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Colorado Avalanche v Winnipeg Jets — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 September 2026 · NHL · 2027

NHL results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Colorado Avalanche win
49.2%
Draw
21.5%
Winnipeg Jets win
29.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nhl-ai 3.48–2.19 2-2 7% 91% 87%
nhl-dc 3.48–2.19 3-2 6% 92% 86%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche to win 49.2% 46.2% 42.6% 1.09× 2.16
Winnipeg Jets to win 29.3% 27.2% 31.2% 0.87× 3.68
Draw 21.5% 24.4% 26.3% 0.93× 4.11
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche (1UP) 74.3% 77.2% 58.7% 1.32× 1.30
Winnipeg Jets (1UP) 58.4% 57.0% 49.3% 1.16× 1.76
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche (2UP) 49.2% 48.7% 44.5% 1.10× 2.05
Winnipeg Jets (2UP) 29.3% 25.7% 33.4% 0.77× 3.88
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets (+2.5) 77.0% 81.5% 90.3% 0.90× 1.23
Colorado Avalanche (+0.5) 70.7% 75.4% 68.8% 1.10× 1.33
Winnipeg Jets (+1.5) 64.4% 63.8% 78.1% 0.82× 1.57
Winnipeg Jets (+0.5) 50.8% 53.1% 57.4% 0.92× 1.88
Colorado Avalanche (-0.5) 49.2% 46.9% 42.6% 1.10× 2.13
Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) 35.6% 36.2% 21.9% 1.66× 2.76
Winnipeg Jets (-0.5) 29.3% 24.6% 31.2% 0.79× 4.07
Colorado Avalanche (-2.5) 23.0% 18.5% 9.7% 1.90× 5.41
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche (away no bet) 69.5% 63.9% 61.8% 1.03× 1.57
Draw (away no bet) 30.5% 36.1% 38.2% 0.95× 2.77
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals 56.4% 52.0% 16.9% 3.08× 1.92
Not both halves over 1.5 43.6% 48.0% 83.1% 0.58× 2.09
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 94.4% 95.2% 64.8% 1.47× 1.05
Both halves under 1.5 goals 5.6% 4.8% 35.2% 0.14× 20.90
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 87.1% 89.2% 57.4% 1.55× 1.12
Colorado Avalanche to score 2+ in a row 67.4% 61.7% 36.2% 1.70× 1.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row 50.4% 51.2% 22.4% 2.29× 1.95
Winnipeg Jets to score 2+ in a row 50.2% 51.2% 27.9% 1.83× 1.95
Colorado Avalanche to score 3+ in a row 35.9% 35.2% 13.9% 2.53× 2.84
Winnipeg Jets to score 3+ in a row 18.6% 15.9% 8.9% 1.79× 6.30
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 28.4% 27.1% 3.8% 7.16× 3.69
2-2 7.2% 7.5% 5.8% 1.29× 13.39
3-3 6.1% 7.5% 1.2% 6.19× 13.39
2-3 4.8% 1.7% 2.2% 0.79× 57.44
3-2 4.6% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 57.45
1-1 3.8% 1.7% 11.4% 0.15× 57.48
1-2 3.8% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.48
2-1 3.6% 1.7% 8.5% 0.21× 57.48
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 4.7% 0.37× 57.46
4-1 3.6% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 57.48
4-2 4.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 57.47
1-3 2.8% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 57.51
2-4 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.37× 57.51
3-4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.53× 57.50
4-3 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 57.50
4-4 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 8.83× 57.50
1-4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 57.54
2-0 1.7% 1.7% 6.5% 0.27× 57.54
3-0 1.9% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 57.53
4-0 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 57.54
0-0 0.5% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 57.58
0-1 1.0% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.56
0-2 1.1% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 57.56
0-3 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 57.57
