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Los Angeles Kings v Vegas Golden Knights — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · NHL · 2027

NHL results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Los Angeles Kings win
33.9%
Draw
21.7%
Vegas Golden Knights win
44.4%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nhl-ai 2.41–2.84 2-2 8% 89% 86%
nhl-dc 2.41–2.84 2-2 6% 89% 86%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights to win 44.4% 45.0% 31.2% 1.44× 2.22
Los Angeles Kings to win 33.9% 28.1% 42.6% 0.66× 3.56
Draw 21.7% 24.4% 26.3% 0.93× 4.11
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (1UP) 69.9% 67.9% 49.3% 1.38× 1.47
Los Angeles Kings (1UP) 61.9% 63.6% 58.7% 1.08× 1.57
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (2UP) 44.4% 47.8% 33.4% 1.43× 2.09
Los Angeles Kings (2UP) 33.9% 30.3% 44.5% 0.68× 3.30
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (+2.5) 90.5% 93.7% 90.3% 1.04× 1.07
Vegas Golden Knights (+1.5) 80.7% 85.5% 78.1% 1.09× 1.17
Vegas Golden Knights (+0.5) 66.1% 70.8% 57.4% 1.23× 1.41
Los Angeles Kings (+0.5) 55.6% 57.4% 68.8% 0.83× 1.74
Vegas Golden Knights (-0.5) 44.4% 42.6% 31.2% 1.37× 2.35
Los Angeles Kings (-0.5) 33.9% 29.2% 42.6% 0.69× 3.42
Los Angeles Kings (-1.5) 19.3% 14.5% 21.9% 0.66× 6.88
Los Angeles Kings (-2.5) 9.5% 6.3% 9.7% 0.64× 15.93
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Los Angeles Kings (away no bet) 60.9% 59.7% 61.8% 0.97× 1.68
Draw (away no bet) 39.1% 40.3% 38.2% 1.06× 2.48
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals 51.5% 54.5% 16.9% 3.23× 1.84
Not both halves over 1.5 48.5% 45.5% 83.1% 0.55× 2.20
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 92.9% 93.9% 64.8% 1.45× 1.07
Both halves under 1.5 goals 7.1% 6.1% 35.2% 0.17× 16.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 84.9% 80.8% 57.4% 1.41× 1.24
Vegas Golden Knights to score 2+ in a row 60.9% 60.3% 27.9% 2.16× 1.66
Los Angeles Kings to score 2+ in a row 52.4% 51.4% 36.2% 1.42× 1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row 46.0% 45.4% 22.4% 2.03× 2.20
Vegas Golden Knights to score 3+ in a row 28.6% 25.4% 8.9% 2.87× 3.94
Los Angeles Kings to score 3+ in a row 20.9% 18.7% 13.9% 1.34× 5.35
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 22.8% 24.8% 3.8% 6.53× 4.04
2-2 7.6% 7.5% 5.8% 1.29× 13.39
3-3 5.8% 7.5% 1.2% 6.19× 13.39
2-3 5.3% 7.5% 2.2% 3.37× 13.39
1-2 4.7% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.45
3-2 4.9% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 57.44
1-1 4.4% 1.7% 11.4% 0.15× 57.46
1-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 57.46
2-1 4.3% 1.7% 8.5% 0.21× 57.46
2-4 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 3.37× 57.48
3-1 3.5% 1.7% 4.7% 0.37× 57.49
1-4 3.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 57.49
3-4 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.53× 57.50
4-2 3.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 57.50
4-3 2.8% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 57.51
4-4 2.5% 1.7% 0.2% 8.83× 57.52
0-1 1.4% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.55
0-2 1.9% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 57.53
0-3 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 57.53
0-4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.60× 57.55
1-0 1.3% 1.7% 8.8% 0.20× 57.55
2-0 1.5% 1.7% 6.5% 0.27× 57.54
3-0 1.2% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 57.55
4-1 2.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 57.53
0-0 0.6% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 57.57
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 57.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights leading at HT (DNB) 52.1% 55.6% 43.2% 1.29× 1.80
