San Diego Padres v New York Yankees — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.San Diego Padres win
32.4%
Draw
13.4%
New York Yankees win
54.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 3.85–4.69 | 3-4 4% | 99% | 97% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees to win | 53.7% | 53.7% | 31.2% | 1.72× | 1.86 |
| San Diego Padres to win | 32.6% | 32.6% | 42.6% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| Draw | 13.7% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 0.52× | 7.31 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (1UP) | 79.5% | 79.5% | 49.3% | 1.61× | 1.26 |
| San Diego Padres (1UP) | 65.9% | 65.9% | 58.7% | 1.12× | 1.52 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (2UP) | 57.7% | 57.7% | 33.4% | 1.73× | 1.73 |
| San Diego Padres (2UP) | 39.6% | 39.6% | 44.5% | 0.89× | 2.53 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (+2.5) | 88.0% | 88.0% | 90.3% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| New York Yankees (+1.5) | 79.2% | 79.2% | 78.1% | 1.01× | 1.26 |
| New York Yankees (+0.5) | 67.4% | 67.4% | 57.4% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| New York Yankees (-0.5) | 53.7% | 53.7% | 31.2% | 1.72× | 1.86 |
| San Diego Padres (+0.5) | 46.3% | 46.3% | 68.8% | 0.67× | 2.16 |
| San Diego Padres (-0.5) | 32.6% | 32.6% | 42.6% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| San Diego Padres (-1.5) | 20.8% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 0.95× | 4.80 |
| San Diego Padres (-2.5) | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 1.24× | 8.30 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres (away no bet) | 70.4% | 70.4% | 61.8% | 1.14× | 1.42 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 29.6% | 29.6% | 38.2% | 0.77× | 3.38 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 83.0% | 83.0% | 16.9% | 4.92× | 1.21 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 17.0% | 17.0% | 83.1% | 0.20× | 5.88 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.4% | 99.4% | 64.8% | 1.53× | 1.01 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 35.2% | 0.02× | 154.69 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 97.1% | 97.1% | 57.4% | 1.69× | 1.03 |
| New York Yankees to score 2+ in a row | 82.1% | 82.1% | 27.9% | 2.94× | 1.22 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 70.8% | 70.8% | 22.4% | 3.16× | 1.41 |
| San Diego Padres to score 2+ in a row | 69.9% | 69.9% | 36.2% | 1.93× | 1.43 |
| New York Yankees to score 3+ in a row | 49.5% | 49.5% | 8.9% | 5.59× | 2.02 |
| San Diego Padres to score 3+ in a row | 33.4% | 33.4% | 13.9% | 2.40× | 2.99 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 66.0% | 66.0% | 3.8% | 17.41× | 1.52 |
| 3-4 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 7.91× | 25.68 |
| 4-4 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 19.03× | 26.70 |
| 3-3 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 2.76× | 30.08 |
| 4-3 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 5.65× | 31.27 |
| 2-4 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 5.87× | 32.94 |
| 2-3 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.17× | 38.59 |
| 3-2 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 0.73× | 46.98 |
| 4-2 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.03× | 48.83 |
| 2-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 60.26 |
| 1-4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.53× | 63.38 |
| 1-3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 0.48× | 74.24 |
| 3-1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 4.7% | 0.19× | 110.05 |
| 4-1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.49× | 114.39 |
| 1-2 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 7.0% | 0.12× | 115.94 |
| 2-1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 8.5% | 0.08× | 141.15 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.38× | 243.90 |
| 0-3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 0.14× | 285.67 |
| 1-1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 11.4% | 0.03× | 339.47 |
| 0-2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 5.3% | 0.04× | 446.12 |
| 3-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 3.9% | 0.05× | 515.57 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.11× | 535.93 |
| 0-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 7.0% | 0.02× | 590.55 |
| 1-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 8.8% | 0.02× | 656.86 |
