Leyton Orient v Stevenage — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League One · 2627
ENG-League One results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.1%
- 1-0 12.5%
- 0-1 10.6%
- 0-0 10.0%
- 2-1 8.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 40.5% | Under 2.5 | 59.5% |
| BTTS yes | 46.5% | BTTS no | 53.5% |
| Leyton Orient 1+ | 71.3% | Leyton Orient 2+ | 35.5% |
| Stevenage 1+ | 65.2% | Stevenage 2+ | 28.4% |
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- At home Leyton Orient average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Leyton Orient have only 1 matches on record.
- Stevenage have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Leyton Orient have an estimated 40.7% win probability, against 31.2% for Stevenage and 28.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Leyton Orient and 1.05 for Stevenage.
Why Leyton Orient
At home Leyton Orient average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.1%. A combined 2.30 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.05.
Why Stevenage can win
Stevenage carry the stronger rating, 1531 Elo against 1500. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Leyton Orient, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Stevenage, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Leyton Orient: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Stevenage: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Leyton Orient are the model's most likely outcome at 40.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.27–1.10 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.27–1.16 | 1-1 13% | 44% | 49% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient to win | 40.4% | 41.6% | 45.1% | 0.92× | 2.41 |
| Stevenage to win | 31.9% | 31.5% | 29.5% | 1.07× | 3.17 |
| Draw | 27.7% | 27.1% | 25.6% | 1.06× | 3.69 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient & not both score | 24.0% | 21.7% | 24.6% | 0.88× | 4.61 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 0.93× | 5.52 |
| Stevenage & not both score | 18.7% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 1.13× | 5.52 |
| Leyton Orient & both teams score | 16.4% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 0.87× | 5.52 |
| Stevenage & both teams score | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 0.93× | 7.88 |
| Draw & not both score | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.24× | 13.07 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient & under 3.5 | 31.0% | 31.8% | 31.4% | 1.01× | 3.15 |
| Leyton Orient & over 1.5 | 28.5% | 26.4% | 33.0% | 0.80× | 3.79 |
| Stevenage & under 3.5 | 25.1% | 26.4% | 21.7% | 1.22× | 3.79 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 1.18× | 4.58 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 1.18× | 4.58 |
| Stevenage & over 1.5 | 21.6% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 1.02× | 4.58 |
| Leyton Orient & over 2.5 | 20.9% | 21.8% | 27.7% | 0.79× | 4.58 |
| Leyton Orient & under 2.5 | 19.5% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 1.01× | 5.64 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.4% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 0.91× | 5.64 |
| Stevenage & over 2.5 | 16.0% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 1.04× | 5.64 |
| Stevenage & under 2.5 | 15.9% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 1.40× | 5.64 |
| Leyton Orient & under 1.5 | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.06 |
| Stevenage & under 1.5 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 1.50× | 8.06 |
| Leyton Orient & over 3.5 | 9.4% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.20 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.23× | 13.20 |
| Stevenage & over 3.5 | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 0.96× | 13.21 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.04× | 13.21 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.04× | 13.21 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient (1UP) | 55.0% | 54.4% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Stevenage (1UP) | 47.5% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient (2UP) | 40.4% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Stevenage (2UP) | 31.9% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 38.5% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Leyton Orient to win 2nd half | 32.8% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Stevenage to win 2nd half | 28.8% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.53 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage (+2.5) | 93.7% | 92.3% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Stevenage (+1.5) | 82.0% | 83.2% | 80.1% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| Leyton Orient (+0.5) | 68.1% | 67.9% | 70.6% | 0.96× | 1.47 |
| Stevenage (+0.5) | 59.6% | 58.3% | 54.9% | 1.06× | 1.71 |
| Leyton Orient (-0.5) | 40.4% | 41.7% | 45.1% | 0.92× | 2.40 |
| Stevenage (-0.5) | 31.9% | 32.1% | 29.5% | 1.09× | 3.12 |
| Leyton Orient (-1.5) | 18.0% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 0.84× | 5.95 |
| Leyton Orient (-2.5) | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.98 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage to concede | 72.0% | 75.6% | 78.0% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| Stevenage clean sheet | 28.0% | 24.4% | 22.0% | 1.11× | 4.10 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage clean sheet in 1st half | 57.8% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Stevenage to concede in 1st half | 42.2% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage under 3.5 goals | 97.4% | 97.3% | 96.8% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Stevenage under 2.5 goals | 90.1% | 92.2% | 88.4% | 1.04× | 1.09 |
| Stevenage under 1.5 goals | 69.9% | 67.5% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.48 |
| Stevenage over 0.5 goals | 66.7% | 67.5% | 69.4% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Stevenage under 0.5 goals | 33.3% | 32.5% | 30.6% | 1.06× | 3.08 |
| Stevenage over 1.5 goals | 30.1% | 32.5% | 33.3% | 0.97× | 3.08 |
| Stevenage over 2.5 goals | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 0.67× | 12.74 |
| Stevenage over 3.5 goals | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 0.83× | 37.12 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.8% | 93.8% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Stevenage under 0.5 in 1st half | 64.4% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Stevenage over 0.5 in 1st half | 35.6% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Stevenage over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.2% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.20 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient (away no bet) | 59.4% | 58.7% | 63.8% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 40.6% | 41.3% | 36.2% | 1.14× | 2.42 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage even goals | 55.6% | 56.4% | 54.7% | 1.03× | 1.77 |
