Oxford United v Burton Albion — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-League One · 2627
ENG-League One
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 2.67–0.84 | 2-0 11% | 68% | 54% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to win | 63.7% | 58.2% | 45.2% | 1.29× | 1.72 |
| Draw | 18.5% | 19.3% | 25.6% | 0.76× | 5.17 |
| Burton Albion to win | 17.8% | 19.3% | 29.3% | 0.66× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United & both teams score | 36.5% | 33.2% | 20.7% | 1.60× | 3.02 |
| Oxford United & not both score | 27.1% | 25.2% | 24.6% | 1.02× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 0.91× | 5.58 |
| Burton Albion & both teams score | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 0.97× | 7.55 |
| Burton Albion & not both score | 6.4% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 0.53× | 11.95 |
| Draw & not both score | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 0.79× | 20.53 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United & over 1.5 | 57.2% | 55.0% | 33.1% | 1.66× | 1.82 |
| Oxford United & over 2.5 | 49.4% | 45.3% | 27.7% | 1.63× | 2.21 |
| Oxford United & over 3.5 | 33.7% | 30.9% | 13.9% | 2.21× | 3.24 |
| Oxford United & under 3.5 | 30.0% | 30.9% | 31.4% | 0.98× | 3.24 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Burton Albion & over 1.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 0.61× | 7.77 |
| Oxford United & under 2.5 | 14.3% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 0.73× | 7.77 |
| Burton Albion & over 2.5 | 12.6% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 0.76× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 0.70× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 0.70× | 7.78 |
| Burton Albion & under 3.5 | 10.8% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 0.60× | 7.78 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.69 |
| Oxford United & under 1.5 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 0.64× | 12.69 |
| Burton Albion & over 3.5 | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 0.99× | 12.69 |
| Burton Albion & under 2.5 | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 0.63× | 12.69 |
| Burton Albion & under 1.5 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 0.58× | 20.93 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 0.78× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (1UP) | 77.3% | 79.3% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Burton Albion (1UP) | 39.0% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (2UP) | 63.7% | 68.1% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Burton Albion (2UP) | 17.8% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to win 2nd half | 52.2% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| 2nd half drawn | 28.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Burton Albion to win 2nd half | 19.9% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.15 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (+0.5) | 82.2% | 82.4% | 70.7% | 1.17× | 1.21 |
| Burton Albion (+2.5) | 76.8% | 78.5% | 89.8% | 0.87× | 1.28 |
| Oxford United (-0.5) | 63.7% | 62.9% | 45.2% | 1.39× | 1.59 |
| Burton Albion (+1.5) | 58.1% | 57.0% | 80.1% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Oxford United (-1.5) | 41.9% | 43.0% | 19.9% | 2.16× | 2.33 |
| Burton Albion (+0.5) | 36.3% | 37.1% | 54.8% | 0.68× | 2.69 |
| Oxford United (-2.5) | 23.2% | 21.5% | 10.2% | 2.11× | 4.64 |
| Burton Albion (-0.5) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 29.3% | 0.60× | 5.68 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to concede | 90.9% | 91.7% | 78.1% | 1.17× | 1.09 |
| Burton Albion clean sheet | 9.1% | 8.3% | 21.9% | 0.38× | 12.01 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to concede in 1st half | 64.4% | 64.9% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Burton Albion clean sheet in 1st half | 35.6% | 35.1% | — | — | 2.85 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion under 3.5 goals | 96.5% | 97.6% | 96.8% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Burton Albion under 2.5 goals | 87.8% | 87.9% | 88.3% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Burton Albion over 0.5 goals | 70.2% | 71.9% | 69.4% | 1.04× | 1.39 |
| Burton Albion under 1.5 goals | 65.9% | 68.0% | 66.8% | 1.02× | 1.47 |
| Burton Albion over 1.5 goals | 34.1% | 32.0% | 33.2% | 0.96× | 3.12 |
| Burton Albion under 0.5 goals | 29.9% | 28.1% | 30.6% | 0.92× | 3.56 |
| Burton Albion over 2.5 goals | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 1.04× | 8.25 |
| Burton Albion over 3.5 goals | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 0.75× | 41.01 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.5% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Burton Albion under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.7% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Burton Albion over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.3% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
| Burton Albion over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.5% | 5.9% | — | — | 16.95 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (away no bet) | 77.5% | 73.7% | 63.8% | 1.15× | 1.36 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 22.5% | 26.3% | 36.2% | 0.73× | 3.80 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion even goals | 54.5% | 52.8% | 54.6% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| Burton Albion odd goals | 45.5% | 47.2% | 45.4% | 1.04× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 72.4% | 77.2% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 27.7% | 22.8% | — | — | 4.38 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 78.9% | 72.9% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 21.1% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 72.1% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Oxford United to score 2+ in a row | 60.0% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 35.1% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Oxford United to score 3+ in a row | 30.5% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Burton Albion to score 2+ in a row | 22.2% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
| Burton Albion to score 3+ in a row | 5.3% | 5.5% | — | — | 18.12 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 10.2% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 3.36× | 8.73 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.78× | 13.46 |
| 1-0 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 0.60× | 13.46 |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 0.60× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.35× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.83× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.24× | 13.46 |
