Zizou Bergs v Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · ATP · 2026

ATP Tour results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:04

Zizou Bergs

00:00

Botic Van De Zandschulp

AI prediction

serve-hold No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Zizou Bergs win

32.8%

Draw

0.0%

Botic Van De Zandschulp win

67.2%

33067

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
serve-hold	33067	19.78–21.98	1-3 26%	47%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Deciding set 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Match decided before the last set	65.1%	68.1%	96.8%	0.70×	1.47
Match to reach a 5th set	34.9%	30.9%	3.2%	9.55×	3.24

First set 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botic Van De Zandschulp to win the first set	59.4%	57.8%	50.6%	1.14×	1.73
Zizou Bergs to win the first set	40.6%	42.2%	49.4%	0.85×	2.37

First set / match 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botic Van De Zandschulp first set and match	48.3%	49.6%	40.7%	1.22×	2.02
Zizou Bergs first set, Botic Van De Zandschulp match	18.9%	30.5%	10.0%	3.04×	3.28
Zizou Bergs first set and match	21.7%	28.7%	39.4%	0.73×	3.49
Botic Van De Zandschulp first set, Zizou Bergs match	11.1%	11.7%	9.9%	1.18×	8.55

Games handicap 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botic Van De Zandschulp +9.5 games	98.7%	95.6%	97.9%	0.98×	1.05
Botic Van De Zandschulp +8.5 games	97.8%	95.6%	95.9%	1.00×	1.05
Botic Van De Zandschulp +7.5 games	96.6%	95.6%	93.0%	1.03×	1.05
Botic Van De Zandschulp +6.5 games	94.8%	87.5%	88.1%	0.99×	1.14
Botic Van De Zandschulp +5.5 games	92.5%	87.5%	80.4%	1.09×	1.14
Zizou Bergs +9.5 games	91.9%	87.5%	98.0%	0.89×	1.14
Botic Van De Zandschulp +4.5 games	89.5%	80.3%	72.8%	1.10×	1.25
Zizou Bergs +8.5 games	88.4%	80.3%	95.8%	0.84×	1.25
Botic Van De Zandschulp +3.5 games	85.7%	80.3%	65.2%	1.23×	1.25
Zizou Bergs +7.5 games	84.0%	74.5%	93.4%	0.80×	1.34
Botic Van De Zandschulp +2.5 games	81.1%	74.5%	59.5%	1.25×	1.34
Zizou Bergs +6.5 games	78.8%	69.9%	88.6%	0.79×	1.43
Botic Van De Zandschulp +1.5 games	75.6%	69.9%	55.1%	1.27×	1.43
Zizou Bergs +5.5 games	72.8%	65.2%	82.6%	0.79×	1.54
Zizou Bergs +4.5 games	66.3%	61.1%	74.7%	0.82×	1.64
Zizou Bergs +3.5 games	59.2%	53.6%	66.5%	0.81×	1.87
Botic Van De Zandschulp −1.5 games	55.8%	53.5%	45.9%	1.17×	1.87
Zizou Bergs +2.5 games	51.7%	50.7%	59.1%	0.86×	1.97
Botic Van De Zandschulp −2.5 games	48.3%	49.3%	40.9%	1.21×	2.03
Zizou Bergs +1.5 games	44.2%	46.5%	54.1%	0.86×	2.15
Botic Van De Zandschulp −3.5 games	40.8%	46.4%	33.5%	1.38×	2.15
Botic Van De Zandschulp −4.5 games	33.7%	38.9%	25.3%	1.54×	2.57
Botic Van De Zandschulp −5.5 games	27.2%	34.8%	17.4%	2.00×	2.87
Zizou Bergs −1.5 games	24.4%	30.1%	44.9%	0.67×	3.32
Botic Van De Zandschulp −6.5 games	21.2%	30.1%	11.4%	2.64×	3.33
Zizou Bergs −2.5 games	18.9%	25.5%	40.5%	0.63×	3.92
Botic Van De Zandschulp −7.5 games	16.0%	25.5%	6.6%	3.84×	3.93
Zizou Bergs −3.5 games	14.3%	19.7%	34.8%	0.57×	5.07
Botic Van De Zandschulp −8.5 games	11.6%	19.7%	4.2%	4.73×	5.08
Zizou Bergs −4.5 games	10.5%	19.7%	27.2%	0.73×	5.08
Botic Van De Zandschulp −9.5 games	8.1%	12.5%	2.0%	6.12×	7.97
Zizou Bergs −5.5 games	7.5%	12.5%	19.6%	0.64×	7.98
Zizou Bergs −6.5 games	5.2%	12.5%	11.9%	1.05×	7.98
Zizou Bergs −7.5 games	3.5%	4.4%	7.0%	0.62×	22.89
Zizou Bergs −8.5 games	2.2%	4.4%	4.1%	1.06×	22.90
Zizou Bergs −9.5 games	1.3%	4.4%	2.1%	2.10×	22.90

