Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Baltimore Orioles win
36.8%
Draw
13.3%
Boston Red Sox win
49.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.34–4.86 | 4-4 4% | 99% | 98% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox to win | 49.4% | 49.4% | 31.2% | 1.58× | 2.03 |
| Baltimore Orioles to win | 37.0% | 37.0% | 42.6% | 0.87× | 2.70 |
| Draw | 13.7% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 0.52× | 7.33 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (1UP) | 77.7% | 77.7% | 49.3% | 1.58× | 1.29 |
| Baltimore Orioles (1UP) | 70.0% | 70.0% | 58.7% | 1.19× | 1.43 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (2UP) | 55.2% | 55.2% | 33.4% | 1.65× | 1.81 |
| Baltimore Orioles (2UP) | 44.6% | 44.6% | 44.5% | 1.00× | 2.24 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (+2.5) | 84.9% | 84.9% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Boston Red Sox (+1.5) | 75.3% | 75.3% | 78.1% | 0.96× | 1.33 |
| Boston Red Sox (+0.5) | 63.0% | 63.0% | 57.4% | 1.10× | 1.59 |
| Baltimore Orioles (+0.5) | 50.6% | 50.6% | 68.8% | 0.74× | 1.98 |
| Boston Red Sox (-0.5) | 49.4% | 49.4% | 31.2% | 1.58× | 2.03 |
| Baltimore Orioles (-0.5) | 37.0% | 37.0% | 42.6% | 0.87× | 2.70 |
| Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | 24.7% | 24.7% | 21.9% | 1.13× | 4.04 |
| Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 1.55× | 6.63 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles (away no bet) | 73.0% | 73.0% | 61.8% | 1.18× | 1.37 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 27.0% | 27.0% | 38.2% | 0.71× | 3.71 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 86.5% | 86.5% | 16.9% | 5.13× | 1.16 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 13.5% | 13.5% | 83.1% | 0.16× | 7.43 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.6% | 99.6% | 64.8% | 1.54× | 1.00 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 35.2% | 0.01× | 260.99 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 97.9% | 97.9% | 57.4% | 1.70× | 1.02 |
| Boston Red Sox to score 2+ in a row | 82.3% | 82.3% | 27.9% | 2.95× | 1.22 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score 2+ in a row | 75.6% | 75.6% | 36.2% | 2.09× | 1.32 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 73.3% | 73.3% | 22.4% | 3.27× | 1.37 |
| Boston Red Sox to score 3+ in a row | 48.5% | 48.5% | 8.9% | 5.48× | 2.06 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score 3+ in a row | 39.1% | 39.1% | 13.9% | 2.81× | 2.56 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 72.4% | 72.4% | 3.8% | 19.12× | 1.38 |
| 4-4 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 18.54× | 27.40 |
| 3-4 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 6.83× | 29.74 |
| 4-3 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 5.31× | 33.30 |
| 3-3 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.30× | 36.14 |
| 2-4 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 4.50× | 43.03 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.86× | 52.29 |
| 4-2 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.84× | 53.95 |
| 3-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.55 |
| 2-2 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 5.8% | 0.20× | 84.72 |
| 1-4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.04× | 93.39 |
| 1-3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 0.31× | 113.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.42× | 131.13 |
| 3-1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 4.7% | 0.15× | 142.31 |
| 1-2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.0% | 0.08× | 183.89 |
| 2-1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | 0.06× | 205.92 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.23× | 405.40 |
| 0-3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 0.08× | 492.66 |
| 1-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 11.4% | 0.02× | 558.69 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.09× | 637.42 |
| 3-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 3.9% | 0.04× | 691.76 |
| 0-2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 5.3% | 0.02× | 798.28 |
| 2-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 6.5% | 0.02× | 1,000.98 |
| 0-1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.0% | 0.01× | 1,038.55 |
| 1-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.8% | 0.01× | 1,101.63 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox leading at HT (DNB) | 51.9% | 51.9% | 43.2% | 1.20× | 1.93 |
