2:0) | 95.5% | 97.2% | 88.6% | 1.10× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 3.6% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 0.37× | 36.92 |
| CSKA Moscow (2:0) | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 0.62× | 37.59 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.5% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.02 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.2% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 30.4% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg clean sheet | 50.4% | 52.9% | 32.7% | 1.62× | 1.89 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to concede | 49.6% | 47.1% | 67.3% | 0.70× | 2.12 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg clean sheet in 1st half | 76.0% | 77.5% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to concede in 1st half | 24.0% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.45 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg under 3.5 goals | 93.2% | 92.1% | 92.7% | 0.99× | 1.09 |
| Zenit St Petersburg under 2.5 goals | 80.4% | 82.4% | 81.2% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Zenit St Petersburg over 0.5 goals | 78.1% | 76.8% | 78.0% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Zenit St Petersburg under 1.5 goals | 55.1% | 55.6% | 57.1% | 0.97× | 1.80 |
| Zenit St Petersburg over 1.5 goals | 44.9% | 44.4% | 42.9% | 1.04× | 2.25 |
| Zenit St Petersburg under 0.5 goals | 21.9% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 1.05× | 4.31 |
| Zenit St Petersburg over 2.5 goals | 19.6% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 0.94× | 5.67 |
| Zenit St Petersburg over 3.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.07× | 12.67 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.0% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Zenit St Petersburg under 0.5 in 1st half | 52.0% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Zenit St Petersburg over 0.5 in 1st half | 48.0% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Zenit St Petersburg over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.0% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.15 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 64.6% | 61.7% | 49.8% | 1.24× | 1.62 |
| CSKA Moscow (home no bet) | 35.4% | 38.3% | 50.2% | 0.76× | 2.61 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg even goals | 52.4% | 50.3% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.99 |
| Zenit St Petersburg odd goals | 47.6% | 49.7% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.01 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 39.7% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.73 |
| HT 1-0 | 25.6% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
| HT 0-1 | 10.6% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.95 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.4% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.99 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.3% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.00 |
| Any other HT score | 3.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.82 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.87 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.92 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.94 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.98 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg at HT / Zenit St Petersburg at FT | 34.0% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Draw at HT / Zenit St Petersburg at FT | 20.2% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.68 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 20.1% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.68 |
| CSKA Moscow at HT / CSKA Moscow at FT | 7.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.21 |
| Draw at HT / CSKA Moscow at FT | 7.1% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.22 |
| Zenit St Petersburg at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.33 |
| CSKA Moscow at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.35 |
| CSKA Moscow at HT / Zenit St Petersburg at FT | 2.0% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.43 |
| Zenit St Petersburg at HT / CSKA Moscow at FT | 0.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.47 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg to score last | 60.7% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| CSKA Moscow to score last | 27.0% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.17 |
| No goal scored | 12.3% | 8.8% | — | — | 11.34 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 87.7% | 91.4% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to lead by 1 at any time | 66.8% | 70.8% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 41.7% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to lead by 2 at any time | 34.7% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.11 |
| CSKA Moscow to lead by 1 at any time | 29.8% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.84 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 15.3% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.67 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to lead by 3 at any time | 14.0% | 11.4% | — | — | 8.81 |
| CSKA Moscow to lead by 2 at any time | 7.1% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.20 |
| CSKA Moscow to lead by 3 at any time | 1.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.81 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.2% | 87.8% | 87.6% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.4% | 81.5% | 79.6% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| 1-3 goals | 69.6% | 68.4% | 66.1% | 1.03× | 1.46 |
| 2-6 goals | 65.2% | 68.3% | 73.1% | 0.93× | 1.46 |
| 2-5 goals | 63.4% | 62.3% | 69.4% | 0.90× | 1.61 |
| 2-4 goals | 58.6% | 58.8% | 61.4% | 0.96× | 1.70 |
| 1-2 goals | 49.8% | 48.0% | 44.9% | 1.07× | 2.08 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.8% | 48.0% | 48.0% | 1.00× | 2.08 |
| 3-6 goals | 37.1% | 38.8% | 46.5% | 0.83× | 2.58 |
| 3-5 goals | 35.4% | 38.8% | 42.9% | 0.91× | 2.58 |
| 3-4 goals | 30.6% | 34.1% | 34.9% | 0.98× | 2.93 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.4% | 18.1% | 25.3% | 0.72× | 5.53 |
| 4-5 goals | 15.7% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 0.83× | 5.54 |
| 5-6 goals | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 0.74× | 11.40 |