| 3-0 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.64× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 7.5% | 0.23× | 58.56 |
| 0-0 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 58.58 |
| 0-1 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 8.3% | 0.21× | 58.57 |
| 0-2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.58 |
| 0-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.59 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.58 |
| 1-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 2-3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.96× | 58.58 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.27× | 58.59 |
| 3-2 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.57 |
| 3-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.27× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.57 |
| 4-1 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.57 |
| 4-2 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.58 |
| 4-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.53× | 58.59 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United leading at HT (DNB) | 74.0% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Burton Albion leading at HT (DNB) | 26.0% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United or draw (1X) | 82.2% | 80.7% | 70.7% | 1.14× | 1.24 |
| Oxford United or Burton Albion (12) | 81.5% | 80.7% | 74.4% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Burton Albion or draw (X2) | 36.3% | 41.8% | 54.8% | 0.76× | 2.39 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United or draw at HT | 82.9% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Oxford United or Burton Albion at HT | 65.6% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Burton Albion or draw at HT | 51.5% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United or draw (1UP) | 82.2% | 88.5% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Burton Albion or draw (1UP) | 39.0% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United or draw in 2nd half | 80.1% | 80.6% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Oxford United or Burton Albion in 2nd half | 72.0% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Burton Albion or draw in 2nd half | 47.8% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 52.7% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Neither half drawn | 47.3% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (DNB) | 78.1% | 74.7% | 60.7% | 1.23× | 1.34 |
| Burton Albion (DNB) | 21.9% | 25.3% | 39.3% | 0.64× | 3.95 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to score first | 64.7% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Burton Albion to score first | 32.6% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.70 |
| No goal scored | 2.7% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.15 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 63.8% | 56.5% | 53.6% | 1.05× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 36.2% | 43.5% | 46.4% | 0.94× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 55.9% | 47.2% | 41.3% | 1.14× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 22.3% | 27.7% | 36.0% | 0.77× | 3.61 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 1.17× | 8.11 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 0.67× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 76.5% | 80.0% | 85.9% | 0.93× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 23.5% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 1.42× | 5.00 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 61.6% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 38.4% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.95 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 46.4% | 53.7% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 28.9% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Both score 1st half only | 15.2% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.44 |
| Both score in both halves | 9.5% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.80 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 75.3% | 81.6% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 24.7% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.43 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 68.4% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| A half without a goal | 31.6% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.02 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 41.3% | 42.1% | 27.2% | 1.55× | 2.38 |
| 2-3 goals | 38.9% | 35.0% | 44.9% | 0.78× | 2.86 |
| 0-1 goals | 12.5% | 16.9% | 26.4% | 0.64× | 5.91 |
| 7+ goals | 7.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 4.27× | 13.14 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to score exactly 1 | 36.1% | 36.0% | 36.3% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Burton Albion to score exactly 0 | 29.9% | 27.4% | 30.6% | 0.89× | 3.65 |
| Burton Albion to score exactly 2 | 21.8% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 1.03× | 4.47 |
| Burton Albion to score 3+ | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 1.10× | 7.80 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to score 3+ | 43.0% | 35.1% | 19.8% | 1.77× | 2.85 |
| Oxford United to score exactly 2 | 26.1% | 26.5% | 22.5% | 1.18× | 3.77 |
| Oxford United to score exactly 1 | 21.8% | 23.3% | 36.1% | 0.64× | 4.30 |
| Oxford United to score exactly 0 | 9.1% | 10.3% | 21.9% | 0.47× | 9.68 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United leading at HT | 48.5% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Draw at HT | 34.4% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
| Burton Albion leading at HT | 17.1% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.31 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United -1: 1 | 41.9% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Oxford United -1: 2 | 36.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Oxford United -1: X | 21.8% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (0:1) | 41.9% | 42.7% | 19.9% | 2.14× | 2.34 |
| Burton Albion (0:1) | 36.3% | 37.3% | 54.8% | 0.68× | 2.68 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.8% | 24.3% | 25.4% | 0.95× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (0:2) | 58.1% | 62.8% | 80.1% | 0.78× | 1.59 |
| Oxford United (0:2) | 23.2% | 20.3% | 10.2% | 1.99× | 4.92 |
| Draw (0:2) | 18.7% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 1.55× | 6.53 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (0:3) | 76.8% | 80.6% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Draw (0:3) | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.55× | 9.97 |