| Stevenage odd goals | 44.5% | 43.6% | 45.3% | 0.96× | 2.29 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 89.5% | 86.9% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 10.5% | 13.1% | — | — | 7.64 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 55.8% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 44.2% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.48 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 48.4% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Leyton Orient to score 2+ in a row | 29.5% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.74 |
| Stevenage to score 2+ in a row | 23.3% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 15.0% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.89 |
| Leyton Orient to score 3+ in a row | 9.1% | 7.8% | — | — | 12.89 |
| Stevenage to score 3+ in a row | 6.1% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.99 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 0.90× | 8.91 |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 0.91× | 8.91 |
| 0-1 | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 1.36× | 8.91 |
| 0-2 | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.64× | 13.45 |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.00× | 13.45 |
| 2-0 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.35× | 13.45 |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 0.78× | 13.45 |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.21× | 13.45 |
| 0-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.34 |
| 0-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.35 |
| 1-3 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.34 |
| 1-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.65× | 58.35 |
| 2-2 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 58.34 |
| 2-3 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.96× | 58.34 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.30× | 58.35 |
| 3-0 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.34 |
| 3-1 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.42× | 58.34 |
| 3-2 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.34 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.18× | 58.35 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.30× | 58.35 |
| 4-0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.35 |
| 4-1 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.34 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.65× | 58.35 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.65× | 58.35 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.59× | 58.35 |
| Any other score | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.34 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient leading at HT (DNB) | 56.9% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Stevenage leading at HT (DNB) | 43.1% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.33 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient or Stevenage (12) | 72.3% | 72.9% | 74.4% | 0.98× | 1.37 |
| Leyton Orient or draw (1X) | 68.1% | 68.5% | 70.6% | 0.97× | 1.46 |
| Stevenage or draw (X2) | 59.6% | 58.4% | 54.9% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient or draw at HT | 77.0% | 76.8% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Stevenage or draw at HT | 69.7% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Leyton Orient or Stevenage at HT | 53.2% | 53.9% | — | — | 1.85 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient or draw (1UP) | 68.1% | 71.4% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Stevenage or draw (1UP) | 59.6% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient or draw in 2nd half | 71.2% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Stevenage or draw in 2nd half | 67.2% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Leyton Orient or Stevenage in 2nd half | 61.5% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 67.3% | 65.2% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Neither half drawn | 32.7% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.87 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient (DNB) | 55.9% | 57.0% | 60.5% | 0.94× | 1.76 |
| Stevenage (DNB) | 44.1% | 43.0% | 39.5% | 1.09× | 2.32 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient to score first | 48.7% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Stevenage to score first | 42.0% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
| No goal scored | 9.3% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.56 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 52.0% | 51.6% | 46.4% | 1.11× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 48.0% | 48.4% | 53.6% | 0.90× | 2.07 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 36.1% | 1.15× | 2.40 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 35.0% | 34.0% | 41.3% | 0.82× | 2.94 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 0.95× | 8.41 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 0.80× | 11.85 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.1% | 85.7% | 85.9% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 1.01× | 7.01 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 75.1% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 24.9% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 63.8% | 60.7% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 21.2% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.3% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.43 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.7% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.60 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 85.0% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.0% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.47 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 53.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| A goal in each half | 47.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.11 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.0% | 46.5% | 45.0% | 1.03× | 2.15 |
| 0-1 goals | 31.5% | 31.2% | 26.4% | 1.18× | 3.21 |
| 4-6 goals | 20.5% | 23.5% | 27.2% | 0.86× | 4.26 |
| 7+ goals | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.13× | 49.78 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 36.0% | 36.2% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Stevenage to score exactly 0 | 33.3% | 32.3% | 30.6% | 1.06× | 3.09 |
| Stevenage to score exactly 2 | 20.1% | 23.2% | 21.8% | 1.06× | 4.30 |
| Stevenage to score 3+ | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 0.74× | 11.62 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient to score exactly 1 | 35.6% | 36.6% | 36.1% | 1.01× | 2.73 |
| Leyton Orient to score exactly 0 | 28.0% | 26.4% | 22.0% | 1.20× | 3.78 |
| Leyton Orient to score exactly 2 | 22.7% | 22.9% | 22.5% | 1.02× | 4.38 |
| Leyton Orient to score 3+ | 13.7% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 0.67× | 7.53 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 46.8% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Leyton Orient leading at HT | 30.3% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Stevenage leading at HT | 23.0% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.31 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient -1: 2 | 59.6% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Leyton Orient -1: X | 22.4% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.29 |
