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Zhejiang Professional FC v Shanghai Port — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 9 October 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Zhejiang Professional FC win
38.3%
model 36.6%
Draw
23.3%
model 24.3%
Shanghai Port win
38.3%
model 39.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.9%
  2. 1-2 8.5%
  3. 2-1 8.2%
  4. 2-2 6.6%
  5. 0-1 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.561.4% Under 2.538.6%
BTTS yes63.6% BTTS no36.4%
Zhejiang Professional FC 1+78.9% Zhejiang Professional FC 2+46.1%
Shanghai Port 1+80.1% Shanghai Port 2+48.0%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.62. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
21/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Shanghai Port carry the stronger rating, 1627 Elo against 1535.
  • Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Shanghai Port have an estimated 38.3% win probability, against 38.3% for Zhejiang Professional FC and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Zhejiang Professional FC and 1.62 for Shanghai Port.

Why Zhejiang Professional FC

Nothing in the data singles out Zhejiang Professional FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.56 to 1.62. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Shanghai Port can win

Shanghai Port carry the stronger rating, 1627 Elo against 1535. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Zhejiang Professional FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Shanghai Port, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Zhejiang Professional FC: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shanghai Port: 59% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Shanghai Port are the model's most likely outcome at 38.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.67–1.57 1-1 11% 63% 65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to win 40.2% 43.0% 46.0% 0.93× 2.33
Shanghai Port to win 35.8% 36.3% 28.0% 1.30× 2.75
Draw 24.0% 24.5% 26.2% 0.94× 4.08
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC & both teams score 23.6% 21.8% 23.0% 0.95× 4.58
Shanghai Port & both teams score 21.3% 21.8% 18.5% 1.18× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 19.7% 17.9% 22.1% 0.81× 5.58
Zhejiang Professional FC & not both score 16.6% 17.9% 23.2% 0.77× 5.58
Shanghai Port & not both score 14.5% 13.3% 9.8% 1.35× 7.54
Draw & not both score 4.3% 4.9% 4.3% 1.14× 20.34
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 1.5 34.0% 30.8% 36.4% 0.85× 3.24
Shanghai Port & over 1.5 30.0% 30.8% 23.7% 1.30× 3.24
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 2.5 28.5% 26.0% 29.4% 0.89× 3.84
Shanghai Port & over 2.5 25.2% 26.0% 21.0% 1.24× 3.84
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 3.5 23.3% 21.6% 27.3% 0.79× 4.63
Shanghai Port & under 3.5 21.2% 21.6% 15.9% 1.35× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.7% 18.0% 22.1% 0.81× 5.56
Zhejiang Professional FC & over 3.5 16.9% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.0% 12.9% 16.4% 0.79× 7.76
Draw & under 3.5 15.0% 12.9% 16.4% 0.79× 7.76
Shanghai Port & over 3.5 14.6% 12.9% 12.3% 1.05× 7.76
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 2.5 11.7% 12.9% 16.9% 0.76× 7.76
Shanghai Port & under 2.5 10.6% 12.9% 7.3% 1.77× 7.76
Draw & over 2.5 9.0% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.65
Draw & over 3.5 9.0% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.65
Zhejiang Professional FC & under 1.5 6.2% 7.9% 9.8% 0.81× 12.65
Shanghai Port & under 1.5 5.8% 7.9% 4.6% 1.74× 12.65
Draw & under 1.5 4.3% 4.8% 4.3% 1.11× 20.85
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (1UP) 59.1% 58.2% 1.72
Shanghai Port (1UP) 55.5% 58.0% 1.73
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (2UP) 40.2% 47.5% 2.11
Shanghai Port (2UP) 35.8% 37.0% 2.70
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to win 2nd half 34.2% 34.5% 2.90
Shanghai Port to win 2nd half 33.6% 34.5% 2.90
2nd half drawn 32.2% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port (+2.5) 91.4% 92.1% 89.3% 1.03× 1.09
Shanghai Port (+1.5) 79.3% 78.4% 74.7% 1.05× 1.28
Zhejiang Professional FC (+0.5) 64.2% 62.9% 72.0% 0.87× 1.59
Shanghai Port (+0.5) 59.8% 57.0% 54.0% 1.06× 1.75
