Seattle Mariners v Athletics — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.81–4.21 | 4-4 4% | 99% | 98% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners to win | 50.9% | 50.9% | 42.6% | 1.19× | 1.97 |
| Athletics to win | 35.5% | 35.5% | 31.2% | 1.14× | 2.82 |
| Draw | 13.6% | 13.6% | 26.3% | 0.52× | 7.33 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (1UP) | 78.4% | 78.4% | 58.7% | 1.33× | 1.28 |
| Athletics (1UP) | 68.7% | 68.7% | 49.3% | 1.39× | 1.46 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (2UP) | 56.1% | 56.1% | 44.5% | 1.26× | 1.78 |
| Athletics (2UP) | 43.0% | 43.0% | 33.4% | 1.29× | 2.32 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics (+2.5) | 75.3% | 75.3% | 90.3% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| Seattle Mariners (+0.5) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 68.8% | 0.94× | 1.55 |
| Athletics (+1.5) | 63.0% | 63.0% | 78.1% | 0.81× | 1.59 |
| Seattle Mariners (-0.5) | 50.9% | 50.9% | 42.6% | 1.19× | 1.97 |
| Athletics (+0.5) | 49.1% | 49.1% | 57.4% | 0.86× | 2.04 |
| Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | 37.0% | 37.0% | 21.9% | 1.69× | 2.70 |
| Athletics (-0.5) | 35.5% | 35.5% | 31.2% | 1.14× | 2.82 |
| Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | 24.7% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 2.53× | 4.05 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (away no bet) | 78.8% | 78.8% | 61.8% | 1.28× | 1.27 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 21.2% | 21.2% | 38.2% | 0.55× | 4.73 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 85.8% | 85.8% | 16.9% | 5.08× | 1.17 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 14.2% | 14.2% | 83.1% | 0.17× | 7.02 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.6% | 99.6% | 64.8% | 1.54× | 1.00 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 35.2% | 0.01× | 226.33 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 97.7% | 97.7% | 57.4% | 1.70× | 1.02 |
| Seattle Mariners to score 2+ in a row | 82.4% | 82.4% | 36.2% | 2.28× | 1.21 |
| Athletics to score 2+ in a row | 74.0% | 74.0% | 27.9% | 2.65× | 1.35 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 72.7% | 72.7% | 22.4% | 3.25× | 1.38 |
| Seattle Mariners to score 3+ in a row | 49.1% | 49.1% | 13.9% | 3.52× | 2.04 |
| Athletics to score 3+ in a row | 37.4% | 37.4% | 8.9% | 4.22× | 2.68 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 70.8% | 70.8% | 3.8% | 18.69× | 1.41 |
| 4-4 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 18.74× | 27.10 |
| 4-3 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 6.20× | 28.49 |
| 3-4 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 6.23× | 32.62 |
| 3-3 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.42× | 34.29 |
| 4-2 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.48× | 39.94 |
| 3-2 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 0.72× | 48.06 |
| 2-4 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 3.70× | 52.34 |
| 2-3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.82× | 55.03 |
| 2-2 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 5.8% | 0.22× | 77.13 |
| 4-1 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.66× | 83.97 |
| 3-1 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 4.7% | 0.21× | 101.06 |
| 1-4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.77× | 125.99 |
| 1-3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 0.27× | 132.45 |
| 2-1 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 8.5% | 0.07× | 162.16 |
| 1-2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.0% | 0.08× | 185.64 |
| 4-0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.16× | 353.08 |
| 3-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 3.9% | 0.06× | 424.94 |
| 1-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 11.4% | 0.02× | 487.90 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.15× | 606.51 |
| 0-3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 0.06× | 637.59 |
| 2-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 6.5% | 0.02× | 681.88 |
| 0-2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 5.3% | 0.02× | 893.69 |
| 1-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.8% | 0.01× | 891.52 |
| 0-1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.0% | 0.01× | 957.30 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners leading at HT (DNB) | 59.6% | 59.6% | 56.8% | 1.05× | 1.68 |
