Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 3 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Chicago Cubs win
37.7%
Draw
13.8%
Milwaukee Brewers win
48.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.05–4.46 | 4-4 4% | 99% | 97% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to win | 48.1% | 48.1% | 31.2% | 1.54× | 2.08 |
| Chicago Cubs to win | 37.8% | 37.8% | 42.6% | 0.89× | 2.65 |
| Draw | 14.1% | 14.1% | 26.3% | 0.54× | 7.11 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (1UP) | 76.2% | 76.2% | 49.3% | 1.55× | 1.31 |
| Chicago Cubs (1UP) | 69.6% | 69.6% | 58.7% | 1.19× | 1.44 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (2UP) | 52.9% | 52.9% | 33.4% | 1.59× | 1.89 |
| Chicago Cubs (2UP) | 44.1% | 44.1% | 44.5% | 0.99× | 2.27 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (+2.5) | 84.9% | 84.9% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (+1.5) | 74.9% | 74.9% | 78.1% | 0.96× | 1.34 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (+0.5) | 62.2% | 62.2% | 57.4% | 1.08× | 1.61 |
| Chicago Cubs (+0.5) | 51.9% | 51.9% | 68.8% | 0.75× | 1.93 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (-0.5) | 48.1% | 48.1% | 31.2% | 1.54× | 2.08 |
| Chicago Cubs (-0.5) | 37.8% | 37.8% | 42.6% | 0.89× | 2.65 |
| Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | 25.1% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 1.15× | 3.99 |
| Chicago Cubs (-2.5) | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 1.55× | 6.62 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (away no bet) | 72.9% | 72.9% | 61.8% | 1.18× | 1.37 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 27.1% | 27.1% | 38.2% | 0.71× | 3.69 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 82.9% | 82.9% | 16.9% | 4.91× | 1.21 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 17.1% | 17.1% | 83.1% | 0.21× | 5.85 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.3% | 99.3% | 64.8% | 1.53× | 1.01 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.7% | 0.7% | 35.2% | 0.02× | 151.91 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 97.0% | 97.0% | 57.4% | 1.69× | 1.03 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score 2+ in a row | 79.3% | 79.3% | 27.9% | 2.84× | 1.26 |
| Chicago Cubs to score 2+ in a row | 73.3% | 73.3% | 36.2% | 2.03× | 1.36 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 70.2% | 70.2% | 22.4% | 3.14× | 1.42 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score 3+ in a row | 45.2% | 45.2% | 8.9% | 5.10× | 2.21 |
| Chicago Cubs to score 3+ in a row | 37.4% | 37.4% | 13.9% | 2.69× | 2.67 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 65.4% | 65.4% | 3.8% | 17.25× | 1.53 |
| 4-4 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 19.56× | 25.97 |
| 3-4 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 7.73× | 26.29 |
| 4-3 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 6.10× | 28.95 |
| 3-3 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 2.83× | 29.31 |
| 2-4 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 5.45× | 35.48 |
| 2-3 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.14× | 39.56 |
| 4-2 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.30× | 43.03 |
| 3-2 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0.79× | 43.56 |
| 2-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 58.79 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.35× | 71.84 |
| 1-3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.44× | 80.08 |
| 4-1 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.58× | 95.94 |
| 3-1 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 4.7% | 0.22× | 97.12 |
| 1-2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 7.0% | 0.12× | 119.02 |
| 2-1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 8.5% | 0.09× | 131.08 |
| 0-4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.32× | 290.86 |
| 0-3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 0.12× | 324.24 |
| 1-1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 11.4% | 0.03× | 331.70 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.13× | 427.81 |
| 3-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 3.9% | 0.06× | 433.05 |
| 0-2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 5.3% | 0.04× | 481.93 |
| 2-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 6.5% | 0.03× | 584.47 |
| 0-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 7.0% | 0.02× | 593.69 |
