Zorya Luhansk v Dynamo Kyiv — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Zorya Luhansk

12:30 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 241h before kick-off

Zorya Luhansk win

28.3%

model 29.5%

Draw

28.3%

model 26.8%

Dynamo Kyiv win

43.4%

model 43.7%

282843

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
1-2 9.2%
2-1 7.4%
0-2 6.7%
2-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.6%	Under 2.5	40.4%
BTTS yes	62.9%	BTTS no	37.1%
Zorya Luhansk 1+	74.8%	Zorya Luhansk 2+	40.1%
Dynamo Kyiv 1+	81.9%	Dynamo Kyiv 2+	51.0%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Dynamo Kyiv over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 34%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 7105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Dynamo Kyiv under 1.5 in 1st half

Away goals O/U 1HT · usually 89%

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 363 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Dynamo Kyiv have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zorya Luhansk have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Dynamo Kyiv average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Zorya Luhansk have only 0 matches on record.
Dynamo Kyiv have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dynamo Kyiv have an estimated 43.4% win probability, against 28.3% for Zorya Luhansk and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Zorya Luhansk and 1.71 for Dynamo Kyiv.

Why Zorya Luhansk

Zorya Luhansk have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Dynamo Kyiv have allowed 1.35. At home Zorya Luhansk average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%.

Why Dynamo Kyiv can win

Dynamo Kyiv have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Zorya Luhansk have allowed 1.35. Away from home Dynamo Kyiv average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Zorya Luhansk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dynamo Kyiv, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Zorya Luhansk: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dynamo Kyiv: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dynamo Kyiv are the model's most likely outcome at 43.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292744	1.38–1.71	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	252450	1.43–2.04	1-1 10%	67%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to win	43.7%	41.6%	30.6%	1.36×	2.40
Zorya Luhansk to win	29.5%	27.1%	44.4%	0.61×	3.69
Draw	26.8%	27.1%	25.0%	1.09×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv & both teams score	24.7%	21.7%	14.6%	1.48×	4.61
Draw & both teams score	20.6%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61
Dynamo Kyiv & not both score	19.0%	18.1%	16.0%	1.14×	5.52
Zorya Luhansk & both teams score	17.6%	18.1%	20.1%	0.90×	5.52
Zorya Luhansk & not both score	11.9%	12.7%	24.4%	0.52×	7.88
Draw & not both score	6.2%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv & over 1.5	37.5%	36.6%	23.1%	1.58×	2.74
Dynamo Kyiv & over 2.5	30.9%	31.8%	18.4%	1.73×	3.15
Dynamo Kyiv & under 3.5	25.8%	26.4%	21.6%	1.22×	3.79
Zorya Luhansk & over 1.5	24.8%	21.8%	34.1%	0.64×	4.58
Zorya Luhansk & over 2.5	20.5%	21.8%	26.9%	0.81×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	20.6%	21.8%	17.7%	1.24×	4.58
Zorya Luhansk & under 3.5	18.4%	17.7%	30.3%	0.59×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	18.5%	17.7%	18.8%	0.94×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	18.5%	17.7%	18.8%	0.94×	5.64
Dynamo Kyiv & over 3.5	17.9%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.64
Dynamo Kyiv & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	12.2%	1.01×	8.06
Zorya Luhansk & over 3.5	11.1%	12.4%	14.2%	0.88×	8.06
Zorya Luhansk & under 2.5	9.0%	7.6%	17.5%	0.43×	13.20
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	8.3%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.20
Draw & over 3.5	8.3%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.20
Dynamo Kyiv & under 1.5	6.2%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.21
Zorya Luhansk & under 1.5	4.7%	4.4%	10.4%	0.42×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (1UP)	61.7%	65.1%	50.4%	1.29×	1.54
Zorya Luhansk (1UP)	49.6%	48.2%	59.8%	0.81×	2.07

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (2UP)	43.7%	44.3%	34.2%	1.30×	2.26
Zorya Luhansk (2UP)	29.5%	27.9%	45.2%	0.62×	3.59