| Oxford United (0:3) | 10.9% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 2.57× | 10.00 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (0:4) | 89.1% | 92.0% | 96.1% | 0.96× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.67× | 21.69 |
| Oxford United (0:4) | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.93× | 82.96 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (1:0) | 82.2% | 81.5% | 70.7% | 1.15× | 1.23 |
| Draw (1:0) | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 0.74× | 7.81 |
| Burton Albion (1:0) | 6.9% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 0.57× | 14.49 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United (2:0) | 93.1% | 94.0% | 87.8% | 1.07× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 4.7% | 2.3% | 7.8% | 0.29× | 44.11 |
| Burton Albion (2:0) | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.50× | 44.28 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 51.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 21.1% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to concede | 70.2% | 73.0% | 69.4% | 1.05× | 1.37 |
| Oxford United clean sheet | 29.9% | 27.0% | 30.6% | 0.88× | 3.70 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United clean sheet in 1st half | 61.7% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Oxford United to concede in 1st half | 38.3% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United over 0.5 goals | 90.9% | 92.2% | 78.1% | 1.18× | 1.08 |
| Oxford United under 3.5 goals | 77.9% | 77.7% | 93.0% | 0.84× | 1.29 |
| Oxford United over 1.5 goals | 69.1% | 67.9% | 42.1% | 1.61× | 1.47 |
| Oxford United under 2.5 goals | 57.0% | 58.8% | 80.2% | 0.73× | 1.70 |
| Oxford United over 2.5 goals | 43.0% | 41.2% | 19.8% | 2.08× | 2.43 |
| Oxford United under 1.5 goals | 30.9% | 32.1% | 57.9% | 0.55× | 3.12 |
| Oxford United over 3.5 goals | 22.1% | 22.3% | 7.0% | 3.20× | 4.49 |
| Oxford United under 0.5 goals | 9.1% | 7.8% | 21.9% | 0.36× | 12.87 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United under 1.5 in 1st half | 72.4% | 79.3% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Oxford United over 0.5 in 1st half | 64.4% | 64.7% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Oxford United under 0.5 in 1st half | 35.6% | 35.3% | — | — | 2.84 |
| Oxford United over 1.5 in 1st half | 27.6% | 20.7% | — | — | 4.84 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 50.9% | 51.5% | 46.6% | 1.11× | 1.94 |
| Burton Albion (home no bet) | 49.1% | 48.5% | 53.4% | 0.91× | 2.06 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United even goals | 50.4% | 50.6% | 48.6% | 1.04× | 1.98 |
| Oxford United odd goals | 49.6% | 49.4% | 51.4% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1-0 | 22.7% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| HT 0-0 | 22.0% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| HT 2-0 | 11.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.05 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.0% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
| HT 0-1 | 10.6% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
| Any other HT score | 9.8% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| HT 2-1 | 5.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.13 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.7% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.73 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.6% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.74 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.83 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United at HT / Oxford United at FT | 42.0% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Draw at HT / Oxford United at FT | 17.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 9.6% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.51 |
| Burton Albion at HT / Burton Albion at FT | 9.2% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.52 |
| Draw at HT / Burton Albion at FT | 6.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.59 |
| Oxford United at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.09 |
| Burton Albion at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.12 |
| Burton Albion at HT / Oxford United at FT | 3.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.13 |
| Oxford United at HT / Burton Albion at FT | 1.8% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.21 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to score last | 64.7% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Burton Albion to score last | 32.6% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| No goal scored | 2.7% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.15 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 97.3% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Oxford United to lead by 1 at any time | 77.3% | 78.6% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 62.4% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Oxford United to lead by 2 at any time | 50.2% | 50.5% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Burton Albion to lead by 1 at any time | 39.0% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 30.9% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Oxford United to lead by 3 at any time | 27.4% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Burton Albion to lead by 2 at any time | 12.8% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.56 |
| Burton Albion to lead by 3 at any time | 3.5% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.33 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 81.7% | 83.5% | 89.0% | 0.94× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 80.2% | 83.5% | 72.0% | 1.16× | 1.20 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.8% | 72.4% | 68.7% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 67.8% | 69.0% | 81.4% | 0.85× | 1.45 |
| 3-6 goals | 62.5% | 63.5% | 50.1% | 1.27× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 58.0% | 59.2% | 61.1% | 0.97× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.2% | 53.2% | 46.8% | 1.13× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 48.7% | 48.7% | 65.2% | 0.75× | 2.06 |
| 4-6 goals | 41.3% | 43.6% | 27.2% | 1.60× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.4% | 43.6% | 39.2% | 1.11× | 2.29 |
| 2-3 goals | 38.9% | 39.2% | 44.9% | 0.87× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 33.0% | 35.4% | 24.0% | 1.47× | 2.83 |