| 1-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 8.8% | 0.02× | 625.47 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers leading at HT (DNB) | 51.1% | 51.1% | 43.2% | 1.18× | 1.96 |
| Chicago Cubs leading at HT (DNB) | 48.9% | 48.9% | 56.8% | 0.86× | 2.05 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs or Milwaukee Brewers (12) | 85.9% | 85.9% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Milwaukee Brewers or draw (X2) | 62.2% | 62.2% | 57.4% | 1.08× | 1.61 |
| Chicago Cubs or draw (1X) | 51.9% | 51.9% | 68.8% | 0.75× | 1.93 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers or draw (1UP) | 76.2% | 76.2% | 64.5% | 1.18× | 1.31 |
| Chicago Cubs or draw (1UP) | 69.6% | 69.6% | 74.6% | 0.93× | 1.44 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (DNB) | 56.0% | 56.0% | 42.3% | 1.32× | 1.79 |
| Chicago Cubs (DNB) | 44.0% | 44.0% | 57.7% | 0.76× | 2.27 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score first | 52.4% | 52.4% | 42.0% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Chicago Cubs to score first | 47.6% | 47.6% | 50.2% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 96.9% | 96.9% | 54.0% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Not both teams to score | 3.1% | 3.1% | 46.0% | 0.07× | 32.73 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 85.2% | 85.2% | 15.5% | 5.48× | 1.17 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 14.8% | 14.8% | 84.5% | 0.18× | 6.74 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 83.6% | 83.6% | 29.1% | 2.88× | 1.20 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 16.4% | 16.4% | 70.9% | 0.23× | 6.09 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 68.5% | 68.5% | 18.0% | 3.81× | 1.46 |
| Not both to score by HT | 31.5% | 31.5% | 82.0% | 0.38× | 3.17 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 73.5% | 73.5% | 2.4% | 30.50× | 1.36 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.3% | 23.3% | 29.1% | 0.80× | 4.29 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.8% | 2.8% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 35.43 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 304.58 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score 3+ | 81.7% | 81.7% | 13.9% | 5.88× | 1.22 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score exactly 2 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 0.53× | 8.50 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score exactly 1 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 34.3% | 0.15× | 18.96 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score exactly 0 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 29.6% | 0.04× | 80.82 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs to score 3+ | 76.6% | 76.6% | 20.8% | 3.68× | 1.31 |
| Chicago Cubs to score exactly 2 | 14.5% | 14.5% | 23.6% | 0.61× | 6.92 |
| Chicago Cubs to score exactly 1 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 31.4% | 0.23× | 14.00 |
| Chicago Cubs to score exactly 0 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 24.2% | 0.08× | 55.00 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers leading at HT | 39.7% | 39.7% | 25.3% | 1.57× | 2.52 |
| Chicago Cubs leading at HT | 38.0% | 38.0% | 33.2% | 1.14× | 2.63 |
| Draw at HT | 22.3% | 22.3% | 41.5% | 0.54× | 4.48 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers -1: 1 | 51.9% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Milwaukee Brewers -1: 2 | 34.1% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Milwaukee Brewers -1: X | 14.0% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.14 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:1) | 62.2% | 62.2% | 57.4% | 1.08× | 1.61 |
| Chicago Cubs (0:1) | 25.1% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 1.15× | 3.99 |
| Draw (0:1) | 12.7% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 0.61× | 7.85 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:2) | 74.9% | 74.9% | 78.1% | 0.96× | 1.34 |
| Chicago Cubs (0:2) | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 1.55× | 6.62 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 0.82× | 10.04 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:3) | 84.9% | 84.9% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Chicago Cubs (0:3) | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 2.19× | 12.20 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 1.15× | 14.48 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:4) | 91.8% | 91.8% | 96.3% | 0.95× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.62× | 23.69 |
