Plymouth Argyle v Barnsley — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-League One · 2627

ENG-League One results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Plymouth Argyle

14:00 UTC

Barnsley

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 74h before kick-off

Plymouth Argyle win

55.2%

model 58.9%

Draw

22.4%

model 20.8%

Barnsley win

22.4%

model 20.3%

552222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,259 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.9%
1-1 9.5%
2-0 8.7%
1-0 8.4%
3-1 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.1%	Under 2.5	37.9%
BTTS yes	59.2%	BTTS no	40.8%
Plymouth Argyle 1+	87.4%	Plymouth Argyle 2+	61.2%
Barnsley 1+	67.8%	Barnsley 2+	31.3%

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Plymouth Argyle & over 1.5

1X2 & Over/Under · usually 33%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 3002 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Barnsley (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 90%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 2683 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Barnsley have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Plymouth Argyle have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 22.4% for the draw and 22.4% for Barnsley. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.07 for Plymouth Argyle and 1.13 for Barnsley.

Why Plymouth Argyle

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%.

Why Barnsley can win

Barnsley carry the stronger rating, 1469 Elo against 1440. Away from home Barnsley average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Plymouth Argyle, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Barnsley, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Plymouth Argyle: 0% possession, 0.0 shots a match, 4.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Barnsley: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Plymouth Argyle are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	592120	2.07–1.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	76159	3.22–1.16	3-1 8%	81%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to win	59.6%	53.7%	45.1%	1.19×	1.86
Barnsley to win	20.6%	24.6%	29.5%	0.83×	4.07
Draw	19.8%	19.4%	25.6%	0.76×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle & both teams score	34.2%	29.3%	20.7%	1.42×	3.41
Plymouth Argyle & not both score	25.4%	25.5%	24.6%	1.04×	3.93
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.55
Barnsley & both teams score	13.0%	13.2%	13.6%	0.97×	7.55
Barnsley & not both score	7.6%	8.4%	16.0%	0.52×	11.94
Draw & not both score	3.0%	4.9%	6.1%	0.80×	20.30

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle & over 1.5	52.8%	48.8%	33.0%	1.48×	2.05
Plymouth Argyle & over 2.5	45.2%	44.8%	27.7%	1.62×	2.23
Plymouth Argyle & over 3.5	30.0%	25.9%	13.9%	1.86×	3.86
Plymouth Argyle & under 3.5	29.6%	25.9%	31.4%	0.83×	3.86
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.57
Barnsley & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	21.4%	0.84×	5.57
Plymouth Argyle & under 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	17.6%	0.73×	7.77
Barnsley & over 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	17.0%	0.76×	7.77
Barnsley & under 3.5	12.6%	12.9%	21.7%	0.59×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	18.4%	0.70×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	18.4%	0.70×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	8.3%	8.0%	7.3%	1.09×	12.56
Draw & over 3.5	8.3%	8.0%	7.3%	1.09×	12.56
Barnsley & over 3.5	8.0%	8.0%	7.9%	1.00×	12.56
Plymouth Argyle & under 1.5	6.8%	8.0%	12.3%	0.65×	12.56
Barnsley & under 2.5	6.2%	8.0%	12.6%	0.63×	12.57
Barnsley & under 1.5	3.8%	4.9%	8.3%	0.59×	20.53
Draw & under 1.5	3.0%	4.9%	6.1%	0.79×	20.53

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (1UP)	74.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Barnsley (1UP)	41.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (2UP)	59.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Barnsley (2UP)	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to win 2nd half	48.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	29.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Barnsley to win 2nd half	22.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Barnsley over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Barnsley under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Barnsley over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Plymouth Argyle under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Plymouth Argyle over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Plymouth Argyle under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley (+2.5)	80.2%	82.6%	89.8%	0.92×	1.21
Plymouth Argyle (+0.5)	79.4%	78.3%	70.6%	1.11×	1.28
Barnsley (+1.5)	62.5%	63.0%	80.1%	0.79×	1.59
Plymouth Argyle (-0.5)	59.6%	57.0%	45.1%	1.26×	1.76
Barnsley (+0.5)	40.4%	43.0%	54.9%	0.78×	2.32
Plymouth Argyle (-1.5)	37.5%	37.0%	19.9%	1.86×	2.71
Barnsley (-0.5)	20.6%	21.7%	29.5%	0.74×	4.61
Plymouth Argyle (-2.5)	19.8%	17.4%	10.2%	1.71×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley to concede	89.4%	86.2%	78.0%	1.11×	1.16
Barnsley clean sheet	10.6%	13.8%	22.0%	0.62×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley to concede in 1st half	61.8%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Barnsley clean sheet in 1st half	38.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley to concede in 2nd half	72.1%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Barnsley clean sheet in 2nd half	27.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley under 3.5 goals	96.1%	97.4%	96.8%	1.01×	1.03
Barnsley under 2.5 goals	86.7%	87.9%	88.4%	0.99×	1.14
Barnsley over 0.5 goals	71.6%	71.8%	69.4%	1.03×	1.39
Barnsley under 1.5 goals	64.2%	63.5%	66.7%	0.95×	1.58
Barnsley over 1.5 goals	35.8%	36.5%	33.3%	1.10×	2.74
Barnsley under 0.5 goals	28.4%	28.2%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Barnsley over 2.5 goals	13.3%	12.1%	11.7%	1.04×	8.26
Barnsley over 3.5 goals	3.9%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	38.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley under 1.5 in 1st half	90.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Barnsley under 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Barnsley over 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Barnsley over 1.5 in 1st half	9.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley scores equally in both	40.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Barnsley scores more in 2nd half	37.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Barnsley scores more in 1st half	22.0%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (away no bet)	75.1%	73.9%	63.8%	1.16×	1.35
Draw (away no bet)	24.9%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.83

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley even goals	54.0%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.89
Barnsley odd goals	46.0%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.0%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Plymouth Argyle to score 2+ in a row	56.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	32.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Plymouth Argyle to score 3+ in a row	26.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Barnsley to score 2+ in a row	24.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Barnsley to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.84

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	8.5%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.53
1-1	8.5%	7.4%	12.5%	0.59×	13.53
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.77×	13.53
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	4.0%	1.83×	13.54
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	12.3%	0.60×	13.54
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	5.5%	1.34×	13.54
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.5%	1.63×	13.54
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.54
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.54
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.37×	57.58
3-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.56
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.19×	57.57
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.37×	57.58
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.89×	57.56
4-1	4.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	57.56
4-2	2.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.68×	57.57
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.68×	57.57
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	10.73×	57.58
0-0	3.0%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	57.56
0-1	3.8%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	57.56
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	57.57
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.89×	57.57
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	57.58
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.57
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.68×	57.58
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	57.57

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (2nd half DNB)	68.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Barnsley (2nd half DNB)	31.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle leading at HT (DNB)	70.9%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Barnsley leading at HT (DNB)	29.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle or Barnsley (12)	80.2%	80.6%	74.4%	1.08×	1.24
Plymouth Argyle or draw (1X)	79.4%	75.4%	70.6%	1.07×	1.33
Barnsley or draw (X2)	40.4%	46.3%	54.9%	0.84×	2.16

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle or draw at HT	81.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Plymouth Argyle or Barnsley at HT	64.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Barnsley or draw at HT	54.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle or draw (1UP)	79.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Barnsley or draw (1UP)	41.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle or draw in 2nd half	78.0%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Plymouth Argyle or Barnsley in 2nd half	70.9%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Barnsley or draw in 2nd half	51.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.4%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	45.6%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (DNB)	74.3%	71.1%	60.5%	1.18×	1.41
Barnsley (DNB)	25.7%	28.9%	39.5%	0.73×	3.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to score first	62.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Barnsley to score first	34.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.46