| Leyton Orient -1: 1 | 18.0% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.61 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage (0:1) | 59.6% | 57.8% | 54.9% | 1.05× | 1.73 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.4% | 23.6% | 25.4% | 0.93× | 4.24 |
| Leyton Orient (0:1) | 18.0% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 0.92× | 5.49 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage (0:2) | 82.0% | 82.9% | 80.1% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 1.15× | 8.81 |
| Leyton Orient (0:2) | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.97 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage (0:3) | 93.7% | 92.6% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.5% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 0.39× | 39.14 |
| Leyton Orient (0:3) | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 0.66× | 39.18 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage (0:4) | 98.2% | 97.7% | 96.1% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 0.51× | 70.72 |
| Leyton Orient (0:4) | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.09× | 70.76 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient (1:0) | 68.1% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 0.98× | 1.45 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 1.00× | 5.77 |
| Stevenage (1:0) | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 1.02× | 7.97 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient (2:0) | 87.4% | 88.1% | 87.7% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 0.84× | 15.11 |
| Stevenage (2:0) | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 0.62× | 35.89 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.1% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Halves equal | 27.1% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.8% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient to concede | 66.7% | 68.6% | 69.4% | 0.99× | 1.46 |
| Leyton Orient clean sheet | 33.3% | 31.4% | 30.6% | 1.03× | 3.19 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient clean sheet in 1st half | 64.4% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Leyton Orient to concede in 1st half | 35.6% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient under 3.5 goals | 96.0% | 96.6% | 93.0% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Leyton Orient under 2.5 goals | 86.3% | 87.3% | 80.3% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Leyton Orient over 0.5 goals | 72.0% | 73.1% | 78.0% | 0.94× | 1.37 |
| Leyton Orient under 1.5 goals | 63.6% | 62.4% | 57.9% | 1.08× | 1.60 |
| Leyton Orient over 1.5 goals | 36.4% | 37.6% | 42.1% | 0.89× | 2.66 |
| Leyton Orient under 0.5 goals | 28.0% | 26.9% | 22.0% | 1.22× | 3.71 |
| Leyton Orient over 2.5 goals | 13.7% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 0.64× | 7.87 |
| Leyton Orient over 3.5 goals | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 0.49× | 29.39 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.5% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Leyton Orient under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.8% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Leyton Orient over 0.5 in 1st half | 42.2% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Leyton Orient over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.5% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.18 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage (home no bet) | 53.6% | 52.0% | 53.5% | 0.97× | 1.92 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 46.4% | 48.0% | 46.5% | 1.03× | 2.08 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient even goals | 53.9% | 50.9% | 48.7% | 1.05× | 1.96 |
| Leyton Orient odd goals | 46.1% | 49.1% | 51.3% | 0.96× | 2.04 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 37.3% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.87 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.4% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.45 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.4% | 19.9% | — | — | 5.03 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.0% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.53 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.6% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.56 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.42 |
| Any other HT score | 2.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.45 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.47 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.0% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.49 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.56 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient at HT / Leyton Orient at FT | 23.2% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.77 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 18.0% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Stevenage at HT / Stevenage at FT | 16.5% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Draw at HT / Leyton Orient at FT | 15.3% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Draw at HT / Stevenage at FT | 13.5% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
| Leyton Orient at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.51 |
| Stevenage at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.51 |
| Leyton Orient at HT / Stevenage at FT | 1.9% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.58 |
| Stevenage at HT / Leyton Orient at FT | 1.9% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.58 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient to score last | 48.7% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Stevenage to score last | 42.0% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
| No goal scored | 9.3% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.56 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 90.7% | 93.5% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Leyton Orient to lead by 1 at any time | 55.0% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Stevenage to lead by 1 at any time | 47.5% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 40.3% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| Leyton Orient to lead by 2 at any time | 23.2% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.68 |
| Stevenage to lead by 2 at any time | 17.3% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.68 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 12.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
| Leyton Orient to lead by 3 at any time | 7.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.47 |
| Stevenage to lead by 3 at any time | 5.0% | 2.7% | — | — | 37.69 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.3% | 87.1% | 89.0% | 0.98× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.5% | 82.1% | 81.4% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| 1-3 goals | 69.2% | 68.2% | 65.2% | 1.05× | 1.47 |
| 2-6 goals | 67.4% | 68.2% | 72.0% | 0.95× | 1.47 |
| 2-5 goals | 65.1% | 68.2% | 68.8% | 0.99× | 1.47 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.3% | 58.9% | 61.2% | 0.96× | 1.70 |