0-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.60× 57.58
1-0 1.0% 1.7% 8.8% 0.20× 57.56
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche leading at HT (DNB) 63.2% 66.5% 56.8% 1.17× 1.50
Winnipeg Jets leading at HT (DNB) 36.8% 33.5% 43.2% 0.77× 2.99
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche or Winnipeg Jets (12) 78.5% 75.6% 73.7% 1.03× 1.32
Colorado Avalanche or draw (1X) 70.7% 72.8% 68.8% 1.06× 1.37
Winnipeg Jets or draw (X2) 50.8% 53.8% 57.4% 0.94× 1.86
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche or draw (1UP) 74.3% 80.2% 74.6% 1.07× 1.25
Winnipeg Jets or draw (1UP) 58.4% 63.2% 64.5% 0.98× 1.58
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche (DNB) 62.7% 64.8% 57.7% 1.12× 1.54
Winnipeg Jets (DNB) 37.3% 35.2% 42.3% 0.83× 2.84
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche to score first 61.1% 63.4% 50.2% 1.26× 1.58
Winnipeg Jets to score first 38.4% 32.2% 42.0% 0.77× 3.10
No goal scored 0.5% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.88
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 87.4% 87.4% 54.0% 1.62× 1.15
Not both teams to score 12.6% 12.6% 46.0% 0.27× 7.91
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 2+ 57.9% 58.9% 15.5% 3.79× 1.70
Not both teams to score 2+ 42.1% 41.1% 84.5% 0.49× 2.43
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half 63.8% 68.5% 29.1% 2.36× 1.46
Not both to score in 2nd half 36.2% 31.5% 70.9% 0.44× 3.17
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 54.0% 54.0% 82.0% 0.66× 1.85
Both teams to score by HT 46.0% 46.0% 18.0% 2.56× 2.18
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 48.9% 47.0% 29.1% 1.62× 2.13
7+ goals 32.0% 30.3% 2.4% 12.55× 3.31
2-3 goals 16.7% 20.8% 45.0% 0.46× 4.80
0-1 goals 2.4% 1.8% 23.6% 0.08× 54.66
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets to score 3+ 43.3% 39.2% 13.9% 2.82× 2.55
Winnipeg Jets to score exactly 2 26.3% 28.0% 22.3% 1.26× 3.57
Winnipeg Jets to score exactly 1 21.4% 21.6% 34.3% 0.63× 4.64
Winnipeg Jets to score exactly 0 9.0% 6.3% 29.6% 0.21× 15.98
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche to score 3+ 60.4% 61.8% 20.8% 2.97× 1.62
Colorado Avalanche to score exactly 2 21.7% 23.8% 23.6% 1.01× 4.19
Colorado Avalanche to score exactly 1 13.8% 12.0% 31.4% 0.38× 8.31
Colorado Avalanche to score exactly 0 4.1% 1.4% 24.2% 0.06× 69.22
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche leading at HT 45.6% 51.3% 33.2% 1.55× 1.95
Draw at HT 27.8% 25.6% 41.5% 0.62× 3.90
Winnipeg Jets leading at HT 26.6% 25.6% 25.3% 1.01× 3.91
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche -1: 2 50.8% 52.7% 1.90
Colorado Avalanche -1: 1 35.6% 37.8% 2.65
Colorado Avalanche -1: X 13.5% 11.8% 8.50
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets (0:1) 50.8% 52.2% 57.4% 0.91× 1.92
Colorado Avalanche (0:1) 35.6% 38.7% 21.9% 1.77× 2.58
Draw (0:1) 13.5% 9.9% 20.7% 0.48× 10.14
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets (0:2) 64.4% 60.4% 78.1% 0.77× 1.66
Colorado Avalanche (0:2) 23.0% 17.6% 9.7% 1.80× 5.69
Draw (0:2) 12.7% 10.4% 12.2% 0.85× 9.64
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets (0:3) 77.0% 83.4% 90.3% 0.92× 1.20
Colorado Avalanche (0:3) 13.1% 11.3% 3.7% 3.03× 8.83
Draw (0:3) 9.9% 5.7% 6.0% 0.95× 17.54
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets (0:4) 86.9% 91.9% 96.3% 0.95× 1.09
Colorado Avalanche (0:4) 6.6% 5.3% 1.2% 4.60× 18.79
Draw (0:4) 6.5% 5.3% 2.6% 2.04× 18.80
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche (1:0) 70.7% 74.4% 68.8% 1.08× 1.34
Winnipeg Jets (1:0) 15.1% 17.2% 14.5% 1.18× 5.83
Draw (1:0) 14.2% 11.0% 16.7% 0.66× 9.09