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to win 2nd half	39.7%	36.5%	29.7%	1.23×	2.74
2nd half drawn	33.5%	32.9%	32.7%	1.01×	3.04
Zorya Luhansk to win 2nd half	26.7%	28.3%	37.7%	0.75×	3.53

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	74.7%	82.3%	0.91×	1.34
Dynamo Kyiv over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.1%	60.8%	53.4%	1.14×	1.65
Dynamo Kyiv under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.9%	39.2%	46.6%	0.84×	2.55
Dynamo Kyiv over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	25.3%	17.7%	1.43×	3.95

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	79.0%	77.4%	1.02×	1.27
Zorya Luhansk over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	54.2%	58.7%	0.92×	1.84
Zorya Luhansk under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	45.8%	41.4%	1.11×	2.19
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	21.0%	22.6%	0.93×	4.77

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (+2.5)	95.1%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Dynamo Kyiv (+1.5)	86.2%	87.4%	77.7%	1.12×	1.14
Dynamo Kyiv (+0.5)	70.5%	73.3%	55.6%	1.32×	1.36
Zorya Luhansk (+0.5)	56.3%	58.3%	69.4%	0.84×	1.71
Dynamo Kyiv (-0.5)	43.7%	41.7%	30.6%	1.36×	2.40
Zorya Luhansk (-0.5)	29.5%	26.7%	44.4%	0.60×	3.74
Zorya Luhansk (-1.5)	13.8%	12.6%	22.3%	0.57×	7.94
Zorya Luhansk (-2.5)	4.9%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.58

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to concede	74.8%	75.6%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet	25.2%	24.4%	23.3%	1.05×	4.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet in 1st half	55.3%	57.3%	51.8%	1.11×	1.75
Dynamo Kyiv to concede in 1st half	44.7%	42.7%	48.2%	0.89×	2.34

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to concede in 2nd half	54.4%	54.6%	58.7%	0.93×	1.83
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet in 2nd half	45.6%	45.4%	41.4%	1.10×	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv under 3.5 goals	90.6%	92.2%	95.7%	0.96×	1.09
Dynamo Kyiv over 0.5 goals	81.9%	82.5%	68.3%	1.21×	1.21
Dynamo Kyiv under 2.5 goals	75.5%	76.4%	87.0%	0.88×	1.31
Dynamo Kyiv over 1.5 goals	50.9%	52.9%	33.7%	1.57×	1.89
Dynamo Kyiv under 1.5 goals	49.1%	47.1%	66.3%	0.71×	2.13
Dynamo Kyiv over 2.5 goals	24.5%	23.6%	13.0%	1.82×	4.23
Dynamo Kyiv under 0.5 goals	18.1%	17.5%	31.7%	0.55×	5.71
Dynamo Kyiv over 3.5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	4.3%	1.81×	12.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv under 1.5 in 1st half	85.0%	83.4%	89.4%	0.93×	1.20
Dynamo Kyiv under 0.5 in 1st half	50.5%	54.9%	59.0%	0.93×	1.82
Dynamo Kyiv over 0.5 in 1st half	49.5%	45.1%	41.0%	1.10×	2.22
Dynamo Kyiv over 1.5 in 1st half	15.0%	16.6%	10.6%	1.57×	6.02

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv scores more in 2nd half	42.9%	42.2%	36.5%	1.15×	2.37
Dynamo Kyiv scores equally in both	33.2%	33.4%	40.6%	0.82×	3.00
Dynamo Kyiv scores more in 1st half	23.9%	23.6%	22.9%	1.03×	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (away no bet)	52.4%	52.4%	64.0%	0.82×	1.91
Draw (away no bet)	47.6%	47.6%	36.0%	1.32×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv even goals	51.6%	53.6%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
Dynamo Kyiv odd goals	48.4%	46.4%	44.3%	1.05×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.3%	82.3%	82.7%	0.99×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	17.3%	1.03×	5.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.7%	70.0%	66.2%	1.06×	1.43
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.3%	30.0%	33.8%	0.89×	3.33

