Washington Capitals v Philadelphia Flyers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals to win	42.6%	44.8%	42.6%	1.05×	2.23
Philadelphia Flyers to win	34.3%	28.1%	31.2%	0.90×	3.56
Draw	23.2%	24.4%	26.3%	0.93×	4.10

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals (1UP)	69.6%	67.9%	58.7%	1.16×	1.47
Philadelphia Flyers (1UP)	63.4%	63.7%	49.3%	1.29×	1.57

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals (2UP)	42.6%	47.6%	44.5%	1.07×	2.10
Philadelphia Flyers (2UP)	34.3%	30.4%	33.4%	0.91×	3.29

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (+2.5)	84.6%	85.6%	90.3%	0.95×	1.17
Philadelphia Flyers (+1.5)	72.7%	75.5%	78.1%	0.97×	1.32
Washington Capitals (+0.5)	65.7%	70.7%	68.8%	1.03×	1.41
Philadelphia Flyers (+0.5)	57.4%	57.5%	57.4%	1.00×	1.74
Washington Capitals (-0.5)	42.6%	42.5%	42.6%	1.00×	2.35
Philadelphia Flyers (-0.5)	34.3%	29.3%	31.2%	0.94×	3.42
Washington Capitals (-1.5)	27.3%	24.5%	21.9%	1.12×	4.08
Washington Capitals (-2.5)	15.4%	14.4%	9.7%	1.48×	6.95

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals (away no bet)	64.8%	60.2%	61.8%	0.97×	1.66
Draw (away no bet)	35.2%	39.9%	38.2%	1.04×	2.51

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals	54.0%	56.6%	16.9%	3.35×	1.77
Not both halves over 1.5	46.0%	43.4%	83.1%	0.52×	2.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	93.7%	94.6%	64.8%	1.46×	1.06
Both halves under 1.5 goals	6.3%	5.4%	35.2%	0.15×	18.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	85.7%	88.2%	57.4%	1.54×	1.13
Washington Capitals to score 2+ in a row	61.5%	60.3%	36.2%	1.67×	1.66
Philadelphia Flyers to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	51.5%	27.9%	1.84×	1.94
Either team to score 3+ in a row	47.0%	45.4%	22.4%	2.03×	2.20
Washington Capitals to score 3+ in a row	28.5%	25.4%	13.9%	1.82×	3.94
Philadelphia Flyers to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	18.7%	8.9%	2.12×	5.33

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	24.5%	25.9%	3.8%	6.83×	3.86
2-2	7.9%	7.5%	5.8%	1.29×	13.38
3-3	6.4%	7.5%	1.2%	6.19×	13.39
3-2	5.2%	7.5%	2.9%	2.57×	13.40
2-3	4.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	57.44
1-1	4.3%	1.7%	11.4%	0.15×	57.46
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.47
2-1	4.2%	1.7%	8.5%	0.21×	57.46
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.47
4-2	3.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	57.48
1-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.49
2-4	3.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.37×	57.50
3-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.53×	57.50
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	57.50
4-3	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	57.49
4-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.83×	57.50
0-2	1.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	57.55
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	57.53
2-0	1.7%	1.7%	6.5%	0.27×	57.54
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	57.54
0-0	0.6%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	57.57
0-1	1.1%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.56
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	57.56
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	57.57
1-0	1.1%	1.7%	8.8%	0.20×	57.56
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	57.56

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals leading at HT (DNB)	56.7%	58.0%	56.8%	1.02×	1.73
Philadelphia Flyers leading at HT (DNB)	43.3%	42.0%	43.2%	0.97×	2.38

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals or Philadelphia Flyers (12)	76.8%	75.6%	73.7%	1.03×	1.32
Washington Capitals or draw (1X)	65.7%	71.9%	68.8%	1.04×	1.39
Philadelphia Flyers or draw (X2)	57.4%	55.2%	57.4%	0.96×	1.81

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals or draw (1UP)	69.6%	76.5%	74.6%	1.03×	1.31
Philadelphia Flyers or draw (1UP)	63.4%	71.0%	64.5%	1.10×	1.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals (DNB)	55.4%	62.3%	57.7%	1.08×	1.61
Philadelphia Flyers (DNB)	44.6%	37.7%	42.3%	0.89×	2.65