Los Angeles Kings leading at HT (DNB) 47.9% 44.4% 56.8% 0.78× 2.25
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Los Angeles Kings or Vegas Golden Knights (12) 78.3% 75.6% 73.7% 1.03× 1.32
Vegas Golden Knights or draw (X2) 66.1% 71.9% 57.4% 1.25× 1.39
Los Angeles Kings or draw (1X) 55.6% 55.0% 68.8% 0.80× 1.82
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights or draw (1UP) 69.9% 76.5% 64.5% 1.19× 1.31
Los Angeles Kings or draw (1UP) 61.9% 70.9% 74.6% 0.95× 1.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (DNB) 56.7% 62.4% 42.3% 1.48× 1.60
Los Angeles Kings (DNB) 43.3% 37.6% 57.7% 0.65× 2.66
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights to score first 53.8% 54.6% 42.0% 1.30× 1.83
Los Angeles Kings to score first 45.5% 44.0% 50.2% 0.88× 2.27
No goal scored 0.6% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.86
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 86.3% 86.3% 54.0% 1.60× 1.16
Not both teams to score 13.7% 13.7% 46.0% 0.30× 7.28
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 2+ 54.9% 54.9% 15.5% 3.54× 1.82
Not both teams to score 2+ 45.1% 45.1% 84.5% 0.53× 2.22
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half 61.4% 68.3% 29.1% 2.35× 1.46
Not both to score in 2nd half 38.6% 31.7% 70.9% 0.45× 3.16
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 56.0% 56.0% 82.0% 0.68× 1.79
Both teams to score by HT 44.0% 44.0% 18.0% 2.45× 2.27
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 50.0% 53.2% 29.1% 1.83× 1.88
7+ goals 26.7% 27.1% 2.4% 11.26× 3.68
2-3 goals 20.0% 21.0% 45.0% 0.47× 4.77
0-1 goals 3.3% 1.8% 23.6% 0.08× 54.12
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights to score 3+ 52.3% 53.7% 13.9% 3.86× 1.86
Vegas Golden Knights to score exactly 2 24.4% 21.6% 22.3% 0.97× 4.62
Vegas Golden Knights to score exactly 1 17.3% 19.5% 34.3% 0.57× 5.12
Vegas Golden Knights to score exactly 0 6.0% 6.1% 29.6% 0.21× 16.44
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Los Angeles Kings to score 3+ 44.1% 38.0% 20.8% 1.83× 2.63
Los Angeles Kings to score exactly 2 26.4% 26.3% 23.6% 1.12× 3.80
Los Angeles Kings to score exactly 1 21.1% 23.8% 31.4% 0.76× 4.20
Los Angeles Kings to score exactly 0 8.4% 7.3% 24.2% 0.30× 13.62
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights leading at HT 36.6% 38.3% 25.3% 1.52× 2.61
Los Angeles Kings leading at HT 33.6% 31.7% 33.2% 0.95× 3.16
Draw at HT 29.8% 25.7% 41.5% 0.62× 3.89
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights -1: 1 55.6% 55.0% 1.82
Vegas Golden Knights -1: 2 28.6% 26.3% 3.80
Vegas Golden Knights -1: X 15.8% 16.4% 6.09
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (0:1) 66.1% 73.0% 57.4% 1.27× 1.37
Los Angeles Kings (0:1) 19.3% 14.6% 21.9% 0.67× 6.87
Draw (0:1) 14.6% 9.9% 20.7% 0.48× 10.07
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (0:2) 80.7% 86.2% 78.1% 1.10× 1.16
Draw (0:2) 9.8% 6.6% 12.2% 0.54× 15.18
Los Angeles Kings (0:2) 9.5% 6.6% 9.7% 0.68× 15.20
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (0:3) 90.5% 93.4% 90.3% 1.03× 1.07
Draw (0:3) 5.4% 5.6% 6.0% 0.93× 17.91
Los Angeles Kings (0:3) 4.0% 1.7% 3.7% 0.46× 58.41
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (0:4) 96.0% 98.3% 96.3% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.5% 1.1% 2.6% 0.42× 92.35
Los Angeles Kings (0:4) 1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.93× 93.20
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Los Angeles Kings (1:0) 55.6% 53.3% 68.8% 0.78× 1.87
Vegas Golden Knights (1:0) 28.6% 28.9% 14.5% 1.99× 3.46
Draw (1:0) 15.8% 17.2% 16.7% 1.03× 5.82