| 2-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 6.5% | 0.02× | 661.30 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees leading at HT (DNB) | 55.7% | 55.7% | 43.2% | 1.29× | 1.80 |
| San Diego Padres leading at HT (DNB) | 44.3% | 44.3% | 56.8% | 0.78× | 2.26 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres or New York Yankees (12) | 86.3% | 86.3% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| New York Yankees or draw (X2) | 67.4% | 67.4% | 57.4% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| San Diego Padres or draw (1X) | 46.3% | 46.3% | 68.8% | 0.67× | 2.16 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees or draw (1UP) | 79.5% | 79.5% | 64.5% | 1.23× | 1.26 |
| San Diego Padres or draw (1UP) | 65.9% | 65.9% | 74.6% | 0.88× | 1.52 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (DNB) | 62.2% | 62.2% | 42.3% | 1.47× | 1.61 |
| San Diego Padres (DNB) | 37.8% | 37.8% | 57.7% | 0.65× | 2.65 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees to score first | 54.9% | 54.9% | 42.0% | 1.31× | 1.82 |
| San Diego Padres to score first | 45.1% | 45.1% | 50.2% | 0.90× | 2.22 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 96.8% | 96.8% | 54.0% | 1.79× | 1.03 |
| Not both teams to score | 3.2% | 3.2% | 46.0% | 0.07× | 31.19 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 84.7% | 84.7% | 15.5% | 5.45× | 1.18 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 15.3% | 15.3% | 84.5% | 0.18× | 6.53 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 83.2% | 83.2% | 29.1% | 2.86× | 1.20 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 16.8% | 16.8% | 70.9% | 0.24× | 5.96 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 68.4% | 68.4% | 18.0% | 3.80× | 1.46 |
| Not both to score by HT | 31.6% | 31.6% | 82.0% | 0.39× | 3.16 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 73.7% | 73.7% | 2.4% | 30.58× | 1.36 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.2% | 23.2% | 29.1% | 0.80× | 4.32 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.8% | 2.8% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 35.91 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 310.97 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees to score 3+ | 84.1% | 84.1% | 13.9% | 6.05× | 1.19 |
| New York Yankees to score exactly 2 | 10.4% | 10.4% | 22.3% | 0.47× | 9.60 |
| New York Yankees to score exactly 1 | 4.4% | 4.4% | 34.3% | 0.13× | 22.48 |
| New York Yankees to score exactly 0 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 29.6% | 0.03× | 99.74 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres to score 3+ | 73.6% | 73.6% | 20.8% | 3.54× | 1.36 |
| San Diego Padres to score exactly 2 | 15.9% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 0.68× | 6.28 |
| San Diego Padres to score exactly 1 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 31.4% | 0.26× | 12.09 |
| San Diego Padres to score exactly 0 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 24.2% | 0.09× | 45.38 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees leading at HT | 43.3% | 43.3% | 25.3% | 1.71× | 2.31 |
| San Diego Padres leading at HT | 34.5% | 34.5% | 33.2% | 1.04× | 2.90 |
| Draw at HT | 22.2% | 22.2% | 41.5% | 0.53× | 4.51 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees -1: 1 | 46.3% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| New York Yankees -1: 2 | 39.4% | 39.4% | — | — | 2.54 |
| New York Yankees -1: X | 14.3% | 14.3% | — | — | 6.98 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (0:1) | 67.4% | 67.4% | 57.4% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| San Diego Padres (0:1) | 20.8% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 0.95× | 4.80 |
| Draw (0:1) | 11.8% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 0.57× | 8.48 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (0:2) | 79.2% | 79.2% | 78.1% | 1.01× | 1.26 |
| San Diego Padres (0:2) | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 1.24× | 8.30 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 0.72× | 11.41 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (0:3) | 88.0% | 88.0% | 90.3% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| San Diego Padres (0:3) | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.68× | 15.95 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 0.96× | 17.31 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (0:4) | 93.7% | 93.7% | 96.3% | 0.97× | 1.07 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.29× | 29.79 |
