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Bologna v Verona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 30 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–3
2.86 – 0.80 xG
Shots
24 – 7
On target
7 – 3
Shots in box
15 – 7
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
1.79 – 0.03
Goals − xG
-0.94 – +2.20
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.53.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Benjamín Domínguez 19' — goalAmin Sarr 37' — goalCasper Tengstedt 46' — goalBenjamín Domínguez 57' — goal
Bologna 2.94 xGVerona 0.80 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Suat Serdar 5' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Giovanni Fabbian 6' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Tommaso Pobega 16' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jens Odgaard 17' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Santiago Castro 18' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Benjamín Domínguez 19' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Tomás Suslov 20' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tommaso Pobega 28' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Giovanni Fabbian 33' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Tommaso Pobega 33' — Saved Shot (0.57 xG, Set Piece)Emil Holm 34' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jens Odgaard 34' — Shot On Post (0.50 xG, Open Play)Amin Sarr 37' — Goal (0.31 xG, Open Play)Benjamín Domínguez 44' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jens Odgaard 46' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Casper Tengstedt 46' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Tomás Suslov 48' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Jens Odgaard 54' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Jens Odgaard 54' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Sam Beukema 55' — Blocked Shot (0.43 xG, From Corner)Benjamín Domínguez 57' — Goal (0.53 xG, Set Piece)Jens Odgaard 57' — Shot On Post (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Giovanni Fabbian 60' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Benjamín Domínguez 61' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Jens Odgaard 63' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Benjamín Domínguez 75' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Daniel Mosquera 80' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Suat Serdar 80' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Santiago Castro 87' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Set Piece)Santiago Castro 91' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Thijs Dallinga 92' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)
Bologna attacking right Verona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Verona Suat Serdar 0.03 From Corner Saved Shot
6' Bologna Giovanni Fabbian 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Remo Freuler
16' Bologna Tommaso Pobega 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
17' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.07 Open Play Missed Shot Benjamín Domínguez
18' Bologna Santiago Castro 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Remo Freuler
19' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Goal Santiago Castro
20' Verona Tomás Suslov 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Darko Lazovic
28' Bologna Tommaso Pobega 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Remo Freuler
33' Bologna Giovanni Fabbian 0.05 Set Piece Missed Shot Sam Beukema
33' Bologna Tommaso Pobega 0.57 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot Giovanni Fabbian
34' Bologna Emil Holm 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
34' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post
37' Verona Amin Sarr 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Goal Casper Tengstedt
44' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Juan Miranda
46' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Santiago Castro
46' Verona Casper Tengstedt 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Goal Suat Serdar
48' Verona Tomás Suslov 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ondrej Duda
54' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Santiago Castro
54' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
55' Bologna Sam Beukema 0.43 From Corner Blocked Shot Juan Miranda
57' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.53 Set Piece Right Foot Goal
57' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Shot On Post
60' Bologna Giovanni Fabbian 0.02 Set Piece Blocked Shot Jens Odgaard
61' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
63' Bologna Jens Odgaard 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Santiago Castro
75' Bologna Benjamín Domínguez 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Juan Miranda
80' Verona Daniel Mosquera 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Dailon Livramento
80' Verona Suat Serdar 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
87' Bologna Santiago Castro 0.00 Set Piece Own Goal
91' Bologna Santiago Castro 0.05 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Riccardo Orsolini
92' Bologna Thijs Dallinga 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Juan Miranda

Players

Bologna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jens Odgaard AMR 90 0 0 7 1 0.85 0.02 0.81
Sam Beukema DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.43 0.05 0.00
Santiago Castro FW 90 0 1 2 4 0.14 0.26 0.39
Giovanni Fabbian AMC 90 0 0 3 1 0.09 0.57 0.59
Emil Holm DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.21
Remo Freuler DMC 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.19 0.17
Lukasz Skorupski GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juan Miranda DL 90 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.52 0.20
Jhon Lucumí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Benjamín Domínguez AML 82 2 0 5 1 0.68 0.07 0.19
Tommaso Pobega DMC 53 0 0 3 0 0.66 0.00 0.12
Dan Ndoye Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thijs Dallinga Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Riccardo Orsolini Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.00
Lorenzo De Silvestri Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Verona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Suat Serdar MC 90 0 1 2 1 0.11 0.07 0.20
Ondrej Duda MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.31
Lorenzo Montipò GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jackson Tchatchoua DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Daniele Ghilardi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Diego Coppola DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Amin Sarr FW 72 1 0 1 0 0.31 0.00 0.48
Casper Tengstedt FW 72 1 1 1 1 0.07 0.31 0.44
Tomás Suslov MC 61 0 0 2 0 0.16 0.00 0.16
Pawel Dawidowicz DC 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Domagoj Bradaric Sub 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Giangiacomo Magnani Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reda Belahyane Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Darko Lazovic DL 29 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Daniel Mosquera Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.14 0.00 0.14
Dailon Livramento Sub 18 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.14
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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