| Chicago Cubs (0:4) | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 3.44× | 25.13 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (1:0) | 51.9% | 51.9% | 68.8% | 0.75× | 1.93 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (1:0) | 34.1% | 34.1% | 14.5% | 2.35× | 2.93 |
| Draw (1:0) | 14.0% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 0.84× | 7.14 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (2:0) | 65.9% | 65.9% | 85.5% | 0.77× | 1.52 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (2:0) | 22.1% | 22.1% | 5.9% | 3.75× | 4.53 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.39× | 8.30 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.0% | 62.0% | 47.5% | 1.30× | 1.61 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.3% | 25.3% | 25.7% | 0.98× | 3.95 |
| Halves equal | 12.7% | 12.7% | 26.7% | 0.47× | 7.90 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (home no bet) | 77.4% | 77.4% | 54.3% | 1.43× | 1.29 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 22.6% | 22.6% | 45.7% | 0.49× | 4.42 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 44.9% | 44.9% | 4.7% | 9.65× | 2.23 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 0.91× | 10.90 |
| HT 1-2 | 8.2% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 3.08× | 12.21 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 2.54× | 12.51 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.9% | 8.28× | 14.02 |
| HT 0-1 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 16.1% | 0.33× | 18.91 |
| HT 1-0 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 20.3% | 0.25× | 19.37 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.99× | 21.25 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 0.64× | 22.30 |
| HT 0-0 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 30.7% | 0.10× | 33.34 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers at HT / Milwaukee Brewers at FT | 30.3% | 30.3% | 17.0% | 1.78× | 3.30 |
| Chicago Cubs at HT / Chicago Cubs at FT | 25.2% | 25.2% | 25.3% | 0.99× | 3.98 |
| Draw at HT / Milwaukee Brewers at FT | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 0.92× | 9.57 |
| Draw at HT / Chicago Cubs at FT | 7.8% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 0.54× | 12.90 |
| Chicago Cubs at HT / Milwaukee Brewers at FT | 7.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.59× | 13.51 |
| Chicago Cubs at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.07× | 18.40 |
| Milwaukee Brewers at HT / Chicago Cubs at FT | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.70× | 20.41 |
| Milwaukee Brewers at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 0.83× | 22.10 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 4.1% | 15.8% | 0.26× | 24.36 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score last | 52.3% | 52.3% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Chicago Cubs to score last | 47.8% | 47.8% | 50.3% | 0.95× | 2.09 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 89.5% | 89.5% | 47.3% | 1.89× | 1.12 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to lead by 1 at any time | 76.2% | 76.2% | 49.3% | 1.55× | 1.31 |
| Chicago Cubs to lead by 1 at any time | 69.6% | 69.6% | 58.7% | 1.19× | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 58.6% | 58.6% | 19.0% | 3.07× | 1.71 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to lead by 2 at any time | 52.9% | 52.9% | 19.9% | 2.67× | 1.89 |
| Chicago Cubs to lead by 2 at any time | 44.1% | 44.1% | 27.8% | 1.59× | 2.27 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to lead by 3 at any time | 33.5% | 33.5% | 7.2% | 4.66× | 2.99 |
| Chicago Cubs to lead by 3 at any time | 25.4% | 25.4% | 11.9% | 2.14× | 3.93 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 73.5% | 73.5% | 2.4% | 30.50× | 1.36 |
| 2-6 goals | 26.1% | 26.1% | 74.0% | 0.35× | 3.83 |
| 3-6 goals | 25.4% | 25.4% | 50.9% | 0.50× | 3.93 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.3% | 23.3% | 29.1% | 0.80× | 4.29 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.7% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 1.43× | 5.33 |
| 1-5 goals | 15.5% | 15.5% | 85.7% | 0.18× | 6.47 |
| 2-5 goals | 15.1% | 15.1% | 69.9% | 0.22× | 6.61 |
| 3-5 goals | 14.5% | 14.5% | 46.8% | 0.31× | 6.92 |
| 4-5 goals | 12.3% | 12.3% | 25.0% | 0.49× | 8.12 |
| 1-4 goals | 7.7% | 7.7% | 76.8% | 0.10× | 12.97 |
| 2-4 goals | 7.4% | 7.4% | 61.0% | 0.12× | 13.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 6.7% | 6.7% | 37.8% | 0.18× | 14.93 |
