Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Angels — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 4 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Pittsburgh Pirates win
51.2%
Draw
13.9%
Los Angeles Angels win
34.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.37–3.77 | 4-3 4% | 99% | 96% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates to win | 51.0% | 51.0% | 42.6% | 1.20× | 1.96 |
| Los Angeles Angels to win | 34.9% | 34.9% | 31.2% | 1.12× | 2.87 |
| Draw | 14.1% | 14.1% | 26.3% | 0.54× | 7.09 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (1UP) | 77.5% | 77.5% | 58.7% | 1.32× | 1.29 |
| Los Angeles Angels (1UP) | 67.0% | 67.0% | 49.3% | 1.36× | 1.49 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (2UP) | 54.6% | 54.6% | 44.5% | 1.23× | 1.83 |
| Los Angeles Angels (2UP) | 40.8% | 40.8% | 33.4% | 1.22× | 2.45 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels (+2.5) | 76.1% | 76.1% | 90.3% | 0.84× | 1.31 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (+0.5) | 65.1% | 65.1% | 68.8% | 0.95× | 1.54 |
| Los Angeles Angels (+1.5) | 63.4% | 63.4% | 78.1% | 0.81× | 1.58 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (-0.5) | 51.0% | 51.0% | 42.6% | 1.20× | 1.96 |
| Los Angeles Angels (+0.5) | 49.0% | 49.0% | 57.4% | 0.85× | 2.04 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | 36.6% | 36.6% | 21.9% | 1.67× | 2.74 |
| Los Angeles Angels (-0.5) | 34.9% | 34.9% | 31.2% | 1.12× | 2.87 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) | 23.9% | 23.9% | 9.7% | 2.45× | 4.18 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (away no bet) | 78.3% | 78.3% | 61.8% | 1.27× | 1.28 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 21.7% | 21.7% | 38.2% | 0.57× | 4.62 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 80.7% | 80.7% | 16.9% | 4.78× | 1.24 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 19.3% | 19.3% | 83.1% | 0.23× | 5.19 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.1% | 99.1% | 64.8% | 1.53× | 1.01 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.9% | 0.9% | 35.2% | 0.02× | 114.20 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 96.5% | 96.5% | 57.4% | 1.68× | 1.04 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score 2+ in a row | 79.4% | 79.4% | 36.2% | 2.19× | 1.26 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score 2+ in a row | 69.7% | 69.7% | 27.9% | 2.50× | 1.43 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 68.6% | 68.6% | 22.4% | 3.07× | 1.46 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score 3+ in a row | 46.0% | 46.0% | 13.9% | 3.30× | 2.17 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score 3+ in a row | 33.8% | 33.8% | 8.9% | 3.81× | 2.96 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 61.4% | 61.4% | 3.8% | 16.21× | 1.63 |
| 4-3 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 7.18× | 24.61 |
| 4-4 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 19.45× | 26.12 |
| 3-3 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 3.08× | 26.89 |
| 3-4 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 7.12× | 28.55 |
| 4-2 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 3.21× | 30.91 |
| 3-2 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.02× | 33.77 |
| 2-3 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.15× | 39.18 |
| 2-4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 4.65× | 41.59 |
| 2-2 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 0.35× | 49.21 |
| 4-1 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.96× | 58.23 |
| 3-1 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 0.34× | 63.63 |
| 1-3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.41× | 85.62 |
| 1-4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.06× | 90.89 |
| 2-1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 8.5% | 0.13× | 92.71 |
| 1-2 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 7.0% | 0.13× | 107.54 |
| 4-0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.26× | 219.40 |
| 3-0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 3.9% | 0.11× | 239.75 |
| 1-1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 11.4% | 0.03× | 253.26 |
| 2-0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 6.5% | 0.04× | 349.32 |
| 0-3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 0.11× | 374.26 |
| 0-4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.23× | 397.30 |
| 1-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 8.8% | 0.03× | 435.35 |
| 0-2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 5.3% | 0.04× | 470.07 |
| 0-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 7.0% | 0.03× | 472.52 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates leading at HT (DNB) | 59.8% | 59.8% | 56.8% | 1.05× | 1.67 |