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.1%	60.3%	58.6%	1.03×	1.66
Dynamo Kyiv to score 2+ in a row	41.1%	42.6%	28.6%	1.49×	2.35
Zorya Luhansk to score 2+ in a row	29.8%	26.8%	36.9%	0.73×	3.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.9%	21.8%	22.9%	0.95×	4.60
Dynamo Kyiv to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	17.0%	9.1%	1.86×	5.89
Zorya Luhansk to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	7.8%	14.2%	0.55×	12.90

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.45
0-1	6.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.45
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.45
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
1-3	5.2%	7.4%	2.8%	2.69×	13.45
2-1	7.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.45
0-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.34
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.34
1-0	4.7%	1.7%	10.4%	0.17×	58.34
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.34
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.34
2-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.34
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.34
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.34
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.34
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.34
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.35
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	4.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (2nd half DNB)	59.8%	56.0%	44.1%	1.27×	1.79
Zorya Luhansk (2nd half DNB)	40.2%	44.0%	55.9%	0.79×	2.27

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv leading at HT (DNB)	54.8%	54.9%	43.3%	1.27×	1.82
Zorya Luhansk leading at HT (DNB)	45.2%	45.1%	56.7%	0.80×	2.22

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk or Dynamo Kyiv (12)	73.2%	72.9%	75.0%	0.97×	1.37
Dynamo Kyiv or draw (X2)	70.5%	72.9%	55.6%	1.31×	1.37
Zorya Luhansk or draw (1X)	56.3%	58.4%	69.4%	0.84×	1.71

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv or draw at HT	73.3%	71.2%	66.2%	1.08×	1.40
Zorya Luhansk or draw at HT	67.7%	67.2%	74.1%	0.91×	1.49
Zorya Luhansk or Dynamo Kyiv at HT	59.0%	57.2%	59.7%	0.96×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv or draw (1UP)	70.5%	78.8%	63.9%	1.23×	1.27
Zorya Luhansk or draw (1UP)	56.3%	64.6%	74.2%	0.87×	1.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv or draw in 2nd half	73.3%	71.7%	62.3%	1.15×	1.40
Zorya Luhansk or Dynamo Kyiv in 2nd half	66.5%	67.1%	67.3%	1.00×	1.49
Zorya Luhansk or draw in 2nd half	60.3%	63.5%	70.3%	0.90×	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.9%	54.8%	58.9%	0.93×	1.83
Neither half drawn	41.1%	45.2%	41.1%	1.10×	2.21

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (DNB)	59.7%	57.0%	40.8%	1.40×	1.76
Zorya Luhansk (DNB)	40.3%	43.0%	59.2%	0.73×	2.33

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to score first	51.9%	52.3%	42.9%	1.22×	1.91
Zorya Luhansk to score first	41.9%	43.7%	51.2%	0.85×	2.29
No goal scored	6.2%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.72

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.9%	59.0%	52.4%	1.13×	1.70
Not both teams to score	37.1%	41.0%	47.6%	0.86×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.5%	48.5%	40.9%	1.19×	2.06
Not both score & under 2.5	28.0%	31.4%	37.1%	0.85×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.4%	10.6%	0.80×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.6%	80.1%	86.0%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.4%	19.9%	14.0%	1.42×	5.03

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.5%	64.0%	70.2%	0.91×	1.56
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.5%	36.0%	29.8%	1.21×	2.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.8%	50.1%	57.8%	0.87×	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	27.7%	25.9%	23.8%	1.09×	3.86
Both score 1st half only	14.7%	11.9%	12.5%	0.96×	8.39
Both score in both halves	7.7%	6.9%	6.0%	1.15×	14.45

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.6%	79.7%	81.5%	0.98×	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	22.4%	20.3%	18.5%	1.10×	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.1%	63.3%	58.9%	1.08×	1.58
A half without a goal	38.9%	36.7%	41.1%	0.89×	2.73

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.7%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
4-6 goals	33.4%	31.2%	27.0%	1.16×	3.21
0-1 goals	17.0%	19.1%	25.2%	0.76×	5.24
7+ goals	3.8%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.69

