Predict: Şahdağ Qusar v Karvan
Wed 9 Sep, 08:30 EDT · First Division
Predicting…
- Reading both sides' full history
- Fitting the model on every match recorded
- Weighing head-to-head, form, rest and conditions
- Pricing every market and checking each against its track record
- Finding the strongest outcomes
The first time a fixture is opened its whole history is analysed — a few seconds. After that the answer is remembered for everyone.
What the analysis was built on the whole recorded history of both sides
Starred the best pick and the likeliest to land, both above 1.18
Best outcomes one per market, strongest first
What the model saw
Every priced outcome
| Market | Outcome | Chance | Usually | Lift | Fair odds | Strength |
|---|
Chance is the model's probability after correction by its own track record. Usually is how often that outcome happens in this competition regardless of who is playing; Lift is the ratio. Strength weighs how much evidence sits behind the confidence level, how far the call is from the base rate, and how much calibration had to move the raw number. Full match analysis →