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Bochum v Wolfsburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–3
2.29 – 2.37 xG
Shots
18 – 17
On target
5 – 5
Shots in box
11 – 11
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 1.71
Goals − xG
-1.30 – +0.22
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.33.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Tiago Tomás 20' — goalJonas Wind 36' — goalMyron Boadu 71' — goalJonas Wind 87' — goal
Bochum 2.30 xGWolfsburg 2.78 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Maximilian Wittek 11' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Direct Freekick)Myron Boadu 13' — Saved Shot (0.65 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 13' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Bote Baku 15' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Myron Boadu 17' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Tiago Tomás 20' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Jonas Wind 23' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Arnold 23' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Dani de Wit 27' — Missed Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 32' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jakub Kaminski 34' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Tiago Tomás 34' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Jonas Wind 36' — Goal (0.34 xG, From Corner)Jakub Kaminski 46' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jakub Kaminski 46' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Mohammed Amoura 46' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 48' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 52' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 52' — Shot On Post (0.28 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 55' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Tiago Tomás 57' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 60' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 64' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Myron Boadu 65' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 66' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ivan Ordets 68' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Moritz Broschinski 68' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Myron Boadu 71' — Goal (0.58 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 75' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 79' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Patrick Wimmer 79' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Sebastiaan Bornauw 80' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Jonas Wind 87' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Jonas Wind 87' — Goal (0.53 xG, Set Piece)Koji Miyoshi 89' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Bochum attacking right Wolfsburg attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
11' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.03 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot —
13' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.65 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Philipp Hofmann
13' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.03 Open Play — Blocked Shot Dani de Wit
15' Wolfsburg Bote Baku 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
17' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
20' Wolfsburg Tiago Tomás 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Goal Mohammed Amoura
23' Wolfsburg Jonas Wind 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Bote Baku
23' Wolfsburg Maximilian Arnold 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot —
27' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.30 Open Play — Missed Shot Anthony Losilla
32' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
34' Wolfsburg Jakub Kaminski 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
34' Wolfsburg Tiago Tomás 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonas Wind
36' Wolfsburg Jonas Wind 0.34 From Corner Right Foot Goal Mohammed Amoura
46' Wolfsburg Jakub Kaminski 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
46' Wolfsburg Jakub Kaminski 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Denis Vavro
46' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonas Wind
48' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Matús Bero
52' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
52' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.28 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Jonas Wind
55' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.02 From Corner — Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
57' Wolfsburg Tiago Tomás 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jakub Kaminski
60' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
64' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
65' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.29 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lukas Daschner
66' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
68' Bochum Ivan Ordets 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Jakov Medic
68' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Matús Bero
71' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.58 Open Play Left Foot Goal Moritz Broschinski
75' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
79' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Patrick Wimmer
79' Wolfsburg Patrick Wimmer 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Mohammed Amoura
80' Wolfsburg Sebastiaan Bornauw 0.05 From Corner — Missed Shot Maximilian Arnold
87' Wolfsburg Jonas Wind 0.76 Right Foot Saved Shot —
87' Wolfsburg Jonas Wind 0.53 Set Piece Left Foot Goal —
89' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek

Players

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Myron Boadu FW 90 1 0 4 0 1.63 0.00 1.63
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 4 3 0.07 0.15 0.46
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.03 0.65
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.74
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.65 0.83
Felix Passlack DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.59
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.00
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.05 0.08
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dani de Wit AMC 64 0 0 2 1 0.32 0.03 0.34
Anthony Losilla MC 64 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.30 0.30
Moritz Broschinski Sub 26 0 1 2 1 0.11 0.58 0.62
Lukas Daschner Sub 26 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.29 0.37
Koji Miyoshi Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Aliou Balde Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jonas Wind AMC 90 2 0 4 3 1.69 0.49 0.64
Mohammed Amoura FW 90 0 2 3 3 0.47 0.54 0.66
Sebastiaan Bornauw DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Maximilian Arnold MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.05 0.61
Denis Vavro DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.08
Kamil Grabara GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Konstantinos Koulierakis DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Jakub Kaminski ML 83 0 0 3 1 0.15 0.09 0.30
Aster Vranckx MC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Tiago Tomás FW 77 1 0 3 0 0.32 0.00 0.60
Bote Baku MR 77 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.07 0.16
Patrick Wimmer Sub 13 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.08 0.15
Kilian Fischer Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Salih Özcan Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Yannick Gerhardt Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Joakim Maehle Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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