| Los Angeles Angels leading at HT (DNB) | 40.2% | 40.2% | 43.2% | 0.93× | 2.49 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates or Los Angeles Angels (12) | 85.9% | 85.9% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates or draw (1X) | 65.1% | 65.1% | 68.8% | 0.95× | 1.54 |
| Los Angeles Angels or draw (X2) | 49.0% | 49.0% | 57.4% | 0.85× | 2.04 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates or draw (1UP) | 77.5% | 77.5% | 74.6% | 1.04× | 1.29 |
| Los Angeles Angels or draw (1UP) | 67.0% | 67.0% | 64.5% | 1.04× | 1.49 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (DNB) | 59.4% | 59.4% | 57.7% | 1.03× | 1.68 |
| Los Angeles Angels (DNB) | 40.6% | 40.6% | 42.3% | 0.96× | 2.46 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score first | 53.7% | 53.7% | 50.2% | 1.07× | 1.86 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score first | 46.3% | 46.3% | 42.0% | 1.10× | 2.16 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 96.2% | 96.2% | 54.0% | 1.78× | 1.04 |
| Not both teams to score | 3.8% | 3.8% | 46.0% | 0.08× | 26.65 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 82.7% | 82.7% | 15.5% | 5.33× | 1.21 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 17.3% | 17.3% | 84.5% | 0.21× | 5.78 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 81.9% | 81.9% | 29.1% | 2.82× | 1.22 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 18.1% | 18.1% | 70.9% | 0.26× | 5.52 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 65.8% | 65.8% | 18.0% | 3.66× | 1.52 |
| Not both to score by HT | 34.2% | 34.2% | 82.0% | 0.42× | 2.93 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 69.5% | 69.5% | 2.4% | 28.81× | 1.44 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.5% | 26.5% | 29.1% | 0.91× | 3.77 |
| 2-3 goals | 3.6% | 3.6% | 45.0% | 0.08× | 27.88 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 23.6% | 0.02× | 226.59 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels to score 3+ | 72.3% | 72.3% | 13.9% | 5.20× | 1.38 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score exactly 2 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 22.3% | 0.74× | 6.05 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score exactly 1 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 34.3% | 0.26× | 11.39 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score exactly 0 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 29.6% | 0.08× | 41.68 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score 3+ | 80.8% | 80.8% | 20.8% | 3.88× | 1.24 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score exactly 2 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 23.6% | 0.52× | 8.15 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score exactly 1 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 31.4% | 0.18× | 17.80 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score exactly 0 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 24.2% | 0.06× | 73.87 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates leading at HT | 46.4% | 46.4% | 33.2% | 1.40× | 2.15 |
| Los Angeles Angels leading at HT | 31.2% | 31.2% | 25.3% | 1.23× | 3.21 |
| Draw at HT | 22.4% | 22.4% | 41.5% | 0.54× | 4.46 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates -1: 2 | 49.0% | 49.0% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates -1: 1 | 36.6% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates -1: X | 14.4% | 14.4% | — | — | 6.92 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels (0:1) | 49.0% | 49.0% | 57.4% | 0.85× | 2.04 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (0:1) | 36.6% | 36.6% | 21.9% | 1.67× | 2.74 |
| Draw (0:1) | 14.4% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 0.70× | 6.92 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels (0:2) | 63.4% | 63.4% | 78.1% | 0.81× | 1.58 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (0:2) | 23.9% | 23.9% | 9.7% | 2.45× | 4.18 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 1.04× | 7.90 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels (0:3) | 76.1% | 76.1% | 90.3% | 0.84× | 1.31 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (0:3) | 14.1% | 14.1% | 3.7% | 3.77× | 7.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.62× | 10.22 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels (0:4) | 85.9% | 85.9% | 96.3% | 0.89× | 1.16 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (0:4) | 7.5% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 6.46× | 13.39 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 2.55× | 15.04 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (1:0) | 65.1% | 65.1% | 68.8% | 0.95× | 1.54 |