| 1-3 goals | 3.2% | 3.2% | 60.8% | 0.05× | 31.74 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.8% | 2.8% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 35.43 |
| 1-2 goals | 1.0% | 1.0% | 39.0% | 0.03× | 99.17 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers never behind | 30.4% | 30.4% | 41.3% | 0.74× | 3.29 |
| Chicago Cubs never behind | 23.8% | 23.8% | 50.7% | 0.47× | 4.21 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.7% | 99.7% | 76.4% | 1.30× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.0% | 99.0% | 53.3% | 1.86× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 96.8% | 96.8% | 31.5% | 3.08× | 1.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 92.3% | 92.3% | 15.5% | 5.96× | 1.08 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 84.5% | 84.5% | 6.5% | 12.92× | 1.18 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 15.5% | 15.5% | 93.5% | 0.17× | 6.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 7.7% | 7.7% | 84.5% | 0.09× | 12.97 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 3.2% | 3.2% | 68.5% | 0.05× | 31.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.0% | 1.0% | 46.7% | 0.02× | 99.17 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 304.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.7% | 99.7% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 40.2% | 2.46× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 96.7% | 96.7% | 18.4% | 5.25× | 1.03 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.6% | 91.6% | 7.2% | 12.75× | 1.09 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 82.6% | 82.6% | 2.5% | 32.85× | 1.21 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 17.4% | 17.4% | 97.5% | 0.18× | 5.76 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.4% | 8.4% | 92.8% | 0.09× | 11.97 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 3.3% | 3.3% | 81.6% | 0.04× | 30.29 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 1.0% | 1.0% | 59.8% | 0.02× | 97.04 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.3% | 0.3% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 302.51 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score in both halves | 77.3% | 77.3% | 21.9% | 3.52× | 1.29 |
| Chicago Cubs to score in both halves | 74.1% | 74.1% | 28.9% | 2.56× | 1.35 |
| Chicago Cubs not to score in both halves | 25.9% | 25.9% | 71.1% | 0.36× | 3.86 |
| Milwaukee Brewers not to score in both halves | 22.7% | 22.7% | 78.1% | 0.29× | 4.40 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 96.9% | 96.9% | 54.0% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Only Milwaukee Brewers scores | 1.8% | 1.8% | 16.5% | 0.11× | 55.00 |
| Only Chicago Cubs scores | 1.2% | 1.2% | 21.8% | 0.06× | 80.82 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 84.5% | 84.5% | 6.5% | 12.92× | 1.18 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 0.87× | 12.90 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 4.6% | 4.6% | 16.0% | 0.28× | 21.95 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 2.1% | 2.1% | 21.8% | 0.10× | 46.68 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.7% | 0.7% | 23.2% | 0.03× | 147.04 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 15.8% | 0.02× | 304.58 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 95.7% | 95.7% | 48.7% | 1.97× | 1.05 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 3.6% | 3.6% | 32.0% | 0.11× | 28.04 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.7% | 0.7% | 19.3% | 0.04× | 136.25 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs not to win both halves | 86.9% | 86.9% | 87.0% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Milwaukee Brewers not to win both halves | 81.5% | 81.5% | 92.0% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to win both halves | 18.5% | 18.5% | 8.0% | 2.31× | 5.40 |
| Chicago Cubs to win both halves | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 1.01× | 7.61 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers by 3+ | 22.1% | 22.1% | 5.9% | 3.75× | 4.53 |
| Chicago Cubs by 3+ | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 1.55× | 6.62 |
| Draw | 14.1% | 14.1% | 26.3% | 0.54× | 7.11 |
| Milwaukee Brewers by 1 | 14.0% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 0.84× | 7.14 |
| Chicago Cubs by 1 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 0.61× | 7.85 |
| Milwaukee Brewers by 2 | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.39× | 8.30 |
| Chicago Cubs by 2 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 0.82× | 10.04 |