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals to score first	52.7%	54.5%	50.2%	1.09×	1.83
Philadelphia Flyers to score first	46.7%	44.1%	42.0%	1.05×	2.27
No goal scored	0.6%	5.0%	7.8%	0.65×	19.87

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	87.8%	87.8%	54.0%	1.63×	1.14
Not both teams to score	12.2%	12.2%	46.0%	0.27×	8.17

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score 2+	58.1%	59.1%	15.5%	3.81×	1.69
Not both teams to score 2+	41.9%	40.9%	84.5%	0.48×	2.45

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half	63.6%	68.5%	29.1%	2.36×	1.46
Not both to score in 2nd half	36.4%	31.5%	70.9%	0.44×	3.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	54.3%	54.3%	82.0%	0.66×	1.84
Both teams to score by HT	45.7%	45.7%	18.0%	2.54×	2.19

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	49.7%	47.0%	29.1%	1.62×	2.13
7+ goals	29.3%	27.3%	2.4%	11.30×	3.67
2-3 goals	18.2%	20.9%	45.0%	0.46×	4.79
0-1 goals	2.8%	1.8%	23.6%	0.08×	54.43

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers to score 3+	47.3%	44.9%	13.9%	3.23×	2.23
Philadelphia Flyers to score exactly 2	25.9%	28.0%	22.3%	1.26×	3.57
Philadelphia Flyers to score exactly 1	19.5%	19.6%	34.3%	0.57×	5.11
Philadelphia Flyers to score exactly 0	7.3%	6.2%	29.6%	0.21×	16.24

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals to score 3+	53.6%	45.5%	20.8%	2.19×	2.20
Washington Capitals to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.9%	23.6%	1.01×	4.18
Washington Capitals to score exactly 1	16.6%	19.2%	31.4%	0.61×	5.20
Washington Capitals to score exactly 0	5.5%	7.1%	24.2%	0.29×	14.06

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals leading at HT	40.1%	44.4%	33.2%	1.34×	2.25
Philadelphia Flyers leading at HT	30.7%	31.6%	25.3%	1.25×	3.17
Draw at HT	29.2%	25.7%	41.5%	0.62×	3.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals -1: 2	57.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Washington Capitals -1: 1	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Washington Capitals -1: X	15.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:1)	57.4%	56.5%	57.4%	0.98×	1.77
Washington Capitals (0:1)	27.3%	25.1%	21.9%	1.15×	3.98
Draw (0:1)	15.2%	14.4%	20.7%	0.70×	6.93

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:2)	72.7%	74.0%	78.1%	0.95×	1.35
Washington Capitals (0:2)	15.4%	17.0%	9.7%	1.74×	5.89
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	10.4%	12.2%	0.85×	9.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:3)	84.6%	85.3%	90.3%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	7.8%	5.6%	6.0%	0.94×	17.71
Washington Capitals (0:3)	7.6%	5.6%	3.7%	1.51×	17.73

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:4)	92.5%	94.9%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Draw (0:4)	4.3%	1.1%	2.6%	0.42×	90.95
Washington Capitals (0:4)	3.2%	1.1%	1.2%	0.94×	91.79

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals (1:0)	65.7%	70.9%	68.8%	1.03×	1.41
Philadelphia Flyers (1:0)	20.1%	23.8%	14.5%	1.64×	4.20
Draw (1:0)	14.2%	11.0%	16.7%	0.66×	9.09

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals (2:0)	79.9%	78.9%	85.5%	0.92×	1.27
Philadelphia Flyers (2:0)	10.2%	12.1%	5.9%	2.06×	8.26
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.3%	8.7%	0.73×	15.92

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	55.9%	59.5%	47.5%	1.25×	1.68
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	25.7%	1.03×	3.78
Halves equal	17.7%	18.9%	26.7%	0.71×	5.28

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (home no bet)	59.7%	54.1%	54.3%	1.00×	1.85
Draw (home no bet)	40.3%	45.9%	45.7%	1.00×	2.18