Zhejiang Professional FC (-0.5) 40.2% 43.0% 46.0% 0.93× 2.33
Shanghai Port (-0.5) 35.8% 37.1% 28.0% 1.32× 2.70
Zhejiang Professional FC (-1.5) 20.7% 21.6% 25.3% 0.85× 4.63
Zhejiang Professional FC (-2.5) 8.6% 7.9% 10.7% 0.74× 12.58
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port to concede 81.2% 81.3% 86.1% 0.94× 1.23
Shanghai Port clean sheet 18.8% 18.7% 13.9% 1.35× 5.34
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port clean sheet in 1st half 48.8% 50.8% 1.97
Shanghai Port to concede in 1st half 51.2% 49.2% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port under 6.5 corners 83.0% 81.4% 1.23
Shanghai Port over 2.5 corners 75.2% 76.0% 1.32
Shanghai Port under 5.5 corners 72.6% 71.6% 1.40
Shanghai Port under 4.5 corners 58.6% 57.1% 1.75
Shanghai Port over 3.5 corners 58.1% 57.1% 1.75
Shanghai Port under 3.5 corners 41.9% 42.9% 2.33
Shanghai Port over 4.5 corners 41.4% 42.9% 2.33
Shanghai Port over 5.5 corners 27.4% 28.4% 3.52
Shanghai Port under 2.5 corners 24.8% 24.0% 4.16
Shanghai Port over 6.5 corners 17.0% 18.6% 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port under 3.5 goals 92.6% 92.3% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Shanghai Port over 0.5 goals 79.1% 76.3% 72.7% 1.05× 1.31
Shanghai Port under 2.5 goals 79.2% 76.3% 83.1% 0.92× 1.31
Shanghai Port under 1.5 goals 53.6% 53.8% 60.8% 0.88× 1.86
Shanghai Port over 1.5 goals 46.4% 46.2% 39.2% 1.18× 2.16
Shanghai Port under 0.5 goals 20.9% 23.7% 27.3% 0.87× 4.21
Shanghai Port over 2.5 goals 20.8% 23.7% 16.9% 1.41× 4.21
Shanghai Port over 3.5 goals 7.4% 7.7% 7.1% 1.09× 13.01
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port under 1.5 in 1st half 86.9% 88.9% 1.12
Shanghai Port under 0.5 in 1st half 53.4% 55.8% 1.79
Shanghai Port over 0.5 in 1st half 46.6% 44.2% 2.26
Shanghai Port over 1.5 in 1st half 13.1% 11.1% 9.05
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (away no bet) 62.6% 62.0% 63.7% 0.97× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 37.4% 38.0% 36.3% 1.05× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port even goals 52.2% 52.8% 54.7% 0.97× 1.89
Shanghai Port odd goals 47.8% 47.2% 45.3% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 78.1% 82.1% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 21.9% 17.9% 5.57
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 73.5% 67.4% 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 26.5% 32.6% 3.07
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 64.3% 60.0% 1.67
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 2+ in a row 38.9% 36.6% 2.73
Shanghai Port to score 2+ in a row 35.4% 36.4% 2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row 25.2% 25.0% 4.00
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 3+ in a row 13.9% 12.2% 8.20
Shanghai Port to score 3+ in a row 11.8% 12.1% 8.24
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+3.5) 87.8% 84.5% 1.18
Shanghai Port corners (+3.5) 80.9% 79.8% 1.25
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+2.5) 81.0% 79.8% 1.25
Shanghai Port corners (+2.5) 72.3% 70.7% 1.41
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (+1.5) 72.1% 70.7% 1.41
Shanghai Port corners (+1.5) 61.8% 61.8% 1.62
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-1.5) 38.2% 38.2% 2.62
Shanghai Port corners (-1.5) 27.9% 29.3% 3.42
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-2.5) 27.7% 29.3% 3.42
Zhejiang Professional FC corners (-3.5) 19.1% 20.2% 4.95
Shanghai Port corners (-2.5) 19.0% 20.2% 4.95
Shanghai Port corners (-3.5) 12.2% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.2% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 23.0% 25.6% 3.91
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.8% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 77.0% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.5% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 64.3% 63.3% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 58.4% 57.9% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.8% 53.2% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.2% 46.8% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 41.6% 42.1% 2.38
