betaider.com
Sign in

Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 18 January 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

3–2
3.23 – 0.70 xG
Shots
25 – 7
On target
10 – 3
Shots in box
18 – 6
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.06 – 0.45
Goals − xG
-0.23 – +1.30
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.82.73.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Leon Goretzka 19' — goalMohammed Amoura 23' — goalMichael Olise 38' — goalLeon Goretzka 61' — goalMohammed Amoura 87' — goal
Bayern Munich 3.23 xGWolfsburg 0.70 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Leroy Sané 2' — Shot On Post (0.03 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 3' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Coman 4' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Kingsley Coman 6' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 17' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Leon Goretzka 19' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Joshua Kimmich 22' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 23' — Goal (0.44 xG, Set Piece)Denis Vavro 30' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 34' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Harry Kane 36' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Michael Olise 38' — Goal (0.02 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 41' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Kim Min-Jae 42' — Saved Shot (0.46 xG, From Corner)Mohammed Amoura 43' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 47' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Leroy Sané 49' — Missed Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 53' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Coman 56' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Leon Goretzka 58' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Leon Goretzka 61' — Goal (0.41 xG, Set Piece)Kingsley Coman 69' — Missed Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Coman 71' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Harry Kane 73' — Missed Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 80' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jamal Musiala 84' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Leon Goretzka 85' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 87' — Goal (0.11 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 89' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Serge Gnabry 89' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Konstantinos Koulierakis 91' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Maximilian Arnold 93' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Bayern Munich attacking right Wolfsburg attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Bayern Munich Leroy Sané 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Dayotchanculle Upamecano
3' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Michael Olise
4' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.04 From Corner — Missed Shot Joshua Kimmich
6' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Harry Kane
17' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Coman
19' Bayern Munich Leon Goretzka 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Goal Joshua Kimmich
22' Bayern Munich Joshua Kimmich 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Coman
23' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.44 Set Piece Right Foot Goal —
30' Wolfsburg Denis Vavro 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Joakim Maehle
34' Bayern Munich Michael Olise 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot —
36' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.03 From Corner — Saved Shot Michael Olise
38' Bayern Munich Michael Olise 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Goal Leroy Sané
41' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
42' Bayern Munich Kim Min-Jae 0.46 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Joshua Kimmich
43' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Lukas Nmecha
47' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.03 Set Piece — Saved Shot Joshua Kimmich
49' Bayern Munich Leroy Sané 0.29 Open Play — Missed Shot Kingsley Coman
53' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Joshua Kimmich
56' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Leroy Sané
58' Bayern Munich Leon Goretzka 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Kim Min-Jae
61' Bayern Munich Leon Goretzka 0.41 Set Piece — Goal Michael Olise
69' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.26 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Manuel Neuer
71' Bayern Munich Kingsley Coman 0.05 Open Play — Blocked Shot Michael Olise
73' Bayern Munich Harry Kane 0.15 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Konrad Laimer
80' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mattias Svanberg
84' Bayern Munich Jamal Musiala 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alphonso Davies
85' Bayern Munich Leon Goretzka 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
87' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Goal Tiago Tomás
89' Bayern Munich Michael Olise 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Konrad Laimer
89' Bayern Munich Serge Gnabry 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Harry Kane
91' Wolfsburg Konstantinos Koulierakis 0.01 From Corner — Missed Shot Maximilian Arnold
93' Wolfsburg Maximilian Arnold 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —

Players

Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mohammed Amoura FW 90 2 0 4 0 0.65 0.00 0.22
Maximilian Arnold DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.01 0.03
Konstantinos Koulierakis DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.00
Denis Vavro DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Joakim Maehle DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Kamil Grabara GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Kilian Fischer DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bence Dárdai MC 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Patrick Wimmer MC 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lukas Nmecha FW 68 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Yannick Gerhardt MC 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tiago Tomás Sub 22 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.11
Aster Vranckx Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mattias Svanberg Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.17
Jonas Wind Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bayern Munich

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Harry Kane FW 90 0 0 7 2 0.53 0.63 1.49
Leon Goretzka DMC 90 2 0 4 0 0.52 0.00 1.45
Kim Min-Jae DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.46 0.05 1.34
Michael Olise AMC 90 1 1 3 4 0.11 0.54 1.04
Joshua Kimmich DMC 90 0 1 1 5 0.07 0.63 1.12
Dayotchanculle Upamecano DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 1.14
Alphonso Davies DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 1.49
Konrad Laimer DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.19 1.32
Manuel Neuer GK 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.26 0.86
Kingsley Coman AML 80 0 0 5 3 0.79 0.47 1.26
Leroy Sané AMR 72 0 1 2 2 0.32 0.13 0.61
Serge Gnabry Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.31 0.00 0.40
Jamal Musiala Sub 10 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.48
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide