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Wolfsburg v Union Berlin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 23 November 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–0
0.74 – 0.63 xG
Shots
10 – 11
On target
5 – 4
Shots in box
6 – 6
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.19 – 0.20
Goals − xG
+0.26 – -0.63
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.40.60.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Bote Baku 70' — goal
Wolfsburg 0.74 xGUnion Berlin 0.63 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jordan Siebatcheu 5' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Set Piece)Mohammed Amoura 9' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tiago Tomás 24' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Tiago Tomás 32' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Bote Baku 36' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Bote Baku 39' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Mohammed Amoura 43' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Tom Rothe 53' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Aljoscha Kemlein 58' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Aljoscha Kemlein 59' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Mohammed Amoura 66' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Aljoscha Kemlein 69' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Bote Baku 70' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Rani Khedira 71' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jordan Siebatcheu 73' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Tom Rothe 74' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Lukas Nmecha 75' — Saved Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Aljoscha Kemlein 77' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jordan Siebatcheu 88' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Arnold 93' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)László Bénes 95' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Wolfsburg attacking right Union Berlin attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Union Berlin Jordan Siebatcheu 0.09 Set Piece Missed Shot Robert Skov
9' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.02 Open Play Saved Shot Maximilian Arnold
24' Wolfsburg Tiago Tomás 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mohammed Amoura
32' Wolfsburg Tiago Tomás 0.05 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
36' Wolfsburg Bote Baku 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tiago Tomás
39' Wolfsburg Bote Baku 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
43' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Patrick Wimmer
53' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.05 Open Play Saved Shot Christopher Trimmel
58' Union Berlin Aljoscha Kemlein 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
59' Union Berlin Aljoscha Kemlein 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jordan Siebatcheu
66' Wolfsburg Mohammed Amoura 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
69' Union Berlin Aljoscha Kemlein 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
70' Wolfsburg Bote Baku 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Goal
71' Union Berlin Rani Khedira 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tom Rothe
73' Union Berlin Jordan Siebatcheu 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Christopher Trimmel
74' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Christopher Trimmel
75' Wolfsburg Lukas Nmecha 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jonas Wind
77' Union Berlin Aljoscha Kemlein 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Christopher Trimmel
88' Union Berlin Jordan Siebatcheu 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Woo-Yeong Jeong
93' Wolfsburg Maximilian Arnold 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot
95' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Christopher Trimmel

Players

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Aljoscha Kemlein MC 90 0 0 4 0 0.24 0.00 0.28
Jordan Siebatcheu FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.20 0.07 0.29
Kevin Vogt DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Christopher Trimmel DMR 90 0 0 0 5 0.00 0.28 0.21
Rani Khedira MC 84 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.14
Leopold Querfeld Sub 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Janik Haberer AMC 72 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Robert Skov DML 48 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.00
Yorbe Vertessen AMC 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tom Rothe Sub 42 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.06 0.19
Benedict Hollerbach Sub 42 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Woo-Yeong Jeong Sub 18 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.17
Diogo Leite DC 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
László Bénes Sub 6 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02

Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Bote Baku AMR 90 1 0 3 0 0.16 0.00 0.22
Maximilian Arnold DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.02 0.02
Denis Vavro DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Joakim Maehle DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Konstantinos Koulierakis DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Kamil Grabara GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kilian Fischer DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.30
Mohammed Amoura AML 81 0 0 3 1 0.08 0.08 0.41
Bence Dárdai DMC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tiago Tomás FW 65 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.07 0.15
Patrick Wimmer AMC 65 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.08
Lukas Nmecha Sub 25 0 0 1 0 0.30 0.00 0.30
Jonas Wind Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.30 0.30
Salih Özcan Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yannick Gerhardt Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cédric Zesiger Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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