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.9%	56.5%	53.6%	1.06×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.1%	43.5%	46.4%	0.94×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.4%	46.7%	41.3%	1.13×	2.14
Not both score & under 2.5	23.6%	28.4%	36.1%	0.79×	3.52
Not both score & over 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	10.5%	1.17×	8.15
Both score & under 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	12.5%	0.67×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.5%	80.0%	85.9%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	23.5%	20.0%	14.1%	1.42×	5.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.9%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.5%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.1%	41.9%	45.0%	0.93×	2.39
4-6 goals	39.8%	35.0%	27.2%	1.29×	2.86
0-1 goals	13.6%	17.2%	26.4%	0.65×	5.83
7+ goals	6.5%	7.6%	1.8%	4.29×	13.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.8%	36.2%	0.99×	2.80
Barnsley to score exactly 0	28.4%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.62
Barnsley to score exactly 2	22.5%	22.5%	21.8%	1.03×	4.44
Barnsley to score 3+	13.3%	13.0%	11.7%	1.12×	7.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to score 3+	38.8%	35.6%	19.7%	1.80×	2.81
Plymouth Argyle to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.83
Plymouth Argyle to score exactly 1	23.8%	23.4%	36.1%	0.65×	4.28
Plymouth Argyle to score exactly 0	10.6%	14.3%	22.0%	0.65×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle leading at HT	45.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	35.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Barnsley leading at HT	18.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle -1: 2	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Plymouth Argyle -1: 1	37.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Plymouth Argyle -1: X	22.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley (0:1)	40.4%	42.5%	54.9%	0.77×	2.35
Plymouth Argyle (0:1)	37.5%	37.3%	19.9%	1.88×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.4%	25.4%	0.96×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley (0:2)	62.5%	67.5%	80.1%	0.84×	1.48
Plymouth Argyle (0:2)	19.8%	15.0%	10.2%	1.47×	6.66
Draw (0:2)	17.8%	15.0%	9.9%	1.52×	6.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley (0:3)	80.2%	85.2%	89.8%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.0%	10.0%	6.5%	1.55×	9.97
Plymouth Argyle (0:3)	8.8%	5.9%	3.9%	1.52×	16.91

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley (0:4)	91.2%	94.4%	96.1%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	4.8%	2.8%	1.75×	20.79
Plymouth Argyle (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	81.62

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (1:0)	79.4%	78.1%	70.6%	1.11×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	12.4%	12.8%	17.3%	0.74×	7.84
Barnsley (1:0)	8.2%	7.0%	12.3%	0.57×	14.28

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle (2:0)	91.8%	93.7%	87.7%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.6%	7.9%	0.83×	15.25
Barnsley (2:0)	2.6%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	41.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to concede	71.6%	73.1%	69.4%	1.05×	1.37
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet	28.4%	26.9%	30.6%	0.88×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet in 1st half	60.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Plymouth Argyle to concede in 1st half	39.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to concede in 2nd half	53.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet in 2nd half	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle over 0.5 goals	89.4%	87.2%	78.0%	1.12×	1.15
Plymouth Argyle under 3.5 goals	81.2%	81.9%	93.0%	0.88×	1.22
Plymouth Argyle over 1.5 goals	65.5%	67.9%	42.1%	1.61×	1.47
Plymouth Argyle under 2.5 goals	61.2%	63.3%	80.3%	0.79×	1.58
Plymouth Argyle over 2.5 goals	38.8%	36.7%	19.7%	1.86×	2.72
Plymouth Argyle under 1.5 goals	34.5%	32.1%	57.9%	0.56×	3.11
Plymouth Argyle over 3.5 goals	18.8%	18.1%	7.0%	2.60×	5.53
Plymouth Argyle under 0.5 goals	10.6%	12.8%	22.0%	0.58×	7.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle under 1.5 in 1st half	74.9%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Plymouth Argyle over 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Plymouth Argyle under 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Plymouth Argyle over 1.5 in 1st half	25.1%	19.8%	—	—	5.05

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Plymouth Argyle scores equally in both	28.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
Plymouth Argyle scores more in 1st half	28.0%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley (home no bet)	51.1%	51.5%	53.5%	0.96×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.9%	48.5%	46.5%	1.04×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle even goals	50.6%	50.4%	48.7%	1.03×	1.98
Plymouth Argyle odd goals	49.4%	49.6%	51.3%	0.97×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	22.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
Any other HT score	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 2-1	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.61

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle at HT / Plymouth Argyle at FT	38.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Plymouth Argyle at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Barnsley at HT / Barnsley at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Barnsley at FT	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Plymouth Argyle at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Barnsley at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Barnsley at HT / Plymouth Argyle at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Plymouth Argyle at HT / Barnsley at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to score last	62.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Barnsley to score last	34.9%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.46

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Plymouth Argyle to lead by 1 at any time	74.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Plymouth Argyle to lead by 2 at any time	45.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Barnsley to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Plymouth Argyle to lead by 3 at any time	23.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Barnsley to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Barnsley to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.7%	—	—	60.27