Match winner 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botic Van De Zandschulp to win	67.2%	61.6%	50.7%	1.22×	1.62
Zizou Bergs to win	32.8%	38.4%	49.3%	0.78×	2.61

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of games	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Odd number of games	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.99×	2.02

Set handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botic Van De Zandschulp +3.5 sets	100.0%	98.3%	100.0%	0.98×	1.02
Zizou Bergs +3.5 sets	100.0%	98.3%	100.0%	0.98×	1.02
Botic Van De Zandschulp +2.5 sets	93.3%	86.1%	96.2%	0.89×	1.16
Botic Van De Zandschulp +1.5 sets	81.4%	74.9%	67.6%	1.11×	1.33
Zizou Bergs +2.5 sets	79.1%	72.4%	97.0%	0.75×	1.38
Zizou Bergs +1.5 sets	53.5%	55.5%	66.3%	0.84×	1.80
Botic Van De Zandschulp −1.5 sets	46.5%	44.5%	33.8%	1.32×	2.25
Botic Van De Zandschulp −2.5 sets	20.9%	27.6%	3.0%	9.06×	3.63
Zizou Bergs −1.5 sets	18.6%	25.1%	32.4%	0.77×	3.99
Zizou Bergs −2.5 sets	6.7%	13.9%	3.8%	3.66×	7.18
Zizou Bergs −3.5 sets	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	52.99×	58.93
Botic Van De Zandschulp −3.5 sets	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	52.99×	58.93

Set score 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Botic Van De Zandschulp to win 3-1	25.5%	21.7%	3.0%	7.22×	4.60
Botic Van De Zandschulp to win 3-0	20.9%	20.0%	3.0%	6.59×	4.99
Botic Van De Zandschulp to win 3-2	20.7%	20.0%	1.4%	13.90×	4.99
Zizou Bergs to win 3-2	14.2%	18.4%	1.8%	10.06×	5.45
Zizou Bergs to win 3-1	11.9%	18.3%	2.1%	8.54×	5.46
Zizou Bergs to win 3-0	6.7%	12.1%	3.8%	3.18×	8.27

Straight sets 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
At least one set dropped	72.4%	66.2%	93.2%	0.71×	1.51
Match in straight sets	27.6%	28.8%	6.8%	4.23×	3.47
Botic Van De Zandschulp in straight sets	20.9%	25.9%	3.0%	8.50×	3.87
Zizou Bergs in straight sets	6.7%	12.9%	3.8%	3.38×	7.76

Total games 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 50.5 games	80.1%	79.0%	98.4%	0.80×	1.27
Over 34.5 games	75.1%	74.3%	12.1%	6.12×	1.35
Under 48.5 games	73.5%	73.7%	97.8%	0.75×	1.36
Over 36.5 games	68.8%	66.2%	8.6%	7.65×	1.51
Under 46.5 games	66.8%	66.2%	97.1%	0.68×	1.51
Under 45.5 games	63.7%	60.6%	96.9%	0.63×	1.65
Over 38.5 games	62.8%	60.6%	7.0%	8.68×	1.65
Under 44.5 games	60.0%	57.5%	96.5%	0.60×	1.74
Over 39.5 games	59.0%	57.5%	6.1%	9.45×	1.74
Under 43.5 games	56.3%	57.5%	96.2%	0.60×	1.74
Over 40.5 games	55.2%	57.5%	5.5%	10.44×	1.74
Under 42.5 games	52.7%	52.0%	95.7%	0.54×	1.92
Over 41.5 games	51.2%	52.0%	5.0%	10.34×	1.92
Under 41.5 games	48.8%	48.0%	95.0%	0.51×	2.08
Over 42.5 games	47.3%	48.0%	4.3%	11.19×	2.08
Under 40.5 games	44.8%	42.5%	94.5%	0.45×	2.35
Over 43.5 games	43.7%	42.5%	3.8%	11.15×	2.35
Under 39.5 games	41.0%	42.5%	93.9%	0.45×	2.35
Over 44.5 games	40.0%	42.5%	3.5%	12.17×	2.35
Under 38.5 games	37.2%	39.4%	93.0%	0.42×	2.54
Over 45.5 games	36.3%	39.4%	3.1%	12.56×	2.54
Over 46.5 games	33.2%	33.8%	2.9%	11.61×	2.96
Under 36.5 games	31.2%	33.8%	91.4%	0.37×	2.96
Over 48.5 games	26.5%	26.3%	2.2%	11.76×	3.80
Under 34.5 games	24.9%	25.7%	87.9%	0.29×	3.89
Over 50.5 games	19.9%	21.0%	1.6%	13.09×	4.77

Total sets 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 4 sets	37.5%	35.2%	5.1%	6.86×	2.84
Exactly 5 sets	34.9%	30.9%	3.2%	9.55×	3.24
Exactly 3 sets	27.6%	29.6%	37.5%	0.79×	3.37

Zizou Bergs v Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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