Milton Keynes Dons v Peterborough United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-League One · 2627

ENG-League One results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Milton Keynes Dons

14:00 UTC

Peterborough United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 102h before kick-off

Milton Keynes Dons win

52.6%

Draw

22.9%

Peterborough United win

24.4%

532324

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.7%
1-0 9.2%
2-0 8.3%
1-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.5%	Under 2.5	42.5%
BTTS yes	57.8%	BTTS no	42.2%
Milton Keynes Dons 1+	83.8%	Milton Keynes Dons 2+	54.3%
Peterborough United 1+	69.0%	Peterborough United 2+	32.7%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 42%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

strong signal · 8007 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 86%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 6854 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Milton Keynes Dons carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1470.
At home Milton Keynes Dons average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Milton Keynes Dons have only 1 matches on record.
Peterborough United have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Milton Keynes Dons have an estimated 52.6% win probability, against 24.4% for Peterborough United and 22.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.17 for Peterborough United.

Why Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1470. At home Milton Keynes Dons average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%.

Why Peterborough United can win

Away from home Peterborough United average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Milton Keynes Dons, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Peterborough United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Milton Keynes Dons: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Peterborough United: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Milton Keynes Dons are the model's most likely outcome at 52.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532324	1.82–1.17	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522523	2.09–1.38	1-1 11%	67%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to win	47.9%	47.6%	45.1%	1.06×	2.10
Peterborough United to win	28.9%	27.7%	29.5%	0.94×	3.61
Draw	23.3%	24.6%	25.6%	0.96×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons & both teams score	25.7%	25.5%	20.7%	1.23×	3.93
Milton Keynes Dons & not both score	22.1%	21.8%	24.6%	0.88×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.55
Peterborough United & both teams score	16.2%	18.0%	13.6%	1.33×	5.55
Peterborough United & not both score	12.6%	13.2%	16.0%	0.83×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	6.1%	0.80×	20.26

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons & over 1.5	39.8%	34.7%	33.0%	1.05×	2.89
Milton Keynes Dons & over 2.5	32.6%	31.0%	27.7%	1.12×	3.22
Milton Keynes Dons & under 3.5	28.8%	25.9%	31.4%	0.83×	3.86
Peterborough United & over 1.5	22.8%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.63
Milton Keynes Dons & over 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.57
Peterborough United & over 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.57
Peterborough United & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	21.7%	0.83×	5.57
Milton Keynes Dons & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	18.4%	0.97×	5.57
Draw & under 3.5	15.2%	18.0%	18.4%	0.97×	5.57
Peterborough United & under 2.5	10.1%	12.9%	12.6%	1.02×	7.78
Peterborough United & over 3.5	10.0%	8.0%	7.9%	1.00×	12.56
Milton Keynes Dons & under 1.5	8.1%	8.0%	12.3%	0.65×	12.56
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	8.0%	7.3%	1.09×	12.56
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	8.0%	7.3%	1.09×	12.56
Peterborough United & under 1.5	6.1%	8.0%	8.3%	0.96×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.9%	6.1%	0.79×	20.52

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons (1UP)	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Peterborough United (1UP)	48.3%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons (2UP)	47.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Peterborough United (2UP)	28.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to win 2nd half	39.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	32.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Peterborough United to win 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United (+2.5)	88.6%	88.3%	89.8%	0.98×	1.13
Peterborough United (+1.5)	74.1%	73.7%	80.1%	0.92×	1.36
Milton Keynes Dons (+0.5)	71.1%	73.7%	70.6%	1.04×	1.36
Peterborough United (+0.5)	52.1%	52.0%	54.9%	0.95×	1.92
Milton Keynes Dons (-0.5)	47.9%	48.0%	45.1%	1.06×	2.08
Peterborough United (-0.5)	28.9%	26.3%	29.5%	0.89×	3.80
Milton Keynes Dons (-1.5)	25.9%	26.3%	19.9%	1.32×	3.80
Milton Keynes Dons (-2.5)	11.4%	11.7%	10.2%	1.14×	8.58

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United to concede	82.8%	81.3%	78.0%	1.04×	1.23
Peterborough United clean sheet	17.2%	18.7%	22.0%	0.85×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United clean sheet in 1st half	46.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Peterborough United to concede in 1st half	53.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.4%	96.8%	1.01×	1.03
Peterborough United under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.9%	88.4%	0.99×	1.14
Peterborough United over 0.5 goals	73.3%	71.9%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Peterborough United under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.4%	66.7%	0.95×	1.58
Peterborough United over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.6%	33.3%	1.10×	2.74
Peterborough United under 0.5 goals	26.7%	28.1%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Peterborough United over 2.5 goals	14.8%	12.1%	11.7%	1.04×	8.25
Peterborough United over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	38.72

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Peterborough United under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Peterborough United over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Peterborough United over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	5.9%	—	—	16.92

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons (away no bet)	67.3%	66.6%	63.8%	1.04×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	32.7%	33.4%	36.2%	0.92×	2.99

