Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Cincinnati Reds win
31.3%
Draw
13.2%
Milwaukee Brewers win
55.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 3.85–4.79 | 3-4 4% | 99% | 97% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to win | 54.9% | 54.9% | 31.2% | 1.76× | 1.82 |
| Cincinnati Reds to win | 31.6% | 31.6% | 42.6% | 0.74× | 3.17 |
| Draw | 13.5% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 0.51× | 7.40 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (1UP) | 80.2% | 80.2% | 49.3% | 1.63× | 1.25 |
| Cincinnati Reds (1UP) | 65.3% | 65.3% | 58.7% | 1.11× | 1.53 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (2UP) | 58.9% | 58.9% | 33.4% | 1.76× | 1.70 |
| Cincinnati Reds (2UP) | 38.8% | 38.8% | 44.5% | 0.87× | 2.58 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (+2.5) | 88.5% | 88.5% | 90.3% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (+1.5) | 80.0% | 80.0% | 78.1% | 1.02× | 1.25 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (+0.5) | 68.4% | 68.4% | 57.4% | 1.19× | 1.46 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (-0.5) | 54.9% | 54.9% | 31.2% | 1.76× | 1.82 |
| Cincinnati Reds (+0.5) | 45.1% | 45.1% | 68.8% | 0.65× | 2.22 |
| Cincinnati Reds (-0.5) | 31.6% | 31.6% | 42.6% | 0.74× | 3.17 |
| Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) | 20.0% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 0.92× | 4.99 |
| Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 1.18× | 8.67 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds (away no bet) | 70.0% | 70.0% | 61.8% | 1.13× | 1.43 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 30.0% | 30.0% | 38.2% | 0.79× | 3.34 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 83.6% | 83.6% | 16.9% | 4.95× | 1.20 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 16.4% | 16.4% | 83.1% | 0.20× | 6.10 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.4% | 99.4% | 64.8% | 1.53× | 1.01 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 35.2% | 0.02× | 168.02 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 97.3% | 97.3% | 57.4% | 1.69× | 1.03 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score 2+ in a row | 83.0% | 83.0% | 27.9% | 2.97× | 1.20 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 71.4% | 71.4% | 22.4% | 3.19× | 1.40 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score 2+ in a row | 69.6% | 69.6% | 36.2% | 1.92× | 1.44 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score 3+ in a row | 50.8% | 50.8% | 8.9% | 5.73× | 1.97 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score 3+ in a row | 33.0% | 33.0% | 13.9% | 2.37× | 3.03 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 67.2% | 67.2% | 3.8% | 17.73× | 1.49 |
| 3-4 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 7.80× | 26.04 |
| 4-4 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 18.79× | 27.04 |
| 3-3 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 2.66× | 31.17 |
| 4-3 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 5.46× | 32.37 |
| 2-4 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 5.79× | 33.43 |
| 2-3 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.13× | 40.02 |
| 3-2 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.69× | 49.74 |
| 4-2 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.92× | 51.65 |
| 2-2 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 5.8% | 0.27× | 63.87 |
| 1-4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.50× | 64.39 |
| 1-3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 0.46× | 77.08 |
| 3-1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 4.7% | 0.18× | 119.09 |
| 1-2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 7.0% | 0.12× | 123.01 |
| 4-1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.45× | 123.66 |
| 2-1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 8.5% | 0.08× | 152.91 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.37× | 248.04 |
| 0-3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 0.13× | 296.90 |
| 1-1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 11.4% | 0.02× | 368.12 |
| 0-2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 5.3% | 0.04× | 473.85 |
| 3-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 3.9% | 0.04× | 570.18 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.10× | 592.09 |
| 0-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 7.0% | 0.02× | 640.76 |
| 1-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.8% | 0.02× | 720.29 |