| Baltimore Orioles leading at HT (DNB) | 48.1% | 48.1% | 56.8% | 0.85× | 2.08 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles or Boston Red Sox (12) | 86.3% | 86.3% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Boston Red Sox or draw (X2) | 63.0% | 63.0% | 57.4% | 1.10× | 1.59 |
| Baltimore Orioles or draw (1X) | 50.6% | 50.6% | 68.8% | 0.74× | 1.98 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox or draw (1UP) | 77.7% | 77.7% | 64.5% | 1.21× | 1.29 |
| Baltimore Orioles or draw (1UP) | 70.0% | 70.0% | 74.6% | 0.94× | 1.43 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (DNB) | 57.2% | 57.2% | 42.3% | 1.35× | 1.75 |
| Baltimore Orioles (DNB) | 42.8% | 42.8% | 57.7% | 0.74× | 2.34 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox to score first | 52.8% | 52.8% | 42.0% | 1.26× | 1.89 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score first | 47.2% | 47.2% | 50.2% | 0.94× | 2.12 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 97.8% | 97.8% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.02 |
| Not both teams to score | 2.2% | 2.2% | 46.0% | 0.05× | 45.60 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 88.5% | 88.5% | 15.5% | 5.70× | 1.13 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 11.5% | 11.5% | 84.5% | 0.14× | 8.72 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 86.3% | 86.3% | 29.1% | 2.97× | 1.16 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 13.7% | 13.7% | 70.9% | 0.19× | 7.31 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 72.3% | 72.3% | 18.0% | 4.02× | 1.38 |
| Not both to score by HT | 27.7% | 27.7% | 82.0% | 0.34× | 3.61 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 80.1% | 80.1% | 2.4% | 33.21× | 1.25 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.9% | 17.9% | 29.1% | 0.62× | 5.58 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.8% | 1.8% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 56.14 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 534.58 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox to score 3+ | 85.8% | 85.8% | 13.9% | 6.17× | 1.17 |
| Boston Red Sox to score exactly 2 | 9.5% | 9.5% | 22.3% | 0.42× | 10.57 |
| Boston Red Sox to score exactly 1 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 34.3% | 0.11× | 25.69 |
| Boston Red Sox to score exactly 0 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 29.6% | 0.03× | 119.79 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles to score 3+ | 80.4% | 80.4% | 20.8% | 3.86× | 1.24 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score exactly 2 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 0.53× | 8.02 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score exactly 1 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 31.4% | 0.18× | 17.40 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score exactly 0 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 24.2% | 0.06× | 73.64 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox leading at HT | 40.8% | 40.8% | 25.3% | 1.61× | 2.45 |
| Baltimore Orioles leading at HT | 37.8% | 37.8% | 33.2% | 1.14× | 2.65 |
| Draw at HT | 21.4% | 21.4% | 41.5% | 0.52× | 4.67 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox -1: 1 | 50.6% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Boston Red Sox -1: 2 | 35.7% | 35.7% | — | — | 2.80 |
| Boston Red Sox -1: X | 13.7% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.30 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (0:1) | 63.0% | 63.0% | 57.4% | 1.10× | 1.59 |
| Baltimore Orioles (0:1) | 24.7% | 24.7% | 21.9% | 1.13× | 4.04 |
| Draw (0:1) | 12.3% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 0.59× | 8.16 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (0:2) | 75.3% | 75.3% | 78.1% | 0.96× | 1.33 |
| Baltimore Orioles (0:2) | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 1.55× | 6.63 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 0.79× | 10.37 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (0:3) | 84.9% | 84.9% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Baltimore Orioles (0:3) | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 2.22× | 12.02 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.12× | 14.79 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (0:4) | 91.7% | 91.7% | 96.3% | 0.95× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.61× | 23.79 |