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Los Angeles Kings (2:0) 71.4% 71.9% 85.5% 0.84× 1.39
Vegas Golden Knights (2:0) 16.1% 18.1% 5.9% 3.07× 5.53
Draw (2:0) 12.5% 12.2% 8.7% 1.41× 8.20
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 56.0% 59.6% 47.5% 1.25× 1.68
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.5% 25.7% 1.03× 3.78
Halves equal 17.7% 18.9% 26.7% 0.71× 5.29
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights (home no bet) 67.2% 67.0% 54.3% 1.23× 1.49
Draw (home no bet) 32.8% 33.0% 45.7% 0.72× 3.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other HT score 18.0% 19.0% 4.7% 4.09× 5.26
HT 1-1 13.6% 10.8% 10.0% 1.08× 9.22
HT 0-1 12.7% 10.8% 16.1% 0.67× 9.23
HT 1-0 12.1% 10.8% 20.3% 0.53× 9.23
HT 0-0 11.6% 10.8% 30.7% 0.35× 9.24
HT 1-2 7.5% 7.0% 2.7% 2.64× 14.26
HT 2-1 7.1% 7.0% 3.2% 2.23× 14.27
HT 0-2 7.0% 7.0% 4.7% 1.48× 14.27
HT 2-0 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 1.00× 14.28
HT 2-2 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 2.61× 44.53
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights at HT / Vegas Golden Knights at FT 26.9% 26.7% 17.0% 1.57× 3.74
Los Angeles Kings at HT / Los Angeles Kings at FT 21.2% 21.8% 25.3% 0.86× 4.59
Draw at HT / Vegas Golden Knights at FT 12.2% 12.7% 11.4% 1.12× 7.87
Draw at HT / Los Angeles Kings at FT 9.1% 6.3% 14.4% 0.43× 15.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 8.5% 6.2% 15.8% 0.40× 16.00
Los Angeles Kings at HT / Draw at FT 7.1% 6.2% 5.1% 1.23× 16.04
Vegas Golden Knights at HT / Draw at FT 6.1% 6.2% 5.5% 1.14× 16.07
Los Angeles Kings at HT / Vegas Golden Knights at FT 5.3% 6.2% 2.9% 2.18× 16.09
Vegas Golden Knights at HT / Los Angeles Kings at FT 3.6% 3.4% 2.9% 1.18× 29.49
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights to score last 52.8% 52.5% 41.9% 1.25× 1.90
Los Angeles Kings to score last 46.6% 46.1% 50.3% 0.91× 2.17
No goal scored 0.6% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.86
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 99.4% 94.9% 92.2% 1.03× 1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 72.5% 75.8% 47.3% 1.60× 1.32
Vegas Golden Knights to lead by 1 at any time 69.9% 66.8% 49.3% 1.36× 1.50
Los Angeles Kings to lead by 1 at any time 61.9% 61.3% 58.7% 1.04× 1.63
Vegas Golden Knights to lead by 2 at any time 42.1% 38.3% 19.9% 1.93× 2.61
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 37.3% 34.1% 19.0% 1.79× 2.93
Los Angeles Kings to lead by 2 at any time 32.6% 31.0% 27.8% 1.12× 3.23
Vegas Golden Knights to lead by 3 at any time 22.5% 20.2% 7.2% 2.81× 4.96
Los Angeles Kings to lead by 3 at any time 14.9% 10.5% 11.9% 0.88× 9.57
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 70.0% 72.0% 74.0% 0.97× 1.39
3-6 goals 62.1% 62.8% 50.9% 1.23× 1.59
1-5 goals 56.8% 58.4% 85.7% 0.68× 1.71
2-5 goals 54.2% 51.2% 69.9% 0.73× 1.95
4-6 goals 50.0% 51.1% 29.1% 1.76× 1.96
3-5 goals 46.3% 47.4% 46.8% 1.01× 2.11
1-4 goals 40.2% 42.2% 76.8% 0.55× 2.37
2-4 goals 37.5% 39.4% 61.0% 0.65× 2.54
4-5 goals 34.2% 32.8% 25.0% 1.31× 3.05
5-6 goals 32.5% 32.7% 13.1% 2.50× 3.06
3-4 goals 29.6% 26.1% 37.8% 0.69× 3.83
7+ goals 26.7% 26.1% 2.4% 10.81× 3.84
1-3 goals 22.6% 20.9% 60.8% 0.34× 4.79
2-3 goals 20.0% 15.8% 45.0% 0.35× 6.35
1-2 goals 10.5% 10.6% 39.0% 0.27× 9.39
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights never behind 37.5% 44.5% 41.3% 1.08× 2.25
Los Angeles Kings never behind 29.4% 30.6% 50.7% 0.60× 3.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 52.4% 50.3% 51.6% 0.98× 1.99
Odd number of goals 47.6% 49.7% 48.5% 1.03× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 50.7% 52.2% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Odd goals in 1st half 49.3% 47.8% 45.4% 1.05× 2.09