| 1-2 goals | 27.5% | 30.2% | 42.3% | 0.71× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 22.1% | 24.4% | 11.0% | 2.22× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 7.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 4.90× | 11.44 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United never behind | 58.3% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Burton Albion never behind | 20.0% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.0% | 50.8% | 52.5% | 0.97× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.0% | 49.2% | 47.5% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.4% | 51.5% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.6% | 48.5% | — | — | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.8% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.2% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97.3% | 95.5% | 93.8% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% | 87.7% | 73.6% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 84.4% | 82.4% | 95.0% | 0.87× | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 70.5% | 72.5% | 87.4% | 0.83× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.8% | 66.3% | 51.7% | 1.28× | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51.4% | 52.4% | 71.2% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.6% | 47.6% | 28.8% | 1.65× | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30.2% | 33.7% | 48.3% | 0.70× | 2.97 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29.5% | 27.5% | 12.6% | 2.17× | 3.64 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 15.6% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 3.51× | 5.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12.5% | 12.3% | 26.4% | 0.47× | 8.11 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 0.73× | 22.21 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 92.0% | 92.5% | 98.2% | 0.94× | 1.08 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 84.8% | 81.1% | 66.2% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 81.8% | 81.1% | 94.6% | 0.86× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 63.6% | 62.1% | 84.9% | 0.73× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 61.7% | 62.1% | 37.4% | 1.66× | 1.61 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 38.3% | 37.9% | 62.6% | 0.61× | 2.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 36.4% | 37.9% | 15.1% | 2.51× | 2.64 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 18.2% | 18.9% | 5.4% | 3.47× | 5.30 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 15.2% | 18.9% | 33.8% | 0.56× | 5.30 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 8.0% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 4.09× | 13.26 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 80.5% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 78.0% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 55.3% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 44.7% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 22.0% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.69 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 19.5% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.32 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 87.7% | 85.4% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 65.2% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 61.8% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 38.2% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 34.8% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 12.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 6.86 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion not to score in both halves | 80.2% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Oxford United not to score in both halves | 52.1% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Oxford United to score in both halves | 47.9% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Burton Albion to score in both halves | 19.8% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 63.8% | 60.3% | 53.6% | 1.12× | 1.66 |
| Only Oxford United scores | 27.1% | 26.2% | 24.6% | 1.06× | 3.82 |
| Only Burton Albion scores | 6.4% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 0.45× | 13.95 |
| Neither team scores | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 0.75× | 21.77 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.2% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.2% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 1.07× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 17.6% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 0.79× | 5.73 |
| 6 or more goals | 15.6% | 17.4% | 5.0% | 3.47× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 13.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 1.55× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 9.8% | 7.6% | 20.4% | 0.37× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 0.72× | 22.63 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 61.8% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 25.8% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 12.3% | 14.5% | — | — | 6.92 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion not to win both halves | 96.6% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Oxford United not to win both halves | 74.7% | 73.2% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Oxford United to win both halves | 25.3% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.73 |
| Burton Albion to win both halves | 3.4% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.32 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United to win either half | 75.4% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Burton Albion to win neither half | 66.5% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Burton Albion to win either half | 33.5% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Oxford United to win neither half | 24.6% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.89 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion not to win to nil | 93.6% | 92.1% | 84.1% | 1.09× | 1.09 |
| Oxford United not to win to nil | 72.9% | 75.3% | 75.4% | 1.00× | 1.33 |
| Oxford United to win to nil | 27.1% | 24.7% | 24.6% | 1.00× | 4.04 |
| Burton Albion to win to nil | 6.4% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 0.50× | 12.59 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United by 3+ | 23.2% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 2.36× | 4.14 |
| Oxford United by 1 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 0.95× | 4.14 |
| Oxford United by 2 | 18.7% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 1.71× | 5.90 |
| Draw | 18.5% | 16.9% | 25.6% | 0.66× | 5.90 |
| Burton Albion by 1 | 11.0% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 0.68× | 8.47 |
| Burton Albion by 2 | 4.7% | 2.7% | 7.8% | 0.35× | 36.92 |
| Burton Albion by 3+ | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 0.60× | 37.00 |