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche (2:0) 84.9% 83.5% 85.5% 0.98× 1.20
Draw (2:0) 8.4% 6.2% 8.7% 0.72× 16.01
Winnipeg Jets (2:0) 6.7% 6.2% 5.9% 1.05× 16.12
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 56.1% 59.7% 47.5% 1.26× 1.68
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.5% 25.7% 1.03× 3.78
Halves equal 17.3% 18.8% 26.7% 0.70× 5.32
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets (home no bet) 57.6% 53.9% 54.3% 0.99× 1.86
Draw (home no bet) 42.4% 46.1% 45.7% 1.01× 2.17
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other HT score 21.9% 23.8% 4.7% 5.13× 4.19
HT 1-0 13.1% 10.8% 20.3% 0.53× 9.22
HT 1-1 13.0% 10.8% 10.0% 1.08× 9.22
HT 0-0 9.9% 7.0% 30.7% 0.23× 14.23
HT 0-1 9.6% 7.0% 16.1% 0.44× 14.23
HT 2-0 8.9% 7.0% 7.0% 1.00× 14.24
HT 2-1 8.6% 7.0% 3.2% 2.23× 14.25
HT 1-2 6.3% 7.0% 2.7% 2.63× 14.28
HT 0-2 4.5% 2.2% 4.7% 0.47× 44.49
HT 2-2 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 2.61× 44.51
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche at HT / Colorado Avalanche at FT 34.0% 33.5% 25.3% 1.32× 2.99
Winnipeg Jets at HT / Winnipeg Jets at FT 16.2% 16.6% 17.0% 0.98× 6.02
Draw at HT / Colorado Avalanche at FT 10.9% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.88
Draw at HT / Winnipeg Jets at FT 8.7% 6.3% 11.4% 0.55× 16.00
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 8.2% 6.2% 15.8% 0.40× 16.01
Colorado Avalanche at HT / Draw at FT 7.2% 6.2% 5.1% 1.23× 16.04
Winnipeg Jets at HT / Draw at FT 6.1% 6.2% 5.5% 1.14× 16.07
Colorado Avalanche at HT / Winnipeg Jets at FT 4.4% 3.4% 2.9% 1.19× 29.46
Winnipeg Jets at HT / Colorado Avalanche at FT 4.3% 3.4% 2.9% 1.18× 29.46
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche to score last 56.2% 56.4% 50.3% 1.12× 1.77
Winnipeg Jets to score last 43.3% 39.1% 41.9% 0.93× 2.56
No goal scored 0.5% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.88
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 99.5% 94.9% 92.2% 1.03× 1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 75.3% 78.4% 47.3% 1.66× 1.28
Colorado Avalanche to lead by 1 at any time 74.3% 75.9% 58.7% 1.29× 1.32
Winnipeg Jets to lead by 1 at any time 58.4% 55.0% 49.3% 1.12× 1.82
Colorado Avalanche to lead by 2 at any time 48.8% 43.5% 27.8% 1.57× 2.30
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 41.8% 38.3% 19.0% 2.01× 2.61
Colorado Avalanche to lead by 3 at any time 29.7% 23.5% 11.9% 1.98× 4.26
Winnipeg Jets to lead by 2 at any time 29.1% 23.5% 19.9% 1.18× 4.26
Winnipeg Jets to lead by 3 at any time 12.1% 10.4% 7.2% 1.45× 9.62
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 65.5% 68.8% 74.0% 0.93× 1.45
3-6 goals 59.0% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
1-5 goals 50.8% 51.1% 85.7% 0.60× 1.96
2-5 goals 48.9% 47.4% 69.9% 0.68× 2.11
4-6 goals 48.9% 47.4% 29.1% 1.63× 2.11
3-5 goals 42.3% 42.2% 46.8% 0.90× 2.37
1-4 goals 34.9% 32.8% 76.8% 0.43× 3.05
2-4 goals 32.9% 32.7% 61.0% 0.54× 3.05
5-6 goals 32.6% 32.7% 13.1% 2.50× 3.06
4-5 goals 32.2% 32.7% 25.0% 1.31× 3.06
7+ goals 32.0% 32.7% 2.4% 13.57× 3.06
3-4 goals 26.4% 26.1% 37.8% 0.69× 3.84
1-3 goals 18.6% 15.7% 60.8% 0.26× 6.36
2-3 goals 16.7% 15.7% 45.0% 0.35× 6.39
1-2 goals 8.5% 5.0% 39.0% 0.13× 20.11
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche never behind 41.1% 50.5% 50.7% 1.00× 1.98
Winnipeg Jets never behind 25.2% 30.3% 41.3% 0.73× 3.30
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 53.1% 50.3% 51.6% 0.98× 1.99
Odd number of goals 46.9% 49.7% 48.5% 1.03× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 50.5% 52.2% 54.6% 0.96× 1.92
Odd goals in 1st half 49.5% 47.8% 45.4% 1.05× 2.09