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.2% 52.4% 52.1% 1.01× 1.91
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.8% 47.6% 47.9% 0.99× 2.10
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 99.4% 95.7% 92.2% 1.04× 1.04
Over 1.5 goals 96.7% 95.7% 76.4% 1.25× 1.05
Over 2.5 goals 88.8% 89.3% 53.3% 1.68× 1.12
Over 3.5 goals 76.7% 79.7% 31.5% 2.53× 1.26
Over 4.5 goals 59.2% 59.5% 15.5% 3.85× 1.68
Under 5.5 goals 57.5% 59.5% 93.5% 0.64× 1.68
Over 5.5 goals 42.5% 40.5% 6.5% 6.19× 2.47
Under 4.5 goals 40.8% 40.5% 84.5% 0.48× 2.47
Under 3.5 goals 23.3% 20.3% 68.5% 0.30× 4.92
Under 2.5 goals 11.2% 10.7% 46.7% 0.23× 9.37
Under 1.5 goals 3.3% 4.3% 23.6% 0.18× 23.20
Under 0.5 goals 0.6% 4.3% 7.8% 0.55× 23.52
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 96.4% 98.1% 69.3% 1.41× 1.02
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 87.3% 89.6% 40.2% 2.23× 1.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 71.8% 75.2% 18.4% 4.08× 1.33
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 68.3% 68.5% 97.5% 0.70× 1.46
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 51.0% 51.2% 7.2% 7.13× 1.95
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 49.0% 48.8% 92.8% 0.53× 2.05
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 31.7% 31.5% 2.5% 12.52× 3.17
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 28.2% 24.8% 81.6% 0.30× 4.04
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 12.7% 10.4% 59.8% 0.17× 9.59
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 3.6% 1.9% 30.7% 0.06× 51.74
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vegas Golden Knights to score in both halves 54.5% 57.6% 21.9% 2.63× 1.74
Los Angeles Kings not to score in both halves 51.0% 57.2% 71.1% 0.80× 1.75
Los Angeles Kings to score in both halves 49.0% 42.8% 28.9% 1.48× 2.34
Vegas Golden Knights not to score in both halves 45.5% 42.4% 78.1% 0.54× 2.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 86.3% 86.3% 54.0% 1.60× 1.16
Only Vegas Golden Knights scores 7.8% 7.3% 16.5% 0.44× 13.62
Only Los Angeles Kings scores 5.3% 7.3% 21.8% 0.33× 13.72
Neither team scores 0.6% 4.8% 7.8% 0.62× 20.85
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 42.5% 42.9% 6.5% 6.55× 2.33
Exactly 4 goals 17.6% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.55
Exactly 5 goals 16.6% 18.0% 9.0% 2.01× 5.55
Exactly 3 goals 12.1% 11.4% 21.8% 0.52× 8.73
Exactly 2 goals 7.9% 7.3% 23.2% 0.32× 13.67
Exactly 1 goals 2.6% 4.3% 15.8% 0.27× 23.47
Exactly 0 goals 0.6% 4.2% 7.8% 0.54× 23.71
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 80.8% 80.8% 48.7% 1.66× 1.24
1 goal in 2nd half 14.4% 16.0% 32.0% 0.50× 6.26
No goals in 2nd half 4.8% 4.7% 19.3% 0.24× 21.43
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Los Angeles Kings not to win both halves 89.8% 88.2% 87.0% 1.01× 1.13
Vegas Golden Knights not to win both halves 84.2% 84.0% 92.0% 0.91× 1.19
Vegas Golden Knights to win both halves 15.8% 16.0% 8.0% 2.00× 6.23
Los Angeles Kings to win both halves 10.2% 11.8% 13.0% 0.91× 8.49
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 21.7% 24.7% 26.3% 0.94× 4.05
Vegas Golden Knights by 3+ 16.1% 17.1% 5.9% 2.91× 5.84
Vegas Golden Knights by 1 15.8% 17.1% 16.7% 1.03× 5.84
Los Angeles Kings by 1 14.6% 11.2% 20.7% 0.54× 8.96
Vegas Golden Knights by 2 12.5% 11.1% 8.7% 1.28× 8.99
Los Angeles Kings by 2 9.8% 6.4% 12.2% 0.52× 15.67
Los Angeles Kings by 3+ 9.5% 6.4% 9.7% 0.65× 15.68
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How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

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