| Athletics leading at HT (DNB) | 40.4% | 40.4% | 43.2% | 0.93× | 2.47 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners or Athletics (12) | 86.4% | 86.4% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Seattle Mariners or draw (1X) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 68.8% | 0.94× | 1.55 |
| Athletics or draw (X2) | 49.1% | 49.1% | 57.4% | 0.86× | 2.04 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners or draw (1UP) | 78.4% | 78.4% | 74.6% | 1.05× | 1.28 |
| Athletics or draw (1UP) | 68.7% | 68.7% | 64.5% | 1.07× | 1.46 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (DNB) | 58.9% | 58.9% | 57.7% | 1.02× | 1.70 |
| Athletics (DNB) | 41.1% | 41.1% | 42.3% | 0.97× | 2.43 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners to score first | 53.4% | 53.4% | 50.2% | 1.06× | 1.87 |
| Athletics to score first | 46.6% | 46.6% | 42.0% | 1.11× | 2.15 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 97.6% | 97.6% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.03 |
| Not both teams to score | 2.4% | 2.4% | 46.0% | 0.05× | 41.19 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 87.6% | 87.6% | 15.5% | 5.64× | 1.14 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 12.4% | 12.4% | 84.5% | 0.15× | 8.07 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 85.8% | 85.8% | 29.1% | 2.95× | 1.17 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 14.2% | 14.2% | 70.9% | 0.20× | 7.03 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 71.0% | 71.0% | 18.0% | 3.95× | 1.41 |
| Not both to score by HT | 29.0% | 29.0% | 82.0% | 0.35× | 3.45 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 78.5% | 78.5% | 2.4% | 32.57× | 1.27 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.2% | 19.2% | 29.1% | 0.66× | 5.20 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.0% | 2.0% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 49.73 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 461.62 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics to score 3+ | 78.7% | 78.7% | 13.9% | 5.66× | 1.27 |
| Athletics to score exactly 2 | 13.4% | 13.4% | 22.3% | 0.60× | 7.46 |
| Athletics to score exactly 1 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 34.3% | 0.19× | 15.68 |
| Athletics to score exactly 0 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 29.6% | 0.05× | 64.30 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners to score 3+ | 85.4% | 85.4% | 20.8% | 4.10× | 1.17 |
| Seattle Mariners to score exactly 2 | 9.7% | 9.7% | 23.6% | 0.41× | 10.35 |
| Seattle Mariners to score exactly 1 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 31.4% | 0.13× | 24.90 |
| Seattle Mariners to score exactly 0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 24.2% | 0.04× | 114.58 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners leading at HT | 46.9% | 46.9% | 33.2% | 1.41× | 2.13 |
| Athletics leading at HT | 31.8% | 31.8% | 25.3% | 1.26× | 3.14 |
| Draw at HT | 21.2% | 21.2% | 41.5% | 0.51× | 4.71 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners -1: 2 | 49.1% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Seattle Mariners -1: 1 | 37.0% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Seattle Mariners -1: X | 13.9% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics (0:1) | 49.1% | 49.1% | 57.4% | 0.86× | 2.04 |
| Seattle Mariners (0:1) | 37.0% | 37.0% | 21.9% | 1.69× | 2.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 13.9% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 0.67× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics (0:2) | 63.0% | 63.0% | 78.1% | 0.81× | 1.59 |
| Seattle Mariners (0:2) | 24.7% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 2.53× | 4.05 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 1.01× | 8.12 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics (0:3) | 75.3% | 75.3% | 90.3% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| Seattle Mariners (0:3) | 15.0% | 15.0% | 3.7% | 4.00× | 6.69 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.61× | 10.28 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics (0:4) | 85.0% | 85.0% | 96.3% | 0.88× | 1.18 |
| Seattle Mariners (0:4) | 8.2% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 7.05× | 12.26 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 2.61× | 14.70 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (1:0) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 68.8% | 0.94× | 1.55 |