| San Diego Padres (0:4) | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.52× | 34.32 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres (1:0) | 46.3% | 46.3% | 68.8% | 0.67× | 2.16 |
| New York Yankees (1:0) | 39.4% | 39.4% | 14.5% | 2.71× | 2.54 |
| Draw (1:0) | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 0.86× | 6.98 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres (2:0) | 60.6% | 60.6% | 85.5% | 0.71× | 1.65 |
| New York Yankees (2:0) | 26.4% | 26.4% | 5.9% | 4.49× | 3.78 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 1.50× | 7.71 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.1% | 62.1% | 47.5% | 1.31× | 1.61 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.2% | 25.2% | 25.7% | 0.98× | 3.96 |
| Halves equal | 12.7% | 12.7% | 26.7% | 0.47× | 7.90 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees (home no bet) | 79.7% | 79.7% | 54.3% | 1.47× | 1.26 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 20.3% | 20.3% | 45.7% | 0.44× | 4.93 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 45.0% | 45.0% | 4.7% | 9.69× | 2.22 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 0.91× | 10.96 |
| HT 1-2 | 8.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 3.22× | 11.68 |
| HT 2-1 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.40× | 13.23 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.9% | 8.23× | 14.12 |
| HT 0-1 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 16.1% | 0.34× | 18.07 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.09× | 19.32 |
| HT 1-0 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 20.3% | 0.24× | 20.45 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 0.58× | 24.79 |
| HT 0-0 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 30.7% | 0.10× | 33.47 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees at HT / New York Yankees at FT | 34.5% | 34.5% | 17.0% | 2.03× | 2.90 |
| San Diego Padres at HT / San Diego Padres at FT | 21.3% | 21.3% | 25.3% | 0.84× | 4.68 |
| Draw at HT / New York Yankees at FT | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 1.00× | 8.83 |
| San Diego Padres at HT / New York Yankees at FT | 7.9% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 2.76× | 12.72 |
| Draw at HT / San Diego Padres at FT | 6.9% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 0.48× | 14.58 |
| San Diego Padres at HT / Draw at FT | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.04× | 18.92 |
| New York Yankees at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 0.81× | 22.72 |
| New York Yankees at HT / San Diego Padres at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.53× | 22.76 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 4.0% | 4.0% | 15.8% | 0.25× | 25.03 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees to score last | 54.6% | 54.6% | 41.9% | 1.30× | 1.83 |
| San Diego Padres to score last | 45.4% | 45.4% | 50.3% | 0.90× | 2.20 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 89.8% | 89.8% | 47.3% | 1.90× | 1.11 |
| New York Yankees to lead by 1 at any time | 79.5% | 79.5% | 49.3% | 1.61× | 1.26 |
| San Diego Padres to lead by 1 at any time | 65.9% | 65.9% | 58.7% | 1.12× | 1.52 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 59.4% | 59.4% | 19.0% | 3.12× | 1.68 |
| New York Yankees to lead by 2 at any time | 57.7% | 57.7% | 19.9% | 2.90× | 1.73 |
| San Diego Padres to lead by 2 at any time | 39.6% | 39.6% | 27.8% | 1.43× | 2.53 |
| New York Yankees to lead by 3 at any time | 38.2% | 38.2% | 7.2% | 5.31× | 2.62 |
| San Diego Padres to lead by 3 at any time | 21.6% | 21.6% | 11.9% | 1.82× | 4.62 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 73.7% | 73.7% | 2.4% | 30.58× | 1.36 |
| 2-6 goals | 25.9% | 25.9% | 74.0% | 0.35× | 3.85 |
| 3-6 goals | 25.3% | 25.3% | 50.9% | 0.50× | 3.96 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.2% | 23.2% | 29.1% | 0.80× | 4.32 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.7% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 1.42× | 5.36 |
| 1-5 goals | 15.3% | 15.3% | 85.7% | 0.18× | 6.53 |
| 2-5 goals | 15.0% | 15.0% | 69.9% | 0.21× | 6.67 |
| 3-5 goals | 14.3% | 14.3% | 46.8% | 0.31× | 6.98 |
| 4-5 goals | 12.2% | 12.2% | 25.0% | 0.49× | 8.19 |
| 1-4 goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 76.8% | 0.10× | 13.13 |
| 2-4 goals | 7.3% | 7.3% | 61.0% | 0.12× | 13.71 |
| 3-4 goals | 6.6% | 6.6% | 37.8% | 0.18× | 15.09 |