| 1-2 goals | 48.4% | 47.4% | 42.4% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.0% | 47.4% | 45.0% | 1.05× | 2.11 |
| 3-6 goals | 41.2% | 43.6% | 50.0% | 0.87× | 2.30 |
| 3-5 goals | 38.9% | 39.0% | 46.8% | 0.83× | 2.56 |
| 3-4 goals | 33.1% | 34.7% | 39.2% | 0.89× | 2.88 |
| 4-6 goals | 20.5% | 23.7% | 27.2% | 0.87× | 4.22 |
| 4-5 goals | 18.2% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 0.79× | 5.30 |
| 5-6 goals | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 0.81× | 11.21 |
| 7+ goals | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.27× | 44.28 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage never behind | 35.7% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Leyton Orient never behind | 43.2% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 50.4% | 50.1% | 47.6% | 1.05× | 2.00 |
| Odd number of goals | 49.6% | 49.9% | 52.4% | 0.95× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.9% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.1% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.1% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.9% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.6% | 96.0% | 95.0% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 90.7% | 92.3% | 93.9% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.3% | 87.4% | 1.06× | 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78.4% | 77.0% | 71.2% | 1.08× | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.5% | 67.7% | 73.6% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57.7% | 57.8% | 48.4% | 1.19× | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.3% | 42.2% | 51.6% | 0.82× | 2.37 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31.5% | 32.3% | 26.4% | 1.23× | 3.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.6% | 23.0% | 28.8% | 0.80× | 4.34 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.26× | 12.91 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 0.61× | 12.91 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 0.79× | 25.20 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.9% | 97.3% | 98.2% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.4% | 97.3% | 94.6% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 89.5% | 86.6% | 84.9% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 72.8% | 72.1% | 62.7% | 1.15× | 1.39 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 57.3% | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 42.7% | 41.8% | 33.8% | 1.24× | 2.39 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 27.2% | 27.9% | 37.3% | 0.75× | 3.59 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 0.89× | 7.49 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 0.50× | 36.69 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.48× | 36.72 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.2% | 91.9% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 74.1% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 62.7% | 65.1% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 37.3% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 25.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 7.8% | 8.1% | — | — | 12.29 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 83.7% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 75.0% | 75.7% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 59.7% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 40.3% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 25.0% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.12 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 16.3% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.73 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage not to score in both halves | 82.8% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Leyton Orient not to score in both halves | 78.2% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Leyton Orient to score in both halves | 21.8% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.14 |
| Stevenage to score in both halves | 17.2% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 48.0% | 50.7% | 53.6% | 0.95× | 1.97 |
| Only Leyton Orient scores | 24.0% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 0.88× | 4.64 |
| Only Stevenage scores | 18.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 1.05× | 5.93 |
| Neither team scores | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.15× | 14.08 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.2% | 25.0% | 22.2% | 1.13× | 4.00 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 22.2% | 22.3% | 20.4% | 1.09× | 4.49 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.8% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 0.97× | 4.49 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 12.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 0.75× | 8.14 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.26× | 12.88 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 1.00× | 12.89 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 0.81× | 24.73 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 40.3% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.33 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.7% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 25.0% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.70 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage not to win both halves | 93.4% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Leyton Orient not to win both halves | 90.1% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Leyton Orient to win both halves | 9.9% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.44 |
| Stevenage to win both halves | 6.6% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.56 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage to win neither half | 54.9% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Leyton Orient to win either half | 53.1% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Leyton Orient to win neither half | 46.9% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Stevenage to win either half | 45.1% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage not to win to nil | 81.3% | 82.9% | 84.0% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Leyton Orient not to win to nil | 76.0% | 78.4% | 75.4% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Leyton Orient to win to nil | 24.0% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 0.88× | 4.63 |
| Stevenage to win to nil | 18.7% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 1.06× | 5.86 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% | 27.3% | 25.6% | 1.07× | 3.66 |
| Leyton Orient by 1 | 22.4% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 0.92× | 4.27 |
| Stevenage by 1 | 19.3% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 1.00× | 5.80 |
| Leyton Orient by 2 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 1.20× | 8.45 |
| Stevenage by 2 | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 0.92× | 13.77 |
| Leyton Orient by 3+ | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 0.71× | 13.77 |
| Stevenage by 3+ | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 0.66× | 33.45 |