Under 7.5 corners 35.7% 36.7% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 31.5% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 23.0% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 16.2% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.7% 11.4% 12.3% 0.93× 8.74
2-1 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.50
1-2 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.50
2-2 6.7% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.50
0-1 5.8% 7.4% 4.6% 1.63× 13.50
1-0 6.2% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.50
2-0 5.5% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.50
0-2 4.8% 1.7% 3.0% 0.58× 58.29
3-1 4.8% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.29
Any other score 4.9% 1.7% 4.8% 0.36× 58.29
0-0 4.3% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.29
0-3 2.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.30
0-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.51× 58.31
1-3 4.2% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.30
1-4 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.51× 58.31
2-3 3.5% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.30
2-4 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.25× 58.31
3-0 3.0% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.30
3-2 3.7% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.30
3-3 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 58.31
3-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.31
4-0 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.31
4-1 2.0% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.31
4-2 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.31
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.51× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.32
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC leading at HT (DNB) 54.6% 56.3% 1.78
Shanghai Port leading at HT (DNB) 45.4% 43.7% 2.29
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or Shanghai Port (12) 76.0% 75.5% 73.8% 1.02× 1.33
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw (1X) 64.2% 63.7% 72.0% 0.88× 1.57
Shanghai Port or draw (X2) 59.8% 57.0% 54.0% 1.06× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw at HT 72.4% 74.3% 1.35
Shanghai Port or draw at HT 66.9% 66.3% 1.51
Zhejiang Professional FC or Shanghai Port at HT 60.7% 62.0% 1.61
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw (1UP) 64.2% 71.8% 1.39
Shanghai Port or draw (1UP) 59.8% 62.9% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC or Shanghai Port in 2nd half 67.8% 65.5% 1.53
Zhejiang Professional FC or draw in 2nd half 66.4% 65.5% 1.53
Shanghai Port or draw in 2nd half 65.8% 65.5% 1.53
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.4% 58.0% 1.72
Neither half drawn 41.6% 42.0% 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (DNB) 52.9% 50.9% 62.2% 0.82× 1.97
Shanghai Port (DNB) 47.1% 49.1% 37.8% 1.30× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score first 49.4% 45.7% 2.19
Shanghai Port to score first 46.3% 45.5% 2.20
No goal scored 4.3% 4.3% 23.24
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 64.6% 56.6% 63.1% 0.90× 1.77
Not both teams to score 35.4% 43.4% 36.9% 1.18× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 53.9% 47.1% 51.0% 0.92× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 26.6% 33.5% 28.0% 1.20× 2.98
Both score & under 2.5 10.7% 12.3% 12.3% 1.00× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 8.8% 8.3% 9.1% 0.92× 11.99
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 76.9% 79.8% 78.4% 1.02× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 23.1% 20.2% 21.6% 0.93× 4.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 62.5% 65.9% 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 37.5% 34.1% 2.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 47.5% 53.3% 1.88
Both score 2nd half only 28.6% 26.6% 3.75
Both score 1st half only 15.0% 10.8% 9.28
Both score in both halves 8.9% 6.8% 14.69
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 76.1% 81.4% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 23.9% 18.6% 5.37
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 63.0% 58.8% 1.70
A half without a goal 37.0% 41.2% 2.43
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.2% 42.1% 41.2% 1.02× 2.38
4-6 goals 35.9% 35.1% 36.9% 0.95× 2.85