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.2% 52.4% 52.1% 1.01× 1.91
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.8% 47.6% 47.9% 0.99× 2.10
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 99.5% 95.8% 92.2% 1.04× 1.04
Over 1.5 goals 97.6% 95.7% 76.4% 1.25× 1.05
Over 2.5 goals 91.0% 92.9% 53.3% 1.74× 1.08
Over 3.5 goals 80.9% 81.9% 31.5% 2.60× 1.22
Over 4.5 goals 64.6% 61.2% 15.5% 3.95× 1.63
Under 5.5 goals 51.3% 51.9% 93.5% 0.56× 1.93
Over 5.5 goals 48.7% 48.1% 6.5% 7.34× 2.08
Under 4.5 goals 35.4% 38.8% 84.5% 0.46× 2.58
Under 3.5 goals 19.1% 18.1% 68.5% 0.26× 5.54
Under 2.5 goals 9.0% 7.1% 46.7% 0.15× 14.15
Under 1.5 goals 2.4% 4.3% 23.6% 0.18× 23.30
Under 0.5 goals 0.5% 4.2% 7.8% 0.55× 23.54
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 97.4% 98.1% 69.3% 1.41× 1.02
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 90.0% 94.8% 40.2% 2.35× 1.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 77.2% 77.9% 18.4% 4.23× 1.28
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 61.6% 61.2% 97.5% 0.63× 1.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 57.9% 60.1% 7.2% 8.36× 1.67
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 42.1% 39.9% 92.8% 0.43× 2.50
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 38.4% 38.8% 2.5% 15.41× 2.58
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 22.8% 22.1% 81.6% 0.27× 4.52
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 10.0% 5.2% 59.8% 0.09× 19.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 2.6% 1.9% 30.7% 0.06× 52.23
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche to score in both halves 61.8% 64.2% 28.9% 2.22× 1.56
Winnipeg Jets not to score in both halves 52.7% 57.4% 78.1% 0.74× 1.74
Winnipeg Jets to score in both halves 47.3% 42.6% 21.9% 1.94× 2.35
Colorado Avalanche not to score in both halves 38.2% 35.8% 71.1% 0.50× 2.79
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 87.4% 87.4% 54.0% 1.62× 1.15
Only Colorado Avalanche scores 8.5% 7.4% 21.8% 0.34× 13.59
Only Winnipeg Jets scores 3.6% 4.9% 16.5% 0.30× 20.51
Neither team scores 0.5% 4.8% 7.8% 0.62× 20.87
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 48.7% 48.7% 6.5% 7.44× 2.05
Exactly 4 goals 16.3% 18.0% 16.0% 1.12× 5.55
Exactly 5 goals 15.9% 18.0% 9.0% 2.01× 5.55
Exactly 3 goals 10.1% 11.4% 21.8% 0.52× 8.75
Exactly 2 goals 6.5% 7.3% 23.2% 0.31× 13.70
Exactly 1 goals 2.0% 4.2% 15.8% 0.27× 23.55
Exactly 0 goals 0.5% 4.2% 7.8% 0.54× 23.73
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 83.4% 83.4% 48.7% 1.71× 1.20
1 goal in 2nd half 12.7% 15.9% 32.0% 0.50× 6.30
No goals in 2nd half 4.0% 3.9% 19.3% 0.20× 25.73
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Winnipeg Jets not to win both halves 92.7% 93.9% 92.0% 1.02× 1.06
Colorado Avalanche not to win both halves 78.6% 76.4% 87.0% 0.88× 1.31
Colorado Avalanche to win both halves 21.4% 23.6% 13.0% 1.82× 4.23
Winnipeg Jets to win both halves 7.3% 6.1% 8.0% 0.76× 16.51
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Avalanche by 3+ 23.0% 24.7% 9.7% 2.54× 4.05
Draw 21.5% 24.7% 26.3% 0.94× 4.05
Winnipeg Jets by 1 14.2% 11.2% 16.7% 0.67× 8.97
Colorado Avalanche by 1 13.5% 11.1% 20.7% 0.54× 8.98
Colorado Avalanche by 2 12.7% 11.1% 12.2% 0.92× 8.98
Winnipeg Jets by 2 8.4% 6.4% 8.7% 0.73× 15.72
Winnipeg Jets by 3+ 6.7% 6.3% 5.9% 1.08× 15.77
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One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

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The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

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