Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Miami Marlins win
25.6%
Draw
12.0%
Chicago Cubs win
62.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 3.89–5.41 | 3-5 4% | 99% | 97% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs to win | 61.6% | 61.6% | 31.2% | 1.98× | 1.62 |
| Miami Marlins to win | 26.0% | 26.0% | 42.6% | 0.61× | 3.85 |
| Draw | 12.4% | 12.4% | 26.3% | 0.47× | 8.06 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (1UP) | 84.3% | 84.3% | 49.3% | 1.71× | 1.19 |
| Miami Marlins (1UP) | 61.8% | 61.8% | 58.7% | 1.05× | 1.62 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (2UP) | 65.4% | 65.4% | 33.4% | 1.96× | 1.53 |
| Miami Marlins (2UP) | 34.9% | 34.9% | 44.5% | 0.78× | 2.87 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (+2.5) | 91.1% | 91.1% | 90.3% | 1.01× | 1.10 |
| Chicago Cubs (+1.5) | 84.0% | 84.0% | 78.1% | 1.08× | 1.19 |
| Chicago Cubs (+0.5) | 74.0% | 74.0% | 57.4% | 1.29× | 1.35 |
| Chicago Cubs (-0.5) | 61.6% | 61.6% | 31.2% | 1.98× | 1.62 |
| Miami Marlins (+0.5) | 38.4% | 38.4% | 68.8% | 0.56× | 2.61 |
| Miami Marlins (-0.5) | 26.0% | 26.0% | 42.6% | 0.61× | 3.85 |
| Miami Marlins (-1.5) | 16.0% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 0.73× | 6.26 |
| Miami Marlins (-2.5) | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 0.92× | 11.21 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (away no bet) | 67.7% | 67.7% | 61.8% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 32.3% | 32.3% | 38.2% | 0.85× | 3.09 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 86.9% | 86.9% | 16.9% | 5.15× | 1.15 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 13.1% | 13.1% | 83.1% | 0.16× | 7.61 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.6% | 99.6% | 64.8% | 1.54× | 1.00 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 35.2% | 0.01× | 280.08 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 98.0% | 98.0% | 57.4% | 1.71× | 1.02 |
| Chicago Cubs to score 2+ in a row | 87.7% | 87.7% | 27.9% | 3.14× | 1.14 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 75.0% | 75.0% | 22.4% | 3.35× | 1.33 |
| Miami Marlins to score 2+ in a row | 68.1% | 68.1% | 36.2% | 1.88× | 1.47 |
| Chicago Cubs to score 3+ in a row | 58.0% | 58.0% | 8.9% | 6.55× | 1.72 |
| Miami Marlins to score 3+ in a row | 30.6% | 30.6% | 13.9% | 2.19× | 3.27 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 74.2% | 74.2% | 3.8% | 19.58× | 1.35 |
| 3-4 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 6.94× | 29.29 |
| 4-4 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 16.86× | 30.13 |
| 2-4 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 5.10× | 37.95 |
| 3-3 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.09× | 39.63 |
| 4-3 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 4.33× | 40.77 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.88× | 51.36 |
| 3-2 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 0.48× | 71.51 |
| 4-2 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.35× | 73.57 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.31× | 73.78 |
| 2-2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 5.8% | 0.19× | 92.67 |
| 1-3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 0.35× | 99.85 |
| 1-2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 7.0% | 0.08× | 180.16 |
| 3-1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 4.7% | 0.11× | 193.53 |
| 4-1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.28× | 199.11 |
| 2-1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 8.5% | 0.05× | 250.82 |
| 0-4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.32× | 286.87 |
| 0-3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 0.10× | 388.20 |
| 1-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 11.4% | 0.01× | 609.49 |
| 0-2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 5.3% | 0.03× | 700.44 |
| 3-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 3.9% | 0.02× | 1,047.59 |
| 0-1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.0% | 0.01× | 1,066.47 |
| 4-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.05× | 1,077.77 |
| 1-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.8% | 0.01× | 1,267.32 |
| 2-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 6.5% | 0.01× | 1,357.68 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs leading at HT (DNB) | 61.9% | 61.9% | 43.2% | 1.43× | 1.62 |