0-1 goals 16.3% 20.3% 18.2% 1.11× 4.93
7+ goals 4.7% 1.8% 4.1% 0.45× 54.41
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port to score exactly 1 32.7% 33.7% 33.7% 1.00× 2.96
Shanghai Port to score exactly 2 25.6% 27.4% 22.6% 1.21× 3.65
Shanghai Port to score exactly 0 20.9% 22.4% 27.3% 0.82× 4.47
Shanghai Port to score 3+ 20.8% 22.4% 16.9% 1.33× 4.47
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 1 31.5% 32.6% 34.2% 0.95× 3.07
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 2 26.2% 26.5% 26.2% 1.01× 3.77
Zhejiang Professional FC to score 3+ 23.5% 23.2% 26.2% 0.89× 4.31
Zhejiang Professional FC to score exactly 0 18.8% 18.9% 13.9% 1.36× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 39.3% 38.0% 2.63
Zhejiang Professional FC leading at HT 33.1% 33.7% 2.97
Shanghai Port leading at HT 27.6% 25.7% 3.89
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC -1: 2 59.8% 56.7% 1.76
Zhejiang Professional FC -1: 1 20.7% 23.6% 4.24
Zhejiang Professional FC -1: X 19.5% 17.4% 5.73
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port (0:1) 59.8% 55.8% 54.0% 1.03× 1.79
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:1) 20.7% 24.3% 25.3% 0.96× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 19.5% 17.8% 21.0% 0.85× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port (0:2) 79.3% 79.4% 74.7% 1.06× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.1% 10.9% 14.8% 0.74× 9.17
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:2) 8.6% 7.7% 10.7% 0.72× 12.96
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port (0:3) 91.4% 92.6% 89.3% 1.04× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.6% 5.8% 5.9% 0.98× 17.31
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:3) 3.0% 2.4% 5.0% 0.47× 42.10
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port (0:4) 97.0% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.1% 1.2% 3.9% 0.31× 83.51
Zhejiang Professional FC (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 83.65
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (1:0) 64.2% 65.2% 72.0% 0.91× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 18.2% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.88
Shanghai Port (1:0) 17.6% 17.0% 11.8% 1.43× 5.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC (2:0) 82.4% 84.6% 88.2% 0.96× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.7% 10.4% 7.1% 1.47× 9.63
Shanghai Port (2:0) 6.9% 6.5% 5.0% 1.29× 15.50
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.0% 48.3% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 23.0% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to concede 79.1% 76.1% 72.7% 1.05× 1.31
Zhejiang Professional FC clean sheet 20.9% 23.9% 27.3% 0.87× 4.18
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC clean sheet in 1st half 53.4% 55.8% 1.79
Zhejiang Professional FC to concede in 1st half 46.6% 44.2% 2.26
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC over 2.5 corners 80.6% 81.0% 1.24
Zhejiang Professional FC under 6.5 corners 76.8% 76.6% 1.31
Zhejiang Professional FC over 3.5 corners 65.5% 66.7% 1.50
Zhejiang Professional FC under 5.5 corners 65.1% 66.7% 1.50
Zhejiang Professional FC under 4.5 corners 50.5% 52.6% 1.90
Zhejiang Professional FC over 4.5 corners 49.5% 47.4% 2.11
Zhejiang Professional FC over 5.5 corners 34.9% 33.3% 3.01
Zhejiang Professional FC under 3.5 corners 34.5% 33.3% 3.01
Zhejiang Professional FC over 6.5 corners 23.2% 23.4% 4.27
Zhejiang Professional FC under 2.5 corners 19.4% 19.0% 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC under 3.5 goals 91.1% 92.2% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Zhejiang Professional FC over 0.5 goals 81.2% 82.1% 86.1% 0.95× 1.22
Zhejiang Professional FC under 2.5 goals 76.5% 77.7% 73.8% 1.05× 1.29
Zhejiang Professional FC under 1.5 goals 50.3% 53.2% 47.8% 1.11× 1.88
Zhejiang Professional FC over 1.5 goals 49.7% 46.8% 52.2% 0.90× 2.14
Zhejiang Professional FC over 2.5 goals 23.5% 22.3% 26.2% 0.85× 4.49
Zhejiang Professional FC under 0.5 goals 18.8% 17.9% 13.9% 1.29× 5.58
Zhejiang Professional FC over 3.5 goals 8.9% 7.8% 10.5% 0.74× 12.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC under 1.5 in 1st half 83.8% 84.3% 1.19
Zhejiang Professional FC under 0.5 in 1st half 48.8% 50.9% 1.96
