Track record
Every pick, sealed before kick-off, checkable afterwards
A hit rate proves nothing on its own: anyone can publish one, and anyone can
quietly drop the losers. What makes it evidence is that the claims were fixed
before the matches were played, and can be shown not to have moved since.
Each day's picks are reduced to one SHA-256 digest, and every digest folds in the previous day's. Alter a single probability after the fact and that day's digest changes — and so does every digest after it. The newest digest below therefore vouches for everything behind it.
Each day's picks are reduced to one SHA-256 digest, and every digest folds in the previous day's. Alter a single probability after the fact and that day's digest changes — and so does every digest after it. The newest digest below therefore vouches for everything behind it.
59 football ledger
entries do not match the picks now in the database.
Shown below, because hiding it would defeat the purpose.
19 further entries under the other
sports no longer verify.
They are not football, so
they are not listed here — but
they sit in the same chain of digests, which is worth
knowing before you re-derive it. Each sport's page shows its own.
Days sealed
41
Picks on record
1,619,560
Settled
23,000
Claimed
36.7%
Landed
36.5%
Across 23,000 settled picks the model claimed 36.7% and 36.5% landed.
Sealed football entries 82
One entry per model and day. Every scheduled model is sealed separately, so a single day can produce several. The other sports keep their own entries in the same chain; switch sport above to read them.
| Fixtures on | Model | Matches | Picks | Settled | Landed | Sealed at | Digest | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 22 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 3 | 1,188 | — | — | 261725dfb854adc6… |
broken | |
| Thu 22 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 3 | 1,188 | — | — | fcf166de2f3b7385… |
broken | |
| Tue 20 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 15 | 5,940 | — | — | 43db4d7ddc8f4251… |
broken | |
| Tue 20 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 16 | 6,284 | — | — | 9bfb99c0ee77d119… |
verified | |
| Mon 19 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 10 | 3,960 | — | — | a5642107da2b20cf… |
broken | |
| Mon 19 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 10 | 3,960 | — | — | 2895949c1b3c5aa5… |
verified | |
| Sun 18 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 85 | 33,660 | — | — | afee5ce80d99e3b1… |
broken | |
| Sun 18 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 85 | 33,660 | 3136 | 37.5% | e6ea9827b2acc955… |
verified | |
| Sat 17 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 137 | 54,252 | — | — | f610c6bdd59855b4… |
broken | |
| Sat 17 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 137 | 54,252 | — | — | a445a36efb865fe8… |
broken | |
| Fri 16 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 20 | 7,920 | — | — | 060b0bb7f5db7a1a… |
broken | |
| Fri 16 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 20 | 7,920 | — | — | a41416a9488bdbfa… |
broken | |
| Wed 14 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 25 | 9,796 | — | — | 70ad7744522efa89… |
broken | |
| Wed 14 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 27 | 10,588 | — | — | 66093986855d7a02… |
verified | |
| Tue 13 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 14 | 5,492 | — | — | b1fa2af7408770af… |
broken | |
| Tue 13 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 16 | 6,284 | — | — | 0eaab0b138fd0f14… |
verified | |
| Mon 12 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 8 | 3,168 | — | — | 457c18f2da53c664… |
broken | |
| Mon 12 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 8 | 3,168 | — | — | 1f354e593ccc7336… |
verified | |
| Sun 11 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 108 | 42,716 | — | — | 0c70dc2166692efd… |
broken | |
| Sun 11 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 106 | 41,924 | 3904 | 37.1% | b737576af4c84be3… |
verified | |
| Sat 10 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 115 | 45,124 | — | — | 5b8c6e148e24afa5… |
broken | |
| Sat 10 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 115 | 45,124 | 6046 | 37.0% | 2a3eae041825b134… |
verified | |
| Thu 8 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 14 | 5,544 | — | — | 80a6fdc165450e4c… |
broken | |
| Thu 8 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 14 | 5,544 | — | — | 70e1a69b88cc4f7d… |
verified | |
| Wed 7 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 8 | 3,168 | — | — | b26fb5c4b525056d… |
broken | |
| Wed 7 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 8 | 3,168 | — | — | 932028f61316af4a… |
verified | |
| Tue 6 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 1 | 396 | — | — | 8424a47caab76b15… |
broken | |
| Tue 6 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 1 | 396 | — | — | 99e2195fa0435028… |
verified | |
| Mon 5 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 4 | 1,584 | — | — | bb2b570aff32922c… |
broken | |
| Mon 5 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 4 | 1,584 | — | — | 1b1c31c221b2a52f… |
broken | |
| Sun 4 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 18 | 7,128 | — | — | d3bdf23f6a29e750… |
broken | |
| Sun 4 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 18 | 7,128 | — | — | f4916ccd4ab236b3… |
broken | |
| Fri 2 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 6 | 2,376 | — | — | 9b095ef3d77fdc3e… |
broken | |
| Fri 2 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 6 | 2,376 | — | — | f349110c7e686eb2… |
verified | |
| Thu 1 Oct 2026 | dc-xg | 2 | 792 | — | — | cf77a3980b0fceb1… |
broken | |
| Thu 1 Oct 2026 | ai-blend | 2 | 792 | — | — | 9019e787efc0bcd7… |
verified | |
| Wed 30 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 2 | 792 | — | — | dba99920700d078a… |
broken | |
| Wed 30 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 2 | 792 | — | — | 6022cba2a081bf66… |
verified | |
| Tue 29 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 2 | 792 | — | — | a570deba50745fdc… |