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to score exactly 1	30.9%	32.3%	34.6%	0.93×	3.09
Dynamo Kyiv to score exactly 2	26.4%	27.4%	20.8%	1.32×	3.65
Dynamo Kyiv to score 3+	24.5%	23.3%	13.0%	1.79×	4.30
Dynamo Kyiv to score exactly 0	18.1%	18.2%	31.7%	0.58×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to score exactly 1	34.7%	32.2%	33.1%	0.97×	3.10
Zorya Luhansk to score exactly 0	25.2%	26.4%	23.3%	1.14×	3.78
Zorya Luhansk to score exactly 2	24.0%	22.9%	24.0%	0.95×	4.38
Zorya Luhansk to score 3+	16.2%	18.1%	19.7%	0.92×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.0%	42.8%	40.3%	1.06×	2.34
Dynamo Kyiv leading at HT	32.3%	32.8%	25.9%	1.27×	3.05
Zorya Luhansk leading at HT	26.7%	28.8%	33.8%	0.85×	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv -1: 1	56.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Dynamo Kyiv -1: 2	24.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Dynamo Kyiv -1: X	19.8%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (0:1)	70.5%	72.4%	55.6%	1.30×	1.38
Draw (0:1)	15.6%	18.2%	22.2%	0.82×	5.49
Zorya Luhansk (0:1)	13.8%	13.1%	22.3%	0.59×	7.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (0:2)	86.2%	86.7%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	12.96
Zorya Luhansk (0:2)	4.9%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.43

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (0:3)	95.1%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.6%	5.9%	0.43×	39.16
Zorya Luhansk (0:3)	1.4%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (0:4)	98.6%	97.7%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.73
Zorya Luhansk (0:4)	0.4%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (1:0)	56.3%	58.8%	69.4%	0.85×	1.70
Dynamo Kyiv (1:0)	24.0%	22.1%	13.6%	1.63×	4.53
Draw (1:0)	19.8%	17.3%	17.0%	1.02×	5.77

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk (2:0)	76.0%	78.2%	86.4%	0.90×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	13.7%	11.6%	8.1%	1.42×	8.64
Dynamo Kyiv (2:0)	10.3%	11.6%	5.4%	2.13×	8.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.6%	48.3%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.82
Halves equal	25.4%	26.1%	25.2%	1.04×	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to concede	81.9%	82.7%	68.3%	1.21×	1.21
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet	18.1%	17.3%	31.7%	0.54×	5.79

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet in 1st half	50.5%	54.8%	59.0%	0.93×	1.83
Zorya Luhansk to concede in 1st half	49.5%	45.2%	41.0%	1.10×	2.21

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk to concede in 2nd half	64.1%	60.4%	53.4%	1.13×	1.66
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet in 2nd half	35.9%	39.6%	46.6%	0.85×	2.53

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.4%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Zorya Luhansk under 2.5 goals	83.8%	82.3%	80.3%	1.03×	1.22
Zorya Luhansk over 0.5 goals	74.8%	73.1%	76.7%	0.95×	1.37
Zorya Luhansk under 1.5 goals	59.9%	57.9%	56.3%	1.03×	1.73
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 goals	40.1%	42.1%	43.7%	0.96×	2.38
Zorya Luhansk under 0.5 goals	25.2%	26.9%	23.3%	1.16×	3.71
Zorya Luhansk over 2.5 goals	16.2%	17.7%	19.7%	0.90×	5.66
Zorya Luhansk over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	7.6%	1.01×	13.08