Zhejiang Professional FC over 0.5 in 1st half 51.2% 49.1% 2.04
Zhejiang Professional FC over 1.5 in 1st half 16.2% 15.7% 6.38
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port (home no bet) 59.9% 56.7% 51.7% 1.10× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 40.1% 43.3% 48.3% 0.90× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC even goals 51.8% 50.6% 48.3% 1.05× 1.98
Zhejiang Professional FC odd goals 48.2% 49.4% 51.7% 0.95× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 26.1% 28.8% 3.47
HT 1-0 18.6% 18.7% 5.36
HT 0-1 16.3% 18.6% 5.37
HT 1-1 11.8% 10.9% 9.16
HT 2-0 6.7% 7.1% 14.03
Any other HT score 6.1% 7.1% 14.04
HT 0-2 5.1% 7.1% 14.06
HT 2-1 4.2% 2.3% 43.39
HT 1-2 3.7% 2.3% 43.43
HT 2-2 1.3% 2.3% 43.61
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 24.2% 21.8% 4.59
Shanghai Port at HT / Shanghai Port at FT 19.7% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 13.2% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.1% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Shanghai Port at FT 13.0% 12.7% 7.89
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.71
Shanghai Port at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.73
Zhejiang Professional FC at HT / Shanghai Port at FT 3.1% 3.5% 28.80
Shanghai Port at HT / Zhejiang Professional FC at FT 2.8% 3.5% 28.81
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to score last 49.4% 46.8% 2.14
Shanghai Port to score last 46.3% 46.7% 2.14
No goal scored 4.3% 4.3% 23.24
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.7% 95.6% 1.05
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 1 at any time 59.1% 55.1% 1.81
Shanghai Port to lead by 1 at any time 55.5% 55.0% 1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.3% 50.8% 1.97
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 2 at any time 28.6% 25.5% 3.92
Shanghai Port to lead by 2 at any time 25.2% 25.4% 3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 20.7% 19.6% 5.12
Zhejiang Professional FC to lead by 3 at any time 11.3% 10.4% 9.58
Shanghai Port to lead by 3 at any time 9.4% 6.7% 15.01
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC most corners 49.8% 46.9% 2.13
Shanghai Port most corners 38.6% 39.2% 2.55
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% 9.60
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.8% 83.4% 84.7% 0.98× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.0% 78.6% 77.9% 1.01× 1.27
1-4 goals 73.1% 72.4% 74.7% 0.97× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.8% 72.4% 70.8% 1.02× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.1% 63.4% 60.8% 1.04× 1.58
3-6 goals 58.1% 59.1% 56.0% 1.05× 1.69
1-3 goals 55.2% 59.1% 55.1% 1.07× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.8% 53.1% 49.0% 1.09× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.2% 43.6% 41.2% 1.06× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.2% 43.6% 39.0% 1.12× 2.30
4-6 goals 35.9% 39.2% 36.9% 1.06× 2.55
1-2 goals 32.9% 35.3% 36.0% 0.98× 2.83
4-5 goals 29.6% 30.3% 29.8% 1.01× 3.30
5-6 goals 17.9% 18.7% 17.3% 1.08× 5.34
7+ goals 4.7% 2.6% 4.1% 0.62× 39.03
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC never behind 40.2% 48.1% 2.08
Shanghai Port never behind 36.6% 44.6% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.2% 50.9% 46.2% 1.10× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.8% 49.2% 53.8% 0.91× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.5% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.5% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.4% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.6% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.7% 95.4% 95.7% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 89.1% 87.6% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 83.7% 82.3% 81.8% 1.01× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 77.4% 77.4% 78.8% 0.98× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 62.8% 61.7% 59.9% 1.03× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 59.5% 58.7% 59.2% 0.99× 1.70
Over 3.5 goals 40.5% 41.3% 40.8% 1.01× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 37.2% 38.3% 40.1% 0.95× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 22.6% 22.6% 21.2% 1.07× 4.42