| Athletics (1:0) | 23.4% | 23.4% | 14.5% | 1.61× | 4.28 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 0.73× | 8.27 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (2:0) | 76.6% | 76.6% | 85.5% | 0.90× | 1.31 |
| Athletics (2:0) | 14.0% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 2.38× | 7.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 1.08× | 10.67 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.2% | 62.2% | 47.5% | 1.31× | 1.61 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.4% | 25.4% | 25.7% | 0.99× | 3.94 |
| Halves equal | 12.4% | 12.4% | 26.7% | 0.46× | 8.08 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics (home no bet) | 72.2% | 72.2% | 54.3% | 1.33× | 1.38 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 27.8% | 27.8% | 45.7% | 0.61× | 3.60 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 49.5% | 49.5% | 4.7% | 10.64× | 2.02 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 2.70× | 11.74 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 0.82× | 12.17 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 8.32× | 13.96 |
| HT 1-2 | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.60× | 14.45 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 0.72× | 19.75 |
| HT 1-0 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 20.3% | 0.24× | 20.41 |
| HT 0-1 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 16.1% | 0.25× | 25.10 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 0.70× | 29.92 |
| HT 0-0 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 30.7% | 0.08× | 41.79 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners at HT / Seattle Mariners at FT | 35.5% | 35.5% | 25.3% | 1.40× | 2.82 |
| Athletics at HT / Athletics at FT | 21.4% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 1.26× | 4.67 |
| Draw at HT / Seattle Mariners at FT | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 0.65× | 10.61 |
| Draw at HT / Athletics at FT | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 0.70× | 12.59 |
| Seattle Mariners at HT / Athletics at FT | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.14× | 16.34 |
| Athletics at HT / Seattle Mariners at FT | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.08× | 16.71 |
| Seattle Mariners at HT / Draw at FT | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.05× | 18.73 |
| Athletics at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 0.81× | 22.56 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.9% | 15.8% | 0.25× | 25.82 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners to score last | 53.3% | 53.3% | 50.3% | 1.06× | 1.88 |
| Athletics to score last | 46.7% | 46.7% | 41.9% | 1.11× | 2.14 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 90.9% | 90.9% | 47.3% | 1.92× | 1.10 |
| Seattle Mariners to lead by 1 at any time | 78.4% | 78.4% | 58.7% | 1.33× | 1.28 |
| Athletics to lead by 1 at any time | 68.7% | 68.7% | 49.3% | 1.39× | 1.46 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 60.9% | 60.9% | 19.0% | 3.20× | 1.64 |
| Seattle Mariners to lead by 2 at any time | 56.1% | 56.1% | 27.8% | 2.02× | 1.78 |
| Athletics to lead by 2 at any time | 43.0% | 43.0% | 19.9% | 2.17× | 2.32 |
| Seattle Mariners to lead by 3 at any time | 36.8% | 36.8% | 11.9% | 3.10× | 2.72 |
| Athletics to lead by 3 at any time | 24.6% | 24.6% | 7.2% | 3.42× | 4.07 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 78.5% | 78.5% | 2.4% | 32.57× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 21.3% | 21.3% | 74.0% | 0.29× | 4.71 |
| 3-6 goals | 20.8% | 20.8% | 50.9% | 0.41× | 4.81 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.2% | 19.2% | 29.1% | 0.66× | 5.20 |
| 5-6 goals | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 1.20× | 6.35 |
| 1-5 goals | 12.0% | 12.0% | 85.7% | 0.14× | 8.33 |
| 2-5 goals | 11.8% | 11.8% | 69.9% | 0.17× | 8.48 |
| 3-5 goals | 11.3% | 11.3% | 46.8% | 0.24× | 8.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 9.8% | 9.8% | 25.0% | 0.39× | 10.22 |
| 1-4 goals | 5.7% | 5.7% | 76.8% | 0.07× | 17.49 |
| 2-4 goals | 5.5% | 5.5% | 61.0% | 0.09× | 18.18 |
| 3-4 goals | 5.0% | 5.0% | 37.8% | 0.13× | 19.85 |
| 1-3 goals | 2.2% | 2.2% | 60.8% | 0.04× | 44.89 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.0% | 2.0% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 49.73 |
