Texas Rangers v Tampa Bay Rays — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Texas Rangers win
50.8%
Draw
14.1%
Tampa Bay Rays win
35.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.20–3.64 | 4-3 4% | 98% | 96% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers to win | 50.6% | 50.6% | 42.6% | 1.19× | 1.98 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to win | 35.1% | 35.1% | 31.2% | 1.13× | 2.85 |
| Draw | 14.3% | 14.3% | 26.3% | 0.55× | 6.98 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers (1UP) | 76.9% | 76.9% | 58.7% | 1.31× | 1.30 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (1UP) | 66.7% | 66.7% | 49.3% | 1.35× | 1.50 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers (2UP) | 53.7% | 53.7% | 44.5% | 1.21× | 1.86 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (2UP) | 40.3% | 40.3% | 33.4% | 1.21× | 2.48 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (+2.5) | 76.8% | 76.8% | 90.3% | 0.85× | 1.30 |
| Texas Rangers (+0.5) | 64.9% | 64.9% | 68.8% | 0.94× | 1.54 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (+1.5) | 64.1% | 64.1% | 78.1% | 0.82× | 1.56 |
| Texas Rangers (-0.5) | 50.6% | 50.6% | 42.6% | 1.19× | 1.98 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (+0.5) | 49.4% | 49.4% | 57.4% | 0.86× | 2.02 |
| Texas Rangers (-1.5) | 35.9% | 35.9% | 21.9% | 1.64× | 2.78 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (-0.5) | 35.1% | 35.1% | 31.2% | 1.13× | 2.85 |
| Texas Rangers (-2.5) | 23.2% | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.38× | 4.30 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers (away no bet) | 77.9% | 77.9% | 61.8% | 1.26× | 1.28 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 22.1% | 22.1% | 38.2% | 0.58× | 4.53 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 78.7% | 78.7% | 16.9% | 4.66× | 1.27 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 21.3% | 21.3% | 83.1% | 0.26× | 4.69 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 98.9% | 98.9% | 64.8% | 1.53× | 1.01 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 1.1% | 1.1% | 35.2% | 0.03× | 90.61 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 95.9% | 95.9% | 57.4% | 1.67× | 1.04 |
| Texas Rangers to score 2+ in a row | 77.9% | 77.9% | 36.2% | 2.15× | 1.28 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score 2+ in a row | 68.4% | 68.4% | 27.9% | 2.45× | 1.46 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 67.0% | 67.0% | 22.4% | 2.99× | 1.49 |
| Texas Rangers to score 3+ in a row | 44.5% | 44.5% | 13.9% | 3.19× | 2.25 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score 3+ in a row | 32.8% | 32.8% | 8.9% | 3.70× | 3.05 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 57.8% | 57.8% | 3.8% | 15.25× | 1.73 |
| 4-3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 7.41× | 23.84 |
| 3-3 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 3.31× | 25.05 |
| 4-4 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 19.36× | 26.24 |
| 3-4 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 7.37× | 27.57 |
| 4-2 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 3.43× | 28.89 |
| 3-2 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.13× | 30.36 |
| 2-3 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.29× | 35.10 |
| 2-4 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 5.01× | 38.62 |
| 2-2 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 0.41× | 42.53 |
| 4-1 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.06× | 52.51 |
| 3-1 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 0.39× | 55.17 |
| 1-3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 0.48× | 73.76 |
| 2-1 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 8.5% | 0.15× | 77.30 |
| 1-4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.19× | 81.17 |
| 1-2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 7.0% | 0.16× | 89.38 |
| 4-0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.30× | 190.87 |
| 3-0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 3.9% | 0.13× | 200.55 |
| 1-1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 11.4% | 0.04× | 203.05 |
| 2-0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 6.5% | 0.05× | 280.97 |
| 0-3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 0.13× | 310.02 |
| 0-4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.27× | 341.15 |
| 1-0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 8.8% | 0.03× | 341.90 |
| 0-1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 7.0% | 0.04× | 370.93 |