| Miami Marlins leading at HT (DNB) | 38.1% | 38.1% | 56.8% | 0.67× | 2.63 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins or Chicago Cubs (12) | 87.6% | 87.6% | 73.7% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| Chicago Cubs or draw (X2) | 74.0% | 74.0% | 57.4% | 1.29× | 1.35 |
| Miami Marlins or draw (1X) | 38.4% | 38.4% | 68.8% | 0.56× | 2.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs or draw (1UP) | 84.3% | 84.3% | 64.5% | 1.31× | 1.19 |
| Miami Marlins or draw (1UP) | 61.8% | 61.8% | 74.6% | 0.83× | 1.62 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (DNB) | 70.4% | 70.4% | 42.3% | 1.66× | 1.42 |
| Miami Marlins (DNB) | 29.6% | 29.6% | 57.7% | 0.51× | 3.38 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs to score first | 58.2% | 58.2% | 42.0% | 1.38× | 1.72 |
| Miami Marlins to score first | 41.8% | 41.8% | 50.2% | 0.83× | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 97.4% | 97.4% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.03 |
| Not both teams to score | 2.6% | 2.6% | 46.0% | 0.06× | 38.44 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 87.1% | 87.1% | 15.5% | 5.61× | 1.15 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 12.9% | 12.9% | 84.5% | 0.15× | 7.78 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 85.3% | 85.3% | 29.1% | 2.94× | 1.17 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 14.7% | 14.7% | 70.9% | 0.21× | 6.82 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 71.8% | 71.8% | 18.0% | 3.99× | 1.39 |
| Not both to score by HT | 28.2% | 28.2% | 82.0% | 0.34× | 3.54 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 80.7% | 80.7% | 2.4% | 33.46× | 1.24 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.5% | 17.5% | 29.1% | 0.60× | 5.73 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.7% | 1.7% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 59.27 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 579.13 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs to score 3+ | 90.0% | 90.0% | 13.9% | 6.48× | 1.11 |
| Chicago Cubs to score exactly 2 | 6.9% | 6.9% | 22.3% | 0.31× | 14.49 |
| Chicago Cubs to score exactly 1 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.07× | 39.21 |
| Chicago Cubs to score exactly 0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 29.6% | 0.02× | 199.02 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins to score 3+ | 74.2% | 74.2% | 20.8% | 3.57× | 1.35 |
| Miami Marlins to score exactly 2 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 0.66× | 6.40 |
| Miami Marlins to score exactly 1 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 31.4% | 0.26× | 12.44 |
| Miami Marlins to score exactly 0 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 24.2% | 0.09× | 47.65 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs leading at HT | 49.0% | 49.0% | 25.3% | 1.94× | 2.04 |
| Miami Marlins leading at HT | 30.2% | 30.2% | 33.2% | 0.91× | 3.32 |
| Draw at HT | 20.8% | 20.8% | 41.5% | 0.50× | 4.81 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs -1: 2 | 47.8% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Chicago Cubs -1: 1 | 38.4% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Chicago Cubs -1: X | 13.9% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.21 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (0:1) | 74.0% | 74.0% | 57.4% | 1.29× | 1.35 |
| Miami Marlins (0:1) | 16.0% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 0.73× | 6.26 |
| Draw (0:1) | 10.0% | 10.0% | 20.7% | 0.48× | 10.01 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (0:2) | 84.0% | 84.0% | 78.1% | 1.08× | 1.19 |
| Miami Marlins (0:2) | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 0.92× | 11.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.0% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 0.58× | 14.19 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (0:3) | 91.1% | 91.1% | 90.3% | 1.01× | 1.10 |
| Miami Marlins (0:3) | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.20× | 22.28 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 0.74× | 22.57 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (0:4) | 95.5% | 95.5% | 96.3% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.95× | 40.51 |
