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Eintracht Frankfurt v Wolfsburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 2 February 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Eintracht Frankfurt
1–1
1.70 – 1.46 xG
Wolfsburg
Shots
17 – 11
On target
4 – 2
Shots in box
11 – 7
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.57 – 0.09
Goals − xG
-0.70 – -0.46
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Can Uzun 80' — goal
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.70 xGWolfsburg 1.46 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Joakim Maehle 1' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Yannick Gerhardt 4' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ansgar Knauff 6' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 10' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Mattias Svanberg 18' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oscar Højlund 24' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 29' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Mohammed Amoura 30' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mattias Svanberg 31' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Mattias Svanberg 46' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Tuta 49' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 49' — Blocked Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Arthur Theate 54' — Saved Shot (0.44 xG, Set Piece)Arthur Theate 61' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 73' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 73' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Konstantinos Koulierakis 74' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Hugo Ekitike 75' — Shot On Post (0.05 xG, Open Play)Rasmus Kristensen 76' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mario Götze 77' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Denis Vavro 78' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Can Uzun 80' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Niels Nkounkou 82' — Missed Shot (0.39 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 86' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Lukas Nmecha 87' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 88' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Can Uzun 92' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Niels Nkounkou 92' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Eintracht Frankfurt attacking right Wolfsburg attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Wolfsburg Joakim Maehle 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tiago Tomás
4' Wolfsburg Yannick Gerhardt 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Mohammed Amoura
6' Eintracht Frankfurt Ansgar Knauff 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Hugo Ekitike
10' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
18' Wolfsburg Mattias Svanberg 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
24' Eintracht Frankfurt Oscar Højlund 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
29' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.03 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot Maximilian Arnold
30' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
31' Wolfsburg Mattias Svanberg 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jonas Wind
46' Wolfsburg Mattias Svanberg 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tiago Tomás
49' Eintracht Frankfurt Tuta 0.00 Open Play Right Foot Own Goal —
49' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.35 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonas Wind
54' Eintracht Frankfurt Arthur Theate 0.44 Set Piece — Saved Shot Nathaniel Brown
61' Eintracht Frankfurt Arthur Theate 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jean Négoce
73' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Niels Nkounkou
73' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Hugo Larsson
74' Wolfsburg Konstantinos Koulierakis 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
75' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Jean Négoce
76' Eintracht Frankfurt Rasmus Kristensen 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nnamdi Collins
77' Eintracht Frankfurt Mario Götze 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Can Uzun
78' Wolfsburg Denis Vavro 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
80' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.35 Open Play — Goal Jean Négoce
82' Eintracht Frankfurt Niels Nkounkou 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
86' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
87' Wolfsburg Lukas Nmecha 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kevin Behrens
88' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Hugo Ekitike
92' Eintracht Frankfurt Can Uzun 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Jean Négoce
92' Eintracht Frankfurt Niels Nkounkou 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Hugo Larsson

Players

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Arthur Theate DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.46 0.00 0.51
Hugo Ekitike FW 90 0 0 3 2 0.16 0.08 0.25
Mario Götze AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.12
Tuta DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.50
Nnamdi Collins DMR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.15
Kevin Trapp GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Rasmus Kristensen Sub 76 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.51
Ellyes Skhiri MC 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Nathaniel Brown DML 71 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.44 0.02
Ansgar Knauff AMC 60 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Oscar Højlund MC 60 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Jean Négoce Sub 30 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.44 0.45
Hugo Larsson Sub 30 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.08 0.51
Can Uzun Sub 19 1 0 5 1 0.49 0.06 0.46
Niels Nkounkou Sub 19 0 0 2 1 0.41 0.04 0.50
Robin Koch DC 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Joakim Maehle DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.44 0.00 0.76
Yannick Gerhardt MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.76
Denis Vavro DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.67
Konstantinos Koulierakis DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.69
Maximilian Arnold DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.76
Kilian Fischer DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.86
Mohammed Amoura FW 88 0 0 3 1 0.42 0.04 0.39
Jonas Wind FW 88 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.67 1.20
Mattias Svanberg MC 78 0 0 3 0 0.43 0.00 0.87
Tiago Tomás MC 78 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.53 0.85
Kamil Grabara GK 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marius Müller Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mads Roerslev Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bence Dárdai Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lukas Nmecha Sub 2 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Kevin Behrens Sub 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.10
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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