broken | |
| Tue 29 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 2 | 792 | — | — | 333432b241c8aa60… |
verified | |
| Mon 28 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 1 | 396 | — | — | 7ec095f0aeff58e8… |
broken | |
| Mon 28 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 1 | 396 | — | — | a2405e25821d1da5… |
verified | |
| Sun 27 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 13 | 5,148 | — | — | 92c4f66176cf5dc7… |
broken | |
| Sun 27 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 13 | 5,148 | — | — | 009b8a5dc5c9052e… |
verified | |
| Sat 26 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 111 | 39,720 | — | — | 72558150ce254b77… |
broken | |
| Sat 26 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 111 | 39,720 | — | — | 5273bf76dea7d9a5… |
broken | |
| Thu 24 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 5 | 1,772 | — | — | 8f0bb34a92c09994… |
broken | |
| Thu 24 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 5 | 1,772 | — | — | 613fbc479bb162b1… |
broken | |
| Wed 23 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 9 | 3,304 | — | — | e9ce1463b06b712c… |
broken | |
| Wed 23 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 9 | 3,304 | — | — | 7411257fcd26c86d… |
broken | |
| Tue 22 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 3 | 1,136 | — | — | eed685bbd49c3477… |
broken | |
| Tue 22 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 3 | 1,136 | — | — | d3f406dee421a34c… |
broken | |
| Mon 21 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 10 | 3,596 | — | — | 46f80c060ac2a25b… |
broken | |
| Mon 21 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 10 | 3,596 | — | — | 52ef829fc88ac9cb… |
broken | |
| Sun 20 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 158 | 58,980 | — | — | 0aab94f0d75f544b… |
broken | |
| Sun 20 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 159 | 59,376 | — | — | c8ab9d7347b51037… |
broken | |
| Sat 19 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 315 | 114,392 | — | — | 9a2bcce30acdd07c… |
broken | |
| Sat 19 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 317 | 115,080 | — | — | 06c5ccba94b62c2a… |
broken | |
| Fri 18 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 110 | 39,608 | — | — | ee21c0b27db0a856… |
broken | |
| Fri 18 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 110 | 39,608 | — | — | bf02867bcd1f8edf… |
broken | |
| Thu 17 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 29 | 10,340 | — | — | be2d25ad6f2a50fa… |
broken | |
| Thu 17 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 36 | 12,904 | — | — | 8a3ddaedf92587c0… |
verified | |
| Wed 16 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 46 | 16,812 | — | — | 886af2b19065f708… |
broken | |
| Wed 16 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 53 | 19,376 | 786 | 38.2% | db109daec491c45b… |
verified | |
| Tue 15 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 30 | 10,736 | — | — | 7aae0470208a5eb4… |
broken | |
| Tue 15 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 30 | 10,736 | — | — | 317d09b719698820… |
verified | |
| Mon 14 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 48 | 17,552 | — | — | fd287ef7eabd3292… |
broken | |
| Mon 14 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 48 | 17,552 | 782 | 38.5% | 8a88bbbb841dc82b… |
verified | |
| Sun 13 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 171 | 63,972 | — | — | 7c968610dcb9e127… |
broken | |
| Sun 13 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 173 | 64,660 | — | — | 01d8eb929eec076e… |
broken | |
| Sat 12 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 306 | 111,088 | — | — | cbaa8043fb7fedfb… |
broken | |
| Sat 12 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 309 | 112,120 | — | — | 55aa1fb464fb1fcb… |
broken | |
| Fri 11 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 114 | 41,296 | — | — | 16beeb5a977b4919… |
broken | |
| Fri 11 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 114 | 41,296 | — | — | e675b90ef2a95be5… |
broken | |
| Thu 10 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 29 | 10,288 | — | — | 9ef1ff8308b8d570… |
broken | |
| Thu 10 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 32 | 11,320 | — | — | 53a6d0ec13e6457c… |
broken | |
| Tue 8 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 24 | 8,356 | — | — | 5d765e3a22d5790a… |
broken | |
| Tue 8 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 16 | 5,952 | — | — | 5a51c411d6b89b1d… |
broken | |
| Mon 7 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 27 | 9,992 | 7056 | 35.3% | a83bb51219b76e47… |
verified | |
| Mon 7 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 29 | 10,684 | — | — | 3868eee4b2b9f75c… |
broken | |
| Fri 4 Sep 2026 | dc-xg | 6 | 1,314 | — | — | f05ae0f93b9b3654… |
superseded | |
| Why this entry no longer verifies. Superseded by a pick-generation rerun at 10:02, after a fix to picks.py that let 41 previously-skipped leagues produce picks. Every row for this day and model was rewritten, so the sealed claims cannot be re-derived. Not re-sealed: the original claims are gone, and a digest recomputed over their replacements would verify while proving nothing. Overwritten . | ||||||||
| Fri 4 Sep 2026 | ai-blend | 6 | 1,314 | 1290 | 34.0% | 5e4e42946012c89e… |
verified | |
Latest digest
This one hash covers every entry above — and every entry under the other sports, since they are all sealed into one chain in the order they were made. Copy it somewhere with its own timestamp — a commit, a post, anywhere you do not control — and the whole record behind it becomes checkable by anyone, including against us.
261725dfb854adc67bd4b7df9f9fd691bad16628d14b30a94c51622b2c4a9ce2
Sealed .
Re-derive it yourself with php bin/seal_ledger.php --verify.
This newest entry is itself one that no longer verifies (dc-xg, 22 Oct 2026 — see its note above). The chain still runs through it: the next day sealed folds this digest in unchanged, and every entry before it re-derives.