| 0-2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 5.3% | 0.05× | 375.64 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers leading at HT (DNB) | 59.6% | 59.6% | 56.8% | 1.05× | 1.68 |
| Tampa Bay Rays leading at HT (DNB) | 40.4% | 40.4% | 43.2% | 0.93× | 2.47 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers or Tampa Bay Rays (12) | 85.7% | 85.7% | 73.7% | 1.16× | 1.17 |
| Texas Rangers or draw (1X) | 64.9% | 64.9% | 68.8% | 0.94× | 1.54 |
| Tampa Bay Rays or draw (X2) | 49.4% | 49.4% | 57.4% | 0.86× | 2.02 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers or draw (1UP) | 76.9% | 76.9% | 74.6% | 1.03× | 1.30 |
| Tampa Bay Rays or draw (1UP) | 66.7% | 66.7% | 64.5% | 1.03× | 1.50 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers (DNB) | 59.1% | 59.1% | 57.7% | 1.02× | 1.69 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (DNB) | 40.9% | 40.9% | 42.3% | 0.97× | 2.44 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers to score first | 53.6% | 53.6% | 50.2% | 1.07× | 1.87 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score first | 46.4% | 46.4% | 42.0% | 1.10× | 2.16 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 95.7% | 95.7% | 54.0% | 1.77× | 1.05 |
| Not both teams to score | 4.3% | 4.3% | 46.0% | 0.09× | 23.05 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 80.7% | 80.7% | 15.5% | 5.20× | 1.24 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 19.3% | 19.3% | 84.5% | 0.23× | 5.18 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 80.3% | 80.3% | 29.1% | 2.76× | 1.25 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 19.7% | 19.7% | 70.9% | 0.28× | 5.09 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 63.9% | 63.9% | 18.0% | 3.55× | 1.56 |
| Not both to score by HT | 36.1% | 36.1% | 82.0% | 0.44× | 2.77 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 65.8% | 65.8% | 2.4% | 27.30× | 1.52 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.2% | 29.2% | 29.1% | 1.01× | 3.42 |
| 2-3 goals | 4.3% | 4.3% | 45.0% | 0.10× | 23.00 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 23.6% | 0.02× | 177.91 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays to score 3+ | 70.0% | 70.0% | 13.9% | 5.04× | 1.43 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score exactly 2 | 17.6% | 17.6% | 22.3% | 0.79× | 5.70 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score exactly 1 | 9.7% | 9.7% | 34.3% | 0.28× | 10.35 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score exactly 0 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 29.6% | 0.09× | 36.50 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers to score 3+ | 78.7% | 78.7% | 20.8% | 3.78× | 1.27 |
| Texas Rangers to score exactly 2 | 13.4% | 13.4% | 23.6% | 0.57× | 7.47 |
| Texas Rangers to score exactly 1 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 31.4% | 0.20× | 15.70 |
| Texas Rangers to score exactly 0 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 24.2% | 0.07× | 62.58 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers leading at HT | 45.9% | 45.9% | 33.2% | 1.38× | 2.18 |
| Tampa Bay Rays leading at HT | 31.2% | 31.2% | 25.3% | 1.23× | 3.21 |
| Draw at HT | 22.9% | 22.9% | 41.5% | 0.55× | 4.36 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers -1: 2 | 49.4% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.02 |
| Texas Rangers -1: 1 | 35.9% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Texas Rangers -1: X | 14.7% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.82 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (0:1) | 49.4% | 49.4% | 57.4% | 0.86× | 2.02 |
| Texas Rangers (0:1) | 35.9% | 35.9% | 21.9% | 1.64× | 2.78 |
| Draw (0:1) | 14.7% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 0.71× | 6.82 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (0:2) | 64.1% | 64.1% | 78.1% | 0.82× | 1.56 |
| Texas Rangers (0:2) | 23.2% | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.38× | 4.30 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.87 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (0:3) | 76.8% | 76.8% | 90.3% | 0.85× | 1.30 |
| Texas Rangers (0:3) | 13.5% | 13.5% | 3.7% | 3.62× | 7.39 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.61× | 10.31 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (0:4) | 86.5% | 86.5% | 96.3% | 0.90× | 1.16 |