| 7+ goals | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.23× | 49.99 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg never behind | 58.0% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| CSKA Moscow never behind | 21.0% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.20 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.9% | 50.1% | 48.8% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 53.1% | 49.9% | 51.2% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 58.2% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 41.8% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.7% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.3% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.5% | 95.7% | 94.7% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92.7% | 92.9% | 86.7% | 1.07× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 87.7% | 88.8% | 92.7% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81.8% | 81.0% | 73.3% | 1.10× | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.9% | 65.4% | 74.5% | 0.88× | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.1% | 61.5% | 52.0% | 1.18× | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.9% | 38.5% | 48.0% | 0.80× | 2.60 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34.1% | 34.6% | 25.5% | 1.35× | 2.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.2% | 19.0% | 26.7% | 0.71× | 5.25 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.53× | 8.90 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7.3% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 0.53× | 14.18 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 0.82× | 23.02 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.2% | 97.2% | 98.3% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 97.4% | 97.2% | 94.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 91.8% | 92.7% | 84.7% | 1.09× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 77.4% | 76.5% | 66.1% | 1.16× | 1.31 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 52.7% | 53.1% | 65.3% | 0.81× | 1.88 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 47.3% | 46.9% | 34.7% | 1.35× | 2.13 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 22.6% | 23.5% | 33.9% | 0.69× | 4.26 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 8.2% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 0.48× | 13.71 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 0.48× | 36.04 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.62× | 36.34 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 93.2% | 92.3% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 76.0% | 77.9% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 60.3% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 39.7% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.0% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.53 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 6.8% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.92 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 86.2% | 85.8% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 71.7% | 76.3% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 63.0% | 61.0% | — | — | 1.64 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 37.0% | 39.0% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 28.3% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.21 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 13.8% | 14.2% | — | — | 7.03 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow not to score in both halves | 91.9% | 90.2% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Zenit St Petersburg not to score in both halves | 72.2% | 70.4% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to score in both halves | 27.8% | 29.6% | — | — | 3.38 |
| CSKA Moscow to score in both halves | 8.1% | 9.8% | — | — | 10.16 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 40.0% | 45.4% | 52.7% | 0.86× | 2.20 |
| Only Zenit St Petersburg scores | 38.1% | 40.0% | 25.5% | 1.57× | 2.50 |
| Neither team scores | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 1.47× | 9.26 |
| Only CSKA Moscow scores | 9.6% | 6.7% | 14.9% | 0.45× | 14.95 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 28.0% | 24.8% | 26.7% | 0.93× | 4.04 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 21.8% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 1.17× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.7% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 0.87× | 5.38 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 12.3% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 1.68× | 8.09 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 0.90× | 8.10 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 0.54× | 22.80 |
| 6 or more goals | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 0.82× | 23.04 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 37.0% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 28.3% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow not to win both halves | 97.7% | 96.7% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Zenit St Petersburg not to win both halves | 82.4% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to win both halves | 17.6% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
| CSKA Moscow to win both halves | 2.3% | 3.3% | — | — | 30.31 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow to win neither half | 72.7% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to win either half | 65.8% | 67.1% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to win neither half | 34.2% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| CSKA Moscow to win either half | 27.3% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow not to win to nil | 90.4% | 92.2% | 85.1% | 1.08× | 1.08 |
| Zenit St Petersburg not to win to nil | 61.9% | 61.2% | 74.5% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| Zenit St Petersburg to win to nil | 38.1% | 38.8% | 25.5% | 1.52× | 2.58 |
| CSKA Moscow to win to nil | 9.6% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 0.52× | 12.85 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% | 28.0% | 28.0% | 1.00× | 3.57 |
| Zenit St Petersburg by 1 | 25.9% | 28.0% | 21.6% | 1.29× | 3.57 |
| Zenit St Petersburg by 2 | 17.8% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 1.36× | 5.89 |
| Zenit St Petersburg by 3+ | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 1.14× | 8.44 |
| CSKA Moscow by 1 | 11.0% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 0.70× | 8.45 |
| CSKA Moscow by 2 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 0.39× | 35.26 |
| CSKA Moscow by 3+ | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 0.65× | 35.66 |