| 2-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 6.5% | 0.02× | 732.11 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers leading at HT (DNB) | 56.6% | 56.6% | 43.2% | 1.31× | 1.77 |
| Cincinnati Reds leading at HT (DNB) | 43.4% | 43.4% | 56.8% | 0.76× | 2.31 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds or Milwaukee Brewers (12) | 86.5% | 86.5% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Milwaukee Brewers or draw (X2) | 68.4% | 68.4% | 57.4% | 1.19× | 1.46 |
| Cincinnati Reds or draw (1X) | 45.1% | 45.1% | 68.8% | 0.65× | 2.22 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers or draw (1UP) | 80.2% | 80.2% | 64.5% | 1.24× | 1.25 |
| Cincinnati Reds or draw (1UP) | 65.3% | 65.3% | 74.6% | 0.87× | 1.53 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (DNB) | 63.5% | 63.5% | 42.3% | 1.50× | 1.57 |
| Cincinnati Reds (DNB) | 36.5% | 36.5% | 57.7% | 0.63× | 2.74 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score first | 55.4% | 55.4% | 42.0% | 1.32× | 1.81 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score first | 44.6% | 44.6% | 50.2% | 0.89× | 2.24 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 96.9% | 96.9% | 54.0% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Not both teams to score | 3.1% | 3.1% | 46.0% | 0.07× | 32.26 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 85.1% | 85.1% | 15.5% | 5.48× | 1.18 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 14.9% | 14.9% | 84.5% | 0.18× | 6.71 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 83.6% | 83.6% | 29.1% | 2.88× | 1.20 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 16.4% | 16.4% | 70.9% | 0.23× | 6.08 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 68.9% | 68.9% | 18.0% | 3.83× | 1.45 |
| Not both to score by HT | 31.1% | 31.1% | 82.0% | 0.38× | 3.21 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 74.8% | 74.8% | 2.4% | 31.02× | 1.34 |
| 4-6 goals | 22.3% | 22.3% | 29.1% | 0.77× | 4.48 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.6% | 2.6% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 38.49 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 339.10 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score 3+ | 85.1% | 85.1% | 13.9% | 6.12× | 1.18 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score exactly 2 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 22.3% | 0.44× | 10.16 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score exactly 1 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 34.3% | 0.12× | 24.31 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to score exactly 0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 29.6% | 0.03× | 110.06 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds to score 3+ | 73.7% | 73.7% | 20.8% | 3.54× | 1.36 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score exactly 2 | 15.9% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 0.67× | 6.29 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score exactly 1 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 31.4% | 0.26× | 12.12 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score exactly 0 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 24.2% | 0.09× | 45.63 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers leading at HT | 44.2% | 44.2% | 25.3% | 1.75× | 2.26 |
| Cincinnati Reds leading at HT | 33.8% | 33.8% | 33.2% | 1.02× | 2.96 |
| Draw at HT | 22.0% | 22.0% | 41.5% | 0.53× | 4.55 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers -1: 1 | 45.1% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Milwaukee Brewers -1: 2 | 40.6% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| Milwaukee Brewers -1: X | 14.3% | 14.3% | — | — | 7.00 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:1) | 68.4% | 68.4% | 57.4% | 1.19× | 1.46 |
| Cincinnati Reds (0:1) | 20.0% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 0.92× | 4.99 |
| Draw (0:1) | 11.5% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 0.56× | 8.68 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:2) | 80.0% | 80.0% | 78.1% | 1.02× | 1.25 |
| Cincinnati Reds (0:2) | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 1.18× | 8.67 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 0.70× | 11.77 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:3) | 88.5% | 88.5% | 90.3% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Cincinnati Reds (0:3) | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.60× | 16.74 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 0.92× | 17.98 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (0:4) | 94.0% | 94.0% | 96.3% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.23× | 31.15 |