| Miami Marlins (0:4) | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.75× | 49.49 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (1:0) | 47.8% | 47.8% | 14.5% | 3.29× | 2.09 |
| Miami Marlins (1:0) | 38.4% | 38.4% | 68.8% | 0.56× | 2.61 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 0.83× | 7.21 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (2:0) | 52.2% | 52.2% | 85.5% | 0.61× | 1.92 |
| Chicago Cubs (2:0) | 34.2% | 34.2% | 5.9% | 5.81× | 2.93 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 1.57× | 7.34 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.9% | 62.9% | 47.5% | 1.32× | 1.59 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 24.9% | 24.9% | 25.7% | 0.97× | 4.02 |
| Halves equal | 12.2% | 12.2% | 26.7% | 0.46× | 8.18 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (home no bet) | 83.2% | 83.2% | 54.3% | 1.53× | 1.20 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 16.8% | 16.8% | 45.7% | 0.37× | 5.97 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 51.2% | 51.2% | 4.7% | 11.02× | 1.95 |
| HT 1-2 | 8.5% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.21× | 11.74 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.78× | 12.72 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.9% | 8.27× | 14.04 |
| HT 2-1 | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.09× | 15.20 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.07× | 19.63 |
| HT 0-1 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 16.1% | 0.29× | 21.22 |
| HT 1-0 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 20.3% | 0.18× | 27.46 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 0.43× | 32.92 |
| HT 0-0 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 30.7% | 0.07× | 45.50 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs at HT / Chicago Cubs at FT | 41.3% | 41.3% | 17.0% | 2.43× | 2.42 |
| Miami Marlins at HT / Miami Marlins at FT | 16.8% | 16.8% | 25.3% | 0.66× | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Chicago Cubs at FT | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 1.05× | 8.41 |
| Miami Marlins at HT / Chicago Cubs at FT | 8.5% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 2.97× | 11.79 |
| Draw at HT / Miami Marlins at FT | 5.4% | 5.4% | 14.4% | 0.38× | 18.48 |
| Miami Marlins at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 0.96× | 20.52 |
| Chicago Cubs at HT / Draw at FT | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 0.74× | 24.75 |
| Chicago Cubs at HT / Miami Marlins at FT | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.30× | 26.72 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | 15.8% | 0.22× | 28.67 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs to score last | 57.6% | 57.6% | 41.9% | 1.37× | 1.74 |
| Miami Marlins to score last | 42.4% | 42.4% | 50.3% | 0.84× | 2.36 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 91.9% | 91.9% | 47.3% | 1.94× | 1.09 |
| Chicago Cubs to lead by 1 at any time | 84.3% | 84.3% | 49.3% | 1.71× | 1.19 |
| Chicago Cubs to lead by 2 at any time | 65.4% | 65.4% | 19.9% | 3.29× | 1.53 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 64.3% | 64.3% | 19.0% | 3.37× | 1.56 |
| Miami Marlins to lead by 1 at any time | 61.8% | 61.8% | 58.7% | 1.05× | 1.62 |
| Chicago Cubs to lead by 3 at any time | 46.7% | 46.7% | 7.2% | 6.50× | 2.14 |
| Miami Marlins to lead by 2 at any time | 34.9% | 34.9% | 27.8% | 1.26× | 2.87 |
| Miami Marlins to lead by 3 at any time | 18.0% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 1.52× | 5.55 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 80.7% | 80.7% | 2.4% | 33.46× | 1.24 |
| 2-6 goals | 19.1% | 19.1% | 74.0% | 0.26× | 5.22 |
| 3-6 goals | 18.8% | 18.8% | 50.9% | 0.37× | 5.33 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.5% | 17.5% | 29.1% | 0.60× | 5.73 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 1.10× | 6.94 |
| 1-5 goals | 10.6% | 10.6% | 85.7% | 0.12× | 9.48 |
| 2-5 goals | 10.4% | 10.4% | 69.9% | 0.15× | 9.64 |
| 3-5 goals | 10.0% | 10.0% | 46.8% | 0.21× | 10.00 |
| 4-5 goals | 8.7% | 8.7% | 25.0% | 0.35× | 11.51 |
| 1-4 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 76.8% | 0.06× | 20.41 |
| 2-4 goals | 4.7% | 4.7% | 61.0% | 0.08× | 21.16 |
| 3-4 goals | 4.3% | 4.3% | 37.8% | 0.11× | 23.01 |
| 1-3 goals | 1.9% | 1.9% | 60.8% | 0.03× | 53.76 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.7% | 1.7% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 59.27 |