| 1-2 goals | 0.7% | 0.7% | 39.0% | 0.02× | 147.03 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners never behind | 31.3% | 31.3% | 50.7% | 0.62× | 3.20 |
| Athletics never behind | 21.6% | 21.6% | 41.3% | 0.52× | 4.62 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.8% | 99.8% | 76.4% | 1.31× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.3% | 99.3% | 53.3% | 1.86× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 97.8% | 97.8% | 31.5% | 3.11× | 1.02 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 94.3% | 94.3% | 15.5% | 6.09× | 1.06 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 88.0% | 88.0% | 6.5% | 13.44× | 1.14 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 12.0% | 12.0% | 93.5% | 0.13× | 8.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 5.7% | 5.7% | 84.5% | 0.07× | 17.49 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 2.2% | 2.2% | 68.5% | 0.03× | 44.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.7% | 0.7% | 46.7% | 0.01× | 147.03 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 461.62 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.8% | 99.8% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.3% | 99.3% | 40.2% | 2.47× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 97.7% | 97.7% | 18.4% | 5.30× | 1.02 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.9% | 93.9% | 7.2% | 13.06× | 1.07 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 86.7% | 86.7% | 2.5% | 34.48× | 1.15 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 13.3% | 13.3% | 97.5% | 0.14× | 7.54 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.1% | 6.1% | 92.8% | 0.07× | 16.39 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 2.3% | 2.3% | 81.6% | 0.03× | 43.32 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 0.7% | 0.7% | 59.8% | 0.01× | 144.75 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 459.48 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners to score in both halves | 81.5% | 81.5% | 28.9% | 2.82× | 1.23 |
| Athletics to score in both halves | 74.7% | 74.7% | 21.9% | 3.40× | 1.34 |
| Athletics not to score in both halves | 25.3% | 25.3% | 78.1% | 0.32× | 3.96 |
| Seattle Mariners not to score in both halves | 18.5% | 18.5% | 71.1% | 0.26× | 5.42 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 97.6% | 97.6% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.03 |
| Only Seattle Mariners scores | 1.6% | 1.6% | 21.8% | 0.07× | 64.30 |
| Only Athletics scores | 0.9% | 0.9% | 16.5% | 0.05× | 114.58 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 88.0% | 88.0% | 6.5% | 13.44× | 1.14 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 0.70× | 15.89 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 3.5% | 3.5% | 16.0% | 0.22× | 28.66 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 1.5% | 1.5% | 21.8% | 0.07× | 64.62 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.5% | 0.5% | 23.2% | 0.02× | 215.75 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 15.8% | 0.01× | 461.62 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 96.6% | 96.6% | 48.7% | 1.98× | 1.04 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 2.9% | 2.9% | 32.0% | 0.09× | 35.03 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.6% | 0.6% | 19.3% | 0.03× | 179.72 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics not to win both halves | 88.1% | 88.1% | 92.0% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Seattle Mariners not to win both halves | 79.2% | 79.2% | 87.0% | 0.91× | 1.26 |
| Seattle Mariners to win both halves | 20.8% | 20.8% | 13.0% | 1.60× | 4.81 |
| Athletics to win both halves | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 1.48× | 8.43 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners by 3+ | 24.7% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 2.53× | 4.05 |
| Athletics by 3+ | 14.0% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 2.38× | 7.13 |
| Seattle Mariners by 1 | 13.9% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 0.67× | 7.22 |
| Draw | 13.6% | 13.6% | 26.3% | 0.52× | 7.33 |
| Seattle Mariners by 2 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 1.01× | 8.12 |
| Athletics by 1 | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 0.73× | 8.27 |
| Athletics by 2 | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 1.08× | 10.67 |