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	19.5%	19.1%	4.7%	4.10×	5.25
HT 1-1	13.5%	10.8%	10.0%	1.08×	9.22
HT 1-0	12.9%	10.8%	20.3%	0.53×	9.23
HT 0-1	10.9%	10.8%	16.1%	0.67×	9.25
HT 0-0	10.7%	10.8%	30.7%	0.35×	9.25
HT 2-1	8.2%	7.0%	3.2%	2.23×	14.25
HT 2-0	7.7%	7.0%	7.0%	1.00×	14.26
HT 1-2	6.9%	7.0%	2.7%	2.64×	14.27
HT 0-2	5.4%	7.0%	4.7%	1.47×	14.30
HT 2-2	4.3%	2.2%	0.9%	2.61×	44.50

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals at HT / Washington Capitals at FT	27.8%	26.8%	25.3%	1.06×	3.73
Philadelphia Flyers at HT / Philadelphia Flyers at FT	19.9%	16.7%	17.0%	0.98×	6.00
Draw at HT / Washington Capitals at FT	10.5%	12.7%	14.4%	0.88×	7.88
Draw at HT / Philadelphia Flyers at FT	9.8%	6.3%	11.4%	0.55×	15.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.9%	6.3%	15.8%	0.40×	15.99
Washington Capitals at HT / Draw at FT	7.7%	6.2%	5.1%	1.23×	16.03
Philadelphia Flyers at HT / Draw at FT	6.6%	6.2%	5.5%	1.14×	16.06
Washington Capitals at HT / Philadelphia Flyers at FT	4.6%	3.4%	2.9%	1.19×	29.45
Philadelphia Flyers at HT / Washington Capitals at FT	4.2%	3.4%	2.9%	1.18×	29.46

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals to score last	52.1%	52.5%	50.3%	1.04×	1.91
Philadelphia Flyers to score last	47.3%	46.1%	41.9%	1.10×	2.17
No goal scored	0.6%	5.0%	7.8%	0.65×	19.87

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.4%	94.9%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	73.1%	75.8%	47.3%	1.60×	1.32
Washington Capitals to lead by 1 at any time	69.6%	66.8%	58.7%	1.14×	1.50
Philadelphia Flyers to lead by 1 at any time	63.4%	61.4%	49.3%	1.25×	1.63
Washington Capitals to lead by 2 at any time	41.5%	38.3%	27.8%	1.38×	2.61
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	37.9%	34.1%	19.0%	1.79×	2.93
Philadelphia Flyers to lead by 2 at any time	34.1%	31.1%	19.9%	1.56×	3.22
Washington Capitals to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	20.2%	11.9%	1.70×	4.96
Philadelphia Flyers to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	14.6%	7.2%	2.03×	6.87

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	67.9%	68.9%	74.0%	0.93×	1.45
3-6 goals	60.6%	62.7%	50.9%	1.23×	1.59
1-5 goals	53.7%	51.2%	85.7%	0.60×	1.95
2-5 goals	51.5%	51.1%	69.9%	0.73×	1.96
4-6 goals	49.7%	47.4%	29.1%	1.63×	2.11
3-5 goals	44.2%	42.2%	46.8%	0.90×	2.37
1-4 goals	37.6%	39.4%	76.8%	0.51×	2.54
2-4 goals	35.4%	39.4%	61.0%	0.65×	2.54
4-5 goals	33.3%	32.8%	25.0%	1.31×	3.05
5-6 goals	32.6%	32.7%	13.1%	2.50×	3.06
7+ goals	29.3%	26.1%	2.4%	10.83×	3.83
3-4 goals	28.1%	26.1%	37.8%	0.69×	3.83
1-3 goals	20.4%	20.8%	60.8%	0.34×	4.81
2-3 goals	18.2%	15.7%	45.0%	0.35×	6.37
1-2 goals	9.5%	5.0%	39.0%	0.13×	19.94

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Capitals never behind	36.0%	44.4%	50.7%	0.88×	2.25
Philadelphia Flyers never behind	29.8%	30.6%	41.3%	0.74×	3.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	53.4%	50.3%	51.6%	0.98×	1.99
Odd number of goals	46.6%	49.7%	48.5%	1.03×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.6%	52.2%	54.6%	0.96×	1.92
Odd goals in 1st half	49.4%	47.8%	45.4%	1.05×	2.09