Under 1.5 goals 16.3% 17.7% 18.2% 0.97× 5.66
Over 5.5 goals 10.9% 12.4% 11.2% 1.11× 8.08
Under 0.5 goals 4.3% 4.6% 4.3% 1.05× 21.91
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.0% 97.2% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 87.6% 86.7% 87.6% 0.99× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 79.4% 75.9% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 72.5% 72.5% 73.7% 0.98× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 52.1% 51.9% 50.4% 1.03× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 47.9% 48.1% 49.6% 0.97× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 27.5% 27.5% 26.3% 1.04× 3.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 20.6% 24.1% 23.3% 1.03× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 12.4% 13.3% 12.4% 1.07× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.0% 2.8% 4.4% 0.63× 35.78
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 84.7% 86.4% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.9% 71.3% 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 61.1% 63.5% 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 38.9% 36.5% 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 26.1% 28.7% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 15.3% 13.6% 7.33
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.8% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 70.6% 77.6% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 56.5% 54.7% 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 43.5% 45.3% 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 29.4% 22.4% 4.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.2% 17.2% 5.82
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port not to score in both halves 71.6% 73.7% 1.36
Zhejiang Professional FC not to score in both halves 68.6% 70.6% 1.42
Zhejiang Professional FC to score in both halves 31.4% 29.4% 3.40
Shanghai Port to score in both halves 28.4% 26.3% 3.80
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 64.6% 60.3% 63.1% 0.96× 1.66
Only Zhejiang Professional FC scores 16.6% 16.0% 23.2% 0.69× 6.24
Only Shanghai Port scores 14.5% 11.0% 9.8% 1.12× 9.09
Neither team scores 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 1.08× 21.42
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.6% 19.4% 1.17× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.0% 22.6% 22.1% 1.02× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 18.0% 17.4% 19.8% 0.88× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 12.0% 12.1% 14.1% 0.86× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 11.6% 12.1% 10.3% 1.18× 8.28
6 or more goals 10.9% 12.1% 11.2% 1.08× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 4.3% 4.5% 4.3% 1.03× 22.41
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 56.5% 53.3% 1.88
1 goal in 2nd half 28.3% 29.8% 3.36
No goals in 2nd half 15.2% 17.1% 5.83
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port not to win both halves 90.7% 93.9% 1.07
Zhejiang Professional FC not to win both halves 88.6% 88.0% 1.14
Zhejiang Professional FC to win both halves 11.4% 12.0% 8.31
Shanghai Port to win both halves 9.3% 6.1% 16.46
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Zhejiang Professional FC to win either half 55.9% 59.4% 1.68
Shanghai Port to win either half 51.9% 54.9% 1.82
Shanghai Port to win neither half 48.1% 45.1% 2.22
Zhejiang Professional FC to win neither half 44.1% 40.6% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Shanghai Port not to win to nil 85.5% 88.1% 90.2% 0.98× 1.14
Zhejiang Professional FC not to win to nil 83.4% 83.1% 76.8% 1.08× 1.20
Zhejiang Professional FC to win to nil 16.6% 16.9% 23.2% 0.73× 5.91
Shanghai Port to win to nil 14.5% 11.9% 9.8% 1.21× 8.43
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.0% 24.2% 26.2% 0.92× 4.14
Zhejiang Professional FC by 1 19.5% 16.9% 21.0% 0.81× 5.90
Shanghai Port by 1 18.2% 16.9% 16.4% 1.03× 5.91
Zhejiang Professional FC by 2 12.1% 11.8% 14.8% 0.80× 8.49
Shanghai Port by 2 10.7% 11.8% 7.1% 1.67× 8.50
Zhejiang Professional FC by 3+ 8.6% 7.2% 10.7% 0.68× 13.80
Shanghai Port by 3+ 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 1.45× 13.81
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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