| Texas Rangers (0:4) | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 6.09× | 14.20 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 2.49× | 15.42 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers (1:0) | 64.9% | 64.9% | 68.8% | 0.94× | 1.54 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (1:0) | 22.4% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 1.54× | 4.47 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.7% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 0.76× | 7.88 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers (2:0) | 77.6% | 77.6% | 85.5% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Tampa Bay Rays (2:0) | 12.9% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 2.19× | 7.75 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 1.10× | 10.54 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 60.9% | 60.9% | 47.5% | 1.28× | 1.64 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.9% | 25.9% | 25.7% | 1.01× | 3.86 |
| Halves equal | 13.2% | 13.2% | 26.7% | 0.49× | 7.56 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays (home no bet) | 71.0% | 71.0% | 54.3% | 1.31× | 1.41 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 29.0% | 29.0% | 45.7% | 0.63× | 3.45 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 40.0% | 40.0% | 4.7% | 8.60× | 2.50 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 1.00× | 9.92 |
| HT 2-1 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 2.90× | 10.96 |
| HT 1-2 | 7.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.76× | 13.62 |
| HT 1-0 | 7.0% | 7.0% | 20.3% | 0.34× | 14.35 |
| HT 2-2 | 6.6% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 7.70× | 15.07 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 0.90× | 15.93 |
| HT 0-1 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 16.1% | 0.35× | 17.83 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 0.86× | 24.61 |
| HT 0-0 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 30.7% | 0.13× | 25.61 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers at HT / Texas Rangers at FT | 34.7% | 34.7% | 25.3% | 1.37× | 2.88 |
| Tampa Bay Rays at HT / Tampa Bay Rays at FT | 20.9% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 1.23× | 4.79 |
| Draw at HT / Texas Rangers at FT | 10.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 0.70× | 9.87 |
| Draw at HT / Tampa Bay Rays at FT | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 0.74× | 11.87 |
| Texas Rangers at HT / Tampa Bay Rays at FT | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.03× | 17.29 |
| Tampa Bay Rays at HT / Texas Rangers at FT | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.00× | 17.36 |
| Texas Rangers at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.07× | 18.43 |
| Tampa Bay Rays at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 0.83× | 22.03 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 15.8% | 0.28× | 22.94 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers to score last | 53.5% | 53.5% | 50.3% | 1.06× | 1.87 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score last | 46.5% | 46.5% | 41.9% | 1.11× | 2.15 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 87.6% | 87.6% | 47.3% | 1.85× | 1.14 |
| Texas Rangers to lead by 1 at any time | 76.9% | 76.9% | 58.7% | 1.31× | 1.30 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to lead by 1 at any time | 66.7% | 66.7% | 49.3% | 1.35× | 1.50 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 55.8% | 55.8% | 19.0% | 2.93× | 1.79 |
| Texas Rangers to lead by 2 at any time | 53.7% | 53.7% | 27.8% | 1.93× | 1.86 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to lead by 2 at any time | 40.3% | 40.3% | 19.9% | 2.03× | 2.48 |
| Texas Rangers to lead by 3 at any time | 34.0% | 34.0% | 11.9% | 2.86× | 2.94 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to lead by 3 at any time | 22.1% | 22.1% | 7.2% | 3.07× | 4.53 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 65.8% | 65.8% | 2.4% | 27.30× | 1.52 |
| 2-6 goals | 33.6% | 33.6% | 74.0% | 0.45× | 2.98 |
| 3-6 goals | 32.5% | 32.5% | 50.9% | 0.64× | 3.08 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.2% | 29.2% | 29.1% | 1.01× | 3.42 |
| 5-6 goals | 22.9% | 22.9% | 13.1% | 1.75× | 4.37 |
| 1-5 goals | 21.2% | 21.2% | 85.7% | 0.25× | 4.72 |
| 2-5 goals | 20.6% | 20.6% | 69.9% | 0.29× | 4.85 |
| 3-5 goals | 19.5% | 19.5% | 46.8% | 0.42× | 5.13 |
| 4-5 goals | 16.3% | 16.3% | 25.0% | 0.65× | 6.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 11.2% | 11.2% | 76.8% | 0.15× | 8.89 |
| 2-4 goals | 10.7% | 10.7% | 61.0% | 0.18× | 9.36 |
| 3-4 goals | 9.6% | 9.6% | 37.8% | 0.25× | 10.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 60.8% | 0.08× | 20.37 |
| 2-3 goals | 4.3% | 4.3% | 45.0% | 0.10× | 23.00 |