| Cincinnati Reds (0:4) | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.39× | 36.21 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds (1:0) | 45.1% | 45.1% | 68.8% | 0.65× | 2.22 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (1:0) | 40.6% | 40.6% | 14.5% | 2.80× | 2.46 |
| Draw (1:0) | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 0.86× | 7.00 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds (2:0) | 59.4% | 59.4% | 85.5% | 0.69× | 1.69 |
| Milwaukee Brewers (2:0) | 27.5% | 27.5% | 5.9% | 4.68× | 3.63 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.1% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 1.51× | 7.63 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.2% | 62.2% | 47.5% | 1.31× | 1.61 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.2% | 25.2% | 25.7% | 0.98× | 3.97 |
| Halves equal | 12.6% | 12.6% | 26.7% | 0.47× | 7.95 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (home no bet) | 80.3% | 80.3% | 54.3% | 1.48× | 1.25 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 19.7% | 19.7% | 45.7% | 0.43× | 5.07 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 45.9% | 45.9% | 4.7% | 9.87× | 2.18 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 0.89× | 11.18 |
| HT 1-2 | 8.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 3.23× | 11.66 |
| HT 2-1 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 2.36× | 13.48 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.9% | 8.25× | 14.07 |
| HT 0-1 | 5.4% | 5.4% | 16.1% | 0.34× | 18.45 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.09× | 19.30 |
| HT 1-0 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 20.3% | 0.23× | 21.32 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 0.55× | 25.81 |
| HT 0-0 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 30.7% | 0.09× | 34.94 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers at HT / Milwaukee Brewers at FT | 35.5% | 35.5% | 17.0% | 2.09× | 2.82 |
| Cincinnati Reds at HT / Cincinnati Reds at FT | 20.6% | 20.6% | 25.3% | 0.81× | 4.85 |
| Draw at HT / Milwaukee Brewers at FT | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 1.01× | 8.75 |
| Cincinnati Reds at HT / Milwaukee Brewers at FT | 8.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.79× | 12.54 |
| Draw at HT / Cincinnati Reds at FT | 6.6% | 6.6% | 14.4% | 0.46× | 15.08 |
| Cincinnati Reds at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.03× | 19.11 |
| Milwaukee Brewers at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 0.80× | 22.96 |
| Milwaukee Brewers at HT / Cincinnati Reds at FT | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.49× | 23.26 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.9% | 15.8% | 0.25× | 25.48 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score last | 55.1% | 55.1% | 41.9% | 1.31× | 1.82 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score last | 44.9% | 44.9% | 50.3% | 0.89× | 2.23 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 90.1% | 90.1% | 47.3% | 1.90× | 1.11 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to lead by 1 at any time | 80.2% | 80.2% | 49.3% | 1.63× | 1.25 |
| Cincinnati Reds to lead by 1 at any time | 65.3% | 65.3% | 58.7% | 1.11× | 1.53 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 60.1% | 60.1% | 19.0% | 3.16× | 1.66 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to lead by 2 at any time | 58.9% | 58.9% | 19.9% | 2.96× | 1.70 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to lead by 3 at any time | 39.4% | 39.4% | 7.2% | 5.49× | 2.54 |
| Cincinnati Reds to lead by 2 at any time | 38.8% | 38.8% | 27.8% | 1.40× | 2.58 |
| Cincinnati Reds to lead by 3 at any time | 21.1% | 21.1% | 11.9% | 1.77× | 4.75 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 74.8% | 74.8% | 2.4% | 31.02× | 1.34 |
| 2-6 goals | 24.9% | 24.9% | 74.0% | 0.34× | 4.02 |
| 3-6 goals | 24.3% | 24.3% | 50.9% | 0.48× | 4.12 |
| 4-6 goals | 22.3% | 22.3% | 29.1% | 0.77× | 4.48 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.0% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 1.38× | 5.55 |
| 1-5 goals | 14.6% | 14.6% | 85.7% | 0.17× | 6.87 |
| 2-5 goals | 14.3% | 14.3% | 69.9% | 0.20× | 7.01 |
| 3-5 goals | 13.6% | 13.6% | 46.8% | 0.29× | 7.33 |
| 4-5 goals | 11.7% | 11.7% | 25.0% | 0.47× | 8.58 |
| 1-4 goals | 7.2% | 7.2% | 76.8% | 0.09× | 13.95 |
| 2-4 goals | 6.9% | 6.9% | 61.0% | 0.11× | 14.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 6.3% | 6.3% | 37.8% | 0.17× | 15.99 |