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United even goals	53.6%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.89
Peterborough United odd goals	46.4%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.2%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Milton Keynes Dons to score 2+ in a row	42.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Peterborough United to score 2+ in a row	27.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Milton Keynes Dons to score 3+ in a row	16.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Peterborough United to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.70

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.7%	11.4%	12.5%	0.91×	8.80
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.5%	0.77×	13.53
1-0	8.1%	7.4%	12.3%	0.60×	13.54
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.54
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	5.5%	1.34×	13.54
0-1	6.1%	7.4%	8.3%	0.90×	13.54
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.54
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.0%	1.83×	13.54
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	57.56
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	57.56
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.89×	57.57
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	57.58
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.56
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.68×	57.57
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	57.57
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.37×	57.58
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	57.56
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.56
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.19×	57.57
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.37×	57.58
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.89×	57.57
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	57.57
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.68×	57.57
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.68×	57.58
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.73×	57.58
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.56

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons leading at HT (DNB)	61.8%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Peterborough United leading at HT (DNB)	38.2%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons or Peterborough United (12)	76.7%	75.4%	74.4%	1.01×	1.33
Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X)	71.1%	72.3%	70.6%	1.02×	1.38
Peterborough United or draw (X2)	52.1%	52.4%	54.9%	0.95×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons or draw at HT	77.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Peterborough United or draw at HT	62.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Milton Keynes Dons or Peterborough United at HT	60.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1UP)	71.1%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Peterborough United or draw (1UP)	52.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons or draw in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Milton Keynes Dons or Peterborough United in 2nd half	67.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Peterborough United or draw in 2nd half	60.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons (DNB)	62.4%	63.0%	60.5%	1.04×	1.59
Peterborough United (DNB)	37.6%	37.0%	39.5%	0.94×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to score first	54.5%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Peterborough United to score first	40.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.7%	56.5%	53.6%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.3%	43.5%	46.4%	0.94×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.0%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.9%	33.4%	36.1%	0.93×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	12.3%	12.5%	0.98×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	10.5%	0.80×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.0%	82.4%	85.9%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	20.0%	17.6%	14.1%	1.25×	5.70

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	7.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
A half without a goal	39.7%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	41.9%	45.0%	0.93×	2.39
4-6 goals	33.3%	30.9%	27.2%	1.14×	3.24
0-1 goals	18.8%	20.2%	26.4%	0.77×	4.94
7+ goals	3.8%	1.9%	1.8%	1.05×	53.76

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.8%	36.2%	0.99×	2.80
Peterborough United to score exactly 0	26.7%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.62
Peterborough United to score exactly 2	23.3%	22.5%	21.8%	1.03×	4.44
Peterborough United to score 3+	14.8%	13.0%	11.7%	1.12×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.6%	36.1%	0.90×	3.07
Milton Keynes Dons to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.83
Milton Keynes Dons to score 3+	25.9%	26.1%	19.7%	1.32×	3.83
Milton Keynes Dons to score exactly 0	17.2%	19.2%	22.0%	0.87×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Milton Keynes Dons leading at HT	37.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Peterborough United leading at HT	23.0%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons -1: 2	52.1%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Milton Keynes Dons -1: 1	25.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Milton Keynes Dons -1: X	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United (0:1)	52.1%	51.2%	54.9%	0.93×	1.95
Milton Keynes Dons (0:1)	25.9%	27.1%	19.9%	1.36×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.4%	25.4%	0.96×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United (0:2)	74.1%	75.9%	80.1%	0.95×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.5%	10.9%	9.9%	1.10×	9.21
Milton Keynes Dons (0:2)	11.4%	10.8%	10.2%	1.06×	9.22

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United (0:3)	88.6%	90.5%	89.8%	1.01×	1.11
Draw (0:3)	7.3%	5.9%	6.5%	0.91×	16.93
Milton Keynes Dons (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	3.9%	0.61×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United (0:4)	95.8%	98.1%	96.1%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.8%	0.45×	81.66
Milton Keynes Dons (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	81.83