| Los Angeles Angels (1:0) | 22.4% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 1.54× | 4.46 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.5% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 0.75× | 8.03 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (2:0) | 77.6% | 77.6% | 85.5% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Los Angeles Angels (2:0) | 13.0% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 2.22× | 7.67 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 1.08× | 10.65 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 61.2% | 61.2% | 47.5% | 1.29× | 1.63 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.8% | 25.8% | 25.7% | 1.00× | 3.88 |
| Halves equal | 13.0% | 13.0% | 26.7% | 0.49× | 7.70 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels (home no bet) | 71.2% | 71.2% | 54.3% | 1.31× | 1.41 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 28.8% | 28.8% | 45.7% | 0.63× | 3.47 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 42.5% | 42.5% | 4.7% | 9.14× | 2.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 0.96× | 10.42 |
| HT 2-1 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 2.87× | 11.07 |
| HT 1-2 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 2.73× | 13.80 |
| HT 2-2 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 7.91× | 14.69 |
| HT 1-0 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 20.3% | 0.31× | 15.64 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 0.85× | 16.68 |
| HT 0-1 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 16.1% | 0.32× | 19.49 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 0.81× | 25.94 |
| HT 0-0 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 30.7% | 0.11× | 29.02 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates at HT / Pittsburgh Pirates at FT | 35.2% | 35.2% | 25.3% | 1.39× | 2.84 |
| Los Angeles Angels at HT / Los Angeles Angels at FT | 20.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 1.22× | 4.81 |
| Draw at HT / Pittsburgh Pirates at FT | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 0.69× | 10.02 |
| Draw at HT / Los Angeles Angels at FT | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 0.72× | 12.16 |
| Los Angeles Angels at HT / Pittsburgh Pirates at FT | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.03× | 17.09 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates at HT / Los Angeles Angels at FT | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.05× | 17.11 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.06× | 18.54 |
| Los Angeles Angels at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 0.82× | 22.21 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 4.2% | 15.8% | 0.27× | 23.73 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score last | 53.6% | 53.6% | 50.3% | 1.06× | 1.87 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score last | 46.4% | 46.4% | 41.9% | 1.11× | 2.16 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 88.5% | 88.5% | 47.3% | 1.87× | 1.13 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to lead by 1 at any time | 77.5% | 77.5% | 58.7% | 1.32× | 1.29 |
| Los Angeles Angels to lead by 1 at any time | 67.0% | 67.0% | 49.3% | 1.36× | 1.49 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 57.3% | 57.3% | 19.0% | 3.01× | 1.75 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to lead by 2 at any time | 54.6% | 54.6% | 27.8% | 1.97× | 1.83 |
| Los Angeles Angels to lead by 2 at any time | 40.8% | 40.8% | 19.9% | 2.05× | 2.45 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to lead by 3 at any time | 35.1% | 35.1% | 11.9% | 2.95× | 2.85 |
| Los Angeles Angels to lead by 3 at any time | 22.5% | 22.5% | 7.2% | 3.14× | 4.44 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 69.5% | 69.5% | 2.4% | 28.81× | 1.44 |
| 2-6 goals | 30.1% | 30.1% | 74.0% | 0.41× | 3.32 |
| 3-6 goals | 29.2% | 29.2% | 50.9% | 0.57× | 3.43 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.5% | 26.5% | 29.1% | 0.91× | 3.77 |
| 5-6 goals | 21.0% | 21.0% | 13.1% | 1.61× | 4.76 |
| 1-5 goals | 18.4% | 18.4% | 85.7% | 0.21× | 5.43 |
| 2-5 goals | 18.0% | 18.0% | 69.9% | 0.26× | 5.56 |
| 3-5 goals | 17.1% | 17.1% | 46.8% | 0.37× | 5.85 |
| 4-5 goals | 14.4% | 14.4% | 25.0% | 0.58× | 6.95 |
| 1-4 goals | 9.5% | 9.5% | 76.8% | 0.12× | 10.52 |
| 2-4 goals | 9.1% | 9.1% | 61.0% | 0.15× | 11.03 |
| 3-4 goals | 8.2% | 8.2% | 37.8% | 0.22× | 12.24 |
| 1-3 goals | 4.0% | 4.0% | 60.8% | 0.07× | 24.83 |
| 2-3 goals | 3.6% | 3.6% | 45.0% | 0.08× | 27.88 |
| 1-2 goals | 1.3% | 1.3% | 39.0% | 0.03× | 74.90 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates never behind | 33.0% | 33.0% | 50.7% | 0.65× | 3.03 |