| 1-3 goals | 2.9% | 2.9% | 60.8% | 0.05× | 34.56 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.6% | 2.6% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 38.49 |
| 1-2 goals | 0.9% | 0.9% | 39.0% | 0.02× | 109.39 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers never behind | 34.7% | 34.7% | 41.3% | 0.84× | 2.88 |
| Cincinnati Reds never behind | 19.8% | 19.8% | 50.7% | 0.39× | 5.06 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.7% | 99.7% | 76.4% | 1.30× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.1% | 99.1% | 53.3% | 1.86× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 97.1% | 97.1% | 31.5% | 3.09× | 1.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 92.8% | 92.8% | 15.5% | 6.00× | 1.08 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 85.4% | 85.4% | 6.5% | 13.05× | 1.17 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 14.6% | 14.6% | 93.5% | 0.16× | 6.87 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 7.2% | 7.2% | 84.5% | 0.08× | 13.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 2.9% | 2.9% | 68.5% | 0.04× | 34.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.9% | 0.9% | 46.7% | 0.02× | 109.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 339.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.7% | 99.7% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.1% | 99.1% | 40.2% | 2.46× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 97.0% | 97.0% | 18.4% | 5.26× | 1.03 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.3% | 92.3% | 7.2% | 12.84× | 1.08 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 83.7% | 83.7% | 2.5% | 33.28× | 1.20 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 16.3% | 16.3% | 97.5% | 0.17× | 6.14 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.7% | 7.7% | 92.8% | 0.08× | 12.92 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 3.0% | 3.0% | 81.6% | 0.04× | 33.09 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 0.9% | 0.9% | 59.8% | 0.02× | 107.22 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.3% | 0.3% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 337.00 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers to score in both halves | 80.2% | 80.2% | 21.9% | 3.65× | 1.25 |
| Cincinnati Reds to score in both halves | 71.8% | 71.8% | 28.9% | 2.48× | 1.39 |
| Cincinnati Reds not to score in both halves | 28.2% | 28.2% | 71.1% | 0.40× | 3.54 |
| Milwaukee Brewers not to score in both halves | 19.8% | 19.8% | 78.1% | 0.25× | 5.06 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 96.9% | 96.9% | 54.0% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Only Milwaukee Brewers scores | 2.2% | 2.2% | 16.5% | 0.13× | 45.63 |
| Only Cincinnati Reds scores | 0.9% | 0.9% | 21.8% | 0.04× | 110.06 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 85.4% | 85.4% | 6.5% | 13.05× | 1.17 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 0.82× | 13.54 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 4.3% | 4.3% | 16.0% | 0.27× | 23.39 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 2.0% | 2.0% | 21.8% | 0.09× | 50.53 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 23.2% | 0.03× | 161.48 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 15.8% | 0.02× | 339.10 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 96.0% | 96.0% | 48.7% | 1.97× | 1.04 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 3.3% | 3.3% | 32.0% | 0.10× | 29.86 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.7% | 0.7% | 19.3% | 0.04× | 147.54 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds not to win both halves | 89.8% | 89.8% | 87.0% | 1.03× | 1.11 |
| Milwaukee Brewers not to win both halves | 77.1% | 77.1% | 92.0% | 0.84× | 1.30 |
| Milwaukee Brewers to win both halves | 22.9% | 22.9% | 8.0% | 2.86× | 4.37 |
| Cincinnati Reds to win both halves | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 0.78× | 9.85 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers by 3+ | 27.5% | 27.5% | 5.9% | 4.68× | 3.63 |
| Milwaukee Brewers by 1 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 0.86× | 7.00 |
| Draw | 13.5% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 0.51× | 7.40 |
| Milwaukee Brewers by 2 | 13.1% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 1.51× | 7.63 |
| Cincinnati Reds by 3+ | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 1.18× | 8.67 |
| Cincinnati Reds by 1 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 0.56× | 8.68 |
| Cincinnati Reds by 2 | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 0.70× | 11.77 |