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk under 1.5 in 1st half	88.0%	87.7%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Zorya Luhansk under 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	57.4%	51.8%	1.11×	1.74
Zorya Luhansk over 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	42.6%	48.2%	0.88×	2.35
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 in 1st half	12.0%	12.3%	14.1%	0.87×	8.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk scores equally in both	38.4%	37.2%	37.1%	1.00×	2.69
Zorya Luhansk scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	37.1%	38.0%	0.98×	2.69
Zorya Luhansk scores more in 1st half	25.0%	23.2%	24.9%	0.93×	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv (home no bet)	62.0%	60.2%	55.1%	1.09×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	38.0%	39.8%	44.9%	0.88×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk even goals	53.2%	50.9%	52.8%	0.96×	1.96
Zorya Luhansk odd goals	46.8%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.2%	26.0%	29.3%	0.89×	3.85
HT 0-1	18.8%	19.9%	16.3%	1.22×	5.02
HT 1-0	16.3%	19.9%	20.7%	0.96×	5.03
HT 1-1	11.6%	10.9%	10.2%	1.07×	9.16
HT 0-2	6.5%	8.0%	4.9%	1.63×	12.55
Any other HT score	5.4%	8.0%	4.7%	1.69×	12.56
HT 2-0	4.9%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.36
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.41
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.43
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv at HT / Dynamo Kyiv at FT	25.0%	21.0%	17.4%	1.21×	4.77
Zorya Luhansk at HT / Zorya Luhansk at FT	17.2%	17.3%	25.8%	0.67×	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.6%	17.3%	14.1%	1.22×	5.78
Draw at HT / Dynamo Kyiv at FT	15.3%	17.3%	11.6%	1.50×	5.78
Draw at HT / Zorya Luhansk at FT	10.1%	12.0%	14.7%	0.82×	8.34
Zorya Luhansk at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.5%	5.1%	1.26×	15.50
Dynamo Kyiv at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.4%	5.6%	1.15×	15.51
Zorya Luhansk at HT / Dynamo Kyiv at FT	3.5%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.54
Dynamo Kyiv at HT / Zorya Luhansk at FT	2.1%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.58

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to score last	52.0%	54.8%	42.7%	1.28×	1.83
Zorya Luhansk to score last	41.8%	43.4%	51.4%	0.85×	2.30
No goal scored	6.2%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.72

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	93.6%	94.1%	0.99×	1.07
Dynamo Kyiv to lead by 1 at any time	61.7%	63.3%	50.4%	1.26×	1.58
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.7%	51.7%	48.2%	1.07×	1.93
Zorya Luhansk to lead by 1 at any time	49.6%	46.6%	59.8%	0.78×	2.15
Dynamo Kyiv to lead by 2 at any time	31.5%	31.6%	20.3%	1.56×	3.16
Zorya Luhansk to lead by 2 at any time	20.5%	21.3%	28.2%	0.76×	4.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	17.6%	19.5%	0.91×	5.67
Dynamo Kyiv to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	11.0%	7.4%	1.50×	9.06
Zorya Luhansk to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	7.4%	12.1%	0.61×	13.50

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	82.1%	86.4%	0.95×	1.22
2-6 goals	79.2%	77.9%	72.4%	1.08×	1.28
1-4 goals	73.9%	72.2%	78.0%	0.93×	1.39
2-5 goals	73.7%	72.2%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
2-4 goals	63.0%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	56.6%	58.9%	63.3%	0.93×	1.70
3-6 goals	55.8%	58.9%	49.0%	1.20×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.3%	52.9%	45.1%	1.17×	1.89
2-3 goals	45.7%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.0%	36.8%	1.06×	2.56
1-2 goals	34.2%	34.7%	41.2%	0.84×	2.88
4-6 goals	33.4%	34.7%	27.0%	1.29×	2.88
4-5 goals	28.0%	28.5%	23.0%	1.24×	3.51
5-6 goals	16.2%	18.9%	12.3%	1.53×	5.30
7+ goals	3.8%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv never behind	44.2%	47.2%	40.2%	1.18×	2.12
Zorya Luhansk never behind	32.1%	36.6%	49.6%	0.74×	2.73