| 1-2 goals | 1.7% | 1.7% | 39.0% | 0.04× | 59.64 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers never behind | 33.3% | 33.3% | 50.7% | 0.66× | 3.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays never behind | 23.2% | 23.2% | 41.3% | 0.56× | 4.32 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.2% | 50.2% | 48.5% | 1.04× | 1.99 |
| Even number of goals | 49.8% | 49.8% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.1% | 50.1% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.9% | 49.9% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.4% | 99.4% | 76.4% | 1.30× | 1.01 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 98.3% | 98.3% | 53.3% | 1.85× | 1.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 95.1% | 95.1% | 31.5% | 3.02× | 1.05 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 88.8% | 88.8% | 15.5% | 5.73× | 1.13 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 78.8% | 78.8% | 6.5% | 12.04× | 1.27 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 21.2% | 21.2% | 93.5% | 0.23× | 4.72 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 11.2% | 11.2% | 84.5% | 0.13× | 8.89 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 68.5% | 0.07× | 20.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.7% | 1.7% | 46.7% | 0.04× | 59.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 23.6% | 0.02× | 177.91 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.4% | 99.4% | 69.3% | 1.43× | 1.01 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 98.3% | 98.3% | 40.2% | 2.44× | 1.02 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 94.8% | 94.8% | 18.4% | 5.14× | 1.06 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 87.5% | 87.5% | 7.2% | 12.18× | 1.14 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 75.7% | 75.7% | 2.5% | 30.08× | 1.32 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 24.3% | 24.3% | 97.5% | 0.25× | 4.11 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 12.5% | 12.5% | 92.8% | 0.13× | 8.01 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 5.2% | 5.2% | 81.6% | 0.06× | 19.07 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 1.7% | 1.7% | 59.8% | 0.03× | 57.71 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.6% | 0.6% | 30.7% | 0.02× | 175.93 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers to score in both halves | 75.8% | 75.8% | 28.9% | 2.62× | 1.32 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to score in both halves | 67.8% | 67.8% | 21.9% | 3.09× | 1.47 |
| Tampa Bay Rays not to score in both halves | 32.2% | 32.2% | 78.1% | 0.41× | 3.11 |
| Texas Rangers not to score in both halves | 24.2% | 24.2% | 71.1% | 0.34× | 4.13 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 95.7% | 95.7% | 54.0% | 1.77× | 1.05 |
| Only Texas Rangers scores | 2.7% | 2.7% | 21.8% | 0.13× | 36.50 |
| Only Tampa Bay Rays scores | 1.6% | 1.6% | 16.5% | 0.10× | 62.58 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 78.8% | 78.8% | 6.5% | 12.04× | 1.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 1.11× | 10.07 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 6.3% | 6.3% | 16.0% | 0.40× | 15.78 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 3.2% | 3.2% | 21.8% | 0.15× | 30.92 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 1.1% | 1.1% | 23.2% | 0.05× | 89.72 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 15.8% | 0.04× | 177.91 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 94.0% | 94.0% | 48.7% | 1.93× | 1.06 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 4.9% | 4.9% | 32.0% | 0.15× | 20.50 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 1.1% | 1.1% | 19.3% | 0.06× | 91.90 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays not to win both halves | 88.6% | 88.6% | 92.0% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Texas Rangers not to win both halves | 79.8% | 79.8% | 87.0% | 0.92× | 1.25 |
| Texas Rangers to win both halves | 20.2% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 1.56× | 4.95 |
| Tampa Bay Rays to win both halves | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 1.42× | 8.79 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers by 3+ | 23.2% | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.38× | 4.30 |
| Texas Rangers by 1 | 14.7% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 0.71× | 6.82 |
| Draw | 14.3% | 14.3% | 26.3% | 0.55× | 6.98 |
| Tampa Bay Rays by 3+ | 12.9% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 2.19× | 7.75 |
| Texas Rangers by 2 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.87 |
| Tampa Bay Rays by 1 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 0.76× | 7.88 |
| Tampa Bay Rays by 2 | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 1.10× | 10.54 |