| 1-2 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 39.0% | 0.01× | 180.78 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs never behind | 38.2% | 38.2% | 41.3% | 0.93× | 2.62 |
| Miami Marlins never behind | 15.7% | 15.7% | 50.7% | 0.31× | 6.37 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.8% | 99.8% | 76.4% | 1.31× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.4% | 99.4% | 53.3% | 1.87× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 98.1% | 31.5% | 3.12× | 1.02 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 95.1% | 95.1% | 15.5% | 6.14× | 1.05 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 89.4% | 89.4% | 6.5% | 13.67× | 1.12 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 10.6% | 10.6% | 93.5% | 0.11× | 9.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 84.5% | 0.06× | 20.41 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 1.9% | 68.5% | 0.03× | 53.76 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 46.7% | 0.01× | 180.78 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 579.13 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.8% | 99.8% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.4% | 99.4% | 40.2% | 2.47× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 98.1% | 98.1% | 18.4% | 5.32× | 1.02 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.8% | 94.8% | 7.2% | 13.19× | 1.06 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 88.4% | 88.4% | 2.5% | 35.16× | 1.13 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 11.6% | 11.6% | 97.5% | 0.12× | 8.65 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.2% | 5.2% | 92.8% | 0.06× | 19.26 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 1.9% | 1.9% | 81.6% | 0.02× | 52.13 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 0.6% | 0.6% | 59.8% | 0.01× | 178.41 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 576.92 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs to score in both halves | 84.8% | 84.8% | 21.9% | 3.86× | 1.18 |
| Miami Marlins to score in both halves | 72.2% | 72.2% | 28.9% | 2.50× | 1.38 |
| Miami Marlins not to score in both halves | 27.8% | 27.8% | 71.1% | 0.39× | 3.60 |
| Chicago Cubs not to score in both halves | 15.2% | 15.2% | 78.1% | 0.19× | 6.58 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 97.4% | 97.4% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.03 |
| Only Chicago Cubs scores | 2.1% | 2.1% | 16.5% | 0.13× | 47.65 |
| Only Miami Marlins scores | 0.5% | 0.5% | 21.8% | 0.02× | 199.02 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 89.4% | 89.4% | 6.5% | 13.67× | 1.12 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 0.63× | 17.69 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 3.0% | 3.0% | 16.0% | 0.19× | 32.91 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 1.3% | 1.3% | 21.8% | 0.06× | 76.52 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 23.2% | 0.02× | 262.82 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 15.8% | 0.01× | 579.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 97.1% | 97.1% | 48.7% | 1.99× | 1.03 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 2.5% | 2.5% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 40.37 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19.3% | 0.02× | 214.86 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins not to win both halves | 92.2% | 92.2% | 87.0% | 1.06× | 1.09 |
| Chicago Cubs not to win both halves | 72.0% | 72.0% | 92.0% | 0.78× | 1.39 |
| Chicago Cubs to win both halves | 28.0% | 28.0% | 8.0% | 3.49× | 3.57 |
| Miami Marlins to win both halves | 7.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 0.60× | 12.79 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs by 3+ | 34.2% | 34.2% | 5.9% | 5.81× | 2.93 |
| Chicago Cubs by 1 | 13.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 0.83× | 7.21 |
| Chicago Cubs by 2 | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 1.57× | 7.34 |
| Draw | 12.4% | 12.4% | 26.3% | 0.47× | 8.06 |
| Miami Marlins by 1 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 20.7% | 0.48× | 10.01 |
| Miami Marlins by 3+ | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 0.92× | 11.21 |
| Miami Marlins by 2 | 7.0% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 0.58× | 14.19 |