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	53.3%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	46.7%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	53.7%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	46.3%	1.04×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	83.0%	81.6%	74.8%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	80.0%	81.6%	85.3%	0.96×	1.23
Under 3.5 goals	62.7%	62.0%	70.6%	0.88×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	59.6%	57.8%	51.5%	1.12×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	40.4%	42.2%	48.5%	0.87×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	37.3%	38.0%	29.4%	1.29×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	20.0%	18.4%	14.7%	1.25×	5.44
Under 1.5 goals	17.0%	18.4%	25.2%	0.73×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.6%	86.6%	93.1%	0.93×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.8%	76.0%	67.1%	1.13×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.9%	75.9%	82.8%	0.92×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.0%	52.0%	62.3%	0.83×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.0%	48.0%	37.7%	1.27×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.1%	24.1%	17.2%	1.39×	4.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.2%	24.0%	32.9%	0.73×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.4%	13.4%	6.9%	1.93×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.2%	88.3%	88.4%	1.00×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.8%	73.8%	70.7%	1.04×	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.2%	65.1%	66.3%	0.98×	1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.8%	34.9%	33.7%	1.03×	2.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.2%	26.2%	29.3%	0.90×	3.81
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.7%	11.6%	1.01×	8.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.5%	82.3%	1.00×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.8%	75.6%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	50.5%	50.2%	1.00×	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	49.6%	49.8%	1.00×	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.2%	24.4%	22.5%	1.08×	4.11
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.5%	17.7%	0.99×	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk not to score in both halves	75.6%	75.7%	70.5%	1.07×	1.32
Dynamo Kyiv not to score in both halves	68.2%	68.3%	77.6%	0.88×	1.46
Dynamo Kyiv to score in both halves	31.8%	31.7%	22.4%	1.41×	3.16
Zorya Luhansk to score in both halves	24.4%	24.3%	29.5%	0.82×	4.12

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.9%	61.2%	52.4%	1.17×	1.63
Only Dynamo Kyiv scores	19.0%	16.9%	16.0%	1.06×	5.93
Only Zorya Luhansk scores	11.9%	11.2%	24.4%	0.46×	8.94
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.4%	22.3%	23.3%	0.95×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	10.8%	12.3%	17.9%	0.69×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	10.7%	12.3%	8.4%	1.47×	8.15
6 or more goals	9.3%	7.8%	6.3%	1.22×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.1%	36.8%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
No goals in 1st half	28.2%	25.8%	29.3%	0.88×	3.88
2 goals in 1st half	23.0%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	13.8%	11.4%	11.6%	0.99×	8.75

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.6%	49.7%	49.8%	1.00×	2.01
1 goal in 2nd half	28.5%	27.2%	32.5%	0.83×	3.68
No goals in 2nd half	16.9%	16.4%	17.7%	0.93×	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk not to win both halves	92.6%	92.6%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Dynamo Kyiv not to win both halves	86.9%	87.8%	91.8%	0.96×	1.14
Dynamo Kyiv to win both halves	13.1%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.18
Zorya Luhansk to win both halves	7.4%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Kyiv to win either half	58.9%	58.2%	47.4%	1.23×	1.72
Zorya Luhansk to win neither half	53.9%	53.0%	41.7%	1.27×	1.89
Zorya Luhansk to win either half	46.1%	47.0%	58.3%	0.81×	2.13
Dynamo Kyiv to win neither half	41.1%	41.8%	52.6%	0.79×	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zorya Luhansk not to win to nil	88.1%	87.9%	75.6%	1.16×	1.14
Dynamo Kyiv not to win to nil	81.0%	82.9%	84.0%	0.99×	1.21
Dynamo Kyiv to win to nil	19.0%	17.1%	16.0%	1.07×	5.86
Zorya Luhansk to win to nil	11.9%	12.1%	24.4%	0.50×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.8%	27.3%	25.0%	1.09×	3.66
Dynamo Kyiv by 1	19.8%	17.2%	17.0%	1.01×	5.80
Zorya Luhansk by 1	15.6%	17.2%	22.2%	0.78×	5.80
Dynamo Kyiv by 2	13.7%	11.8%	8.1%	1.46×	8.44
Dynamo Kyiv by 3+	10.3%	11.8%	5.4%	2.18×	8.45
Zorya Luhansk by 2	8.9%	7.3%	12.3%	0.59×	13.77
Zorya Luhansk by 3+	4.9%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.43