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.8%	83.3%	89.0%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.5%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.2%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.6%	68.9%	81.4%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.4%	63.1%	50.0%	1.26×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.3%	61.2%	0.97×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.7%	53.4%	46.8%	1.14×	1.87
1-3 goals	50.7%	53.4%	65.2%	0.82×	1.87
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.2%	1.11×	2.29
2-3 goals	40.1%	43.6%	45.0%	0.97×	2.29
4-6 goals	39.8%	39.3%	27.2%	1.44×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.1%	35.3%	23.9%	1.48×	2.83
1-2 goals	29.1%	30.6%	42.4%	0.72×	3.26
5-6 goals	20.9%	24.8%	11.0%	2.25×	4.03
7+ goals	6.5%	9.0%	1.8%	5.04×	11.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle never behind	55.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Barnsley never behind	22.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	52.4%	0.97×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	47.6%	1.03×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	93.9%	1.02×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	73.6%	1.19×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	95.0%	0.92×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.6%	72.4%	87.4%	0.83×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.9%	66.0%	51.6%	1.28×	1.52
Under 3.5 goals	53.7%	53.0%	71.2%	0.74×	1.89
Over 3.5 goals	46.3%	47.0%	28.8%	1.63×	2.13
Under 2.5 goals	32.1%	34.0%	48.4%	0.70×	2.94
Over 4.5 goals	27.4%	27.6%	12.6%	2.19×	3.62
Over 5.5 goals	14.2%	12.6%	5.0%	2.51×	7.96
Under 1.5 goals	13.6%	12.6%	26.4%	0.48×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	6.1%	0.75×	21.73

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.0%	92.4%	98.2%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.7%	80.5%	94.6%	0.85×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.3%	80.5%	66.2%	1.22×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.2%	67.6%	84.9%	0.80×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.0%	55.2%	37.3%	1.48×	1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.0%	44.8%	62.7%	0.71×	2.23
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.8%	32.4%	15.1%	2.15×	3.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.7%	19.5%	33.8%	0.58×	5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.3%	19.5%	5.4%	3.59×	5.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.0%	7.6%	1.8%	4.14×	13.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.9%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley not to score in both halves	79.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Plymouth Argyle not to score in both halves	55.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Plymouth Argyle to score in both halves	44.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Barnsley to score in both halves	21.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.9%	60.2%	53.6%	1.12×	1.66
Only Plymouth Argyle scores	25.4%	26.1%	24.6%	1.06×	3.83
Only Barnsley scores	7.6%	7.1%	16.0%	0.45×	14.02
Neither team scores	3.0%	4.6%	6.1%	0.75×	21.55

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.4%	23.0%	0.98×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.6%	16.3%	1.07×	5.70
Exactly 2 goals	18.5%	17.6%	22.2%	0.79×	5.70
6 or more goals	14.2%	12.0%	5.0%	2.40×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	13.2%	12.0%	7.8%	1.55×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	10.6%	12.0%	20.4%	0.59×	8.31
Exactly 0 goals	3.0%	4.5%	6.1%	0.73×	22.21

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	24.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
No goals in 1st half	23.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
3+ goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.3%	—	—	6.55

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	60.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
1 goal in 2nd half	26.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Plymouth Argyle not to win both halves	77.7%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Plymouth Argyle to win both halves	22.3%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Barnsley to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle to win either half	72.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Barnsley to win neither half	63.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Barnsley to win either half	36.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Plymouth Argyle to win neither half	27.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barnsley not to win to nil	92.4%	92.1%	84.0%	1.10×	1.09
Plymouth Argyle not to win to nil	74.6%	75.2%	75.4%	1.00×	1.33
Plymouth Argyle to win to nil	25.4%	24.8%	24.6%	1.01×	4.03
Barnsley to win to nil	7.6%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Plymouth Argyle by 1	22.1%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.14
Plymouth Argyle by 3+	19.8%	16.9%	10.2%	1.66×	5.92
Draw	19.8%	16.9%	25.6%	0.66×	5.92
Plymouth Argyle by 2	17.8%	16.9%	9.9%	1.71×	5.92
Barnsley by 1	12.4%	11.7%	17.3%	0.68×	8.52
Barnsley by 2	5.6%	7.3%	7.9%	0.92×	13.75
Barnsley by 3+	2.6%	2.8%	4.5%	0.62×	35.54