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons (1:0)	71.1%	72.6%	70.6%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.5%	17.1%	17.3%	0.99×	5.86
Peterborough United (1:0)	12.4%	12.8%	12.3%	1.04×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons (2:0)	87.6%	88.3%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.2%	6.6%	7.9%	0.83×	15.22
Peterborough United (2:0)	4.2%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	41.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to concede	73.3%	73.2%	69.4%	1.05×	1.37
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet	26.7%	26.8%	30.6%	0.88×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Milton Keynes Dons to concede in 1st half	41.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons under 3.5 goals	89.8%	87.2%	93.0%	0.94×	1.15
Milton Keynes Dons over 0.5 goals	82.8%	81.9%	78.0%	1.05×	1.22
Milton Keynes Dons under 2.5 goals	74.1%	74.3%	80.3%	0.93×	1.35
Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals	52.5%	52.8%	42.1%	1.25×	1.90
Milton Keynes Dons under 1.5 goals	47.5%	47.2%	57.9%	0.82×	2.12
Milton Keynes Dons over 2.5 goals	25.9%	25.7%	19.7%	1.30×	3.89
Milton Keynes Dons under 0.5 goals	17.2%	18.1%	22.0%	0.82×	5.53
Milton Keynes Dons over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.8%	7.0%	1.84×	7.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Milton Keynes Dons under 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Milton Keynes Dons over 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United (home no bet)	55.3%	56.1%	53.5%	1.05×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.7%	43.9%	46.5%	0.95×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons even goals	51.5%	50.4%	48.7%	1.03×	1.98
Milton Keynes Dons odd goals	48.5%	49.6%	51.3%	0.97×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons at HT / Milton Keynes Dons at FT	29.2%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Draw at HT / Milton Keynes Dons at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Peterborough United at HT / Peterborough United at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Peterborough United at FT	11.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Milton Keynes Dons at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Peterborough United at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Peterborough United at HT / Milton Keynes Dons at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Milton Keynes Dons at HT / Peterborough United at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to score last	54.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Peterborough United to score last	40.9%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Milton Keynes Dons to lead by 1 at any time	64.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Peterborough United to lead by 1 at any time	48.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Milton Keynes Dons to lead by 2 at any time	33.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Peterborough United to lead by 2 at any time	18.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Milton Keynes Dons to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Peterborough United to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.17

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	89.0%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.5%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.6%	78.5%	81.4%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.2%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.1%	61.2%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.3%	59.3%	65.2%	0.91×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.7%	59.2%	50.0%	1.18×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.2%	53.4%	46.8%	1.14×	1.87
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	45.0%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.3%	39.2%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.0%	39.3%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.3%	35.3%	27.2%	1.30×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.9%	30.6%	23.9%	1.28×	3.26
5-6 goals	16.1%	18.9%	11.0%	1.71×	5.30
7+ goals	3.8%	2.6%	1.8%	1.45×	38.85

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons never behind	47.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Peterborough United never behind	31.0%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	52.4%	0.97×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	47.6%	1.03×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	93.9%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Over 1.5 goals	81.2%	82.1%	73.6%	1.12×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.2%	82.1%	87.4%	0.94×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	62.9%	61.9%	71.2%	0.87×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.5%	58.5%	51.6%	1.13×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.5%	41.5%	48.4%	0.86×	2.41
Over 3.5 goals	37.1%	38.1%	28.8%	1.32×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	19.8%	17.9%	12.6%	1.42×	5.60
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	17.9%	26.4%	0.68×	5.60
Over 5.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	5.0%	1.56×	12.81
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	6.1%	0.75×	21.70

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.1%	98.2%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.7%	86.6%	94.6%	0.92×	1.16
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.0%	75.8%	66.2%	1.15×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.0%	75.8%	84.9%	0.89×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.2%	52.4%	62.7%	0.84×	1.91
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.8%	47.6%	37.3%	1.28×	2.10
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.0%	24.2%	33.8%	0.71×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.0%	24.2%	15.1%	1.61×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.3%	13.4%	5.4%	2.47×	7.46
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.9%	1.8%	1.55×	35.05

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.1%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.8%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Milton Keynes Dons not to score in both halves	66.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Milton Keynes Dons to score in both halves	33.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Peterborough United to score in both halves	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.7%	60.1%	53.6%	1.12×	1.66
Only Milton Keynes Dons scores	22.1%	22.0%	24.6%	0.90×	4.54
Only Peterborough United scores	12.6%	11.1%	16.0%	0.69×	9.02
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.7%	6.1%	0.76×	21.49

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.4%	23.0%	0.98×	4.46
Exactly 2 goals	21.8%	22.4%	22.2%	1.01×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	17.6%	16.3%	1.07×	5.70
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.0%	20.4%	0.59×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	10.6%	12.0%	7.8%	1.55×	8.31
6 or more goals	9.2%	7.8%	5.0%	1.55×	12.83
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.5%	6.1%	0.73×	22.19

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.6%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United not to win both halves	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Milton Keynes Dons not to win both halves	85.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Milton Keynes Dons to win both halves	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Peterborough United to win both halves	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Milton Keynes Dons to win either half	62.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Peterborough United to win neither half	55.5%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Peterborough United to win either half	44.5%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Milton Keynes Dons to win neither half	38.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Peterborough United not to win to nil	87.4%	87.9%	84.0%	1.05×	1.14
Milton Keynes Dons not to win to nil	77.9%	78.3%	75.4%	1.04×	1.28
Milton Keynes Dons to win to nil	22.1%	21.7%	24.6%	0.88×	4.62
Peterborough United to win to nil	12.6%	12.1%	16.0%	0.75×	8.29

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.3%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.14
Milton Keynes Dons by 1	21.9%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.14
Peterborough United by 1	16.5%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.92
Milton Keynes Dons by 2	14.5%	11.7%	9.9%	1.19×	8.52
Milton Keynes Dons by 3+	11.4%	11.7%	10.2%	1.15×	8.52
Peterborough United by 2	8.2%	7.3%	7.9%	0.92×	13.74
Peterborough United by 3+	4.2%	2.8%	4.5%	0.62×	35.50