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Parma Calcio 1913 v Verona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

Parma Calcio 1913
2–3
2.31 – 3.70 xG
Verona
Shots
19 – 17
On target
7 – 6
Shots in box
11 – 13
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.23
Set-piece xG
1.11 – 0.30
Goals − xG
-0.32 – -0.87
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.12.23.24.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Diego Coppola 4' — goalSimon Sohm 18' — goalAmin Sarr 56' — goalDaniel Mosquera 74' — goalSimon Sohm 89' — goal
Parma Calcio 1913 2.32 xGVerona 3.87 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Dennis Man 2' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Amin Sarr 3' — Blocked Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Diego Coppola 4' — Goal (0.21 xG, From Corner)Abdou Harroui 9' — Missed Shot (0.52 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 10' — Saved Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 18' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 18' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Simon Sohm 18' — Goal (0.59 xG, From Corner)Pawel Dawidowicz 20' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Abdou Harroui 33' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Reda Belahyane 33' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Amin Sarr 34' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Abdou Harroui 38' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Abdou Harroui 41' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 45' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Pontus Almqvist 45' — Missed Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Pontus Almqvist 47' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 48' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Enrico Del Prato 48' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Darko Lazovic 53' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Amin Sarr 56' — Goal (0.62 xG, Open Play)Pontus Almqvist 60' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Pontus Almqvist 61' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Abdou Harroui 62' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Abdou Harroui 64' — Missed Shot (0.65 xG, Open Play)Dailon Livramento 67' — Missed Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Emanuele Valeri 68' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 69' — Missed Shot (0.40 xG, Set Piece)Pontus Almqvist 72' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dailon Livramento 74' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Daniel Mosquera 74' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Reda Belahyane 81' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Pontus Almqvist 86' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Simon Sohm 87' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Simon Sohm 89' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Antoine Hainaut 92' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Parma Calcio 1913 attacking right Verona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nahuel Estévez
3' Verona Amin Sarr 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
4' Verona Diego Coppola 0.21 From Corner — Goal Abdou Harroui
9' Verona Abdou Harroui 0.52 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Darko Lazovic
10' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.42 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Anas Haj Mohamed
18' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Hernani
18' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Dennis Man
18' Parma Calcio 1913 Simon Sohm 0.60 From Corner Right Foot Goal —
20' Verona Pawel Dawidowicz 0.02 Set Piece — Missed Shot Tomás Suslov
33' Verona Abdou Harroui 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Reda Belahyane
33' Verona Reda Belahyane 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jackson Tchatchoua
34' Verona Amin Sarr 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Reda Belahyane
38' Verona Abdou Harroui 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
41' Verona Abdou Harroui 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Amin Sarr
45' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.14 Open Play — Missed Shot —
45' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.15 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dennis Man
47' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Enrico Del Prato
48' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Emanuele Valeri
48' Parma Calcio 1913 Enrico Del Prato 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot Anas Haj Mohamed
53' Verona Darko Lazovic 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tomás Suslov
56' Verona Amin Sarr 0.62 Open Play Right Foot Goal Abdou Harroui
60' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Enrico Del Prato
61' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
62' Verona Abdou Harroui 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jackson Tchatchoua
64' Verona Abdou Harroui 0.65 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Darko Lazovic
67' Verona Dailon Livramento 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
68' Parma Calcio 1913 Emanuele Valeri 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
69' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.40 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Ange-Yoan Bonny
72' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Emanuele Valeri
74' Verona Dailon Livramento 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jackson Tchatchoua
74' Verona Daniel Mosquera 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
81' Verona Reda Belahyane 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot —
86' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Emanuele Valeri
87' Parma Calcio 1913 Simon Sohm 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Emanuele Valeri
89' Parma Calcio 1913 Simon Sohm 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Mandela Keita
92' Parma Calcio 1913 Antoine Hainaut 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mandela Keita

Players

Parma Calcio 1913

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dennis Man AMR 90 0 0 4 2 0.94 0.18 0.69
Simon Sohm DMC 90 2 0 3 0 0.71 0.00 0.22
Ange-Yoan Bonny FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.19 0.40 0.86
Emanuele Valeri DL 90 0 0 1 4 0.04 0.23 0.31
Enrico Del Prato DR 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.15 0.17
Botond Balogh DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Zion Suzuki GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Anas Haj Mohamed Sub 70 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.44 0.52
Giovanni Leoni DC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Hernani AMC 46 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Matteo Cancellieri AML 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Pontus Almqvist Sub 44 0 0 6 0 0.38 0.00 0.35
Mandela Keita Sub 44 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.06 0.06
Antoine Hainaut Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.06
Adrian Benedyczak Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nahuel Estévez DMC 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02

Verona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Diego Coppola DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.21 0.00 0.65
Reda Belahyane MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.05 0.10 0.79
Pawel Dawidowicz DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.55
Ondrej Duda MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.73
Daniele Ghilardi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Lorenzo Montipò GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Jackson Tchatchoua DMR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.51 1.05
Tomás Suslov AMC 85 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.04 2.25
Abdou Harroui AMC 67 0 2 6 2 1.50 0.83 2.10
Amin Sarr FW 67 1 0 3 1 0.95 0.07 1.68
Darko Lazovic DML 67 0 0 1 2 0.02 1.18 1.69
Dailon Livramento Sub 23 0 0 2 0 0.69 0.00 0.69
Daniel Mosquera Sub 23 1 0 1 0 0.44 0.00 0.44
Flavius Daniliuc Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dani Silva Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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