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.4%	52.1%	1.01×	1.91
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	47.6%	47.9%	0.99×	2.10

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.4%	95.8%	92.2%	1.04×	1.04
Over 1.5 goals	97.2%	95.7%	76.4%	1.25×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	89.9%	89.3%	53.3%	1.68×	1.12
Over 3.5 goals	79.0%	79.7%	31.5%	2.53×	1.25
Over 4.5 goals	61.8%	61.1%	15.5%	3.95×	1.64
Under 5.5 goals	54.3%	52.1%	93.5%	0.56×	1.92
Over 5.5 goals	45.7%	47.9%	6.5%	7.33×	2.09
Under 4.5 goals	38.2%	38.9%	84.5%	0.46×	2.57
Under 3.5 goals	21.0%	20.3%	68.5%	0.30×	4.93
Under 2.5 goals	10.1%	10.7%	46.7%	0.23×	9.39
Under 1.5 goals	2.8%	4.3%	23.6%	0.18×	23.25
Under 0.5 goals	0.6%	4.3%	7.8%	0.55×	23.53

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	97.0%	98.1%	69.3%	1.41×	1.02
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	88.7%	89.6%	40.2%	2.23×	1.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.6%	75.4%	18.4%	4.09×	1.33
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	65.0%	61.4%	97.5%	0.63×	1.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	54.5%	51.4%	7.2%	7.16×	1.94
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	45.5%	48.6%	92.8%	0.52×	2.06
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	35.0%	38.6%	2.5%	15.34×	2.59
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.4%	24.6%	81.6%	0.30×	4.06
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	11.3%	10.4%	59.8%	0.17×	9.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	3.0%	1.9%	30.7%	0.06×	52.02

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers to score in both halves	50.6%	57.1%	21.9%	2.60×	1.75
Washington Capitals to score in both halves	56.5%	56.4%	28.9%	1.95×	1.77
Washington Capitals not to score in both halves	43.5%	43.6%	71.1%	0.61×	2.29
Philadelphia Flyers not to score in both halves	49.4%	42.9%	78.1%	0.55×	2.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	87.8%	87.8%	54.0%	1.63×	1.14
Only Washington Capitals scores	6.7%	7.3%	21.8%	0.34×	13.66
Only Philadelphia Flyers scores	5.0%	4.9%	16.5%	0.30×	20.36
Neither team scores	0.6%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.86

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	45.7%	45.7%	6.5%	6.99×	2.19
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.55
Exactly 5 goals	16.1%	18.0%	9.0%	2.01×	5.55
Exactly 3 goals	10.9%	11.4%	21.8%	0.52×	8.74
Exactly 2 goals	7.3%	7.3%	23.2%	0.32×	13.68
Exactly 1 goals	2.2%	4.3%	15.8%	0.27×	23.52
Exactly 0 goals	0.6%	4.2%	7.8%	0.54×	23.72

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	82.1%	82.1%	48.7%	1.69×	1.22
1 goal in 2nd half	13.5%	15.9%	32.0%	0.50×	6.28
No goals in 2nd half	4.4%	4.3%	19.3%	0.22×	23.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Flyers not to win both halves	89.6%	88.2%	92.0%	0.96×	1.13
Washington Capitals not to win both halves	84.8%	84.0%	87.0%	0.97×	1.19
Washington Capitals to win both halves	15.2%	16.0%	13.0%	1.24×	6.24
Philadelphia Flyers to win both halves	10.4%	11.8%	8.0%	1.47×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.2%	24.7%	26.3%	0.94×	4.05
Washington Capitals by 3+	15.4%	17.1%	9.7%	1.76×	5.84
Washington Capitals by 1	15.2%	17.1%	20.7%	0.83×	5.84
Philadelphia Flyers by 1	14.2%	11.2%	16.7%	0.67×	8.97
Washington Capitals by 2	12.0%	11.1%	12.2%	0.92×	8.99
Philadelphia Flyers by 3+	10.2%	11.1%	5.9%	1.89×	9.01
Philadelphia Flyers by 2	9.9%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.67