| 1-3 goals | 3.1% | 3.1% | 60.8% | 0.05× | 32.19 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.8% | 2.8% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 35.91 |
| 1-2 goals | 1.0% | 1.0% | 39.0% | 0.03× | 100.86 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees never behind | 34.1% | 34.1% | 41.3% | 0.83× | 2.93 |
| San Diego Padres never behind | 20.5% | 20.5% | 50.7% | 0.40× | 4.87 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.1% | 50.1% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.7% | 99.7% | 76.4% | 1.30× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.0% | 99.0% | 53.3% | 1.86× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 96.9% | 96.9% | 31.5% | 3.08× | 1.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.4% | 15.5% | 5.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 84.7% | 84.7% | 6.5% | 12.94× | 1.18 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 15.3% | 15.3% | 93.5% | 0.16× | 6.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 84.5% | 0.09× | 13.13 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 3.1% | 3.1% | 68.5% | 0.05× | 32.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.0% | 1.0% | 46.7% | 0.02× | 100.86 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 310.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.7% | 99.7% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 40.2% | 2.46× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 96.7% | 96.7% | 18.4% | 5.25× | 1.03 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.7% | 91.7% | 7.2% | 12.77× | 1.09 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 82.8% | 82.8% | 2.5% | 32.92× | 1.21 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 17.2% | 17.2% | 97.5% | 0.18× | 5.81 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.3% | 8.3% | 92.8% | 0.09× | 12.12 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 3.3% | 3.3% | 81.6% | 0.04× | 30.74 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 1.0% | 1.0% | 59.8% | 0.02× | 98.72 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.3% | 0.3% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 308.89 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees to score in both halves | 79.3% | 79.3% | 21.9% | 3.61× | 1.26 |
| San Diego Padres to score in both halves | 71.7% | 71.7% | 28.9% | 2.48× | 1.39 |
| San Diego Padres not to score in both halves | 28.3% | 28.3% | 71.1% | 0.40× | 3.54 |
| New York Yankees not to score in both halves | 20.7% | 20.7% | 78.1% | 0.26× | 4.84 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 96.8% | 96.8% | 54.0% | 1.79× | 1.03 |
| Only New York Yankees scores | 2.2% | 2.2% | 16.5% | 0.13× | 45.38 |
| Only San Diego Padres scores | 1.0% | 1.0% | 21.8% | 0.05× | 99.74 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 84.7% | 84.7% | 6.5% | 12.94× | 1.18 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 0.86× | 12.99 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 4.5% | 4.5% | 16.0% | 0.28× | 22.16 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 2.1% | 2.1% | 21.8% | 0.10× | 47.28 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.7% | 0.7% | 23.2% | 0.03× | 149.27 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 15.8% | 0.02× | 310.97 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 95.8% | 95.8% | 48.7% | 1.97× | 1.04 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 3.5% | 3.5% | 32.0% | 0.11× | 28.44 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.7% | 0.7% | 19.3% | 0.04× | 138.75 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres not to win both halves | 89.4% | 89.4% | 87.0% | 1.03× | 1.12 |
| New York Yankees not to win both halves | 77.9% | 77.9% | 92.0% | 0.85× | 1.28 |
| New York Yankees to win both halves | 22.1% | 22.1% | 8.0% | 2.75× | 4.54 |
| San Diego Padres to win both halves | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 0.82× | 9.42 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees by 3+ | 26.4% | 26.4% | 5.9% | 4.49× | 3.78 |
| New York Yankees by 1 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 0.86× | 6.98 |
| Draw | 13.7% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 0.52× | 7.31 |
| New York Yankees by 2 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 1.50× | 7.71 |
| San Diego Padres by 3+ | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 1.24× | 8.30 |
| San Diego Padres by 1 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 0.57× | 8.48 |
| San Diego Padres by 2 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 0.72× | 11.41 |