| Los Angeles Angels never behind | 22.5% | 22.5% | 41.3% | 0.55× | 4.44 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.2% | 50.2% | 48.5% | 1.04× | 1.99 |
| Even number of goals | 49.8% | 49.8% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.1% | 50.1% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.9% | 49.9% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.6% | 99.6% | 76.4% | 1.30× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 98.7% | 98.7% | 53.3% | 1.85× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 96.0% | 96.0% | 31.5% | 3.05× | 1.04 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 90.5% | 90.5% | 15.5% | 5.85× | 1.11 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 81.6% | 81.6% | 6.5% | 12.46× | 1.23 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 18.4% | 18.4% | 93.5% | 0.20× | 5.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 9.5% | 9.5% | 84.5% | 0.11× | 10.52 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 4.0% | 4.0% | 68.5% | 0.06× | 24.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.3% | 1.3% | 46.7% | 0.03× | 74.90 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 23.6% | 0.02× | 226.59 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.6% | 99.6% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 98.6% | 98.6% | 40.2% | 2.45× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 95.7% | 95.7% | 18.4% | 5.20× | 1.05 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 89.6% | 89.6% | 7.2% | 12.46× | 1.12 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 79.0% | 79.0% | 2.5% | 31.42× | 1.27 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 21.0% | 21.0% | 97.5% | 0.22× | 4.77 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 10.4% | 10.4% | 92.8% | 0.11× | 9.58 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 4.3% | 4.3% | 81.6% | 0.05× | 23.47 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 1.4% | 1.4% | 59.8% | 0.02× | 72.88 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.4% | 0.4% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 224.56 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates to score in both halves | 77.5% | 77.5% | 28.9% | 2.68× | 1.29 |
| Los Angeles Angels to score in both halves | 69.6% | 69.6% | 21.9% | 3.17× | 1.44 |
| Los Angeles Angels not to score in both halves | 30.4% | 30.4% | 78.1% | 0.39× | 3.29 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates not to score in both halves | 22.5% | 22.5% | 71.1% | 0.32× | 4.45 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 96.2% | 96.2% | 54.0% | 1.78× | 1.04 |
| Only Pittsburgh Pirates scores | 2.4% | 2.4% | 21.8% | 0.11× | 41.68 |
| Only Los Angeles Angels scores | 1.4% | 1.4% | 16.5% | 0.08× | 73.87 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 81.6% | 81.6% | 6.5% | 12.46× | 1.23 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 1.00× | 11.21 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 5.5% | 5.5% | 16.0% | 0.34× | 18.25 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 2.7% | 2.7% | 21.8% | 0.12× | 37.14 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.9% | 0.9% | 23.2% | 0.04× | 111.87 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 15.8% | 0.03× | 226.59 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 94.8% | 94.8% | 48.7% | 1.95× | 1.06 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 4.3% | 4.3% | 32.0% | 0.13× | 23.47 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.9% | 0.9% | 19.3% | 0.05× | 109.01 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels not to win both halves | 88.6% | 88.6% | 92.0% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates not to win both halves | 79.4% | 79.4% | 87.0% | 0.91× | 1.26 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates to win both halves | 20.6% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 1.59× | 4.86 |
| Los Angeles Angels to win both halves | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 1.42× | 8.80 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates by 3+ | 23.9% | 23.9% | 9.7% | 2.45× | 4.18 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates by 1 | 14.4% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 0.70× | 6.92 |
| Draw | 14.1% | 14.1% | 26.3% | 0.54× | 7.09 |
| Los Angeles Angels by 3+ | 13.0% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 2.22× | 7.67 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates by 2 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 1.04× | 7.90 |
| Los Angeles Angels by 1 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 0.75× | 8.03 |
| Los Angeles Angels by 2 | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 1.08× | 10.65 |