| Baltimore Orioles (0:4) | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 3.56× | 24.30 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles (1:0) | 50.6% | 50.6% | 68.8% | 0.74× | 1.98 |
| Boston Red Sox (1:0) | 35.7% | 35.7% | 14.5% | 2.46× | 2.80 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 0.82× | 7.30 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles (2:0) | 64.3% | 64.3% | 85.5% | 0.75× | 1.56 |
| Boston Red Sox (2:0) | 23.6% | 23.6% | 5.9% | 4.02× | 4.23 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.39× | 8.30 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.7% | 62.7% | 47.5% | 1.32× | 1.60 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.1% | 25.1% | 25.7% | 0.97× | 3.99 |
| Halves equal | 12.2% | 12.2% | 26.7% | 0.46× | 8.18 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (home no bet) | 78.3% | 78.3% | 54.3% | 1.44× | 1.28 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 21.7% | 21.7% | 45.7% | 0.47× | 4.62 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 50.3% | 50.3% | 4.7% | 10.82× | 1.99 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 0.80× | 12.38 |
| HT 1-2 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 2.96× | 12.72 |
| HT 2-1 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.40× | 13.25 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.3% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 8.52× | 13.63 |
| HT 0-1 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 16.1% | 0.27× | 23.05 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 0.89× | 23.75 |
| HT 1-0 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 20.3% | 0.20× | 24.01 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 0.55× | 25.77 |
| HT 0-0 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 30.7% | 0.07× | 44.37 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox at HT / Boston Red Sox at FT | 31.4% | 31.4% | 17.0% | 1.85× | 3.18 |
| Baltimore Orioles at HT / Baltimore Orioles at FT | 24.8% | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.98× | 4.04 |
| Draw at HT / Boston Red Sox at FT | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 0.90× | 9.75 |
| Baltimore Orioles at HT / Boston Red Sox at FT | 7.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 2.69× | 13.04 |
| Draw at HT / Baltimore Orioles at FT | 7.3% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 0.51× | 13.67 |
| Baltimore Orioles at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.06× | 18.64 |
| Boston Red Sox at HT / Baltimore Orioles at FT | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.70× | 20.37 |
| Boston Red Sox at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 0.81× | 22.48 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 3.8% | 3.8% | 15.8% | 0.24× | 26.07 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox to score last | 52.6% | 52.6% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.90 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score last | 47.4% | 47.4% | 50.3% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 91.2% | 91.2% | 47.3% | 1.93× | 1.10 |
| Boston Red Sox to lead by 1 at any time | 77.7% | 77.7% | 49.3% | 1.58× | 1.29 |
| Baltimore Orioles to lead by 1 at any time | 70.0% | 70.0% | 58.7% | 1.19× | 1.43 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 61.4% | 61.4% | 19.0% | 3.22× | 1.63 |
| Boston Red Sox to lead by 2 at any time | 55.2% | 55.2% | 19.9% | 2.78× | 1.81 |
| Baltimore Orioles to lead by 2 at any time | 44.6% | 44.6% | 27.8% | 1.61× | 2.24 |
| Boston Red Sox to lead by 3 at any time | 35.8% | 35.8% | 7.2% | 4.99× | 2.79 |
| Baltimore Orioles to lead by 3 at any time | 26.0% | 26.0% | 11.9% | 2.19× | 3.84 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 80.1% | 80.1% | 2.4% | 33.21× | 1.25 |
| 2-6 goals | 19.7% | 19.7% | 74.0% | 0.27× | 5.07 |
| 3-6 goals | 19.3% | 19.3% | 50.9% | 0.38× | 5.18 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.9% | 17.9% | 29.1% | 0.62× | 5.58 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 1.13× | 6.77 |
| 1-5 goals | 11.0% | 11.0% | 85.7% | 0.13× | 9.12 |
| 2-5 goals | 10.8% | 10.8% | 69.9% | 0.15× | 9.28 |
| 3-5 goals | 10.4% | 10.4% | 46.8% | 0.22× | 9.64 |
| 4-5 goals | 9.0% | 9.0% | 25.0% | 0.36× | 11.11 |
| 1-4 goals | 5.1% | 5.1% | 76.8% | 0.07× | 19.47 |
| 2-4 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 61.0% | 0.08× | 20.21 |
| 3-4 goals | 4.5% | 4.5% | 37.8% | 0.12× | 22.00 |
| 1-3 goals | 2.0% | 2.0% | 60.8% | 0.03× | 50.81 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.8% | 1.8% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 56.14 |
| 1-2 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 39.0% | 0.02× | 169.14 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox never behind | 30.0% | 30.0% | 41.3% | 0.73× | 3.33 |
| Baltimore Orioles never behind | 22.3% | 22.3% | 50.7% | 0.44× | 4.49 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.8% | 99.8% | 76.4% | 1.31× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.4% | 99.4% | 53.3% | 1.87× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 98.0% | 98.0% | 31.5% | 3.11× | 1.02 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 94.9% | 94.9% | 15.5% | 6.13× | 1.05 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 89.0% | 89.0% | 6.5% | 13.60× | 1.12 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 11.0% | 11.0% | 93.5% | 0.12× | 9.12 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 5.1% | 5.1% | 84.5% | 0.06× | 19.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 2.0% | 2.0% | 68.5% | 0.03× | 50.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 46.7% | 0.01× | 169.14 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 534.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.8% | 99.8% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.4% | 99.4% | 40.2% | 2.47× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 98.0% | 98.0% | 18.4% | 5.32× | 1.02 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.5% | 94.5% | 7.2% | 13.15× | 1.06 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 88.0% | 88.0% | 2.5% | 34.97× | 1.14 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 12.0% | 12.0% | 97.5% | 0.12× | 8.30 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.5% | 5.5% | 92.8% | 0.06× | 18.34 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 2.0% | 2.0% | 81.6% | 0.02× | 49.20 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 0.6% | 0.6% | 59.8% | 0.01× | 166.81 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 532.42 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox to score in both halves | 80.8% | 80.8% | 21.9% | 3.68× | 1.24 |
| Baltimore Orioles to score in both halves | 77.2% | 77.2% | 28.9% | 2.67× | 1.30 |
| Baltimore Orioles not to score in both halves | 22.8% | 22.8% | 71.1% | 0.32× | 4.40 |
| Boston Red Sox not to score in both halves | 19.2% | 19.2% | 78.1% | 0.25× | 5.22 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 97.8% | 97.8% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.02 |
| Only Boston Red Sox scores | 1.4% | 1.4% | 16.5% | 0.08× | 73.64 |
| Only Baltimore Orioles scores | 0.8% | 0.8% | 21.8% | 0.04× | 119.79 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 89.0% | 89.0% | 6.5% | 13.60× | 1.12 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 0.65× | 17.15 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 3.2% | 3.2% | 16.0% | 0.20× | 31.57 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 1.4% | 1.4% | 21.8% | 0.06× | 72.62 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 23.2% | 0.02× | 247.43 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 15.8% | 0.01× | 534.58 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 96.9% | 96.9% | 48.7% | 1.99× | 1.03 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 2.6% | 2.6% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 38.52 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19.3% | 0.03× | 202.14 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles not to win both halves | 87.1% | 87.1% | 87.0% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Boston Red Sox not to win both halves | 80.5% | 80.5% | 92.0% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Boston Red Sox to win both halves | 19.5% | 19.5% | 8.0% | 2.43× | 5.13 |
| Baltimore Orioles to win both halves | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 0.99× | 7.77 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox by 3+ | 23.6% | 23.6% | 5.9% | 4.02× | 4.23 |
| Baltimore Orioles by 3+ | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 1.55× | 6.63 |
| Boston Red Sox by 1 | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 0.82× | 7.30 |
| Draw | 13.7% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 0.52× | 7.33 |
| Baltimore Orioles by 1 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 0.59× | 8.16 |
| Boston Red Sox by 2 | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.39× | 8.30 |
| Baltimore Orioles by 2 | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 0.79× | 10.37 |